Wednesday, April 24, 2019

Turning the screw on Iran - Middle East/Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

Iran should not be allowed to get any civil or military nuclear projects, they can not be trusted.  The Trump Administration has ended waivers for those Countries that take oil from IRAN, this will further hurt the economy of the Tehran Regime.   The point of these sanctions is to force IRAN to the table to discuss their terrorist support and their missiles project.  The Tehran Regime has threatened to close the oil route that takes oil to the West, this would be a BIG MISTAKE, the US would then feel free to take military action, the last thing anyone wants.   The US and it's ally Israel are afraid that Iran is developing the bomb and if it gets the bomb it would be a THREAT to the Middle East, the Tehran Government must be bought to talks, and as Churchill stated it is better to talk than war.   One assumes that Israeli intelligence knows what secret projects as being developed by IRAN, the State of Israel has to be protected also the US ally of Saudi Arabia. 

The Mothers Milk of Politics = MONEY - Election 2020

The New York Times: Reports " Joe Biden Plans to Enter the 2020 Race on Thursday. He’s Starting With $0.  "

Lets Get Real:

As VP, Biden must have a good lot of mobile numbers for the very rich that support Democrats.  Of course as the article notes, he can not be seen as the Establishment rich guy candidate, that would not look good in this left wing field of Candidates.   On the other hand VP Biden needs to hit the ground running, he needs to establish offices in Iowa and New Hampshire and other STATES, this takes MONEY and lot of it, the VP might have no choice but to go the rich.   As the article notes Senator Sanders has collected 24 million since becoming a candidate, thus Biden will need to make appearances in Iowa and New Hampshire in the COLD, the locals like to test out candidates, to see if they can make the cut.  Also lets be honest here, the former VP is OLD, as is Sanders, can they cut it when it comes to a year long campaign, it is a valid question.   Also candidates such as Mayor Pete, Beto and Senator Harris can be seen as the future of the Democratic Party, how long before they take a critical look at Candidate Biden, his past mistake will be bought up, he was against busing ( 1970s. the moving of black kids to majority white schools and the other way around ), also he was for a tough crime bill in the 1990s, this affected African - Americans in the main. Also he supported the War in Iraq, as did HRC, there are bound to be other issues, also Biden has a foot in mouth nature, he will say something that will offend, give it time.   There is no guarantee that Biden will get the nomination, he time might have been 2016, the same case can be made for Senator Warren.  The future might be with the youthful candidates in the Democratic Party. 

Biden to ENTER race for the PRESIDENCY on Thursday - Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

The early stages of the Biden Campaign has not been that great, he got the nickname " Creepy " for his touch feely moments on the campaign, he has had to say sorry for his past policy stands and votes.   It is reported that Biden will run as a Obama/Biden candidate, whatever that means, the Democratic Party has moved on and gone to the left under the influence of Senators Sanders and Warren, will the very liberal base support the more centre ground of VP Biden.   In the early State polls Biden was leading, in a recent NH poll Biden was behind Senators Sanders, and let's recall Sanders gave HRC a tough fight for the Democratic nomination in 2016, he should have learned from his mistakes.   One can argue he has not, he has stated that those in Jail should get the vote, this was opposed by Mayor Pete, it will be interesting to see Biden who supported a tough crime bill in the 1990s comes out on the issue.   The former VP is held in great affection by the Dems, the question is, what happens when the other candidates come for him over his past policy stands.   Getting the Democratic nomination will be those that know to fight and get the nomination and will be able to move to the Centre for the General Election. 

It's back, BREXIT - Brexit Update 1 - NO BREXIT


Lets Get Real:

Well Easter is over and the MPs are back after their recess.  Thus we are back to BREXIT.  The PM needs a DEAL with Labour, the general commentary is that neither side really want a deal, they just do not want to be the side that end the talks.  Thus if these talks fail the PM could bring the issue back to the House of Commons for indicative and binding votes, to see what the House of Commons will support.   The PM also face County elections and the EU elections, these are looking like a DISASTER in the making, the PM has very few allies and could face the CHOP sooner than she expects.   The Conservatives are rather good at dethroning PM's, they make Games of Thrones look like a tea party when it comes to being ruthless, even the great Lady T was pushed out at the end by her CABINET, and she was the greatest PM since Churchill.