Friday, October 30, 2015

The Differences over Assad of Syria - Syrian Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The powers through back channels need to have talks off the radar, the Russians and Iran must see that their interests are taken care off, while the West and its allies must keep to their stated policy that Assad must go, therefore the Russians and Iran and the West need to select a candidate that they can live with, its far from a perfect solution but it seems the only solution.  One gets the impression one is writing a script for the series Homeland at the moment when one writes about Syria.  There needs to be stability in Syria, so those refugees can go home and take the pressure off, Lebanon, Jordan and other allies in the region.  The last thing that the US needs is for a close ally in the shape of Jordan to come under Daesh attack or for Baghdad to fall to Daesh.   Thus the diplomatic talks needs to reach a successful end, even in secret agreements, where is Henry Kissinger when you need him. 


The Vietnam Lessons for Syria - Syrian War


Lets Get Real:

President Obama does not want to lose Iraq to Iran or Daesh, lets be honest Iran now has more power in Iraq since the US left in 2011,  with Syria the Oval wants the removal of Assad at some time, but also a regime that is moderate, and is not actually hostile to the West, while allowing Russia to keep its warm water port.   The Syrian policy and to call it a policy would be kind to the Oval Office and to the rest of the Obama Administration, is a mess, the civil war started with moderates but President Obama would not fund them with arms, this policy was countered by the hawkish policy of Hillary Clinton, it can be postulated that Obama did not want another War in the Middle East before his re-election in 2012, well that has cost, the War in Syria is bloody mess, you have Assad, Russia and Iran on side, you have Daesh and other religious groups, and then you have the " moderates " the US and its allies.   The Obama Oval is going for the Vietnam path, gradual buildup, this is a mistake, either your all in or your just placing a plaster on the wound, and we all know the fate of the Vietnam War,