Wednesday, October 03, 2012

The Polls before the 1st Debate - US Election



Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): In its daily tracking poll it finds that President Obama leads Governor Romney by 49% to 47%.  A 2%.

Gallup ( RV ): Reports in its daily tracking poll that President Obama leads Governor Romney by 49% to 45%.  A 4% lead.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks POTUS has a lead of between 2% to 4%.   It will be interesting to see if the 1st debate secures that lead, or extends it, or even in national polls brings the Candidates closer.   Given the economic mess of the Obama years the Republican ticket should have been miles ahead, also they should have expected the tough Campaign by Team Obama.  As  the Romney/Ryan ticked failed on both counts it is no surprise that they will lose, these debates as sideshows, the game is over, but they are fun to watch.   It is nice to put OUR leaders on the spot, make them sweat a bit, lets face it folks, US voters do not have much fun these days. 


1st Presidential Debate of 2012 - US Election


BBC News: Reports on the build up to the first Presidential Debate of 2012 between President Obama and Governor Romney.  

Lets Get Real: 

Thus folks we come to last major event of the US Election cycle, the winner of the 1st Presidential Debate, as this blog has already called this election for President Obama it can be objective about the winner.   Both sides in the race have told the Media that their candidates can barely walk and speak as to lower expectations.   Thus the argument is that as long as the candidates do not fall off the Stage or start to speak Russian they have had a good night.    This blog will tweet the debate that starts after 2am UK time.    On the whole it can be predicted as the Candidates have had tons of prep that it will be draw.   There are examples from recent history of debates that have changed the race, in 1976 President Ford stated that Eastern Europe was not under the control of the USSR, bad mistake, that was tough clean up job for the Ford Campaign, in 1980 Reagan just had to look Presidential, in 1984 against former VP Walter Mondale the age issue came up, Reagan took Mondale down with a joke.  In 1992 Bush 41 looked like he was bored with a debate when he looked at his watch.   In 2000 then VP Al Gore gave the impression that he was less than impress with Bush 43, the voters were not impressed.    Thus in less either Candidate makes a major mistake it should be a draw, even boring, lets see how it turns out.