Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Exit Polls Warning - PA

Irish Trojan: Excellent post on being careful about Exit Polls. Read before the fun starts with actual results.

Drudge Exit Poll - Pennsylvania

Drudge Report: Has an Exit Poll that shows if true and holds up this race is over. The Exit Poll with one hour and thirty seven minutes before the polls close has the following result.

Clinton 52

Obama 48

This margin of victory could force Clinton out. Let see if it holds up during the night. In 2004 early exit polls had Kerry ahead, they changed. Lets see by the end of the night!!

Clinton Campaign and the Future

New York Times: How the Clintons are going to fight on, but a nugget of news in the article, the next do or die state is Indiana, her own team what her out if she was to lose that state. As mentioned she has a very narrow lead in that state, the Obama magic and money could finish the Clintons in Indiana. The next two weeks shall be very interesting, will another shoe drop in the Obama Camp? The Clintons will hoping for another " Bitter " comment from Obama or something new or his terrorist friend. This race is far from over!

Pennsylvania Result ?

Fox News: Reports that Obama does not expect to win the state but Clinton if her internal polls are right a double digit win. Thus what does the result mean, lets go with the Clinton double digit win over ten points, this keeps her going for Indiana , North Carolina is seen in the pocket of Obama. Lets look at the RCP average of polls for Indiana, Clinton is ahead by 2.2%. Thus we shall see if the Obama Magic will work in Indiana. If Obama can not seal the deal with Reagan Democrats, those that he was seen as to look down at in California, he will be in trouble with the Super Delegates. The sliver lining for Obama is if he can keep the delegate and popular vote lead the Super Delegates will not risk a civil war within the party to help the Clintons. Obama is more of a sure bet than Clinton.

President George W. Bush

USA Today: Reports that President Bush has reached a record in the Gallup Poll, the highest disapproval rating of any President. The last holder of that record was President Truman, now considered a great President. President Bush is only on the first page of history.

VP Spot 1976 - 2008

International Herald Tribune: The Elite Media really want a dream ticket of Obama/ Clinton or the other way around. This is more like 1976 when it was Reagan v Ford. There can only be one winner, VP not a option. If Obama is the winner would he really want the Clintons on board, who would control Bill Clinton?