Wednesday, October 29, 2008

The VOTER

The Hill: Dick Morris argues that those that have told the pollsters that they are not sure could vote for McCain and thus give him the Presidency. Its very interesting, and how the Elite Media has not followed up on the fact that there is a high percentage of voters who state they as still not sure who they will vote for in 08 race. This blog has mentioned in the past that those that say they are not sure could be McCain voters who don't want to tell pollster they are voting for the Republican.

3% - The 08 Race

Lets have a look at the polls, it seems that the race is getting quite close, Obama is leading by 3% in both the Rasmussen and Gallup Tracking Polls.

Rasmussen: Today's Tracking Poll finds the following, Obama 50% - McCain 47%. The McCain bounding on Taxes seems to have helped him in this close race. Lets recall in 1992 the Conservative Attack on Labour and its Tax Policy allowed them to win a close race. It really depends can Senator Obama get his people out to vote, new young voters and ethnic voters that don't vote. If Obama can get these voters out he should win by around six percent, my prediction for the result. Not that this humble writer is more concerned about this prediction being right than the wishes of the voters.


Gallup
: Also reports a 3% lead for Obama. This poll finds the following, Obama 49% - McCain 46%. If you add Obama voters ( see above ) the Obama Campaign has a 7% over McCain. This is predicited result of this blog. If in Obama Campaign can expect new young voters to turn out, Obama is a rock star, also African - Americans will turn out for Obama. Although the Polls have gone closer nothing has changed my view that Obama will win with the following result, Obama 53% - McCain 47%. The economic 9/11 has smoothed the road for Obama all the way to the Oval Office.