Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Obama's WEAK Spot - Pennsylvania

CNN Politics: Reports on a Franklin and Marshall College poll of likely voters in Pennsylvania, the poll finds that President Obama leads Governor Romney by 49% to 45%, a 4% lead

Lets Get Real:

What if President Obama was to win Ohio but to lose Pennsylvania to Governor Romney, this would mean a Romney Presidency, the lead is narrow folks, VERY, also as the article notes both Campaigns are going to throw money at Pennsylvania up to election day.   This is the State to watch folks, if its very close or Romney ahead at the start of election night expect great worry in the Oval.  If Obama keeps the State then he gets a 2nd term.   That simple folks, this blog likes it when it is simple.   

Ohio - Obama's State - New Poll

CNN Politics: Reports on a new CBS News/NYT/Quinnipiac University Poll of Ohio, in this poll of likely voters we see President Obama leading Governor Romney by 50% to 45%, a 5% lead

Lets Get Real:

This follows a pattern folks, either POTUS is leading in Ohio or tied with Romney, thus this blog is going to call Ohio for Obama, a narrow win, with early voting and and the excellent ground game of the Obama team and the Unions they should secure Ohio.   Thus a 2nd term for President Obama.   The Romney surge came to late folks, if that 1st Debate had taken place some time before, if the Hurricane Sandy had not placed Obama in a good light.     Thus the Romney surge while it was real came to late, also events and events folks.   This blog hates to be wrong. 

Post Sandy and Romney - 2012 US Election

BBC News:  Reports that Governor Romney returns to the Campaign trail.  

Lets Get Real:

What does the article does not mention and is the latest is that President Obama will also return to the Campaign trail tomorrow after visiting New Jersey.  The Oval wanted to go to New York but was told in diplomatic language to get lost.   The last thing the good people of NY need while they are cleaning up  the water is a Presidential drive by, think of the security that would be needed, also people would be diverted by having the Oval about, the liberal press would want  photo ops of Obama holding buckets if they could get that kind of picture.   Thus its back to politics tomorrow folks, lets see if POTUS gets a bounce from Sandy, that should turn up around Friday or Saturday.