The US and Iran - Will there be a DEAL ? - Iran Crisis

Washington Post: Reports " Secretary of State John F. Kerry said in an interview broadcast Sunday that it would be “impossible” to extend nuclear negotiations with Iran if an agreement on fundamental principles is not reached within upcoming weeks. "

Lets Get Real:

This is the deal that the Oval Office wants, it will take even a BAD deal over not deal.    The problem is that the Israel is opposed to the deal and US allies in the region think the Oval Office will sell them out for a deal.   If the impression is left that Iran can go nuclear, you can expect a arms race to develop, lets recall they have the money to buy a nuclear missile on the black market.   Another major factor that concerns the Oval Office is the fact that Iran is helping the US fight IS, if there is no deal with Tehran limited its effort to defeat IS, or ask for more in return for helping the US.   As Munich 1938 is being used as an example for the latest peace deal pushed by France and Germany when it comes to Ukraine, the Oval Office does not want ANY deal that gives that impression, as it would not get through the Congress, and it can be stated that the Republican Congress would increase sanctions on Iran with the help of Democrats.   Its a wild world at the moment when it comes to foreign policy. 

Ukraine Lates Part 2 - The New Cold War 2

Telegraph: Reports " US officials compare peace efforts to appeasing Hitler..“History shows us that dictators will always take more if you let them,” says John McCain, comparing Angela Merkel and François Hollande's talks with Vladimir Putin to Neville Chamberlain's appeasement of Hitler "

Lets Get Real:

The European family never learns, does France and Germany really believe that Putin will give up on not getting the rest of the Ukraine, he has most of the East of Ukraine, he wants a land route to the Crimea.    The EU does not have the backbone to deal with Putin, it does not want to fight anything, it would rather sell Ukraine out than defend it, the peace plan by France and Germany only come because there was noise that the US would arm the Kiev Government.   One can expect a phony ceasefire, then after the Ukraine has gone off the news the Russians will start to increase their presence in the East Ukraine, then we can expect the West of Ukraine to come under threat, the Germans and the French should know better, do their leaders not recall history and the shame that was Munich 1938, when the powers gave the Sudetenland to Germany and how the Germans marched from there to Poland and World War 2. 

Labour LEAD in new Poll - 2015 General Election

Guardian: Reports on its new poll, " Labour stands on 34%, up 1 point on a fortnight ago, while the Tories are unchanged on 32%. Ukip, which is edging downwards, has dropped 3 points to 15%, while the Greens are up 2 points on 8%, ahead of the Lib Dems, who are also up 2 points, on 7%. "

Lets Get Real:

As noted by this blog and others, it only needs Labour to get to around 34%-36% to have the ability to form a majority Government by a narrow margin.   Due to the election maths it takes more Conservative voters to vote Conservative to allow the Party to rule by itself.   Thus this blog is keeping to its prediction that Labour will win the election with a narrow majority or come out the biggest Party.   If it needs a coalition partner it can get that from the Lib Dems or the SNP.   The Conservative Party faces 5 years in opposition.   It should be noted that if the Conservative Party losses it can be expected that David Cameron will resign as PM and Conservative Leader.   A new Labour Government can be expected to balls it up on the economy and cause it to lose the next election in 2020. 

Ukraine Latest - New Cold War 2

BBC News: Reports " The leaders of Russia, Ukraine, Germany and France aim to meet in Belarus's capital Minsk on Wednesday to discuss a peace plan for eastern Ukraine. "

Lets Get Real: 

It can be argued that France and Germany ACTED because they are afraid that Obama Administration will arm the Kiev Government, one does not have to be a brain surgeon to connect the dots, what if US arms or bullets start to kill Russian soldiers, the Kremlin would increase its force presence in East Ukraine, this could lead to ALL OUT WAR.   The Germans and French are worried that a wrong missile or bullets could start to hit NATO countries, then ALL hell would break lose, the early targets would be Poland or the Baltic States.    Lets see how far Paris and Berlin push the Ukraine, Kiev should not allow another Munich 1938, that could very well lead to War.