Friday, April 05, 2013

Obama's Budget - 2nd Obama Term

CNN - Politics: Reports that Republican House Speaker John Boehner has been highly critical of the expected Obama Budget, the article notes the following on the views of the Speaker and Democrats, " ..takes no steps towards finding common ground with Republicans...The reported entitlement program changes have also received fire from left-leaning groups who argue the changes would hurt vulnerable individuals.  ".

Lets Get Real:

This Budget is dead on arrival folks, the Republicans will not agree to new tax hikes, while Democrats running in the House and Senate can not afford to annoy those on the left that give them money.    The President is looking for an issue, the Budget gives the PR of dealing with the welfare budget but its a faint, its a drop in the water folks.  The President at this very minute is out raising money for Democrats, the President wants a Democratic House and Senate after 2014, it is generally accepted that the chance of this happening is a long shot, 2nd Term Presidents in their mid terms tend to lose, and there is ObamaCare, costs have actually gone up, so the Republicans have an issue to run on, while Obama's scare tactics over the present budge cuts have come back to bite him on the backside, the President over sold the end of the world picture he drew if the cuts were allowed to come in to force, the World did not end, once you start to lose the credibility argument it is hard to get it back, just look at LBJ and the Vietnam War, while the President is saying that the War is going well, the people can see the reverse.   Thus the Republicans should stand tough  NO NEW TAX HIKES, cuts in welfare YES, times for Republicans to be Republicans. 

Iran Crisis - Update 1

The New York Times: Reports on the latest talks between the Permanent Members of the UN Security Council and Germany and Iran, the article states the following on the talks, " not received any concrete new proposal.  ".

Lets Get Real: 

One words folks, STALLING, the Tehran Regime is just running out the clock, the World is diverted by the North Korean Crisis, thus Iran will want endless talks that go nowhere, then one day later this year they will declare they have the bomb, then Israel and US will have to decide, it is that simple folks.   Once Iran gets the bomb, it will very hard to hit them, as Iran with the bomb could cause havoc in the region, cut off Western oil and hurt the World economy.   Tehran must be smiling at how far the North Koreans can push the West, because   NK has a million man army, and has thousands of rockets aimed at the South Korean Capital, a conventional War would be a disaster for both Korea's, thus North Korea might believe it can push its luck, invade of the South Korea's Island, sink one of its ships, start a terror campaign in the South, the options are endless, and they are just enough to prevent the US talking full scale reaction, of course this depends on the reaction of the South Korean Government, sooner or later NK will have to put up or shut up, that time is getting close folks. 

UK Embassy STAYING in NK! - NK Crisis Update 3

Telegraph Live - NK Crisis: Reports on a FCO statement on North Korea Crisis in its 4.16pm post, " ..the key passage remains the middle one:......No decisions have been taken, and we have no immediate plans to withdraw our Embassy. ". 

Lets Get Real:

Lets hope the FCO is not allowing itself to take a gamble with the lives of our Diplomatic Staff, lets recall the Iran hostage crisis of 1979/81. that bought down the Carter Presidency, it would be a way to drag the UK in to the Crisis, have " North Korean Students " take over the Embassy, for the UK to become part of the active process, its a risk folks, lets hope NK is not that foolish, one can only wonder what kind of talks there have been between North Korea and Iran.    As stated in previous post the US wants to play the China Card when it comes to NK, well folks lets hope China is a good poker player and bring NK back from the edge, there is only so much rhetoric that can happen before either NK looks foolish or has to take action,  if NK tries another nuclear test or another ICBM test, this could lead to a mistake down the line, this blog still advices sending Secretary Kerry over, or Jimmy Carter, lets try one last face to face with NK, that might be what they want as to save face and pull back, let see folks. 

North Korean Crisis Update 2


Lets Get Real:

The China Card when it comes North Korea might be weak folks, as has been stated by others when it comes to NK, the Chinese Government two agendas when it comes to the two Korea's, it wants Stalinist Regime in the North not to fall, as a united Korea would come under US influence, on the other hand it does not want to see a massive conventional war or nuclear war break out between NK and the US and South Korea, as this would lead to the fall of the Regime and millions of starving North Koreans crossing the border, thus China is in a bit of a fix when it comes to North Korea.    The North Korean Regime might think its winning if it sees that the US is asking China to take action, it might push further, what about an invasion of one of South Korea's Islands, or move on the DMZ, or a small scale incursion in to South Korea, at what point would the US have to take action, thus folks its complex and the China Card could be the joker not the Ace that the US is looking for in this Crisis. 

North Korea Warns Russia and UK over Embassy Staff - NK Crisis Update 1

BBC News: Reports that the North Korean Regime has warned the UK Embassy Staff in North Korea that the Regime can not guarantee is safety after April 10th should a conflict developed in the region. 

Lets Get Real:

The North Koreans are pushing this Crisis to the point if they do not do something they will lose face, and honour and face is VERY important is Asian culture, what is Pyongyang up, is it trying to drag in the UK and Russia, to place some kind of pressure on the US to back down in some way, if this is the idea is a bad mistake, the FCO has no influence with 10 Downing Street, never mind the Oval, the Oval has two problems, the steady developing crisis in North Korea and how this looks to Israel and Iran, if Israel thinks that the Oval will back down they will start to ask will the Oval really deal with Iran.  In Tehran, Iran the Regime must be asking, can they push the Oval, if they get the bomb the Oval will have to place pressure on Israel  not take action, in fact any action against Iran would be out of the question if they had the bomb, also the Middle East would see an arms race, thus folks the  consequences of North Korean  Crisis has its ramifications in the Middle East.