Sunday, March 16, 2014

US ON Crimea Vote - Ukraine Crisis Latest


Lets Get Real:
As the Russian Bear said to the American Eagle , " Are you tough enough, will you take me on, lets see your claws, or are you full of hot air ".  That is the question that Moscow will be asking, and the Oval better man up, no more Mr Nice Guy, time to be a Super Power. 

Is Crimea NOW part of Russia ? - Ukraine Crisis Latest

Telegraph: Reports the following from the Crimea, " landslide victory for Russia in Crimea vote

Rising tensions in Ukraine as Russia claims victory in Crimea referendum ".

Lets Get Real:

Thus what next for President Putin, the West will impose sanctions, what does Putin do, scale back the gas that Russia sends to Europe, withdraw from some of the nuclear treaties it has signed under the old USSR and modern Russia.   The game is afoot, and Putin has the cards at the moment, if he is smart he will take the Crimea and back off, he can keep the Kiev Government and the West off balance with trying to think what HIS next move will be without doing much, on the other hand he just might take over the whole of the Ukraine, showing up the West as weak and getting good press in Russia and some good write ups in Russian history books in Russia.   Interesting days ahead. 

Donetsk and Kharkiv - Ukraine Crisis Latest


Lets Get Real:

The Kremlin in Moscow is working to a very subtle plan, it first needs the vote in the Crimea then it will  work to build up tensions in the East of the Ukraine, the problem for Moscow is that in the East the Russian population is not the majority ethnic population, thus Moscow will have to send in more people in to cause trouble.   This has risks, the West knows Moscow's plans and if Russians are caught causing problems then Russian loses the moral argument from their point of view to take action.   Putin might not care, he wants to bring back the Russian Empire of the old USSR and Tsarist Russia.   The West of the Ukraine will fight should Russia invade, the NATO countries one way or another might supply them, this could be Putin Afghanistan if he is not careful, Moscow has to remember that Western TV news will cover any invasion, Russia of today is not the old USSR or the Tsarist Empire. 

The Crimea Vote - Ukraine Crisis


Lets Get Real:

Russia can go either way, just take THE Crimea and keep the Kiev Government off balance or go for gold and take over the entire Ukraine, Putin it seems is not worried about Western sanctions, he thinks the West will back off after some time of shouting and sanctions, he could be right, of course that depends on his actions, if he invades the entire Ukraine the people of the West can be expected to fight, that will not be great pictures for the Kremlin, the Oval would have no choice but to go back to a Cold War mind set, Obama's foreign policy already weak would fall apart, as from his perspective he needs the help of Russia with Syria and Iran.  The next three years could be VERY frosty for the US and Russia.