Iran's Last Chance - Trump - Update

Sky News: Reports in its 7.04pm post the following, " Trump warns this is 'last chance' for Iran to sign a 'good document' "

Let's Get Real:

How many times does the Tehran Regime have to LIE to Trump before Trump gets the fact that they cannot be trusted.  The Theocracy is leading Trump by the nose, he does not understand that he is being conned by Tehran, they are playing games, show a bit of leg then hit Tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.  Trump should watch the Path to War on HBO, LBJ an erratic President played by North Vietnam.  Trump could learn lessons from the Vietnam War.

Has WOKE gone to far - Update

CNN: Reports the following, " White House report accuses Smithsonian leadership of radical ideology "

Let's Get Real:

Has WOKE gone to far, the answer is YES, saw a documentary on Thomas Jefferson on the History Channel, the last half hour was about how he fathered black children with Black female slave when she was 16, he freed his Black children when they reached 21, but his plantation slaves were sold off when he died, YES WRONG to have any slaves but he WROTE the Declaration of Independence from the UK.  Also as President he purchased millions of more land to expand the US, he was a founding father of the US, great men are flawed, even clay feet, but still great.

1776 - 2026 America Celebrate their Independence

BBC News: Reports in its 4.13pm post the following, " Pop stars to perform across US to celebrate 250 years of independence "

Let's Get Real:

Thus US celebrates its 250th birthday.  The US is great, yes it has had its flaws, slavery etc, it took deaths and a civil war to STOP, even then it took in till the 1960s for African Americans to get their full rights, in the 21st Century it elected its 1st black President.  On the plus side we had US leadership during WW1 and 2.  The great President Ronald Reagan ended the Cold War, US is not perfect but still a Shining City on a Hill.

US - Iran Deal - Update 2

Guardian: Reports the the following, " Trump to meet with US negotiators to decide on Iran’s ceasefire proposal......US president says it’s a ‘solid 50/50’ on either making a ‘good’ deal with Iran or striking the country anew " 

Let's Get Real:

This blog is betting that POTUS will go TACO, what concessions will he give Iran, keeping their nuclear stockpile or control of the Strait of Hormuz.  Cowardice in the face of the enemy will shatter Presidential Credibility.  The US VP will have to explain this in the 2028 cycle, Reagan and JFK are turning in their graves if Trump gives concessions. 

Cuba is next for Trump ? - Update

BBC News: Reports " Cuba poses a "national security threat" to the US and the likelihood of a peaceful agreement is "not high", US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has said. "

Let's Get Real:

Cuba is 90 miles from Florida and has been a thorn in the US for decades.  The Communist Regime has supported left wing Regimes in Southern and Central.   The fall of the USSR in 1991, cut off the main supporter of Cuba, Venezuela under the know imprisoned President gave them oil, that has stopped under US pressure.  Taking Cuba would be a major success for Trump, as long as it can be done peacefully or limited military action  JFK would be smiling from Presidential heaven.

Trump is wimping out of Iran War - Update

Guardian: Report the following in its 2.27pm post the following "  Report  : Trump says war with Iran will end 'soon'  "

Let's Get Real:

President Trump will lose Presidential credibility when he wimps out of Iran, Presidents must stay the course or they are seen as weak, aka Jimmy Carter.  JFK and Reagan as seen as great Presidents, they were tough, Kennedy over Cuba and Vietnam, Reagan surviving assassination attempt, being tough with the USSR, invading Grenada and bombing Libya, and supporting the Contra Freedom Fighters in Nicaragua.  If Trump wimps out in Iran then he fails Presidential greatness.

Over learning the lessons of Vietnam - Vietnam Lessons

CNN: Reports on the role of the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, the article notes the following, " Caine has been vocal about the potential downsides of launching a major military operation targeting Iran, raising concerns about the scale, complexity and potential for US casualties of such a mission, according to sources familiar with his advice.  "

Let's Get Real:

These are the ghosts of Vietnam, West Point drills in to the cadets the mistakes of the Vietnam War, from the military to the political, and now they also learn the lessons of Afghanistan and Iraq.  The first reaction of the  military is to scare hell out the President in the Oval, when they plan a military military action, they tried that with Bush 41 when it came to the First Gulf War, the President was not frightened, and gave the operation the green light, Bush 41 had served in WW2, the youngest piolt in the Navy, the problem  with the above in the article is that Trump wants to WIMP out, so the above advice will give him reason to chicken out, its something he wants to do.  This as stated in previous post will come back to haunt Trump in 2028 and his VP who will running for Trump's third term.

Iran's Supreme Leader should be very worried - Trump

CNN: Reports that President Trump has stated that the Supreme Leader of Iran should be very worried.

Lets Get Real:

The Trump Oval makes threats but does not carry them out.  President Trump stated he would come to the rescue of the protesters on the streets of Iran.  The people listened and for shouting for democracy they were killed, that blood is on the hands of the Regime and the Trump Oval, once Presidential credibility is gone it does not come, look at what happened to LBJ during Vietnam, his positive remarks and speeches did not match reality, Obama stated that use of Chemical weapons against the Syrian people by the Assad Regime was a red line, he did not follow through, and no one was afraid of Obama after that event. Then recently there was US leaving Afghanistan under Biden, 13 US military personnel were killed, and the pictures of people trying to get on planes, was a humiliation for the US and Biden, his polls never recovered.   A President needs a backbone like Reagn and JFK.   Trump is a WIMP, the World does not respect cowardice, a US President needs his credibility for himself and successors, that time has passed for Trump.

 

NATO German Jets fly to counter Russian Jets over the Baltic Sea - Ukraine - Russian War

Guardian  Reports that NATO German fighters were launched to counter a Russian plane over the Baltic Sea.

Lets Get Real:

One of these days something will go wrong, either a Russian plane will be shot down or a NATO plane will be a victim.  Trump47 has to do something, he is leading the World in to WW3 by mistake, it does not matter how many WARS he has solved, his Appeasement of Putin could end bally, he is no Kennedy or Reagan, great Presidents who knew how to be tough and how and when to talk to the Kremlin.

Trump to release Dr Martin Luther King Jr Files

Sky News: Reports that the Trump Administration is to release the Files on the assassination of Dr Martin Luther King Jr.

Lets Get Real:

These files should never be released, as if previous reporting, the Files contain allegations that Dr King had affairs, so did JFK, but Dr King was hero to African Americans and his fight for civil rights in 1964 and for voting rights in 1965.   These having nothing to do with his personal life.   The US needs its heroes, JFK's affairs did not help with his political reputation later, some heroes have to be protected, thus case with Dr King.   This is a diversion by the Trump Administration.

Trump Does U - turn on bombing Moscow - Trump47

Daily Mail: Reports that President Trump does a u - turn on bombing Moscow with long range missiles.

Lets Get Real:

This is POTUS being mercurial, one minute he wants the Ukraine to bomb Moscow and St Petersburg, then he sees a leak of the idea and backtracks, no wonder the Kyiv can not trust him, thar goes for NATO Allies.  The Kremlin must be laughing at this foolish and weak President! He is no JFK or Reagan, great Presidents.

Trump's Domestic Agenda- BBB- Trump47

BBC News: Reports on the grind in the US Senate to pass  the Big Beautiful Bill of Trump's 2nd term agenda.

Lets Get Real:

The Republicans control all three branches of Government, in the House its by a few Seats, more of a majority in the Senate.  The BBB will confirm the Trump tax cuts of his first term and cut welfare, the Democrats are fighting this with simple point that 3 trillion will be added to the National Debt.  This should be a red line to real Conservatives, but not Trump's Republicans, the US voters will see if he Trump can master Congress like FDR, LBJ, Reagan, Clinton, Bush 43, Obama, even the semi senile Biden. Developing! 

RFK Junior in the hot Seat - Trump Nominee for Health Secretary - Trump 47

BBC News: Reports " Five takeaways from RFK Jr's first confirmation hearing "

Lets Get Real:

The choice of Bobby Junior has split the Kennedy family, the views of Junior is out of the mainstream to be fair, but the late Ambassador Kennedy would have been appalled, it was family first and second.  One can argue about the merits of his views, but one thinks that Kennedy family have given enough to the US, the deaths of President Kennedy and his brother Robert F Kennedy, so on this this blog is in favour of the nomination, its is not like Bobby would be close to the Presidency, should anything happen to Trump and Vance at the same time, the next in line is the Speaker of the House.  The hearing was as expected, the Democrats attacked, while the Republicans were supportive.  This blog would not be shocked if the nomination failed, that is the game of politics.

Judge closes down Federal case againsr Trump47- Trump47

BBC New  Reports that a Federal Judge has  closed a federal case against Trump47.

Lets Get Real:

AS sitting or future President  cannot be triad is a result for Trump47, let's hope he has learned his lesson and keeps inside the law for his second term as POTUS, I would not bet the house on it, Trump loves to cross the Line,, and see what the Establishment does, at least he is not the worst POTUS in history, Nixon and LBJ are, he won a 2 term, thank God for the 22 Amendment that stops Presidents serving mote than 2 terms.

US Attacks Houthi in Yemen - Middle East Crisis - Biden Era

Sky News reports in its 4.48pm post that the US has struck the Houthi in Yemen.

Lets Get Real:

This is the fault of the Americans, they made the UK give up the port of Aden in the 1960s, winds of change and all that claptrap.  Thus you see the Houthi today backed by the terrorist State of Iran.  The so called Supreme Leader backed the Hamas attack of the 7th of October 2023.  The Mossad should do the World a favour and take him out.  The World has gone in to the toilet since Resgan, Thatcher and Gorbachev ran the World.  Bring back the British Empire, for all its fault, it bought liberal democracy and Law.

Harris LEADS Trump by 1% in NEW POLL - 2024 Candidates/2024 General Election

CNN - Politics: Reports " Among likely voters nationwide, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds 48% support Harris and 47% Trump, a margin that suggests no clear leader in the race. "

Lets Get Real:

It is troubling to this BLOG that Harris seems unbale to get past that 50% mark in most polls after her successful debate with Trump, the uber left wing Media go about it all the time, they make sound like Kennedy and Regan.   The VP is not that, it does not matter how many times to hype her, if the voters are not buying that PR, the press should dropped it.  Trump is his own worse enemy, going on about mass deportations and breaking up families does not help, there are many legal aliens  in the US, and they are part of the working class, some jobs Americans will not do, as in the UK.  As Reagan once said if there must be walls, there should be a doors.  The Gipper was the Governor of California for two terms, a border State.  The race is going to be close in the States, lets hope the Harris Campaign spends its money wisely.

RCP Average of polls has Harris beating Trump by 0.5%- 2024 Candidates/2024 General Election

RealClearPolitics has the Average of the Harris 47.4%, Trump 46.9%, Harris leading by 0.5%.

Lets Get Real:

Thus the Harris/Walz ticket is on a roll, I want to see the VP do some though interviews on Foreign Policy, on the Ukraine and Gaza/Israel.  This blog does not mind if Harris is liberal, this blog has soft spot for LBJ, but President Johnson was tough on foreign policy, you can't be liberal at home and abroad.   The Democratic Convention next! 

Big Win for Trump at the Supreme Court - 2024 Candidates/2024 General Election - Biden Era

BBC New: Reports " Trump has some immunity from prosecution, Supreme Court rules....The justices found that a president has immunity for "official acts", but is not immune for "unofficial acts", and referred the matter back to a trial judge. "

Lets Get Real:

This is a big win for Trump, the various Federal Cases will be affected, we wait to see what the Courts and Prosecutors so with the case, the general opinion is that the Court cases will start after the election, of course Trump as President could pull them if elected.   This Judgement by the Supreme Court does ask a few Questions of Presidential history, lets look at the examples, was JFK and the CIA'S attempt to kill Castro in the early 1960s was that official or Kennedy's need for revenge after the Bay of Pigs.  Then we move to 1968, was Nixon's sabotage of the Paris Peace Talks, semi official as he become President or private action that should have seen him Court.   Let's forget that LBJ bugged Nixon with the help of the FBI,  was the legal, its an open question, then we go to Nixon again in 1972 with Watergate, it can be presume that Nixon after the LBJ files on the Paris Peace Talks.  Thus would Nixon have had to resign in 1974.  The next case in Iran - Contra of the late1980s, it was Reagan's believe that the Contra freedom fighters had to be supported, after the Congress cut off official aid, he wanted the Contra fighters funded, no matter what it took, thus a diversion of funds to the Contra's.   As with JFK, there is doubt if Reagan knew this was happening, even if he did, it would not matter as it was official policy by Reagan to fight communism. In 1998 we have Bill Clinton, this was a private affair and thus the President would not have been immune from the Courts.   It seems the Court would have agreed with Nixon.   Interesting Court days ahead!!

After Trump's big win in Iowa, he is tied with Haley in NH -New Poll - 2024 Candidate/General Election 2024

The Hill: Reports that " Trump, Haley tied in New Hampshire poll...The survey from American Research Group Inc., released Tuesday, puts Trump and Haley at 40 percent each among the state’s likely Republican primary voters.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Trump will have a fit once he sees this poll, CNN has been supporting Haley since the start, so called liberal media want the WORSE for the Republican Party, they are afraid of 2nd Trump term, as they should be, Trump is a THREAT to the US and Western security, so expect a lot of praise for Haley, let's recalled she was the Governor who who took down the Confederate Flag in her State, also she is from Indian heritage, but said today that the US is not a racist Country, she should really thank LBJ for his Great Society and civil rights laws of the 1960s.  Thus far this blog is supporting Governor Haley, she is the only one that can beat Trump and Biden.

Blow to Biden over Student debt relief by the US Supreme Court - 2024 Candidate/Presidential Election

BBC News - Live Blog: Reports in its 3.44pm post the following, " Ruling is 6-3 against forgiving student debt...The Supreme Court has just issued a ruling striking down President Joe Biden's student loan forgiveness plan, siding with the state of Nebraska, which brought the challenge....The ruling was 6-3, with the liberal justices once again dissenting.  "

Lets Get Real:

This is a major blow to the Biden Agenda, the Court decided that it was up to Congress to pass a bill that forgives student debt, not at the whim of the Oval Office, one is sure the White House will look at other ways to get the debt forgiving, thus ore court cases.  The founding fathers would be aghast at the idea that the President of the day cold forgive around 400 Billion, its a new kind of welfare, vote for me and I will take some of your debt away, what about those that did not go to University, what do they get NOTHING.   The US Supreme Court did the right thing, its up to the Congress to spend the money of the tax payer not as a bribe from a President and his political party.   The Supreme Court was also right about affirmative action that made  Universities take in to consideration the colour of a students skin, it should be about MERT, its the content of the character of the student, not his skin type, if I recall Dr King something like that  when it came to race.