Obama and the Polls - Syria Crisis 4

RCP: Reports on the average of President Obama's poll rating, today President Obama has a  " 43.6% job approval rating, while 50.4% disapprove of the job performance of the Oval. ".

Lets Get Real:

Thus not great folks, but not a disaster, the problem is that President Obama has to spend his political capital on Syria, there are other fights to come, from protecting funding for ObamaCare, to immigration, to the US Debt ceiling.   The President will hope Syria goes well, that Assad does not strike, Israel, Jordan or Turkey, that Syria does not become a political mess for the Oval to deal with, its the one War that the Oval can not blame on Bush 43.  The less popular a US President is folks, the less influence he has on the Hill, of course we have the 2014 Mid Terms coming, the Democrats had hopes of retaking the House, that seems off the table, the Republicans might even retake the US Senate, thus the Oval will be hoping for a fair wind next year, that Syria calms down, that ObamaCare works, that the US economy starts to run up and not down, lot of IF's folks, that the fun of US politics folks. 

The CIA to the Rescue - Syria Crisis 3

Telegraph: Reports the following from Washington D.C, " The first cell of Syrian rebels trained and armed by the CIA is making its way to the battlefield, President Barack Obama has reportedly told senators. ".

Lets Get Real:

This is good news folks, the Oval and the CIA has finally gotten of their backside and done something, the BAD news is that they have leaked this information, one can assume the Assad Regime is reading ALL the Western press, one would assume the forces of Assad is after this cell the moment they arrive in Syria.   Lets recall the President Kennedy's Bay of Pigs mess in Cuba, once a covert operation becomes overt the balloon goes up on the other side, thus surprise is lost,  Reagan had problems with the Contra freedom fighters when it came to Congress, thus folks the problems of using covert means to gain a overt policy gain.   Lets see what else the Oval and the CIA does, lets hope they can keep a secret, thus far not impressed at all with this covert operation. 

Assad OUT, Obama Strategy - Syria Crisis 2

Guardian: Reports the following from Washington D.C.," Obama hints at larger strategy to topple Assad in effort to win over Republicans ".

Lets Get Real:

This will go down well with national security Republicans, not so well with liberal Democrats, thus the Oval will need more Republican votes in the House to counter liberal opposition.   This move will go down like a lead balloon with Russia, they need the Assad Regime to last as they do not want to lose their warm water port.   Thus folks a limited strike is turning in to major build up of the opposition, well the good rebels, and punch on the nose from the US is turning in to a long term bombing policy if the Oval is not careful.   As this blog and others have said, there are BAD and WORSE options when it comes to Syria, the Oval will spend so much political capital on Syria that it can not afford to leave it alone after the 1st strike, it will become very much Obama's War, a War of choice folks, lets hope he has the grace to say sorry to Bush 43 after all of the years of attack for Iraq and Afghanistan.  This blog is not holding its breath. 

Obama and the US House - Syria Crisis

BBC News: Reports that that the leadership IN both Republican and Democratic Parties support President Obama's call for a strike on Syria. 

Lets Get Real:

In this case the Republicans should support the Oval, it will take a great effort not to vote NO, just to shove Syria up the ego of the Oval, but Obama does not matter, the image and authority of the US and Oval matters, the US Congress has to clean up the mess of the Oval, this means even supporting a War.   The question is WHAT NEXT? If the leadership of the House and Senate are on board, can they bring their troops, can they march them up that HILL and get them to vote, it will take a lot of arm twisting, one wonders what the leadership will demand from the Oval as a price, there is always a price folks.  The strike on Syria should be limited, balanced, and a one off, how you do this and degrade the WMD of Assad is another matter, lets hope the US and France are up to the job, and that they get it right folks.