Tuesday, October 28, 2008

Mr Tax Obama

Fox News: Reports that the Democratic Vice - President nominee and future Vice - President of the United States, Senator Joe Biden has stated that tax hikes will now hit those under the previous limited stated by Obama. Lets be honest thank god for Joe Biden, Mr Truth, so we now know that a Obama/Biden Administration will tax the American voter if they make over a hundred and fifty thousand, that's down from the two hundred and fifty thousand mark. The Democrats cant wait to raise taxes on the middle class. Think Bill Clinton in 1992, did you get that tax break, like hell, if you VOTE for Obama you are voting to raise your tax to hand out welfare checks to those that don't work.

Pennsylvania and the 08 Race

The New York Times: Reports that both McCain and Obama are targeting Pennsylvania to get votes. The call from the Governor Rendell for Obama to come back to the State seems to have spooked Obama. This is a mistake on the part of Obama, he will win the state, he needs to win as many red states as to give him a broad mandate. Its the job of the Governor and the Democratic Machine to get the vote out, as the Times points out the last Republican to win the state was Bush 41 in 1988. The Democrats in the state want the Obama money, does recall a episode of the West Wing, its about money, Obama should be back in the red states.

Polls and the 08 Race

Lets have a look at the polls folks. Its getting closer, Obama will win but it wont be a walk in the park. Lets have a look at the polls that show a close race. As to restate, the Gallup poll of likely voters is those that have voted in the past and will post in the future. For the rest of the race that is the only Gallup this blog will report.


Gallup
: Reports a very close race, Obama 49% - McCain 47%. The McCain attack on Obama when it comes to Taxes could just be working, the 2001 radio interview in which Obama sounded like a Marxist and his Spread the Wealth comment to Joe the Plumber has not helped. But lets look at the positive, Obama should draw in younger voters and he should get around a 100% of the black vote, If I was a Conservative African - American I would even vote for Obama. That might sound odd, its not, your not voting for the man your voting for the future, a Conservative African - American Candidate could be around the corner, how about former Secretary of State, General Powell. Also in the likely voters that includes younger voters and ethnic voters, Obama is ahead by 7%. My one caution is to assume younger voters are liberals is bad mistake, they can more racist that older people. Lets put that to one side, Obama as stated in this blog should win by around six percent.


Zogby
: Reports a 4% lead for Obama, the poll finds the following, Obama 49% - McCain 45%. One has to ask now many are not telling the truth, will tell all they are voting for Obama but in the privacy of the booth will vote for McCain, they will say to themselves its because Obama is a Liberal or a Marxist, or his connection to a domestic terrorist or his ex racist pastor. But the real reason is that he is an African - American candidate. As they leave will tell pollster they voted for Obama but the real vote could be different, a hard question but it has to be asked. Are these narrow leads solid enough for Obama. REMEMBER NEW HAMPSHIRE FOLKS


IBD/TIPP
: Reports another close race, also shows a 4% lead for Obama. The Poll finds the following, Obama 48% - McCain 44%. One gets the feeling that with Gallup, Zogby, and IBD/TIPP of a very close race. If the race is between 2% and 3% on election night expect a long night, Obama will win but it will be close. The most interesting aspect for the 08 race is will voters vote for Obama for President but vote for the Republicans in Congress in case Obama is to Liberal. McCain has to keep the tax attack up, really hit the voters with the fact that Democrats according to Joe Biden want to tax lower than their stated limited. The American voter is hurt at the moment but they still want to be rich, Obama needs to make sure that his message of a tax cut is not subverted by his running mate.

Reagan and Liberals

The Week: Bob Shrum writes the following in his article, "..... the 2008 campaign has shown that we have, at long last, entered post-Reagan America. " What is it with Liberals and the Gipper, Ronald Reagan become President in 1980, took office in 81, served two terms and left office in 1989. One of the most beloved Presidents in American History. After Reagan we had Bush 41, Clinton, and then Bush 43. If the end of the Reagan Era, not bad nearly thirty years of influence and twenty after leaving Office. Liberals and this would include Bill Clinton could never understand Reagan the man or his policies. Reagan finished the Cold War, without firing a shot, made government smaller, cut the taxes of the voters and had great economic growth. The mistake Liberals make again and again is to assume that the election of Obama is some lurch to the left by the voter, if they really believe that I have a bridge I can sell to them in New York. The sole reason Obama will win the Presidency is the economic 9/11, he has promised to cut taxes for 95% of the population. Obama will be making a great political mistake and so will Liberals if they think this a chance for another New Deal or Great Society. The USA is a centre right country, people want to get rich, the USA is not the USSR or worse France. If after four years of an Obama Administration the country is still in the dumbs expect the country to turn to the Republicans, Obama could be Jimmy Carter 11.