Friday, February 22, 2013

House Republicans vs. The Oval - 2nd Obama Term

The New York Times: Report on the fight between House Republicans and the Oval when it comes to expected enforcement of agreed cuts, the House Republicans as the article notes  " ...say the increase in taxes for the affluent that was agreed to at the beginning of the year was the last concession they will make on new revenue. ". 

Lets Get Real: 

It is about time that House Republicans show some backbone, the Oval will never cut, it needs people on welfare, how else will Democrats get people to vote for them, the US has a debt of 16 trillion, you can not just tax the rich ALL the time, at the end of the day a Liberal US President has to lead and cut welfare, that will not be Obama, he is looking at 2014 and 2016, the Obama Camp is good on the Campaign trail but actually Government is something else,  the elite media has covered for Obama for his first term, but even they know that Obama is out in 2017, and at the end of the day they want people to read and watch their news content, if its just a White House press release what is the point.    The cracks have started with the Obama drone attacks, if the US economy does not improve even the left wing NYT will have to start questions, not yet, but sooner or later they will have to decide is it Obama or they that matter, it will not take that long.   Liberals and those on the left like tax hikes but they never want to cut welfare, Obama is using emotional blackmail to try and get more tax cuts, when that does not work who will be the next target, yes the Middle Class folks.   Liberals never learn, that is why Republicans and Conservatives always come back, we are worse than Zombies, and we are right. 

New North Korea Nuclear Test - North Korea Crisis


Lets Get Real:

Thus folks North Korea is going for a new nuclear test, this is really time for China to show its a Super Power and a leader in the Region, at what point do they pull the plug on North Korea, if they really wanted to they could cause the North Korea Regime to fall, the Chinese Governments is showing the weakness of its own Communist system, it does not want millions of starving North Koreans going over the border in to China, on the other hand it does not want its arch opponent for leadership of Asia, that being Japan going for the bomb.   Thus China has to ask itself, what is the lesser evil, a ally that has told its senior supporter to get lost and thus must be removed or a nuclear armed Japan or worse South Korea.   Thus China has to be firm and take action, it might mean that North Korea unites with the South, that is better for China than Japan with the bomb.   If China wants to be a Super Power it has to act like a Super Power, a small step sometimes means breaking a rough stone. 


The Oval and Afghanistan

Guardian: Reports on US support for the Afghanistan Government after 2014, the article notes the following, " The Obama administration is considering a plan to maintain 352,000 Afghan troops for the next five years as part of an effort to maintain security .. ". 

Lets Get Real: 

The most important date for the Oval is 2016 folks, the Oval does not want Afghanistan to fall to the Taliban, Al Qaeda back, and the War on Terror back on the front page of the New York Times.    It would be  a disaster for the Oval should there be a major terrorist attack in 2015/16, in 2012 Obama stated that Al Qaeda was dead while the US Car industry was still alive, after a US Government bailout.   If Al Qaeda is back in 2016 the US car industry is being made in China the Democrats will have a problem with their message.   As Afghanistan has shown for the British Empire and the USSR powers never end well in Afghanistan, thus one can expect that Afghanistan will fall in to another Civil War, then Al Qaeda and Taliban will return their home.   This will place pressure on Pakistan and in 2015/16 there will be another Crisis in Afghanistan.   The nickname for Afghanistan is the Graveyard of Empires, that story never ends folks,no matter the man in the Oval. 

The US in Afghanistan Post 2014 - Afghanistan

BBC News: Reports that the US has denied a German Government story that the US will keep around eight to twelve thousand US troops in Afghanistan.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks this blog tends to believe the Germans, its a big enough force, without making Liberal Democrats feel that President Obama is going back on his word.   The reason the Oval wants to keep such a presence in Afghanistan is two fold, to make sure Al Qaeda does not come back and to make sure that the Taliban of Pakistan do not use Afghanistan as a training ground as to attack the secular Government of Pakistan.  Lets recall folks Pakistan is a nuclear armed power, the 2nd Obama term would be in the toilet should Al Qaeda take over Pakistan or Iran get the bomb.     The Wars in Afghanistan and Iraq would like happy hour should Al Qaeda have a presence in a Government in Pakistan and even Syria folks.   Thus the Oval wants to protects its back, the weakness could be if the Al Qaeda come back and start to attack the US troops, that would force a choice, either back them up or leave, as stated leaving is not option, thus Afghanistan could come back to haunt Obama, as Iraq damaged Bush 43.   Watch this space folks.