How to LOSE the UK Voters - New Labour Government - Sir Keir Starmer Era

Noted: Hunter Biden has change his NOT GUILTY plea to GUILTY in his federal tax case.  The son of the President will not spend a day in jail, his father will pardon him on the way out of the Oval Office.    Iran has given hundred of missiles to Russia, how the mighty have fallen.  Once Imperial Russia, then the USSR, needs missiles from Tehran. 

BBC News: Reports " PM defends 'tough decision' over winter fuel cut.....The prime minister has told the BBC his new government is "going to have to be unpopular" as he defended his "tough" decision to cut winter fuel payments.  "

Lets Get Real:

This blog warned the voters if you are old or rich or both the Labour Government would come after you, the basic support for Labour is new Graduates and the old trade unions, such as the pay demands from young Doctors were met, while old people have lost the Winter Fuel Allowance, something that could back to haunt the Labour Government in the future.  The PM offers more pain, that will not go down well with voters.   The problem is that Sir Keir has the charisma of a dodo, he is no Tony Blair, as in the 1997.  The voters voted for Labour as they wanted competence, the old Conservative Party and Government had lost the trust of the people.   Pain better come with joy or the Labour Party will lose at the next election.

Vote Conservative Tomorrow or Else forever Labour Government

If you VOTE LABOUR = TAX HIKES

                                           Unions going on strike

                                           NO BREXIT

                                           How will Labour pay for its plans

                                           BE SCARED IF YOU ARE OLD

                                            All Labour Governments end in disaster

                                             Putin will be happy

                                              Not to Late

                Vote Conservative, you have been warned by the Cassandra of North Wales. 

UK Foreign Secretary Lord Cameron on Israeli reaction to Iran's missile Attack - Middle East - Biden Era

Guardian: Reports " Israel ‘making decision to act’ after Iran attack, says Cameron on Jerusalem visit...UK foreign secretary is probably first non-Israeli politician to admit military reprisal is inevitable but urges Israel not to escalate "

Lets Get Real:

Thus we wait for the Israeli Government to ACT, one can postulate that Israel will hit, if it is going to on the weekend, no sovereign state could tolerate the recent attacks by drones, cruise missiles and ballistic  missiles and not go on the offensive, deterrence only works if the other side is afraid of the reaction.   The Israeli Government has the Iron Dome, it can shoot down drones, cruise and ballistic missiles, it is very much like Reagan's SDI, a shield to protect Israel, and makes any reaction by Iran a near failure.   If Israel hits Iran's nuclear facilitates  it could set Iran months back from having the bomb, and allow Biden not be an appeaser is the Oval Office.   Time will tell.

US debt ceiling Part 2 - Biden Era

 BBC News: Reports " US debt ceiling: Biden and Republicans hopeful of a deal "

Lets Get Real:

If Biden really wants to win in 2024 he should agree that those on US welfare have to search for work, that is the deal in the UK, the Democrats have created a poor welfare structure, that only allows for people in poor families to aim to get on welfare when they hit 18.  The old industries, like the car industry has moved from urban areas, thus no work for the working poor.   The new industries require people to have a University Degree, thus poor education standard in most US Schools and welfare being the only option has created Democratic voters, that is why LIBERALS do no want to annoy their voting base by making them search for jobs.   POTUS  should show that he cares what the rest of the Country thinks, they want those on welfare to search for jobs for getting welfare.  As someone will say, what about COVID 19 aftermath,  people who found they liked getting welfare and not working, they should be forced back to work on no welfare.  If POTUS  did this he would get re-elected in 2024.   The question is what will liberals do, they will not vote for Trump, they have nowhere else to go, thus the Democrats have a captive audience. 

Published

Storm Shadows Cruise Missiles in Ukraine - Ukraine - Russia War - Biden Era

Sky News - Live Blog:  Reports in its 7.30pm post the following, " Watch: Storm Shadows already in Ukraine....Earlier today, the UK announced it will send long-range Storm Shadow missiles to Ukraine....But Sky News understands some are already in the country.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Russians are not happy that the UK is giving long range cruise missiles to the KYIV Government, well its is their fault for invading the Ukraine and committing base WAR CRIMES from murder to rape and the missile attacks on the people of the Ukraine.  The Ukraine offensive is expected soon, the Kyiv Government needs to push the Russians back to the Crimea or back to Russia prober.  The Russians will do nothing, they have shown they make empty threats from nukes to other actions.  Putin is a WEAK War leader, no Stalin, and Stalin was not much of a war leader, he was hiding at his country house for the first week of the German invasion in 1941.   One does wonder why the West was afraid of the Russian Army, they have shown that they are useless and War Criminals. The invasion of the Ukraine is a stain on Russia, they have enough stains from other actions, the killing of the Tsar and his family in 1918, the Soviet period and the murders ordered by Putin. The Russians have to lose this WAR. 

Rescued UK Citizens arrive in Cyprus - After Afghanistan

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 6.57pm post the following, " The first British civilians to be rescued from Sudan have arrived in Cyprus, a spokesperson for its foreign ministry said....Approximately 40 people were onboard the flight, which landed at Larnaca airport.  "

Lets Get Real:

Forty is not a great number, the EU has taken hundreds out, well they do not have to cope with the UK's FCO.   There are more flights planned, it is reported that there is four thousand UK passport holders in the Sudan how will they get to the airport if the sides in the civil war start firing at each other, the US is nowhere is sight, Biden is more concerned about this re-election, this is Afghanistan ALL OVER AGAIN. POTUS is to old to be President, he is risk averse and only cares about black voters when it comes to elections, think of the people left in Afghanistan, thousands and Biden did not care, as Reagan stated in his Diaries, Biden is a demagogue, he will say what needs to be said to get votes, a suppose Roman Catholic he supports abortion in public, what he really thinks is open to debate.   The US voter deserves better candidates in 2024. 

The UK Evacuation Plan for the Sudan - After Afghanistan

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 12.52pm post the following, " 

British forces preparing for the evacuation...

The Ministry of Defence has released images of British forces preparing to depart RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus for Sudan.....More than 1,200 military personnel are involved in the effort to extricate the thousands of UK citizens still in Sudan.  "

Lets Get Real:

The most important thing is to get our people out, that no one is hurt in the Sudan, if our troops are fired upon they must shoot back, it does not matter who shoots, they must be taken out.  This is a risky operation there could be thousands of UK Subjects in the Sudan, the US has been very quiet, is POTUS more worried about his announcement that he is running again for the Oval Office. One hopes the US and the UK are working together and not mounting separate operations.  There are risk, but a UK passport should mean something, in the old days of Empire, we would have sent a gunboat up there to tell the people to calm down or face the wrath of the British Navy.   Our Royal Navy is much limited know and the only real threat that would be taken as a REAL THREAT would be the Americans.  Where are the Yanks when you need them.   

The DUP and Sunak's Brexit Deal - After Boris/After Brexit

Sky News ( TV News ) reports that the DUP is to set up a consultation panel to discuss the Windsor Framework.

Let's Get Real

The DUP is split, the House of  Commons members want to refuse the Deal, the leader seems more inclined to support the Deal, while Assembly members want to return to government, even if the First Minister will be a nationalist.  The 1st time in a 100 years. 

The consultation panel will allow for very frank discussions.   The DUP will take its time over this important issue.   The UK has built up the deal, the DUP will want some guarantees, over the Assembly block on legislation from the EU, that will mean some back room deals.  POTUS might find on his planned visit that's Assembly and Government will not have been reformed in the province, Oval will not be happy, no pics for the re-election in 2024.

The process will take time, the sides need to come together on their own free will, peace takes time, better than war - war.

Former PM Boris SPEAKS about Windsor Framework- After Boris / After Brexit

Sky News reports that former PM Boris Johnson has stated he would find it difficult to vote for Sunak's Windsor Framework.

Let's Get Real

Boris has taken him time, perhaps to much, there are no signs of a massive rebellion in Conservative ranks, the DUP is split, one faction wants to stay out of the Assembly, while another wants to go back in to government.   If there is rebellion it could be very small, the Labour Party has stated it will support the government if there is a vote in the House of Commons.  Also  Northern Ireland will be run from London, as both the nationalists and the unionist are required to form a government in the province.

If the DUP say no, then the whole process has been a waste of time,  there will be no Presidential visit on the anniversary of the Good Friday Agreement, no trade deal, and Sunak might need to seek an improved deal.  The EU will not be happy.   

Thus Sunak in the 2024 general election will be a weak candidate and the Good Friday Agreement might need to be revised, stopping the DUP from pulling this stunt, that could lead to the troubles coming back.

PM Sunak SPEAKS and the 1922 Committee - After Brexit/After Boris

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 5.58pm post the following, " Rishi Sunak has finished his meeting with the 1922 Committee. As my colleague Aubrey Allegretti reports, afterwards Steve Baker, the Northern Ireland minister, said Tory MPs were supporting the PM with a sense of relief.  "

Lets Get Real:

The problem is not the ordinary Conservative MPs, its those members who are part of the European Research Group and what their lawyers say, and the ERG take the lead from the DUP.  Thus far the DUP have been very quiet, except those on the extreme Party who want purity.  They are in the wrong game for that development, it is what the rest of the DUP think that matters.   The walking out of the Assembly has delivered better polls for the DUP and of course we have the N. Ireland Council elections in May, the DUP might want to wait for them first before going back in to the Assembly if they are minded to go back, otherwise the whole process has been pretty pointless, this could be the last chance for the Assembly.  Thus a lot rides on what the DUP say in the future. 

Windsor Framework Update - After Brexit/After Boris

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports in its 8.11pm post the following, " Boris Johnson 'reflecting' on Sunak's deal  " - Lets Get Real: Boris is wondering at the political cost of opposing the deal, and will his opposition lead to get No 10 back.  It going to be an interesting few hours and days.

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 8.33pm post the following, " Sir Bill Cash, the high priest of Brexit legalese, challenges the PM on a typically geeky point of law and is fortunate to receive a polite answer from Mr Sunak....More surprisingly, there’s criticism from unexpected quarters, the SDLP’s Column Eastwood and the Alliance Party’s Stephen Farry. So it's not just the DUP who could be problematic for Mr Sunak.  " - Lets Get Real: When it comes to Northern Ireland you are in tricky waters, you have your own MPs to worry about, what the different factions of the DUP are thinking, and those that you thought were on you side take the view that they should be on the opposing side to the DUP.

Guardian: Reports " DUP takes time and withholds judgment on Northern Ireland deal  "  Lets Get Real: Thus it comes down to the DUP, if the DUP say a big no, then the ERG or a majority of them will say no and the whole process of the UK and EU would have been pointless.  The point is to get the DUP back in to the Assembly otherwise no TRADE DEAL with the US and Biden will not visit the province.  What about bringing in Tony Blair, lets see if he still has his magic touch.  The Good Friday Agreement is his baby, if he wants to see it survive, he might like a chance of bring the sides together.   The problem might not be THE DUP leader, he gives the impression of wanting to say YES, but there are more extreme factions in the DUP, they want to win 100%, not good for politics.  Thus we await the verdict of the DUP.

Lets Get Real:

The problem might be the Good Friday Agreement, it gives either side, the Nationalists and supporters of the Union a VETO on the Assembly.  That is the only way it can work, otherwise the terrorism could restart from both sides,  in the text of the Good Friday Agreement is states that both sections of the communities have to agree or no assembly, if you change it, then the nationalists would have a majority, thus a return to the troubles. This is a hard nut to crack, let's hope the DUP say YES and surprise everyone. 

Main Points of New Deal - After Boris/After Brexit

Sky News ( TV ) reports the following:

1. Green lane for goods to Northern Ireland.

2. Red lane for goods going the Republic.

3. Assembly Break on new EU rules and legislation. 

4. Northen Ireland like the rest of UK for VAT and Government funding.

5  UK will get the same medicine as the rest of the UK.

Let's Get Real:

This sounds like an excellent deal, also Northern Ireland has access to the EU single market.   One does hope the fine print of the deal matches the rhetoric.  The DUP and the ERG will tell us shortly.  What will Boris say?  The House of Commons awaits! 

Who invited the EU President to meet the King? - After Boris/After Brexit

Guardian ( on line ) reports in its 12.27 post that No 10 stated it was up to the King who he invited for tea, the PM merely adviced the Monarch on the idea.

Let's Get Real:

The King is following the advice of his PM, No 10 wants to use everything it has to get Brexit Deal over the line.  Thus we wait what the DUP says and the ERG, the ERG will follow the DUP line.   The NEW DEAL as known will have a green lane, goods going to the province will not be checked, while a red lane will be goods going to the EU will be checked.  A limited role for the European Court of Justice, any issues from the deal will have different levels of judgement before ECJ, also the Belfast Assembly will have a say.  LONG DAY AHEAD! 

EU President to meet King Charles - After Brexit/After Boris

BBC News ( TV ) reports that the EU President is to meet King Charles after Brexit talks with PM.

Let's Get Real:

The PM wants to use the King's meeting as to show Royal Approval for the new BREXIT DEAL, thus place pressure on the DUP and the ERG.  It has been reported by Buckingham Palace that the meeting is at the request of the Government.  Thus is a wise move by the King, in case Sunak has produced a dud.   As Sky News reports the PM will give a speech to the House of Commons at 6.30pm, it will be interesting to see the atmosphere of the House, the devil is in the details.

EU President to come to the UK tomorrow, New Northern Ireland Protocol on the Cards - After Boris/After Brexit

Guardian: Reports " Brexit: Ursula von der Leyen to travel to UK for talks with Rishi Sunak  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus it looks a like there is a deal between the EU and the UK over a new Northern Ireland Protocol, the problems will come when the DUP and the lawyers of the ERG go through the protocol line by line.  The PM does not need a HOUSE OF COMMONS vote but there would be hell to pay if the PM does not have one, also the Labour Party has stated it will support any deal, to they look they are not playing political games, of course they playing games, it will be the Labour Party that saves the political bacon of Sunk if the new deal passes with Labour Votes.  Thus the political fun starts for us political geeks, depending on how the DEAL is sold, we could have a few Cabinet resignations and calls for Sunak to resign or face a leadership contest, fun time and Brexit has come again. 

More UK tanks to the Ukraine - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

The Times ( Hard Copy ) reports that the UK Defence Secretary has stated that the UK could send more tanks to the Ukraine.

Let's Get Real:

Thank goodness Ben Wallace, is the Defence Secretary, he is a tough military man.  The UK Tresuary has to spend more on UK defence and that of the Ukraine.  The West faces a new Russian offensive, they have the men, while the West has the modern tech for modern WAR, but we face Trench Warfare, as fought during WW1, but also Drones, Russian is getting their's from Iran.  Thus the Ukraine needs quick delivery of tanks and Western fighter Jets.  Democracy is at stake in the Ukraine, while Putin is an autocrat, allows his army to do WAR CRIMES, the West cannot afford to lose.  If we lose in the Ukraine we face WW3 down the line.

Is a Revised Northern Ireland Protocol CLOSE ? - After Brexit/After Boris

BBC News: Reports " Brexit: PM needs to agree right deal on protocol, say DUP...Sources suggest an agreement could be reached as early as next week.  "

Lets Get Real:

There has been a upbeat tone to the latest talks, the PM went to Northern Ireland to talk to the Parties, every side seems to get that this could be it, a time for a DEAL.  At the press conference after the DUP leader seem to give the impression that the DUP would get back in to Government with the Nationalists, just a few things needed to be shorted out.  THIS comes to the classic, the devil is in the detail, will both sides in Northern Ireland agree to the NEW DEAL when shown the details, will the European Research Group who take their stand based on what the DUP says, follow and support their PM, the Labour Party has stated that it will support any new DEAL, that does not help the PM, if the ERG KNOW that the DUP is not supportive they will not follow a three line whip. Any DEAL only works if the DUP will go back in to Government, the role of the European Court of Justice will be very important, how close in the deal is the ECJ part of the process, that could be the sticky wicket for ALL SIDES.  The commentary is that that a deal could be done by Tuesday. 

New Russian Offensive has started in the Ukraine - NATO Chief - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

Sky News: Reports in its 12.31pm post the following, " 

New Russian offensive has begun - NATO chief....

Speaking to reporters on Monday, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg said the organisation sees "no sign whatsoever" that Vladimir Putin is "preparing for peace".  "

Lets Gets Real:

NATO has woken up, the question is has the US, UK and the rest of the NATO Countries gotten  the memo that the Russian Bear is on the move and the West has to be more nimble in the requests from the Ukraine.  It is reported today by Russia that they have advanced a mile, this has not be confirmed by the Ukraine or Western news agencies, the problem is that the Russians have LIED so much during this WAR, that nothing is taken at face value, the fact that NATO will discuss the request for planes from the Ukraine might mean that the Kyiv Governemnt cannot wait for the WESTERN tanks to come, they might need fighter jets to push back the Russians.  As stated by this blog and many others, Russia has to be seen to lose and for that to be a FACT on the ground.  The Russian Bear is hungry for land, and it will push the limits, the West, the US and the West cannot afford a 1930s appeasement mind set, that could lead to WW3.

UK looking at giving Fighter Jets to the Ukraine - UK PM - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 3.24pm post the following, " UK 'actively looking at' supplying British jets to Ukraine, says No 10....Prime minister Rishi Sunak has asked his defence secretary, Ben Wallace, to investigate what jets the UK could potentially give to Ukraine, Downing Street has said.  "

Lets Get Real:

This is a brave and wise move by the UK Government, this will place pressure on the US to send their F-16 fighter jets to the Ukraine, the French and Germans will also feel the pressure.  The Russias will shout that this is an escalation, the answer to that is easy, get out of the Ukraine and then the Kyiv Government will NOT need the tanks and fighter jets from the West.   The Russian invasion has not gone to plan since the Russian troops went over the border, the estimates of Russian soldiers killed runs in to the thousands, the Russian Government is keeping very quiet about that, it does not want to alarm the people.  One presumes one day that the mothers of Russian troops killed in the Ukraine will PROTEST, a shout that even Putin cannot avoid.  The Russians have lost more troops in the Ukraine that it did in Afghanistan between 1979 - 1989, the Kremlin controls the media in Russia, if you call the Ukraine WAR in Russia you get SENT to the modern day gulag.  The Russians and Putin need  to be defeated, they are a THREAT to Western Security and the stability of the World Order.  The UK as always acts first, and the rest will follow. 

EU talks down DEAL on NORTHERN IRELAND PROTOCOL - After Brexit/After Boris

Brexit forever!

BBC News: Reports " NI Protocol: EU talks down reports of compromise deal on European court.....Officials in Brussels have dismissed fresh claims of a compromise deal on the European Court of Justice's (ECJ) role in the Northern Ireland Protocol.  "

Lets Get Real:

It is has been officially denied that there is a DEAL on the protocol, thus that means that a DEAL is close, you always KNOW something is true when it has been denied ( Yes Minister/Yes Prime Minister ).  The real question is will the ERG in the House of Commons accept the new deal, they are lead by the DUP from Northern Ireland.  Any new DEAL must allow the transfer of goods from mainland to the province with no custom checks, that seems to have been agreed, while goods going to the Republic will have to go through the normal customs process in a different lane.  Thus will DUP accept a WIN, the UK gives role for the European Court if requested by North Ireland Judges, that seems like a good deal for the DUP, the question will they take YES as answer.  Thus it makes sure the province is part of the UK, but also the benefits of being in the EU.  The BIG QUESTION is will the DUP agree to go back in to Government, if they say YES, then the Biden Oval will be happy to visit to on the anniversary of the Good Friday Agreement, if they refuse, the Biden will not come, a pit pointless.  Also the Biden Oval should keep out of the process, the Biden Oval is seen as to pro Republic also their special advisor, from the Kennedy clan, so that would not be a good idea.   It will be an interesting few days!!