Thursday, October 03, 2019

Warren TOPS another National Poll - US Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

Thus at the next debate it can be argued that Senator Warren should have the  centre stage podium, as she leads NOW LEADS in two national polls and leads in Iowa and New Hampshire.  The Biden Campaign has to up its game, the Ukraine scandal is HURTING the Biden  Campaign, as POTUS is always going on about the how crooked the Biden father and son are, based on conspiracy theories that have be debunked by the main stream media. If there was a there there, the press would have found it by now.  It can be argued that the nomination is there for Warren to LOSE, the other candidates will start to attack her, her plans cost a fortune and as always the Middle Class will be hit by liberal ideas.  Also one has to factor in the recent ill health of Senator Sanders, he is the oldest candidate running, his voters might think it would be better to have another candidate to support, politics is ruthless, its not happy hour. 
Guido Fawkes: Reports on  a new poll by YouGov, that shows the political parties status with the voter, " Conservatives 34%, Liberal Democrats 23%, Labour 21%, Brexit Party 12% "

Lets Get Real:

This is good news for the Conservative Party, they lead the Liberal Democrats by 11%, the problem is breaking those numbers down to Parliamentary Seats, it has been suggested by experts that the Conservative Party needs to get the Brexit Party down to single figures to get a good overall majority.  Thus the PM has to go for a NO DEAL BREXIT, if there is no agreement between the UK and the EU.  The difference between 2017 and now is that Boris is PM, he actually likes people and is seen as a fun character.   The General Election awaits. 

Northern Irish Backstop scrapped by PM Boris - Brexit Update 2 - General Election 2019


Lets Get Real:

Thus the tone from the extreme Brexit MPs has been good, on the whole they agree with the new Brexit plan of PM Boris, on the negative side, the Irish Government has been very cool, while the Liberal Democrats are opposed, the same goes for the Labour Party leader.  The question is will Labour MPs from LEAVE seats vote for the agreement or will they toe the PARTY LINE.   One hopes the Labour Leave MPs vote for the agreement, then we can get back to basic politics for the General Election.   The nightmare of BREXIT has to finish, one way or another. 

The Boris PLAN for Brexit - Brexit Update 1 - General Election 2019


Lets Get Real:

Thus far the Boris plan for Brexit has gone down well with Conservative MPs even some Labour MPs, the tone of the BBC and Sky News has been negative.  The tone was more frosty than the tone from the EU.  The question is will the EU bite, one has to go back to the Surrender Act, it forces the PM if there is no deal to ask for a three month extension and to accept whatever the EU states.  Thus the EU might think it can say NO to the Boris Brexit Deal and after a General Election come back for more meetings.   The PM has to make it clear to the EU, that would be a roll of the dice, what if the Conservatives win a big majority in the House of Commons based on a NO DEAL EXIT, why should the PM give time to the EU.   If the EU had a brain cell it would take this deal, otherwise the this issue could go on for months.