Friday, February 12, 2016

World War 3 - Syrian Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The Russians know which buttons to press when it comes to the West, they are worried that Saudi Arabia will send troops to Syria, this would mean you would have troops from Iran supported by Russian planes and troops in the same zones of conflict as Saudi troops, moderate Rebels; the Russians are not hitting Daesh, they are hitting the opposition to Assad, namely moderates; also you would have Daesh terrorists fighting their opposition and Assad,  and God knows who else, it would only take small accident for things to get very serious fast.    The problem is the West does not want to place troops in Syria, it does not want to lose its moderate allies, thus you are left with troops from SA and the Gulf States.   There can only be peace in Syria with the removal of Assad and Western troops in place to guard internal security, but the problem is that there will not be long term peace in Syria with Western troops. its a bloody mess, and it will not end soon.   THUS the failure of the Obama Foreign policy. 

Sanders and African Americans - Election 2016


Lets Get Real:

This ad by the Sanders campaign is very moving and is feeding in to unrest within the African - American community, the question is it effective, even this Conservative blog was moved by it, and on the whole this blog checks its emotions at the door before blogging.  As to the politics, it can be postulated that African - Americans will vote in large numbers for Secretary Clinton, she had tied herself to the Oval, and the Oval has made clear that it supporters her, thus the South is lost to Sanders.   After Sanders is defeated we can have real campaign between HRC and the Republican, please not the Donald. 

Nevada Poll - Election 2016

Guardian - US Politics Live: Reports in its 3.52pm post the following,  " .. a new poll by a TargetPoint, a Republican polling firm, conducted for the Washington Free Beacon finds – a tie! at 45-45. "

Lets Get Real:

Thus far this blog has not seen that many new polls for Nevada, lets see if other polls match this poll or it might be way out.  One would expect that the HRC campaign would have learnt from their mistakes of 08, when they allowed Senator Obama to win a lot of caucus States and thus gain more delegates than Hillary Clinton.   As the Nevada caucus is the same day as the South Carolina Republican vote the networks will have handfull to explain the different system to the voters.  More polls to come voters. 

The Syrian Civil War - Syrian Crisis


Lets Get Real:

There will be no peace in Syria in till the West places troops there, has a no fly zone, and tells the Russians that the West will allow Saudi Arabia to place troops in there, to be backed by NATO.  The Russians, Assad and Iran can not afford to lose Syria under Assad as any ally, they will only back off when faced by Western Forces that will follow through.   The failure of the Obama Administration to deal with Syria is just another example of its failed foreign policy, it has allowed the Iran and US nuclear deal to obscure the needs of US allies in the Persian Gulf.  The Syrian ceasefire if ever starts will not last long, weakness only breeds more violence, poor Syria. 

Clinton vs, Sanders - Election 2016

Lets Get Real:

HRC has tied herself to the Obama Oval, the HRC campaign must hope that the Oval Office does not do anything that has negative ramifications for the Campaign over the next few months,  Sanders made a point, he was a US Senator, that he agreed with the Obama Oval on most things, but he had the duty and right to be critical when he thought President Obama was wrong.    The fact that HRC used that against him, was interesting, she played dirty pool and it worked, the HRC is campaign is looking forward to South Carolina were a majority of Democrat voters are African - American and to Nevada were there is a healthy group of Hispanic voters, thus HRC was linking to their support of President Obama, thus her defence of him.   The Clinton firewall is and up running, it can be postulated that HRC will win big in the South.