Russia thtreat to Poland - Update

Daily Mail: Reports the following, " The Kremlin is planning an armed incursion on Polish land to test Nato's response, according to Washington.  "

Let's Get Real:

Putin wants public support, what better than attacking Poland, part of Russia in the Imperial Era and a satellite of the USSR, it would show that NATO was weak and count on the fact that Trump is a puppet of Putin or a chicken after Iran.  PUTIN is facing gas shortages in Russia, and the economy is tanking, and the people are suffering due to the War in the Ukraine.  This could be 1905 again and Putin will have to grant reforms as did Tsar Nicholas II.

MOD wanted 28 Billion, PM Starmer gives them 15 Billion - Defence Update

BBC News: Reports 11.02am post the following, " Almost £80bn on defence per year by 2029, Starmer says "

Let's Get Real:

The MOD wanted 28 billion in case Putin's Russia does something in the Baltic States or Poland, to draw attention away from fuel shortages due to the STRIKES from the Ukraine and the War in the Ukraine not going well. PUTIN is on the backfoot, he needs to make sure the people support and not demand his head, as was the case of Tsar Nicholas II.   As in 1905, and loss of Port Arthur lead calls for reform, the same could happen to Putin.  Thus the UK's MOD needs the money from the future PM Burnham.

Why is Yevgeny Prigozhin still alive ? - Failed Russian Coup - Putin Era

BBC News: Reports " Wagner boss Prigozhin is in Russia, Belarus ruler Lukashenko says.....Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin - who led a short-lived rebellion in Russia last month - is in Russia and not Belarus, the leader of Belarus says.  "

Lets Get Real:

Putin is making  a bad example of being a Autocrat, before the failed coup Putin would have killed or removed any opposition to him, the CNN anchors were going through the methods used by the Kremlin, those opposed to Putin seems to fall from windows, have door handles covered with poison, or clothes, or been shot and killed or placed in prison for the World to see. In Imperial Russia, Tsar Alexander III and the weak Tsar Nicholas would hang those that were seen as a threat to the Tsar. In the USSR Stalin would murder millions.   It looks like Prigozhin is not going to go quiet and live in Belarus, Putin cannot allow the Wagner boss to make him a laughing stock, is Prigozhin going to do another coup attempt, he was popular in the streets that he took over and he will only be safe if he goes for the top job.   Without the Wagner Group can the Russians hold the areas they control in East Ukraine.   The recent Ukraine worry about the Russians blowing up a nuclear plant in their control has not happened, did the Kyiv Government frighten Russian off, or is Putin holding that back just in case. 

Putin bribes his Army and Security Forces - Ukraine - Russia War - Biden Era

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 3.52pm post the following, " 

Russia to increase military salaries by 10.5%...

The Russian government will raise the salaries for military servicemen by 10.5%, it has announced....The raises will also affect a number of other security officials  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus Putin Kremlin is still worried about the Russian Army and domestic security.  Putin thinks might think that in the last weekend he went through his own 1905 Revolution, and wants to take sure the Army and FSB is loyal, he does not want a 1917 Revolution, and he does not want a House of Special Purpose for himself and his family.  The question is how much can the Russian Army take in the Ukraine, if they are forced out, who will they blame.  The Russian Army no longer has the Wagner Group as back up, so the Ukraine Forces might think this is their chance to take on Russia in the Ukraine and push them out South East Ukraine. The Guardian reports that the  Kremlin might decide to blow up the nuclear plant that they hold, its an option, let's be honest Putin has nothing to lose, and everything to gain. The West would be angry and the Ukraine Forces would need military kit to deal with the radiation from the plant.  Breathing space for Putin and the Kremlin, others could would die from radiation.  

Prigozhin Speaks Out after attempted Coup - Ukraine - Russia War - Biden Era

BBC News - Live Blog:  Reports in its 4.27pm post the following, " Lukashenko offered ways for Wagner to keep working - Prigozhin....Speaking about the conditions of the deal that was reportedly done in order to bring the Wagner rebellion to a halt over the weekend, Prigozhin claims the group was "categorically against the decision to close Wagner on 1 July 2023 and to incorporate it into the defence ministry"...Prigozhin also says that Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko played a part in the deal, stating that Lukashenko "extended his hand and offered to find ways for Wagner to continue its work legally" - without giving further details.  "

Lets Get Real:

This theatre production by Putin has gone on long enough, the 24/7 news networks have given it more time that the 100 hours First Gulf War.  They are missing the point, the fake coup attempt was a game played by Putin to see who he could count on should the worse happen, Prigozhin his self made lacky, did as he was told and backed off once the Kremlin gave the word.  The Kremlin knows that it will need to reform the Army from the top, where was the Russian Army when the coup was happening, they did nothing to stop it, so there will be Stalin type purges of the Army from the top down.  Those people that supported the Coup will find themselves in the Court process, Siberia or DEAD by falling from a window, poisoned by their clothes or door handles. The real war is the Ukraine, what next by Putin, blowing up the nuclear plant after the Ukrainian Dam was destroyed.   The Kremlin needs a way out, WMD might be the answer.  People keeps your eyes on the ball do not be distracted by the Russian Play. 

Military Jets for the Ukraine from Poland ? - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports in its 6.14pm post the following, " Poland could supply Ukraine with F-16 fighters, Kyiv suggests....Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s most senior adviser has suggested Poland is willing to supply Ukraine with F-16 fighters as Ukraine’s lobbying for the combat jets steps up only a few days after Germany and the US agreed to send over their tanks.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Russian Offensive could come before the Ukraine gets its tanks from Germany, Poland, UK and others, the best way to prevent an early offensive is to give the Kyiv the F - 16 fighters jets it needs.  That in combination with West tanks could push the Russians out of the Ukraine and back to the CRIMEA.   The we comes to the BUT, there is always a but, do we allow the Ukraine to push the Russians out of the Crimea, and is that a REAL RED LINE for Putin's Kremlin, could he go nuclear if he faces total humiliation at home.  Putin does not want to end up in the House of Special Purpose like the last Tsar and his family.  Russians are not forgiving of leaders that lose WARS, the 1905 revolution started after a failed WAR against Japan and the 1st Russian Revolution of 1917 started after the failures of the Russian Army in WW1.   Thus Putin can be expected to draw a line at the Crimea, the question will the West have the power to stop the Kyiv Government, without making it sound that the West was appeasing Putin, no one wants to be the same page as Neville Chamberlain, the failed appeasing PM of the 1930s.   Dangerous days and weeks ahead!

High Level US and Russian Talks - Ukraine - Russian War - Biden Era

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 12.34pm post the following, " 

Putin's spy chief discussed nuclear issues with CIA director....

Russian foreign intelligence chief Sergei Naryshkin said in an interview that he had met CIA director William Burns on 14 November...He also confirmed the two countries had a channel to manage risks and that it would be possible for another such conversation to be held in future.  "

Lets Get Real:

It can be postulated that the US and Russia had such high level talks is good, it would be interesting to know who asked for the talks, and what in detail they asked for.  On the other hand the Biden Oval should be careful it is not played by the Kremlin, the Russians do not want the US and vice versa for both sides to start fighting each other, but the talks allow the Russians to mislead the Biden Oval as to what it wants and might bluff the US that it will never use a dirty bomb and then it does effect use a dirty bomb in Kherson, or starts another front to take KYIV.   The people of the Ukraine are being tested, the Russians are hitting the energy infrastructure of the Ukraine, they are trying to WEAR the people down, they do not a long term WAR in the Ukraine, they have the manpower but the West and NATO have the weapons, in the end Putin cannot win, and he knows that, he also knows that he is toast if he loses the WAR.  Thus what will Putin do is the sixty four thousand question, when his back is against the WALL, he hopes it is not a firing squad. 

France increases military and humanitarian support for Ukraine - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports the following in its 2.09pm post, " France promises to increase military and humanitarian aid to Ukraine.....The US, France and other allies have provided Kyiv with hundreds of long-range artillery pieces to help it counter Moscow's offensive in the Donbas region of eastern Ukraine.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus one can assume after getting re-elected the French President feels he has a free hand when it comes to foreign policy, also one can postulated that Macron was tired of being lied to by Putin in face and over the phone.  This follows the US President's request for 33 billion from the US Congress as to support the Kyiv Government, 20 billion of that going to military support.  The Biden Oval has come around to the idea that they MUST WIN in the Ukraine and Putin cannot be allowed to have a victory rally that he wants on May 9th.  The Ukraine Army has to push the Russians out of the Ukraine and if possible  OUT OF THE CRIMEA.  The War in the Ukraine should be Putin's 1905 moment, when the people came out on the street of Russia and demanded reform, thus the Tsar had to give a bit to end the revolution, thus Putin must be forced to give Russia back its DEMOCRACY.  Putin is the problem and his removal is the solution. 

President Putin's views on Western Sanctions - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports the following in its 1.44pm post, " Putin claims sanctions on Russia is 'own goal' by west...Russia’s president, Vladimir Putin, has said that western countries had scored an own goal by imposing sanctions against Russia over Ukraine that he said had led to a “deterioration of the economy in the west”.  "

Lets Get Real:

How insane do you have to be in Russia before you are carted away and placed in padded cell, Putin is insane if he thinks the West is worse off than Russia, any Western Business worth the name has gotten out of Russia, the Russia state has become the No 1 rogue nation, it has more sanctions than North Korea or Iran.  Putin must be really in his OWN WORLD, when will his inner circle move to remove him from power, the elite Russians must have fond memories of the West, because that is ALL they will have, they have been banned from the West.  The value of the Russian currency  is in the toilet, and the economy has hit rock bottom and worse for the young they have lost the use of their APPS on their smart phones.   The Russian people should WAKE UP, they should storm the Kremlin, they rebelled in 1905, 1917 twice and in 1991,  and kick Putin out of POWER before Putin drags them in to World War 3. 

NATO to supply Ukraine with defensive equipment against WMD - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

Sky News: Reports " Ukraine war: NATO to boost Kyiv's chemical and nuclear defences amid risk a Russian attack could drag alliance into the conflict....The 30-nation military alliance agrees to equip Ukrainians with the means to defend themselves against potential Russian cyber, biological, chemical and nuclear warfare, with the NATO chief saying there's a risk such an attack "will have a direct effect on people living in NATO countries". "

Lets Get Real:

If the Russians use WMD against Ukraine that should be a very RED LINE, Biden must inform the Kremlin in public or private that such a use would bring in the US and NATO.  The use of chemical weapons in Europe would be a disaster for the Ukraine and the West, as Putin is on the back foot he might think he has nothing to lose, let's recall that in 1905 the Russian Fleet was taken down by Imperial Japan, this lead to the 1905 Revolution that lead to the formation of the Imperial Duma in Russia, Nicholas 11 was forced to give on this issue due to the failure of the Imperial Fleet.   Thus a massive failure of the Ukraine WAR could get the people back on the streets, of course that is if they get to know about it, as Putin has blocked free and western MEDIA in Russia.  Putin has a LOST to LOSE, his alleged Yacht being the first target.  After that how much of the outside forces can Putin control, shops closed, places with no sugar, the Russian economy in the toilet, could this be Putin's 1905 OR 1917 MOMENT. 

Mariupol will never Surrender - Russian - Ukraine War - New Cold War 2

Sky News: Reports " Russia's deadline passes with Ukraine refusing to lay down arms and surrender Mariupol...Mariupol's residents are desperately short of food, water, and electricity, while being relentlessly attacked by Russian troops - but officials say there will be no surrender.  "

Lets Get Real:

There is street to street, door to door fighting in MARIUPOL, as reported that Russian tried to get the CITY in 2014 but failed, thus this brutal destruction of the city is revenge, Putin is former KGB let's recall.  There is NATO meeting on Thursday to discuss the Ukrainian crisis, the WEST must do more, it must increase sanctions, stop ALL Russian trade, the Russia economy is in the toilet, well its time to flush it down to the sewer, the ELITES that are friends of Putin should place pressure on him, or overthrow him, Russia needs a new leader, Putin has failed as Tsar Nicholas 11 failed with Port Arthur in Manchuria at the start of the 20th Century, that lead to the 1905 Russian revolution that was stopped by the Imperial Regime granting limited reforms, such as a DUMA, the Russian people need their democracy back before its to late.