The Royal Prerogative returned to the PM - General Election 2023/4?

BBC News: Reports " Boris Johnson moved a step closer to taking back powers to call a general election whenever he wants, after MPs gave their backing to government proposals.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Fixed Term Parliament was a massive mistake by the the Coalition Government of the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats, it blocked a PM from asking the Queen to dissolve Parliament when the polls were good for the PM.  Thus it can be postulated that the PM is looking for a early election in 2023 or 24, it depends how the COVID - 19 booster shot goes and if the pandemic is nearly over.  The Labour Party also supports getting rid of the Fix Term Parliament, should they win a general election ( it can happen ) or lead a minority Government they want to call an election when the polls are good for them.   POLITICS never stop, we are going much like the US.   

Soft Brexit CALL - Update 2 - Post Brexit

Sky News: Reports " David Miliband joins Nick Clegg and Nicky Morgan in call for soft Brexit..Labour's former shadow foreign secretary steps back into the Westminster spotlight to warn a hard Brexit will cause economic pain.  "

Lets Get Real:

The CALL is right but it comes from LOSERS, to use a Trump phase, one stabbed in the back by his own brother, the other one lost his Seat in the General Election.  WHY should the UK voter support such views when Party members voted against one brother over another, and the other was thrown out of his Seat because Liberal Democrats supported tuition fees.   Two of the three named are no longer in Parliament, so easy to argue this point, while the third might rebel against a three line whip if May goes for a HARD Brexit. 

                                                        

LOSERS GO AWAY!!!

No UK Benefit Cuts for those on disability benefits - UK Government

BBC News: Reports " Ministers say they will not target other benefits to pay for axing cuts to disability payments as they seek to heal a rift over last week's Budget. "

Lets Get Real:

The Conservative Government has done a u- turn over cuts to disability benefits and withdrawn the plan.   The one good thing about the Coalition Government was the fact that the Liberal Democrats could block bad ideas, and even worse BAD politics by a Conservative Government.   The Conservatives had gotten over the image as the nasty party and it has blow it over the weekend, the PM on down must think before they ACT, the political implications of their actions and how much of a vote loser it is to the Party.   IT might be an idea to reform the Coalition Government, the Liberal Democrats have nothing to lose, and they would enjoy returning to power.  It not that far out there, the Conservatives have a majority of 12, that will be reduced by by elections, why not fix the problem in advance. 

The House of Commons Maths works for Labour - Election 2015

Guardian: Reports " This is because the sum of the “anti-Tory” bloc – those parties that have said they would vote a Tory government down – currently adds up to 329 seats: a majority. While tallying up all the possible sources of support for a Cameron-led government yields 315 votes. "

Lets Get Real:

Thus ALL Ed Miliband needs to do on Thursday is keep the Labour support at around 35% and he wins either way, as stated in previous post, the SNP and other left wing parties have nowhere to go, while the Conservatives have not managed to increase their poll margins.   Thus by the above and the maths of the election the Labour Party might be the Party with the 2nd number of Seats in the House of Commons, it will end up forming either a minority or majority government on Friday.   Thus we can expect that David Cameron will resign as Conservative leader, that will be a fun fight, the Labour Party will re-start the fight between those that supported Gordon Brown and those that see Blair as their best leader, and we will have knifedge votes in the House of Commons, 

The Economic Plans of the Political Parties - 2015 Election

BBC News: Reports " Four of the major parties have not provided "anything like full details" on plans to cut the deficit, the Institute for Fiscal Studies has said. "

Lets Get Real:

No political party wants to scare the voters, thus you have the usual debate between the Conservative Party and the Labour Party, less spending or more spending,  the Conservatives stress the economy has come around under their watch, low inflation, low unemployment, cuts in welfare, while the Labour Party stress that the rich have gotten richer while those on the breadline have lost out with the coalition government.   In reality the voter has a choice do you trust a Political Party that has bought the economy back to pre 2008 levels or do you allow the Political Party that spent ALL the money a second chance. If your wise you will conservative, safe pair of hands, do you trust the two Eds of the Labour Party, if you do you are a fool and should not be reading this blog.  This blog is for those with a brain cell. 

Conservatives 4% Ahead of Labour - Election 2015

Guardian: Reports " Tories unchanged on 36%, Labour fall two points to 32% and Ukip up two points on 13% in poll conducted after Thursday’s ‘challengers’ TV debate "

Lets Get Real:

This must have caused a heart attack at the left wing Guardian.  They go to great lengths to rubbish this poll, one is almost shocked that they published the article, but then nothing that the left does should come as a surprise.    OF course this is just a snap shot, a  YouGov poll has Labour ahead by 36% to 33% for the Conservatives.     Which one is right will be seen over the next few days, there should be more polls, my Labour prediction is still holding up voter, 

Conservatives 6% ahead of Labour - Election 2015

Telegraph:  Reports " ..the survey by ICM for The Guardian newspaper put the Tories ahead on 39 per cent ahead of Labour on 33 per cent, the party’s highest lead for three years. "

Lets Get Real:

As with the Labour lead of six points last week, this is just a poll of a moment in time.   This does not change the prediction of this blog, of Labour win even a majority Labour Government.   The manifesto launch today was FULL of hot air, no real costings, just promises to tax rich, there are never enough rich people, the bringing back of the 50p rate for the rich could actually cost the Country money.   Also the non dom ban is not that clear as there will be exceptions, the Labour manifesto is what the elite at the BBC and Guardian would write, a lot of promises but no bill, it could be argued that Miliband is following the example of Greek left Government, promising what ever people want to hear and then breaking those promises once in power. 

The Labour Manifesto - Election 2015

BBC News: Read the Labour Manifesto for 2015. 

Lets Get Real: 

Lets recall this is the Party that left the UK with no money, they say in the Labour Manifesto the following, " Our manifesto begins with the Budget Responsibility Lock we offer the British people. It is the basis for all our plans in this manifesto because it is by securing our national finances that we are able to secure the family finances of the working people of Britain. "  In other words the Party that stated there would no long be boom and bust wants to enforce that rule BY LAW, they do not even trust themsevles on the economy.   The Labour Manifesto is full of promises that would make the Guardian and the BBC feel a warm glow, what it does not say IS what it will do about welfare, immigration, all the real hard problems.    If your foolish then vote Labour, if you a have a brain cell left after this tedious election vote Conservative.   Labour always make a mess of the economy, its the gold rule of politics, are you that simple to trust them again!

New Poll - neck and neck in UK General Election 2015

Telegraph: Reports " An average of the results put the Conservatives on 31.8 per cent of the vote and Labour on 31.7 per cent – a “wafer thin” difference of just 0.1 per cent. "

Lets Get Real:

Thus as before the election was called we are back to neck and neck race between the Conservative Party and Labour, the LibDems are third, so what will break it for Labour, as stated this blog being objective has Labour winning due to the simple fact that it takes less Labour votes to elect an MP than it does a Conservative.   Thus in fact the Conservative might be ahead in the vote share it will be down in Seats, the combination of Labour with the LibDems or the SNP will allow for a Labour Government.   The rich will get hit by higher taxes, the markets will take the view that Labour will spend more, and we will have a financial crisis with a few years of Labour getting elected.  History just repeats itself. 

Labour STORM to lead over Conservatives - 2015 Election

Guardian: Reports on the Labour lead in three polls, the article states the following, " A Survation poll for the Mirror put Labour four points ahead, a Panelbase poll six points ahead and a TNS poll four points .. "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the neck and neck race has broken in favour of Labour, as this blog has stated its a Labour win.  Thus lets look at the expected Labour Cabinet for Ed Miliband, the Chancellor will be Ed Balls, even if Ed Miliband wanted to appoint his brother he would face an angry Ed Balls and those of the left of the Labour Party, while Douglas Alexander will be the Foreign Secretary.   It is a tradition if not a by law of the Party that the Shadow Cabinet will be the first Cabinet in any Labour Administration.   Of course after that Ed Miliband might be able to appoint his brother when he does a Cabinet reshuffle.   It will be fun watching the old Blair supporters having to support the left wing Miliband.  It can be expected that under a PM Miliband the UK will not play an active role in World Affairs, there is no ground swell of support for Ed Miliband, thus No 10 will want to avoid major problems that show that lack of support.   Labour in power is always fun, the BBC and Guardian types will be happy. 

Miliband's fiasco over Non Doms - Election 2015

Daily Mail: Reports " Miliband's crackdown on super-rich unravels after Balls warning emerges that scrapping non-dom rules would cost the UK money  "

Lets Get Real: 

The Ed Miliband speech was ALL political, it will get good press from the elite Guardian and BBC types.   It was shown that the speech was political due to the fact that the Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls stated in January that such a move would cost the UK in the long term.  The UK voter has to wake up, Ed Miliband will say any old rubbish to get the approval of the elite left wing.   Thus the policy that started this morning in a Miliband speech has had blowback, if Labour can not connect the dots while in Opposition what hope for them in government.   It was the Conservative Party that made the rules tougher, even the Liberal Democrats do not want to get rid of non - doms, bad policy and bad politics by Labour.  The BBC will love this kind of speech. 

VOTE Labour GET SNP - Election 2015

Guardian: Nicola Sturgeon has offered Ed Miliband a new deal, the article notes the following, "  to help make Ed Miliband the next prime minister even if Labour wins fewer seats than the Tories on 7 May. Her appeal comes as she angrily rejects claims that she thinks he is not up to the job.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Labour Party has refused to rule out a vote by vote deal with the SNP, the only way that Ed Miliband becomes PM is if he gets the support of the SNP, thus if you want to see the break up of the UK you will vote Labour, also your voting for the UK to go like France and Greece, borrowing money you do not have and and expecting to get saved by the EU.   The Labour Party does not understand the mess it left behind, if the UK voter votes for Labour they are saying they do not care if the UK goes broke again, that the Trade Unions will control the economic policy of the government.  If you want to return the UK to the BAD DAYS  of the 1970s VOTE LABOUR, if you want to put Great in to Great Britain VOTE CONSERVATIVE. 

The UK Polls - General Election 2015

BBC News: Reports " In 12 campaign polls so far, six have suggested narrow Conservative leads, four had equally narrow Labour leads and the remainder were dead heats. "

Lets Get Real:

Thus we are looking for a mistake by the political leaders in the near future, who can forget Gordon Brown calling a voter a bigot, that seemed to hit Labour hard, a policy that has blowback, or just the UK voter choosing who they want tin No 10 for five years.  Every one normal is enjoying the Easter Break, it can be expected that the poor voter will get hit over the head after the holidays, the Parties will be pushing to get some decent leads in the polls. Thus enjoy the break, the politicians are coming back and they want your VOTE. 

Poll, Conservatives have 2% lead - Election 2015

Telegraph - Politics Live: Reports in its 9.45am post the following, " YouGov has given the Conservatives their highest poll rating in a year. The Conservatives are on 37 per cent - a higher proportion of the votes than they took in 2010 - with Labour on 35 per cent, Ukip on 12 per cent, Liberal Democrats 7 per cent and Greens 5 per cent. "

Lets Get Real:

It is still close, the Conservatives only have a 2% lead, it should be noted that Labour is on 35%, that works for them, from 2nd they can either form a minority government or have deals with various Parties to keep them in office.   As noted by this blog and has told by the experts, the Labour Party only needs to get around 34%-35% of the vote to win, as it takes less voters to elect a Labour MP, the Conservatives need more voters.   Thus while the polls look good at the moment, and its a moment, this blog is still predicting a Labour Government.   Ed Miliband might be a disaster on the campaign trail, it does not matter, his Party will usher him in to power.   Thus expect tax hikes, more government control, the debt will go up and after five years the UK will be broke. 

The Verdict on the TV Debate - Election 2015

Guardian - Politics Live: Reports in its 12.11pm post the following " Some 7m people watched last night’s leaders’ debate, the Press Association reports. That was the average viewing figure. The peak figure was slightly higher. "

Lets Get Real:

This blog called the debate for Nigel Farrage the UKIP leader, the snap polls after the debate were mixed, some called it tie between Miliband and Cameron, others had Nicola Sturgeon winning then followed by the rest.    See the main polls here, at the end of the day neither Miliband or Cameron did any damage, from an objective view and looking at the polls it can be argue that the PM had a good night, while Ed Miliband had a very bad night as most of the polls had the SNP leader winning, that is BAD for Scottish Labour.   There will be more polls over the weekend.

No Nuclear Defence under Labour and SNP Deal - Election 2015

Telegraph - Politics Live: Reports the following post at 12.20pm, " "We’re living in one of the most dangerous times – and we need Trident to keep us safe," said Anna Soubry, defence minister. It came after the SNP leader said Trident would have to be scrapped for there to be a formal deal with Labour after the eleciton.   "But Nicola Sturgeon has made it clear it’s a red line for her, and that she’d veto it in return for propping up Ed Miliband. What’s Ed’s red line? He knows his only way into no10 is riding on the coat tails of the SNP – it's terrifying to think he’d trade Britain’s security for the price of power."

Lets Get Real: 

The question that the UK voter has to ask does, DO THEY TRUST ED MILIBAND, lets recall his character, he stalked his brother through his political career, and then stabbed him the back, at the cost of his family.  It seems that Ed is more interested in power than family loyalty.  WOULD YOU, do something like that to your family.   As stated in the post its a dangerous world, Iran on the brink of going nuclear, then you have the Russians in Crimea and East Ukraine,  does the UK want to ask the French to protect them during a nuclear crisis, if so your foolish.   The Defence of the Realm is at stake, VOTE CONSERVATIVE. 

Conservatives have 1% LEAD in new poll - 2015 Election

Guardian - Politics Live: Reports on a  TNS poll, the article states the following, "  The full voter intention figures are as follows: LAB 32% (0) CON 33% (0) LIB DEM 8% (+1) UKIP 16%(-1) GREEN 5% (+1) Other 7% (0) ..."

Lets Get Real:

Thus we have a neck and neck race between the Conservative Party and Labour.  As we are coming up to the Easter holiday, that means in the view of the experts that people will not start to take notice in till after that weekend.   The politicains must keep on the trail, hungray for that one vote that make a difference in a marginal Seat.   Thus far this blog is keeping to its stated prediction.   Labour can surly get to around 34% to 36%, is Ed Miliband as bad as Gordon Brown, no one can be that BAD.  

New Poll - Conservatives BOUNCE - 2015 Election

Guardian - Politics Live: Reports on new poll by Lord Ashcroft, posted at 4.11pm, in this poll the Conservatives are on 36% Labour 34%, Liberal Democrats 6%, UKIP 10%.

Lets Get Real:

Thus another poll that shows the Conservatives have had bounce, the one with the Labour Party ahead by 4% might have been a fluke.  If you watched Ed Miliband in the interview and and question and answer session knew and for sure he was to become the next PM you would go to live in East Ukraine.  As this blog has predicted a Ed Miliband victory with the help of the SNP, then it time to get new passport.   Think of it, 5 years of a smug Ed Miliband, a Notting Hill leftie who will spend your money, and when the bank is broke, will blame everyone but himself.    That is your future folks.  Remember to renew your passport after you have voted. 

The Day in Politics - 2015 Election

BBC - Election Live: Reports on the expected attacks on Ed Miliband and the Labour Party, " ..less unprompted talk about immigration; the failures of the last Labour government; and on how they'd cut spending if they succeed. And also expect an unremitting focus on the character of the man who destroyed (for now) his brother's ambition."

Lets Get Real:

THUS you voter, here what you will be getting if you as expected place Ed Miliband in No 10.  A Leader with no great support within his own party, the funding for that party coming from left wing unions, who will demand that Labour remove the Thatcher laws on trade unions and will spend your money and when its ALL gone go and ask for more taxes to help the poor.  PEOPLE there are always poor people, the idea that you can remove that is NUTS.  The left sell that idea as to make you feel guilty, the left support TAXES and if you want to become like France and Greece, just vote Labour in May. 

Conservatives TAKE 4% lead over Labour - 2015 Election

Daily Mail: Reports " Conservatives move into strongest position for five years: Exclusive Mail poll reveals party's four-point lead over Labour in wake of last week's TV interviews....Tories are up one point with 36%, while Labour is down three points to 32%  "

Lets Get Real: 

The polls will go up and down, over the weekend it was the Conservatives that were worried, they saw Labour take a four percent lead after the interview and question and answer session, now Labour will be wondering what happened to the poll bounce.   This blog is still keeping to its original prediction, could be WRONG, but have my doubts, I hate being wrong.   This week will see the leaders debate, lets look at the polls then, the debate will give air time to the Liberal Democrats and other Parties.   Thus expect more polls with different results.