Mobilisation in Russia - Update

Guardian: Reports " Putin’s recruiters scramble to avoid second mass mobilisation as Ukraine losses mount....Russia is losing 30,000 casualties a month, and the country’s regions are under pressure to feed the ‘meat-grinder’. Experts say it may not be enough "

Let's Get Real:

Thus Russians are on the backfoot, the Ukraine drone strikes are hitting the domestic economy through the HITTING the Russian version of Amazon and hitting the oil refineries of Russia, this causing inflation to go up in Russia, thus ordinary Russians are being hit.  The meat grinder of the Ukraine War, has forced Putin to get North Korea to send troops or hire troops at costs.  PUTIN has tried mobilisation before, all it did was to make young Russian males head to the Russian border.  The Russisan President thinks he is a great historian, he should remember the fate of Tsar Nicholas II, who fell due to the failures of WW1.

Moscow will Fall - Ukraine - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 11.29am post the following, " 'Moscow will fall': Ukraine's drone chief talks up success of recent strikes "

Lets Get Rea:

This is putting the horse before the cart, KYIV has been hammered of late by the Russians, they are on the backfoot because of their loses in the Ukraine and the successful drone strike in CRIMEA, the Russian appointed Governor has declared a State of Emergency, the Russian people do not know of the Russian losses in the Ukraine, in between those killed, injured and lost, the total is 1.4 million, the losses in Afghanistan was less but helped lead to the downfall of the USSR.  The Putin Government is worried it will face the face of the Imperial Russia and Tsar Nicholas II, the lack of gas has lead to fights and the economy is going South, even the bankers are getting on the TV to say the WAR SHOULD END.  There are people in prison for holding up a white sheet as a form of resistance to Putin.   Thus Putin as stated in the previous post could invade Poland, to see show that NATO is a paper tiger and get the West to stop supporting the Ukraine, we are the 1930s again, appeasement wont work and we have a new PM Andy Burnham who has not been tested,  being MAYOR OF GREATER MANCHESTER does not cut it, Putin could see his chance of action before 2030.

Russia thtreat to Poland - Update

Daily Mail: Reports the following, " The Kremlin is planning an armed incursion on Polish land to test Nato's response, according to Washington.  "

Let's Get Real:

Putin wants public support, what better than attacking Poland, part of Russia in the Imperial Era and a satellite of the USSR, it would show that NATO was weak and count on the fact that Trump is a puppet of Putin or a chicken after Iran.  PUTIN is facing gas shortages in Russia, and the economy is tanking, and the people are suffering due to the War in the Ukraine.  This could be 1905 again and Putin will have to grant reforms as did Tsar Nicholas II.

MOD wanted 28 Billion, PM Starmer gives them 15 Billion - Defence Update

BBC News: Reports 11.02am post the following, " Almost £80bn on defence per year by 2029, Starmer says "

Let's Get Real:

The MOD wanted 28 billion in case Putin's Russia does something in the Baltic States or Poland, to draw attention away from fuel shortages due to the STRIKES from the Ukraine and the War in the Ukraine not going well. PUTIN is on the backfoot, he needs to make sure the people support and not demand his head, as was the case of Tsar Nicholas II.   As in 1905, and loss of Port Arthur lead calls for reform, the same could happen to Putin.  Thus the UK's MOD needs the money from the future PM Burnham.

Ukraine HITS St Petersburg oil port - Update

Daily Mail: Reports that the Ukraine has targeted and hit oil port of St Petersburg.  The article points out that the Russian economy has suffered due to the Ukraine War.

Let's Get Real:

When tyrants are in trouble on the domestic front such as the domestic economy and the WAR in the Ukraine they strike out to cause a diversion, Putin could hit the Baltic States or other NATO members as to rally the people.  There are reports that Putin is being feed FALSE information by his defence department, who will tell the Emperor he has no clothes, those that do have been killed. PUTIN should recall the fate of Tsar Nicholas II and his family when a war goes wrong, smell the coffee Putin before the people come for you.

120 Drone Attacks on Russian Region - Ukraine - Russia War

Sky News: Reports in its 3.30pm post that the Ukraine launched 120 drone strikes on a Russian Border Region according to Russia.

Lets Get Real:

The above is from a Russian source, it could be true or not, the Russians cannot be trusted, Moscow will be happy to hear that POTUS does not plan to give tomahawk Missiles to the Ukraine, the Russian lap dog has given Moscow the green light to further attack the Ukraine.   This blog would not be socked if Moscow dropped a nuclear device on Kyiv or used battle field nuclear weapons to finish this war. It is estimated that Russia has lost a million men in the Ukraine War, there a limits on how much a tyrant can lose on the battlefield, Putin is afraid of conscription, the young who can leave have already left.   The failures of WW1 lead to the fall of the Tsar in 1917.

Russin Incursion to Romania Airspace - Ukraine - Russian War

BBC News: Reports that a Russian Drone made an incursion in to Romania Airspace, Romania is part of NATO.

Lets Get Real:

The Kremlin is seeking any NATO weakness, the Ukraine is just the first test for Putin, he wants the USSR back, or even the Russian Empire of Tsarist Russia.   In His potted history of Russia the Communists stabbed Russia in the back in WW1 with the 2nd revolution in 1917, but end of the USSR in 1991 was the greatest tragedy of the 20th Century, yes Putin is that wrong and crazy. 

NATO has to be on guard, it must act against any incursion by Putin and Russia, the Russisn bear is on the MARCH, as was Nazi Germany in the 1930s.

What will Trump do about Putin ? - Ukraine - Russia War

Sky News: Reports " Ukraine war latest: Trump says 'you'll see things happen' if he is unhappy with Putin decision .... Donald Trump issues a warning to Vladimir Putin, and says he expects to talk to him over the coming days. Earlier, Putin claimed there was "light at the end of the tunnel" for the conflict in Ukraine. "

Lets Get Real:

There have been rumours of late about the health of POTUS, the liberal media was not that concerned about President Biden and only noticed in his debate with President Trump.  One would suggest that Trump have a full medical to see if all is all right, NO US President would have appeased Putin the way Trump has, he seems his ego cannot take the fact that he was played by Putin, this has happened to Bush 43, Obama, and Trump in his first term.   The US must bring the Russian economy to its knees, make the Russians pay for the WAR, over a million dead and no mass demonstrations in the street, even the people of Imperial Russia managed that in 1917 and bought down the Tsar.  What has happened to the backbone of the Russian people, has decades of Tyranny under Soviet Regime and Putin made them cower in their homes. 

UK and EU place more sanctions on Russia - Ukraine- Russia War

Sky News: Reports that the UK and EU are placing more sanctions on Russia, all told it will be 100 new UK sanctions.

Lets Get Real:

The Russian economy is a total war economy, as the article states, 40% of its budget goes on the War, the West needs to spend more, it did during the Cold War, thus the West won the Cold War, this lead to the dissolution of the USSR in 1991.  PUTIN seems to have forgotten that lesson, WW1 lead to the downfall of Imperial Russia and the Russian Revolution of  1917.    Its time to remind the Russian Bear, that it can be beaten.

Why is Yevgeny Prigozhin still alive ? - Failed Russian Coup - Putin Era

BBC News: Reports " Wagner boss Prigozhin is in Russia, Belarus ruler Lukashenko says.....Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin - who led a short-lived rebellion in Russia last month - is in Russia and not Belarus, the leader of Belarus says.  "

Lets Get Real:

Putin is making  a bad example of being a Autocrat, before the failed coup Putin would have killed or removed any opposition to him, the CNN anchors were going through the methods used by the Kremlin, those opposed to Putin seems to fall from windows, have door handles covered with poison, or clothes, or been shot and killed or placed in prison for the World to see. In Imperial Russia, Tsar Alexander III and the weak Tsar Nicholas would hang those that were seen as a threat to the Tsar. In the USSR Stalin would murder millions.   It looks like Prigozhin is not going to go quiet and live in Belarus, Putin cannot allow the Wagner boss to make him a laughing stock, is Prigozhin going to do another coup attempt, he was popular in the streets that he took over and he will only be safe if he goes for the top job.   Without the Wagner Group can the Russians hold the areas they control in East Ukraine.   The recent Ukraine worry about the Russians blowing up a nuclear plant in their control has not happened, did the Kyiv Government frighten Russian off, or is Putin holding that back just in case. 

Putin bribes his Army and Security Forces - Ukraine - Russia War - Biden Era

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 3.52pm post the following, " 

Russia to increase military salaries by 10.5%...

The Russian government will raise the salaries for military servicemen by 10.5%, it has announced....The raises will also affect a number of other security officials  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus Putin Kremlin is still worried about the Russian Army and domestic security.  Putin thinks might think that in the last weekend he went through his own 1905 Revolution, and wants to take sure the Army and FSB is loyal, he does not want a 1917 Revolution, and he does not want a House of Special Purpose for himself and his family.  The question is how much can the Russian Army take in the Ukraine, if they are forced out, who will they blame.  The Russian Army no longer has the Wagner Group as back up, so the Ukraine Forces might think this is their chance to take on Russia in the Ukraine and push them out South East Ukraine. The Guardian reports that the  Kremlin might decide to blow up the nuclear plant that they hold, its an option, let's be honest Putin has nothing to lose, and everything to gain. The West would be angry and the Ukraine Forces would need military kit to deal with the radiation from the plant.  Breathing space for Putin and the Kremlin, others could would die from radiation.  

Storm Shadows Cruise Missiles in Ukraine - Ukraine - Russia War - Biden Era

Sky News - Live Blog:  Reports in its 7.30pm post the following, " Watch: Storm Shadows already in Ukraine....Earlier today, the UK announced it will send long-range Storm Shadow missiles to Ukraine....But Sky News understands some are already in the country.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Russians are not happy that the UK is giving long range cruise missiles to the KYIV Government, well its is their fault for invading the Ukraine and committing base WAR CRIMES from murder to rape and the missile attacks on the people of the Ukraine.  The Ukraine offensive is expected soon, the Kyiv Government needs to push the Russians back to the Crimea or back to Russia prober.  The Russians will do nothing, they have shown they make empty threats from nukes to other actions.  Putin is a WEAK War leader, no Stalin, and Stalin was not much of a war leader, he was hiding at his country house for the first week of the German invasion in 1941.   One does wonder why the West was afraid of the Russian Army, they have shown that they are useless and War Criminals. The invasion of the Ukraine is a stain on Russia, they have enough stains from other actions, the killing of the Tsar and his family in 1918, the Soviet period and the murders ordered by Putin. The Russians have to lose this WAR. 

Russia WARNS of NUCLEAR reaction to drone Strikes on the Kremlin, Ukraine - Russia War - Biden

The Sun: Reports " ULTIMATE REVENGE 

Russia threatens nuclear retaliation after accusing Ukraine of trying to assassinate Putin with drone strikes on Kremlin  "

Lets Get Real:

The more threats from Russia, one starts to believe that the drone strike on the Kremlin was a false flag operation, as mention in previous post, Putin might be at the end of his tether, and wants to finish the Ukraine WAR by winning, he and his government have made threats to use nuclear weapons but has done nothing, Putin is already a War Criminal, so why not use nukes on the Ukraine troops and their new offensive or hit Kyiv with a tactical nuclear weapon, it would end the WAR in the eyes of Russia and allow the mess to be cleared up by the EU and NATO.  This blog has discounted the previous Russian nuclear threats, not this one, the Russian leadership does not want to be overthrown like Tsar Nicholas II, thus the WEST should be wary at this moment, Russia might start WW3 in attempt to save Putin. 

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UK to send depleted uranium shells with its Challenger 2 Tanks to the Ukraine - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 3.57pm post the following, " UK plan to send ammunition with depleted uranium to Ukraine would trigger Russian response, says Putin...It comes after Lady Goldie, the minister of state at the UK Ministry of Defence, said Britain will be providing ammunition to Ukraine including armour piercing rounds which contain depleted uranium.  "

Lets Get Real:

President Putin is always making THREATS to the West, but he never follows through, the Russians have a pathological FEAR that the UK is up to something against them, it goes back to the conspiracy view that the SIS took out Rasputin during WW1, it has never been proven, but the Russians sees the British as always doing something that will hurt Russia.   President Putin is always getting the nuclear sabre out whenever he sees the UK or the US helping the Ukraine out with military kit.  This blog has lost count of the times Putin has made nuclear threats, one hopes there are adults in the Kremlin and the Russian Defence Ministry who will prevent Putin going bonkers and hitting that red button.  The Russian military bloggers who support the Ukraine WAR are even more dangerous, they want to nuke the UK.   The West is waiting for the Ukraine offensive, with new tanks, trained soldiers and old Russian fighter jets from Poland and others.  This is the time for the Ukraine to push the Russians back towards their real BORDER.  As Sky News reports in  its 6.33pm post, the UK MOD has stated the following on the depleted uranium news, " Russia 'deliberately trying to disinform' over depleted uranium rounds - MoD....The MoD has confirmed it will send depleted uranium rounds to Ukraine, adding that the British Army has used the material in its shells "for decades".  As the article notes the Russians know this, thus the Russian WORD can never be trusted, who would be stupid to do a PEACE DEAL WITH Putin, a War Criminal and a liar. 

Military Jets for the Ukraine from Poland ? - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 6.14pm post the following, " Poland could supply Ukraine with F-16 fighters, Kyiv suggests....Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s most senior adviser has suggested Poland is willing to supply Ukraine with F-16 fighters as Ukraine’s lobbying for the combat jets steps up only a few days after Germany and the US agreed to send over their tanks.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Russian Offensive could come before the Ukraine gets its tanks from Germany, Poland, UK and others, the best way to prevent an early offensive is to give the Kyiv the F - 16 fighters jets it needs.  That in combination with West tanks could push the Russians out of the Ukraine and back to the CRIMEA.   The we comes to the BUT, there is always a but, do we allow the Ukraine to push the Russians out of the Crimea, and is that a REAL RED LINE for Putin's Kremlin, could he go nuclear if he faces total humiliation at home.  Putin does not want to end up in the House of Special Purpose like the last Tsar and his family.  Russians are not forgiving of leaders that lose WARS, the 1905 revolution started after a failed WAR against Japan and the 1st Russian Revolution of 1917 started after the failures of the Russian Army in WW1.   Thus Putin can be expected to draw a line at the Crimea, the question will the West have the power to stop the Kyiv Government, without making it sound that the West was appeasing Putin, no one wants to be the same page as Neville Chamberlain, the failed appeasing PM of the 1930s.   Dangerous days and weeks ahead!

The Russian view of their WAR on the Ukraine - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 2.04pm post the following,  " 

Sergei Shoigu: Moscow wants to expand military as 'special operation' to continue in 2023....

Russia's defence minister has said the country's military must be expanded as he admitted "difficulties" during Moscow's partial mobilisation.....The defence minister also proposed raising the age range for mandatory Russian military service to cover Russian citizens aged 21-30.  "

Lets Get Real:

It seems that the Kremlin has learned from its recent call up of men to serve in the Ukraine, they are moving the goal post as to avoid having students do another run for the border, they have learned the lessons of the Vietnam War, one can speculate that the Kremlin thinks that older men will not do a runner as they will have left education.  This could be a costly mistake, in extending the age to be called up it could lead to protest from men who thought that they had escaped the draft, the first time around.  Sooner later the real death toll will come out in Russia, its makes the Afghanistan invasion of 1979 look like happy hour.  The amounts very, but it can be speculated it is in the tens of thousands.  Putin's Kremlin does not care about the number killed, it knows its head is on the chopping block, it is either wins in the Ukraine or Putin could find himself in the House of Special Purpose, it held the Imperial Family before their execution.  Thus expect the death toll to go up after the WINTER, EVIL has to be stopped, the Russian people cannot escape guilty for the War, the EVIL BEAR needs to be jailed and his claws removed.  

The Defence of the Ukraine by Ukraine - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 4.06pm post the following, " Ukraine shoots down most missiles launched by Russia, air force says....Ukraine shot down more than 60 of over 70 missiles launched by Russia in a massed missile strike on Monday, Ukraine’s air force command said.  "

Lets Get Real:

One hopes that the transfer of Western air defence equipment is helping the Kyiv Government in takin down the Russian missiles.  The Kremlin will be worried that it is running out of missiles and that the Ukraine feels free to attack Russian bases in Russia itself.  The West has to keep supporting the Kyiv Government through the WINTER, it will be tough in the Ukraine, both Ukraine and Russian forces will be stuck in their trenches, one hopes there is no Christmas TRUCE as in 1914, the Russian Bear cannot be trusted, also Christmas comes later for the Russians culturally.  The attacks on the Russian airfields will alarm the people of Russia and the Kremlin, Putin fears he will be the  TSAR that lost the WAR, the last one and his family were executed in 1918.  The failure in Afghanistan, the Chernobyl meltdown lead to the destruction of the USSR in the end.  The people of the Ukraine are fighting for their freedom and the right to exist, while Putin is fighting to save his own neck and that of Russia.

Iran DRONES to be BUILT on Russian Soil - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 12.09pm post the following, " Russia reaches agreement with Iran to build drones for Ukraine war - reports....Russia has reached an agreement with Iran to start making hundreds of drones on its home soil for use in the Ukraine war, according to The Washington Post.  "

Lets Get Real:

This DEAL shows how Russian is no longer a SUPER POWER, it has to cap in hand to Tehran and North Korea, the Putin invasion of the Ukraine has shown that the billions that Putin has spent on defence was a mirage, also when does a super power have to get people from jail to fight their WARS. Putin is on thin ice, one has to ask how long the Russian people will put up with WEAK LEADERSHIP from the Kremlin, if they demonstrate in 1917 and 1991, what is stopping them NOW, they now bear the guilt of the WAR CRIMES committed by Russia and Russian Soldiers.  If the people really cared about Russia, they would be out on the streets, trying to get rid of Putin, all they do is watch the PR from the Kremlin on their TV.  The Axis of Evil, Russia, Iran and North Korea have to be stopped, we need a new Reagan and Thatcher, great leaders who faced down the USSR and led to its downfall. 

A Dirty nuclear bomb and the Ukraine - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

BBC News: Reports on the allegation by the Russians that Kyiv is about to do a false flag operation by using a dirty nuclear bomb in the Ukraine as to blame the Russians, the article notes the following, " On Sunday the UK, US and French governments issued a joint statement on the Russian government's claims. They rejected what they called "Russia's transparently false allegations" against Kyiv, adding: "The world would see through any attempt to use this allegation as a pretext for escalation. We further reject any pretext for escalation by Russia." 

Lets Get Real:

The Russians could be using the above argument should they decide to use a dirty bomb in the regions they are losing to the Kyiv Forces, they are about to lose Kherson back to Kyiv, they are moving their people out, from their imposed civic structure to military forces.  The Kremlin is fighting this, because Putin has put the nation into partial call up of men to serve, a third time since 1914, 1941, over three hundred thousand men have done a runner over the border, this has lead to Putin imposing martial law on areas under its control, also it has move its nuclear command train to the Ukraine border, thus allowing it to launch a low yield nuclear bomb.  This they would blame on the Kyiv Forces and make the area a no go area for years, like Chernobyl.  The Kremlin thinks that POTUS is weak and that the UK has a very new PM, thus strike when the time is right.  Thus do not be shocked if a nuke is used in the Ukraine or over the Black Sea, were a recent Russian plane released a missile close to UK Military Planes, that could have been a TEST by the Russian to Western reaction. 

Russian CALL - UP Update - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

Sky News: Reports " Shooting at conscription office and another centre attacked with Molotov cocktails after Putin's mobilisation order...It comes after Russian President Vladimir Putin - faced with a series of defeats in Ukraine - announced a partial mobilisation last week that could see 300,000 reserves called up to fight. The move has sparked protests across the country, and military-aged men have been fleeing in droves.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus so far the resistance has been limited and on the whole Russian security can deal with them, but one only has to look at what happened in 1917, when Russia was on the backfoot with World War 1, the Soldiers marched with their feet, thus Putin has to worry about the following, the HARD RIGHT in Russia is blaming the Russian Defence Department for the failures in the Ukraine, they want more extreme action, thus the use of tactical nuclear weapons, Putin must be aware from the US that is a no go area, if Putin did use a tactical nuclear weapon in the Ukraine that would drag in NATO and the US, then it all could get out of hand.  On the hand, Putin would see what happened to Tsar Nicholas II when he as forced to abdicate in 1917 when the Russia was going down the toilet due to World War 1, thus Putin does not want to be a failed leader, he has made to many enemies, so what does Putin do, does he wait in till WINTER and hope to break Western Europe when it comes to sanctions, or does try to get a dirty deal with the WEST, another Munich were the Western Europe sells out the Ukraine, for the increase of Russian gas that fuels the Western Economy.  One could expect the Germans, French, Hungary and maybe ITALY who have a new right wing government to place pressure on the Ukraine to give Putin what he wants, one can only hope that the US and the UK would oppose that move.  The next few days will be critical for Russia and Western Europe.