Saturday, October 09, 2010

The Mid Term Elections 2010

RCP: Reports on its latest average of the polls for the generic vote for Congress, the average is Republicans 47.7% and the Democrats 41.9%, a Republican lead of 5.8%. Thus far the Obama counter offensive to the Republicans has been a disaster, the Oval has to decide does it really want to keep a Democratic Congress or in its heart of hearts does it want a Republican Congress that would allow President Obama to move to the centre. If POTUS really wants to keep Congress he has to be bold, really bold, he should state that he got ObamaCare wrong, and say that he will ask the Congress to repeal or reform health care reform. The left would go over a cliff but the Democrats could still keep Congress, also Obama should ask the Congress to keep the Bush 43 tax cuts for all tax payers, high and low,. In Presidential politics a President has to learn to say SORRY, it’s the hardest thing in Presidential vocabulary, even Reagan had to say sorry after Iran - Contra, the American voter are very understating of a President that makes a mistake and says sorry, but its very hard for the Oval, it needs good advisors or a political wired wife, Reagan had Nancy Reagan, who is the Nancy Reagan in the Obama Court.

The Balls FACTOR!

Guardian: Has more on the reason that Ed Miliband didn’t give Ed Balls the job of Shadow Chancellor the article states the following, “ …spurned Balls because he could not be trusted politically…Balls "shafted himself" by his near-public bid for the job. ”. At the end of the day you would have to be very naïve to believe that Ed Balls would not stab Ed Miliband in the back if he thought he could get the leadership. Lets recall the hard time Gordon Brown gave to Tony Blair while he was Shadow Chancellor, Brown never forgave Tony Blair for taking the leadership from him, if you read the Alastair Campbell Diaries Blair is always in some argument with Brown on economic policy, Brown would take a different view just to annoy Blair and Campbell, also his open warfare with Lord Mandelson that spilled in to Government. One thing Ed Miliband would have learned is that a Labour leader needs a Chancellor that he trust and can control, that was never the case between Blair and Brown.
 

The Brown/Balls Camp vs. Ed Miliband

Guido Fawkes Blog: Reports that the Brown/Balls Camp is starting its attack on Ed Miliband for not placing Ed Balls as Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer. Its not quite the Blair vs. Brown Wars as Ed Milbiand worked for Gordon Brown and served in his Cabinet but it’s a fight on the left of Labour, between Balls who wants no cuts and Ed Miliband who wants an economic policy that look real to the outside world, thus you have a fight for NO cuts to some cuts, all very geeky. Lets recall that when Labour did a runner in 1931 it didn’t get back in to power in till World War Two, if the Coalition works the Labour Party could be out of power for a generation. It can also be postulated that Ed Miliband made Alan Johnson the Shadow Chancellor as to have a place holder in till his brother David gets over his political wounds and comes back in to the Cabinet, it can be argued that Mr Johnson will move aside once David Miliband is back in the Cabinet, not the case with Ed Balls. All politics is family.