The Polls and 08 Race

Lets have a look at the polls after the Unity meet between Clinton and Obama.

Gallup: Reports that Obama is ahead of McCain by 5%. In the poll we have the following results, Obama 47% - McCain 42%. This shows I think that the polls that had Obama with over 10% lead over McCain have to be seen as outriders. Also as noted before, a close race does not help Obama, you have to discount about 3%-4% who don't tell the whole truth and say the will vote for Obama but don't at the end of the day.

Rasmussen: As with Gallup, Rasmussen has Obama ahead by 5%. The poll finds the following, Obama 49% - McCain 44 %. Obama if he is to win, needs to get a bigger margin, a safe margin over 10%. Thus if you get down to a close race, Obama could afford to lose a few points but still win in the long term. This race as has been noted is for Obama to lose, all the building blocks are there for him to win, but he needs to make a good VP choice, Hillary Clinton would help with older women.

The Truth about Obama

Washington Post: This is what the press is really for, looking and digging deep in to a story. In this case looking at the reality on the ground for the 08 race. The Obama Camp faces some very real worry that good people not racists will believe rumours not based on fact. Obama is a christian, he loves his country. My problem with Obama is that he is a politician. He threw his white grandmother under the train to protect his African - American Pastor, my worry would he do the same if the colours had been different, and then he had to throw his pastor under the train. Obam has showed that he will act like a politician, he will take private money to run his campaign, while McCain will take public money. Obama is moving to the centre, thus he has changed mind on his view points that he only had a few months ago, NAFTA etc, Wiretapping, what next Iraq, don't be surprised. Obama is a Liberal, the West can not afford on the job training for POTUS.

Liberals Attack McCain War Record

The Obama Camp is either very good at dirty politics or its not in control of the message. We have General Wesley Clark attacking the military background of McCain. Then Today we have Obama being critical of those in his own Party or from the Republicans who use such negative attacks. The problem for Obama is that the folks could think its a Obama Spin job, Clark could have been on his own but the people think he was doing the dirty work for Obama. If Clark was on the VP list he will be off now, the reaction has not been good for the retired General. The Politico has an interesting article that suggests that while race is a no go area to attack Obama, the war record of McCain also a landmine for Liberals. If your going to attack the military record of McCain you better have been a POW and tortured other wise just shut up.

Obama on Patriotism but no Gipper

Just seen the Obama speech on what American means to him, well folks it was the worse speech I have head from a candidate who wants to be President of the United States of America. It does not work if you place the great Presidents of the United States as worse that Nixon. In this case Abraham Lincoln for his suspension of law and FDR for placement of Japanese Americans in holding areas. The actions of Lincoln and FDR has to bee seen in the context of the time, with Lincoln it was the Civil War, a War to free African - Americans, with FDR it was after Pearl Harbour in 1941. Reagan always stressed the positive about the United States, a Shinning City on a Hill. If you listen to Obama you would get the impression that the USA was a third world country. The Obama Camp has to stop playing to the base, the base wont get you elected, the speech writer for this speech should be sent on Garden Leave, civil service term for the sack. This speech wont get Reagan Democrats.

Also lets get something else clear, the Tyranny of a Empire, how Obama introduced the fight for American Independence against us, yes us in the UK. The UK have the been the best friend the USA has had in Iraq and Afghanistan, and lets not forget WW1 and WW2. Poor show Senator Obama.

Seymour M. Hersh on Iran and the USA

The New Yorker: A article on the covert actions taken by the USA in Iran. Israel Planning for a hit on Iran is not discussed. Read of the Day.

McCain on Carter

CNN: Reports that Senator McCain considers Jimmy Carter a bad President. Only the Elite Media or CNN could think this was new or not true, Jimmy Carter is up there with Hoover as one of the worse Presidents in the history of the United States. Go McCain on the mark.

Dowd on Bill Clinton

New York Times: Another excellent article by Ms Dowd, a very cutting article on Bill Clinton, one of the best lines of the day, " When it comes to Bill, there’s a lot of vanity but very little humility..." One gets the impression from the elite media that they wish they had forced Bill Clinton out in 1998, Gore would have become President and it can be argued that the history from 1998 would have been a lot different, yes 9/11 but no Iraq, a different Middle East.

" Kiss my Ass " Clinton to Obama! ?

Telegraph: Reports that former President has stated the title of this post if Obama wants his support. If true, and this is from a broadsheet it would be beyond shocking, it could be argued and debated that the first " Black President " that he is acting like a white plantation owner pre - civil war. Senator Obama does not have to kiss anything, he is the Nominee of the Democratic Party. He won fair and square without using race, if fact it could be argued he only become the black candidate after Clinton started using race in his support of his wife. Obama should tell Clinton to grow up or else if Obama wins he will be in the cold for the next 4-8 years, President George W. Bush would look like his best friend and so would George .H.W. Bush.

Covert Action and Iran

Fox News: Reports that the Bush Administration has increased covert action against Iran. This might be the only chance before Israel hits Iran, the CIA has to hit Iran hard, military, economic have to be the main targets. Also as in Afghanistan, those opposed to the regime have to be supported with money and arms, if Iran is in civil war it cant be a threat to others in the region.

Iran to attack Israel ?

The Sunday Times: Reports that Iran has got its missiles ready to counter attack Israel should Israel have to take military action for its own long term self defence. Iran should be warned that any counter attack on Iraq or Israel will be meet by any means, that nuclear to the rest of us, Iran has limited time to go down the Diplomatic road, the fuse has been lit, it will not take long for the attack if Iran does not show that it seeks peace full end to its threat to Israel and Western Security.

No Money !

The Sunday Times: Reports that the fat cats that have given money to Labour in the past as closing their wallets. The Rich don't get richer by throwing good money down the toilet. If they think its over for Labour they will look somewhere else to spend their money.

Gates on Obama Team ?

The Sunday Times: Reports that Senator Obama is being advised to keep Robert Gates, the Defence Secretary under President Bush. This would be a good move by Obama, as this would help him with the moderate Republicans and Independents, and would allow him to place the Iraq policy still in Republican hands, Gates has also served the Reagan, Bush 41 Administrations. Also it should be noted that President Bill Clinton also appointed a Republican as his Defence Secretary.

Attack on Iran ?

Telegraph: Reports the view of Shabtai Shavit, former head of the Israeli Intelligence, the Mossad on the policy options of Israel when it comes to the nuclear planning of Iran. As the article states the end result could be based on who wins the American Presidential Election, a McCain win and Israel would take more time but should Obama win then don't be surprised if Israel hits Iran before the 20th January 2009. All Domestic Politics is International.

Death in Afghanistan

BBC News: Reports on the death of another British Soldier, the total now stands at 110. If we going to stay in Afghanistan, we should send more troops, we need better force protection. Afghanistan if full of mine fields dating back years, we need to make sure our troops are not under threat from mines that go back to the Soviet Era.

The Stolen Earth - Dr Who Review

The Doctor Who News Page: The Top programme on Saturday. Well what can I say, I was blown away, it had it all, drama, links to the past, Rose, Donna, Captain Jack and a former PM. The ending whats going on, the Doctor cant regenerate! A new Doctor that would be the best kept secret since Deep Throat and Watergate. Lets be honest the a New Doctor would be a lot more important!! Then I recalled have you seen the Doctors Daughter Episode? If correct the next regeneration would be the last, the writers would have to come up with something. also did you notice that when Donna was having a sit down, those bell sounds in her mind, did bring something to mind, the last season!! Is Donna the Master, not sure I am ready for that, Liberal but not that Liberal yet!! Another week to go, someone give me a Tardis NOW.

Terror in Pakistan and Afghanistan

New York Times: Reports on the threat to Pakistan from the regrouping of the Taliban. If the Taliban can undermine Pakistan, create a nuclear armed Islamic Terror state from the ruins of Pakistan, the entire security of the West would be under threat.

Washington Post: How Afghanistan is going to get hotter in military terms, the problems with the border security with Pakistan and how this hurts the military in Afghanistan. The USA and the UK should meet and discuss are there any other ways to deal with Afghanistan, the UK Armed Forces are getting hurt in Afghanistan, it has become worse that Iraq, are we getting our own Vietnam.

LA Times: Reports on the threat to Peshawar in Pakistan from the Taliban. The Government of Pakistan should be supported in what it needs to do to make sure its does not fall and is replaced by a government that supports the Taliban.

Purpose - McCain Ad

New York Times: Reports on the new McCain Ad that deals with Domestic Energy Security. The Liberal Times was never going to give it a thumps Up!!.

The Sting and the o8 Race

The Times: Reports on the fake Unity meet between Obama and Clinton. If you want to watch real drama with honesty watch Dr Who. Any one with a brain cell can see this meet as a power sting.

Update: The Sting, movie about con men in the 1930s. That had more reality that the meet yesterday.

The 08 Race

Time: Has a new poll that shows a very close race between Obama and McCain. Not the 12% to 15% margin some polls have shows of late. In the poll Obama has just a 4% lead. Time states the following on this lead, " barely above the poll's 3.5% margin of error. " In other words its a even race, nice to see some honesty from the elite media. In the poll Obama 47% - McCain 43%. This follows a pattern, Obama can not reach over 50% and McCain is always under 45%. In these posts I have argued that in a close race Obama will lose, if he is ahead by just a few points you have to take in consideration those that tell the pollsters what they think in this PC world they should state. If Obama is to win he needs a big lead, otherwise in November a lot of the Elite Liberal Media will be crying in their beers or coffee.

Labour in Scotland

BBC News: Reports that the Labour Leader in Scotland has had to resign over a donations row and the punishment of the Scottish Parliament. This is more trouble for PM Brown, the weekend after his one year anniversary of becoming PM. If your betting person would you place a bet on PM Brown being the leader of the Labour Party at the next election.

Death in Afghanistan

BBC News: Reports on another Death in Afghanistan. As reported is seems to have been an Accident. The Death total now stands at 109. Between combat and accidents this theatre of war has been costly for the Armed forces.

Sex And The City

Well this straight guy will be going to see Sex and the City. I loved the series, no I am not gay, just good series and want to see the movie.

Update: Well folks what a great movie, you worry sometimes when a series goes in to the movies but this worked, all the actors on top form, ah to have a girlfriend like Samantha, she can cook and I would not be at work for the serving of the food!! If you liked the series go and see the MOVIE.

A Year for PM Brown

The Times: Reports on the bad By - Election result for Labour. When will the men in boiler suits come to tell our own Stalin, sorry Mr Bean that its time to go, Gordon Brown has been a disaster as PM. Do the Labour Party want to go down to a 1997 defeat in 2010.

Grow Up Mr President!

CNN: Reports on pressure for Bill Clinton to come out in full support of Obama. No chance, this was his last chance to get beyond Impeachment, his wife was meant to win, he would be her second in command, and it didn't happen, Bill Clinton wants Obama to win as much as Tony Blair really wants Gordon Brown to win, get real people!! Bill Clinton will be the the guy between the Bush Presidencies.

Our Poll is RIGHT

Newsweek: Goes to bat for its own Poll, when you have to do that your in trouble! Worth a Read, its fun.

Iran the Left

Guardian: A Editorial from the left wing Guardian that at its heart wants to do nothing about a nuclear armed Iran. Go back to the 1930s and you get the The Times wanting to Appease Hitler. Thank God Israel will not wait for another Munich to be sold out by the weakness of the Western Left. NOT THE GUARDIAN'S BEST DAY.

Gun Control and the 08 Race

BBC News: Reports on the decision by the US Supreme Court to allow greater Gun Ownership in the United States. As could be expected, the Republicans supported the move while the Democrats want more restrictions on the individual having a gun for legal use such as for the protection of his or her home, Obama in his reaction wants to have it both ways, guidance from the Court but local Laws for different areas of the USA. I think on this issue the Court was wrong and I support the Democrats, being over the water in the UK, even today am shocked to see Police Officers with guns, with the exception of the military and police on the whole support tough anti gun laws. In today's day and age, the use of firearms is to common, thus the need for restriction.

Dr No is Senator Obama

CNN: Reports on a new political Ad by the McCain Camp, it is an Ad that will try to define Obama as a prisoner of the Liberal Elite. The Elite that does not understand the concerns of the folks, is concernd more with the welfare of animals than getting Oil. The folks need cheap gas now, not in 5-10 years that the Obama plan would try to solve the problem.

Good Politics

Politico: Reports on a good move by Senator Obama, this shows his move to the centre and he will stand up to the Liberal Bloggers out there in cyberspace. The Senator will support wiretapping of those that are a threat to the USA. This is a great move by the Senator, the Politico writes the following, " His stance on the FISA bill, however, has brought Obama back down to earth, in part because the liberal blogosphere cares more about civil liberties than many of the other traditional issues that have long dominated the Democratic agenda. " It can be argued that from a political angle this is a great move, Obama what ever some of the polls state is in a close race with McCain he can not be seen as weak on national security. This support of wiretapping allows him to state that he is the change, that he will challenge the Liberal Establishment. All the Senator has to do now is move his views in Iraq and Iran.

A New Poll - Gallup

Gallup: A new Poll and we have a tied race, both McCain and Obama on 45%. Thus the polls have gone from tied to a Obama lead of 12% - 15%. This shows its early folks, we have a long race, its not in the bag for Senator Obama. Lets recall McCain was seen as out of it last year, finished, but he won, the Obama Camp should not be to cocky, it has to move to the centre and it has to be for something, it cant get away with saying No to drilling and not having any any quick solutions, Obama has a real fight on his hands, a real fight in some respects even compared to his fight with Hillary Clinton.

WORDS

Great Ad, shows Obama in his true colours, does what it takes to win, more ads like this, keep it on policy, show that McCain is the real deal.

Clinton for VP Redux ?

RCP: Bob Beckel argues for Hillary Clinton to be the VP for Obama. One word this would be a disaster, its a Liberal Political daft view to be blunt, lot like the West Wing between seasons 1-5 was to do with real politics. Hillary Clinton on the ticket would be like having a hurricane about to go off in the shape of Bill Clinton, this is not the old Bill Clinton, these days its all about the Clintons. It would not matter if Obama was the nominee, we would be back to the bad old days of the 19990s. Its time for the Democratic Party to move on and forward, they have started with Obama lets not go back to the bad past.

A Trend ?

Bloomberg.com: Reports on a commanding lead for Obama in its Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times poll, in a direct match up or with others Obama has a double edge lead. In the direct match up Obama leads by 12%. In the Poll Obama 49% - McCain 37%. This is the second poll to show Obama ahead by double digits, this could show that the Newsweek Poll was correct, but still no great movement in the tracking polls. Lets have a look at the Gallup and Rasmussen, in the Gallup Poll Obama has a 3% lead over McCain, Obama 46% - McCain 43%. As stated a split vote does not help Obama, if one looks at close races, Obama tends to lose, thus we still have a even race. The Rasmussen Poll has Obama ahead by 4%, Obama 49% - McCain 45%. McCain Camp should be happy, McCain has reached the 45% mark at last, while on the other hand the Obama Camp should be worried that Obama cant get pass the 50% mark in these tracking polls.

The RCP average polls has Obama ahead by 7.3%, but these include the Bloomberg and Newsweek Polls, they could be right but have my great doubts. But if the tracking polls catch up with these polls it would be a big win for Obama, but we have to wait, this is going to be a long race.

Death in Afghanistan

BBC News: Reports on the death of another British Soldier in Afghanistan. The total now stands at 108. How many more deaths can the British Army take in Operational Theatre before Afghanistan starts to become our Vietnam.

Iran Attack before 09

Telegraph ( UK ): Reports that John Bolton, Bush's former UN Representative, has stated that Israel will attack Iran before a new President is in place on January 20th 2009. As readers of this blog will recall VIEWS has stated this view on the issue of Iran.

Iran the Bomb

WCBSTV: Reports that Iran could have the bomb in six months. Israel will never allow Iran to became a Nuclear Power. Read of the Day.

No Iran Attack Yet!

JP: Reports on the wild rumours that Iran had been attacked, they have not so far been attacked by either Israel or the USA. The Time is coming, the price of Oil will hit the roof quite soon, just the way the wind is seems to be blowing from the region.

Death in Afghanistan

BBC News: Reports on another Death of a British Soldier in Operational theatre of Afghanistan, the total now stands at 107. How many more, what is the end result?

Domestic and National Security

Good Ad by McCain, the Campaign has to stress in this day and age, that Domestic security is combined with National Security. McCain has to set himself as the reformer, also good political punch at Obama with the President of Iran with the President of Venezuela together, good first ads by McCain.

Target Iran ?

Fox News: Reports that Iran has rejected the latest moves by the West to punish Iran for its nuclear plans. Its a matter of time folks, either Israel or USA will attack Iran before the year is out, Bush will not want to leave Iran out there, a nuclear Iran would be a major threat to the West. Israel could not trust that a Obama Administration would be tough with Iran, Obama has not helped by his policy to have a meeting with the President of Iran without conditions. The drums have already started for this confrontation with Iran, they are getting louder by the day.

Bush the New York Times and Iraq

New York Times: You will need a chair folks, a article in praise of Bush 43 and his policy in Iraq, in the Liberal New York Times. David Brooks writes in the Times, " But before long, the more honest among the surge opponents will concede that Bush, that supposed dolt, actually got one right. " If the NYT is moving to the reality of Iraq how long before Obama has to change policy, cant go to Iraq and declare failure, he will look like a fool, on National Security he is weak, thus he has to move more to the centre when it comes to Iraq.

Silly Season

The Silly Season was August in Politics, now its June, we have Obama with his Presidential Seal, and McCain with staff who cant keep their mouths shut, when do we get the real political stuff, policy differences not this junk.

Diplomacy and Iran

Fox News: Reports that the USA is thinking about opening a Diplomatic Office in Iran. Is this a really good idea if the USA or Israel attack Iran before the end of the year. Or is it a bluff, make Iran think the USA wants Diplomacy and then attack, would be tricky, like it if that is the plan.

Michael Dukakis and 1988

The Times: Interesting article on how the polls in June are on the whole never a good indicator of the General Election Result. As the article points out, Governor Dukakis was ahead of then Vice President George H.W. Bush in 1988. If Liberal don't read might depress you!! On the other hand read.

Obama and Money

New York Times: Reports on the decision by Obama to run his Campaign on private Money. Lets recall Kerry had a few million still in the bank in the 04 race and he still lost. Its not if you got the money, Romney, its if the people will trust you, money does not mean winning, the Obama Camp has to be careful, one gets the impression that they think that if they raise more money than McCain they will win, then they are missing the point, they have to get their candidate to the centre with right message.

The Other Polls

Right folks lets have a look at other polls, and in my view more accurate for the 08 race.

Rasmussen Poll: This shows the race a lot closer, Obama has a 5% lead of McCain. The tracking poll has the following results: Obama 48% - McCain 43%. Again Obama has not gotten over the 50% mark while McCain is still under 45%. Thus a narrow lead by Obama, recall if narrow lead by rule is that its an even race.

Gallup Poll: This poll shows a even race, Obama is ahead but not by much, 2%. The poll find the following, Obama 46% - McCain 44%. As stated above the Obama lead is between 5% - 2%. This race is not going to be a blowout for either candidate. A long hot summer awaits, well rain in the UK.

USA TODAY/Gallup Poll: Also shows that the Obama lead is in the margin stated above, in this poll its 6%. Not the 15% swing in the Newsweek Poll. In this poll, Obama 50% - McCain 44%. Lets see if the polls change over the days, weeks ahead, if not we can discount the Newsweek the poll as an outrider and that is being kind, Newsweek is the tank for Obama lets hope its not became a 527 in all but name.

New Poll - Newsweek

Newsweek: Reports that Obama has had a major bounce since becoming the nominee. In fact a 15 point lead over McCain. The Poll has Obama 51% - McCain 36%. Lets recall New Hampshire folks, Obama had a lead of over 10% in the race with Hillary Clinton, what happened Clinton won by a few points. The Poll could show a trend, but lets waits for the regular tracking polls to show this lead, don't make a bet based on this poll till you see other polls.

Turn left - Doctor Who Review

The Doctor Who News Page: The top drama on Saturday, Football the top programme, who in the hell would want to watch footy!! Well lets back to the real deal, Rose is back, Rose is back... ( Just had to have a Cup of Tea ) Donna and Rose as a team, well all I can say, lets have more, yes the Doctor was in, not much help but hair, Rose has a point!! The Doctor Who was just fantastic, fantastic and great...Rose in till the end, what more can a geek ask for, a Tardis yes but with my luck would take me to South Wales in the 1880's, I know give me a Dalek to fight any day!!

Edwards for VP ?

CNN: Reports that former Senator John Edwards is on the Obama VP List. It would be ironic if the 2004 candidate for VP under Senator Kerry was also the 2008 candidate for VP under Obama. Also he helps Obama in the South and with Reagan Democrats. JUST PLEASE NO MORE TWO AMERICANS SPEECH'S!. On the other hand the VP is meant to be the attack dog in the race, Edwards failed to get his hands dirty for Kerry in 2004. Obama should ask Kerry what he really thought of his running mate. Also one more PR thing, he makes Obama look older, that is also good, still have my doubts that Obama will pick a face from the past.

Israel and Iran

Fox News: The military exercise by Israel is the top story on the Fox News Site. The message has worked it can be argued, the elite media is convinced that Israel will attack Iran. This message will have gotten to Iran, and EU now knows it does not have all the time in the world. I expect Oil Prices to hit new targets over the coming months.

Israel attack on Iran ?

IHT: Israel is getting ready to attack Iran, the planning and the exercise just the build up. If your a leader in Israel are you going to wait for Iran to get the bomb and starts to blackmail you and the West. The attack is coming its just when it takes place, if Israel would wait till after the USA Presidential Election, this would take the issue out of the election and would allow the candidates not to state a view, McCain would support and Obama would oppose, after the election it would not matter to Obama, it would be the transition period.

Wiretapping

New York Times: Reports from first reading like a victory for President Bush when it comes to the need to overhear the conversations of terrorist suspects. Also the Telephone Companies get a pass due to their actions after 9/11. It shows that a lame duck President still has the power even with Congress. The Liberal New York Times will hate this policy.

The Friday Polls, 08 Race

Lets see its the end of the second week with Obama and McCain for the 08 Election. Lets have a look at the Polls.

Rasmussen: One of the closer polls, the race which was tight before is closer. In this poll Obama still leads but by a narrow margin of 3%. In a head to head match up, Obama 48% - McCain 45%. Although Obama has lead in all the match up polls since he won the nomination, it not by much, would not place on a bet for him to win just yet, miles to go before the Oval Office.

Fox News: Reports that Obama is ahead by follows the trend from last week, in this Poll Obama is ahead by 4%, in the match up, Obama 45% - McCain 41%. In the poll a interesting find was that Obama/Clinton v McCain/Romney would win 48% - 41%.

The RCP Average of Polls has Obama ahead by 4.2%.

It could be argued that McCain is doing something right, he has kept the Obama lead down to single digits. Thus the move to the right when it comes to drilling seems to be working, needs to stress Drilling on the USA coast, with the cost of gas at 4 dollars and above the American people are not that green. Obama needs to create the impression that he is in the centre, his first ad was good but he needs to do something that will make Liberals unhappy, if he is seen as a Elite Liberal he will lose the election.

No, No and No ?

BBC News: It seems that the EU does not get the simple reply NO. Ireland has voted but one still gets the impression that the EU thinks it can order Ireland to change its mind. If by some stupid mistake the Government of Ireland should ask for another vote the Irish people should send another clear No.

2000 = 2008

Politico: A very hopeful article if your a Republican or a Conservative, its 2008, McCain has lost the popular vote but wins the Electoral College. On the other hand Obama has won the popular vote but is not President. Then weeks of court cases if your a political geek this is a must, go 2008 to became 2000. Must Read of the Day.

Obama 1st General Election Ad

A good at ad at first impression, but the problem I have with this Ad is that on the one hand he threw his grandmother under the train to protect his pastor but now he needs her to show that Reagan Democrats should take a look at him. It depends what the Reagan Democrats really think, have they taken in all the negative stuff from the race with Hillary Clinton, does Obama have to solve some of his baggage like his Pastor.

Electoral Collage

RCP: Has the Electoral Collage as follows, Obama 238, McCain 163. Looking at the States that can win by either I have the following results. This is early and it will change over time.

FL, 27 = McCain

NC,15 = McCain

MO,11 = McCain

VA,13 = McCain

In, 11 = McCain

Mi, 17 = McCain

NH,4 = McCain

OH,20 = McCain

NV, 5 = McCain

Total 286 ( POTUS )

States in Play 08 Redux

Yesterday Obama was ahead of McCain in Florida and Ohio, now we have a poll that shows a different result. In two new Rasmussen Polls, Florida and Ohio we see McCain is ahead, in Florida McCain is ahead by eight percent, in Ohio we see a even split between Obama and McCain, in Ohio McCain is only ahead by 1% over Obama. This result shows that there will be a lot of polls and they will be all over the place, its a very long race in 08.

Obama another Nixon!

BBC News: Reports that Senator Obama is to fight his Presidential Campaign with private money. The last candidate to fight a General Election Campaign with private money was Richard Nixon. Lets see what the Elite Media states about this development, don't expect much they are in the tank for Obama. This move will hurt McCain, he is taking public money and thus will be restricted in spending, McCain has had problems in getting the money in to the Campaign.

Drilling

CNN News: Reports that Bush 43 wants to drill for oil on the coasts of the USA. This is a smart move by the President, it wont happen as the Democrats will block such a move but this policy is supported by McCain, McCain also wants to cut the cost of gas to the public at the oil stations. Obama is against all of this, this is a chance for McCain to define Obama as a Elite Liberal who is in the tank to the green lobby and does not understand the needs of the American People.

States in Play - 08 Race

Fox News: Reports that Obama is ahead in three important states, Florida,Pennsylvania, Ohio. These are early Polls, its June, we have a few more months to travel. McCain is starting to define Obama before Obama can define himself. Lets be honest, Obama does well in the polls but when it comes to narrow margin wins, he tends to lose, people lie, it might be a PC world which is good in some respects, but that PC is not in the ballot booth.

Lieberman for VP?

Salon.com: A article that looks at the prospect that Joe Lieberman could run as the VP to McCain. I have my doubts, interesting, bold, forward thinking, annoy the Democrats. The right in the Republican Party would have a fit, he still votes with the Dems in Congress.

Deaths in Afghanistan

BBC News: Reports on the death of four soldiers in Afghanistan. The first female Soldier was killed in this War Theatre. There will be more deaths, this is going to be a long hard slog, the Troops need our support while the Government needs to come up with a Exit that works, so far our troops our doing heroic work, while that can not be said of the government.

The Front Line in Afghanistan

Fox News: Reports that the Taliban are ready to attack in the South of Afghanistan. As Iraq has cooled down Afghanistan is becoming hotter, the Taliban can read the news, they are not thick, they see the Presidential Race in in the USA. In their view, not based on reality, they are looking back to Vietnam, and the political success of the Tet Offensive that destroyed the illusion that the USA was winning in Vietnam. Although in military terms the Vietcong failed during Tet they won a major political victory. Thus we have a Presidential Election, and the Taliban don't want a McCain Presidency, in their view not based on reality they think Obama would be weaker, he has not helped himself by stating that he would talk to Iran without conditions, they Taliban could be asking why Obama would not talk them, from their view its a fair question. Expect Afghanistan to get a lot hotter for both the USA and the UK.

The Polls for the 08 Race

The polls for the Presidential Race shows a even race, Obama is ahead but not enough to place a bet. The RCP average of the Polls is Obama leading by 4.4%%, Obama 46.2%, McCain 41.8. The new polls show Obama leading by 4%. Gallup Tracking has the race as follows, Obama 46%, McCain 42%. and Rasmussen has Obama leding by 48% to 44% for McCain. As noted during a close race, Obama polls better than the acutal result, these 4% margin seems to VIEWS to really show the race as even when it comes to the popular vote, thus it could come down to the Electoral College. The margin of 4% is shown a Cook/RT Strategies poll, in this poll Obama 44%, McCain 40%. It seems Obama cant break the 50% mark, it will be interesting to see these polls after the convention to see if Obama can break the 50 mark in national polls. The one new poll seem to follow last weeks trend, a poll for the ABC News/WP shows Obama ahead by 6%. In this poll Obama is close to the 50 mark, Obama 48%, McCain 42%. It should be noted that Senator McCain seem to have a problem in getting over the 45% mark. Thus this is very close in the early weeks.

Afghanistan and Iran and the West

New York Times: Reports on the united front by the UK and the USA on Iran and Afghanistan. Some new news, the troops sent to Afghanistan will be around the two hundred mark. The troops will be needed as Afghanistan will get hot while Iraq has cooled down.

UK,USA and Iran

BBC News: Reports that Iran has been given a warning by the USA and UK to take action on the diplomatic moves by the West or face sanctions. I still argue that President Bush will take action before he leaves office, he does not want to leave Iran out there, a Obama or McCain might be to weak to take action, Bush does not care if he is popular.

Troop Surge for Afghanistan

BBC News: Reports on the statement by Gordon Brown that more troops are being sent to Afghanistan. I would prefer to take troops out of Afghanistan and sent them to Iraq. I have a feeling that Afghanistan is going to get worse before it gets better, and look our for diplomatic and military problems between Afghanistan and Pakistan.

The Moscow Summit 1988

NSA: If you have a chance have a look at these secret documents from the Moscow Summit of 1988. See how the Cold War came to an end 1988.

Fathers Day without Father

CNN: Reports on a Obama speech on African - American Males who make a family then walk away. This is good on the morality of taking responsibility for your actions also very good politics, it will be seen by Reagan Democrats as telling the truth when it would be more easy and less stressful not to deal with the issue. Thus this is a first good move by Obama, he cant let himself be defined as a Elite Liberal who wont deal with real issues in the black community, now lets get tough on Foreign Policy.

Bush, another Truman

The Times: Article on the legacy of the 43rd President of the United States of American. Truman like Bush was low in the polls, had scandals and a war with no quick fix, in this case Korea. Lets look from 2008, Truman is now considered great, but lets look at the pillars of the greatness, the ending of WW2 by the use of Atomic Power, the Policy of Containment via the USSR and winning a second term in 1948, Ronald Reagan introduced the President. Thus after 48 that we see things go down hill for Truman, political scandals and Korea. Bush 43 had to deal with 9/11, two wars Afghanistan and Iraq. In these two countries he has bought freedom, but the cost in military deaths is still going on, a war without end in Afghanistan. In Iraq we have seen the surge work, a low level of military deaths and the central government is working. Bush won a second term, it can be argued that Bush might not be a Reagan, few Presidents are, but close to Truman in many respects.

Pakistan and Afghanistan Border

BBC News: Reports that Pakistan will not tolerate its border being crossed by Troops from Afghanistan in search of terror suspects. The USA has to keep its two allies on board, it cant have two friends at each others throat. The Special Forces need to take action on the border, those from the USA will not be shot at by Pakistan, the USA would not react well to its forces being target practice for a friend in the region.

Loyalty

If your a bloke, how much loyalty do you expect from a friend who is also a bloke, do you expect honesty, do you expect them to lie to you for years because another friend, lets say female cant stand you, therefore you don't get invites to dinner any more! If your friend is your supposed best friend, do you have the right to feel somewhat annoyed or do you blame the his female friend.

What price loyalty? Richard Nixon has a point!!

Dr Who in the NYT

New York Times: Must read article on Dr Who in the NYT of all papers, have my problem with the Liberal NYT but not when it comes to their Sci - Fiction coverage, on the ball as we say over the water. Read and Learn.

Joe Lieberman in the DOG HOUSE

CNN: Reports that Senator Joe Lieberman is in the DOG HOUSE with his fellow Democrats. This is not new, Lieberman should point out to them without out his vote in the Senate they are in the cold. In other words he should play hard ball with them, fear of the loss of power can have a great effect on politicians.

The Future of the 08 Race

Politico: Reports on the view of Historians on the chances of McCain winning, two word answer, NO WAY!. But one has to remember this is after 9/11 and if one uses the example of 1968 and 1976, Humphrey and Ford came close when they had been back in the polls. Also it should be noted that McCain is not tied to Bush as Humphrey was to Lyndon Johnson. Plus Iraq after the surge is working, Iraq is not popular but the death toll is down, and the economy even with high oil prices is not in the tank what ever Democrats say often in their speeches. Lets deal with the elephant in the room, this is a change election, the Democrats have the first African - American Nominee for President, one has to ask are the American people ready for such a change, and even if they are, is Obama the right one, he is Liberal, he has moved to the centre but his losses of the later states in the Democratic Race show that if he can be defined by McCain as a Elite Liberal he might have problems, also McCain is a War Hero, POW in Vietnam, he was tortured, a maverick within the Republican Party. If Democrat hold the Champagne!!

McCain and Vietnam

New York Times: Reports on the time that Senator McCain was a POW in North Vietnam. A very fair article by the Liberal New York Times. Must Read of the Day.

Clintons and Divorce ?

Telegraph ( UK ): Reports on rumours that the Clintons are going to divorce. I don't see it, Clinton still has a chance at the VP spot, if she didn't ditch him over the Impeachment why now!

Lisbon Redux

The Sunday Times: Reports that Gordon Brown is ready to dance on the grave of the Lisbon Treaty. Brown according to the Sunday Times does not want to create two classes of Europe. Lets get real this is not about Ireland, its about the UK. One day soon Europe will go to far, and the UK will be on the out, so its better to use Ireland as a reason to bury the Lisbon Treaty. Having a weak leader has some good points, and Brown is weak, he has an election coming up and he does not need Europe to be a negative on the Campaign Trail.

Midnight - Dr Who Review

The Doctor Who News Page: Again the top programme on Saturday. Midnight allowed the actors to act their socks off, it was about acting not special effects, this programme should be showed in acting schools through the UK. Midnight was dramatic, scary, allowed character development, and for a few seconds you thought that the good Doctor was going through that air lock minus protective gear, the eyes do have it they sure do in Doctor Who.

Obama and Clinton ?

CNN News: Reports that Hillary Clinton has gone to ground, this is interesting, as after she endorsed Obama, his polls went up, now that Clinton has gone under the Radar, his polls are going down somewhat, RCP average of Polls has Obama only leading McCain by 3.6%. If you take the margin for error and people lie then the race is even, so the question folks is Clinton playing a skilled poker game with Obama. As stated by the US media sources she wants the VP spot, Obama does not want her and Bill for 4/8 years. But if Obama can only win with Hillary Clinton he just might have to take her as his VP. Winning is always better than losing.

Thank God for the Irish

BBC News: Reports on the rejection by Ireland of the Lisbon Reform Treaty. Thank God for the Irish, they see the threat to Democracy from the EU. If in Ireland would buy them all a Guinness. Gordon Brown could use this to something popular, axe the Treaty, but no we hear from the Foreign Secretary that the UK will go on with the Treaty.

AGE

The Times: Looks at the dirty pool faced by McCain from the Democrats, the issue this time his Age. As stated this race looks a lot like the last season of the West Wing, it has similar argument between the Republican and Democratic Candidates. What is ironic about the age attack is the source, Senator Kerry stated that McCain was confused about the War in Iraq, Kerry has stated this had nothing to do with the age of Senator McCain. The source is ironic as in the 2004 Presidential Race Kerry wanted McCain to run as his VP. McCain turned Kerry down, if he had run Kerry might have just won, so one has to ask is this pay back time by Kerry, the Senator saw himself as another JFK, they share the same initials. As stated this is going to be a very long race.

John McCain Town Hall Event

A very good Town Hall meeting by John McCain. The Senator was tough on Foreign Policy but moderate and reforming when it came to domestic issues. The Senator was good in pointing out that Obama had not visit Iraq in years, Obama has to be careful that he does not throw away his lead that he has received since becoming the nominee, in the RCP average of polls has Obama leading by 4.3%, lets have a look at the latest individual polls, the Hotline poll shows a close race, Obama 44, McCain 42%, thus you have an even race, lets have a look at the National Tracking Polls, Gallup has Obama leading by McCain by 6%, Obama 48%, McCain 42%. The margin of six percent is followed in two other polls, Rasmussen has Obama leading by 6%, while NBC/WSJ polls also had this margin of 6%. The general view is that Obama will lead over the next few months before the Conventions, lets see, he wont get the rock star treatment as he has had in the fight with Hillary Clinton, lets be honest the Elite Media didn't like the Clintons, its not that easy when it comes to John McCain. Over the years, the Elite Media has stressed how they wish the Republicans would follow the lead of McCain, well McCain is now leading, the Republican nominee in the West Wing was based on McCain. Over the next few weeks watch the polls, its going to get a lot closer, think 1960, 1968, 1976, 2000, 2004. The Country is split, we have a long road before November.

Obama on Terror

RCP Blog: Reports that Obama has thrown his lot in with the Liberal Judges on the US Supreme Court. This is another rookie mistake by Obama, if he is seen as weak and liberal its over, McCain should make him pay for this mistake, McCain a War Hero who was a Prisoner of War and was tortured has a right to have a view on this matter, Obama needs the Reagan Democrats who are white, working class and conservative. Obama is heading in to Walter Mondale defeat. McCain should cut a political ad that makes the point that he has the experience on National Security while Obama has the words but lacks the back bone to be tough when dealing with the enemies of the United States of America.

Deaths in Afghanistan

BBC News: Two more Soldiers dead in Afghanistan. The death toll now stands at 102. Why are the rest of NATO not doing more, and how long do we have to do the fighting and bleeding because of the of the lack of a back bone by our Allies.

Liberal NYT and Terror

New York Times: Reports on the decision by the US Supreme Court. The Liberal New York Times is over the moon, if people die because of a stupid mistake by the Court will the NYT care, have my doubts on that subject.

Rights

BBC News: Reports on the decision by the US Supreme Court to give terrorists the same rights as if they had been picked up outside the White House and not on the battlefield. The question what should the Bush Administration do with opinion from the Court, one answer nothing, throw it in the bin, the theory of law is okay, but should those now held in Guantanamo Bay get out and start to kill people again, the voters wont care what the US Supreme Court think, they will take it out on the political leadership, thus Bush should say " Stuff them " the terrorists are staying in Cuba till they die of old age or a firing squad. If the Liberal Democratic Congress and Obama really want to be on the same page as the terrorists let them, call their bluff, they can always impeach a President. The Leadership of Congress in Liberal but not stupid, they and Obama can not afford to be seen as the defenders of terrorists who who would kill more thousands even hundred of thousand if they had a chance, the rule of law is important, its not a suicide note for those that don't live in the real world.

The 42 Vote

BBC News: Reports on the Resignation of David Davis, the Shadow Home Secretary. Mr Davis has resigned as a MP as to fight a By- Election on the Issue of the 42 day period of holding a suspect without charge. A politician to stand on a morale issue, bit of shock, hope he wins, might not agree with Mr Davis but have to respect his stand, also one can see his argument, just don't agree with his opinion.

More on Johnson

New York Times: Has a detailed article on the background to the resignation of Mr Johnson. The analyses points out a very important fact, Obama has a problem, he won the nomination based on change but those that work the system, have links in all areas of the Beltway. In other words to run in the General Election Obama is going to need those that know how how the system works, its better to win with help form the old professionals around the D.C than lose but keep your hands clean. Politics is ruthless and harsh, and you need the best professionals to win, Obama kept Reverend Wright longer than Mr Johnson. The quick fix of a removal does show some weakness on the part of Obama.

Obama, VP, and the Real World!

Bloomberg.com: Reports on the first rookie mistake by Senator Obama, James Johnson 0n his panel to find a VP has been forced to resign, as it was perceived that his presence hurt Obama due to past business dealings. Obama should look to the future, not to past leaders of the Democratic Party, change was theme of his winning run, well its about change Senator, or was it just words.

War with Iran ?

BBC News: Reports that President Bush has made it clear that the military option is in play should Iran not stop it Nuclear Policy. The only option for Iran is military, we have the played the Diplomatic game, Iran wants to play the clock, it hopes it will get a better deal from the next American President. The Government in Iran is forgetting one thing, Bush 43 has nothing to lose, he has reached the level of Richard Nixon after Watergate when it comes to popularity. If one thinks that President Truman was not very popular when leaving office, but looks great now, he was willing to do what had to be done, in other words, he dropped the Bombs on Japan. The war had to end with the least loss of American Armed personnel. Bush 43 should give a warning to Iran, twenty four hours to release all its nuclear information, to have UN inspectors in Iran to check all areas of concern, they should be backed up with military force. If the government in Iran says No, then the USA has to hit Iran hard, heavy bombing of its nuclear buildings and also its security and economic structure. The bombing should also be based on the general stated view that should Iran attack Iraq the USA would use all weapons to end the war. Its coming folks, the conflict one way or another, the security of the West is at stake at the present time.

The Flaws in the Unity of the Dems

CNN: Interesting article on CNN, House members who will not support Obama. This shows that on the ground House members have found that Obama has a problem with Reagan Democrats, never mind the polls, Obama has to reach out to white working class Democrats. The Elite Media is still " Its a historic mode " Obama has in some respects the same problem McCain has, the base of the Party is not his number one fan.

Cloverfield

A great monster movie, but more important it allows for character development, you get to care about the characters, the Monster in some respects is a sideshow, the threat could be anything really, the drama and in some section fun comes from getting under the skin of the characters. Hud is a great character, but so are the other characters. This is a great DVD, if you buy a DVD this month get this DVD.

Iran Threat

New York Times: Reports that the President of Iran has stated that pressure from the West for Iran to give up its nuclear plans has not worked. One can almost feel that the President of Iran wants the Israel and the USA to attack the country. An attack from the view of Iran would help the regime, it would get public support, it would divert attention from its failure on the economic front, Iran is going to get more problematic over the next few months.

Clinton = Nixon

IHT: The Clintons are keeping record of those that have supported Obama over them in the 08 race. The Clintons are not good at losing, not very classy.

VP spot with McCain

The Times: Interesting article on the VP spot with McCain. I would go for Secretary Rice, as she would appeal to women, African- Americans, to the Bush Base. President George W. Bush would lift a finger to help, it would be seen as a victory for him if she was the VP and the ticket won. So I would bet on Secretary Rice for the VP spot.

42

If forty two or a forever is needed to protect the civic society so let be, the fundamental job of government is to protect the people. The great unwashed or Guardian Readers care more about the small print, I care about the civil rights of the people to go about their business not under threat of terrorist attack, the government should what it needs to do, it has to win this argument in the House. Phone or Email your MP, if Labour recall to them they will be fighting a General Election in under two years, thus they need people to support them, they should vote for the Government.

VP spot with Obama

CNN: Reports that twenty names are on the Obama VP list, Obama needs the candidate to fill the following boxes, male or female, white, older, military or foreign policy experience, some executive experience, Governor or Mayor something in that frame. The choice has to be a looked at by the public as a balance to Obama. This is the first most important choice Obama will make, let hope he gets it right.

Iran threat to the World

Yahoo!. News: Iran has threatened serious action should it be attacked over its Nuclear Plans. The government is Iran has shown itself to be a threat to the region, it plays for time, talking about diplomacy but giving nothing, the West has tried all diplomatic paths with Iran, at end of the day, the nuclear structures in Iran have to be taken out one way or anther, lets finish it before they can attack Israel. As long as this rogue regime is in control in Iran the West is under security threat, the West should take firm military action for its own sake but also for the people of Iran.

Iran Attack ?

BBC News: Reports on the threat of further sanctions on Iran. I am convinced that Bush will either attack Iran or will allow Israel to fly over Iraq in some way before the election in November. The price of crude oil has it record levels, thus the price of petrol for cars has gone up, this could be the calm before the storm. Expect the price of Crude Oil to go up before the November Election, for Israel to give more warnings to Iran, for Iran to ignore these warnings. Between October and January expect to hear of an air attack on Iran, Bush will not allow Iran to became Nuclear before he leaves office, he is still POTUS.

Cyber War and the 08 Race

The Times: Reports on the creation of a Cyber War Room by the Obama Camp to deal with any attacks that are not true, the Obama Camp should get some advice from the Clintons, the War Room they created in 1992 was very effective as they won in 1992. Lets hope we dont hear about dirty pool from either side, two interesting canddiates with different views, it would be a pity if either side went down that road.

Electoral College

Lets have a look at what different American Media sources have the EC at the moment. These can and will change over the next few months, this early a bit of fun.

RCP Electoral College: At this stage of the game, Obama leads McCain. RCP has the following results, Obama 228, McCain 190. One of the states in play is Nevada, and as any West Wing fan will tell you this was the state that decided the race in the final season of the West Wing. Lets have a look at the polls in Nevada, the last poll take was in May, in that poll McCain was ahead but no polls after that, thus it would be fun if the defunct series got the Democratic and Republican nominees quite close and picked the state that gives the election to Obama.

CNN News: The match up between McCain and Obama is even, CNN have the following results, Obama 190, McCain 194. This is quite early so expect different forms of the Map. Its just an bit of fun at this stage.

Obama another Reagan

RCP: Interesting article that looks at the 1980 and 2008 Campaign and how Obama could be another Ronald Reagan. Reagan was seen as tough via the USSR, while the problem with Obama is that he is seen as weak, Obama needs to take a position that is counter to the Democratic base, a right wing view on something, SDI ( Star Wars ) as in support or flip on Iran or Cuba and take a tough stand, stand that will annoy his base but will get the support of Independents and moderate Republicans. Read of the Day.

Obama another Carter

First Read: Reports on a good counter punch by Senator John McCain, the Obama Camp has been stressing that McCain would be a third Bush Term, well McCain is going for the weakness of Obama, that he is seen as another Jimmy Carter. McCain has to define Obama as another weak liberal, who will raise taxes and will be weak with those that are a threat to the West. Obama has moved somewhat to the centre, with his in support of Israel and his walk back from his remarks that he would meet with the President of Iran with out conditions, he has to avoided the impression that he is another Jimmy Carter.

100 Dead in Afghanistan

BBC News: Reports on the death of three soldiers yesterday in Afghanistan. The deaths bring the total to 100 killed in combat and other incidents in Afghanistan. How many more deaths and what is the EXIT route from this war.

Should Hillary Clinton be the VP ?

Readers here is your chance, should this blog advocate Hillary Clinton as VP to Senator Obama. Let me know and I will take your views on board, no answers will assume that readers don't want Clinton on the ticket.

The Polls for the General Election - USA

MAIN NEWS RASMUSSEN POLL, Obama 48% - McCain 40%.

Lets have a look at the general election polls, its early and they will go up and down over the months, this is a bit fun not something to bet on, well not yet!! Well we have the first African - American Nominee for President. This is historic, thus with the press in the tank for Obama, Obama is of course miles ahead, well no that's the point, in fact if one take in to account that people lie to pollsters when it comes to Obama, the race is even. The RCP average of Polls has Obama ahead by 2.5%, thus if you discount those that lie, its an even race. Lets have a look at some individual polls, CNN has Obama leading McCain by 3%, another poll shows a wider margin for Obama, the respected pollster Rasmussen shows a eight point lead by Obama over McCain, Obama 48% - McCain 40%. It should be noted that Hillary Clinton's support might have helped, he might need her on the ticket to win.

Lets take a breath, a long road has just started in the 08 race.

Clintons and the Presidential Chapter ?

Politico: Is this the Last Political Chapter for the Clintons?

Update: Folks this is my last post on the Clintons, unless Obama puts her on the ticket she is old news, this is time for the General Election, thus henceforth the posts will be about the General Election and the Obama and McCain contest.

Dick Morris on Hillary Clinton

Fox News: Mr Morris looks at what Hillary Clinton is up to, none of it good for Obama. Read of the Day.

Mark Penn on 08

New York Times: Her Top Aide writes his side of the argument as to why Hillary Clinton lost. Have read it twice and her Top Aide does not get it, it was a bad Campaign, let hit the top areas of problems, Iowa she came third, she was the front runner, Reagan also lost but it was close to Bush 41. In New Hampshire Clinton did win but only by few points, Reagan had a massive win and he had the nomination. The role of Bill Clinton was a disaster, the first " Black " President played the race card to help his wife and tried to make Obama look like any other black candidate. The Campaign did not seem to understand that the election process also included the caucuses, the Clinton machine thought it could win early and finish the race, it did not happen. Obama as Reagan did bought in new voters, in 1976 the Ford Campaign was surprised that voters that had not voted before turned out for Reagan, the Clinton Camp also missed this development for Obama. In 1976 President Ford had the White House and Air Force One to get in those days what we would call Super Delegates. Also it is has to be asked if the Clintons knew about Pastor Wright why they didn't use this information, in the Liberal Democratic Party it might not have worked, but when the information came out it hurt Obama in the later states. ONE SIMPLE LESSON, THE CLINTON CAMPAIGN WAS FIGHTING 1992 AGAIN WHEN IT WAS 2008.

Hillary Clinton and Women

New York Times: Ms Dowd has another scathing article on the Clintons. Ms Dowd writes the following, " She didn’t lose because she was a woman. She didn’t lose because America isn’t ready for a woman as president. She lost because of her own ........fatal missteps. " In till the Convention Hillary Clinton has to play the best political game she has ever played, she has to be out there in the swing states, she has to make her voters believe that they have to vote for Senator Obama, she has to keep Bill in the house, bake some bread!! If Hillary Cllinton wants to be VP she has to prove she is a team player and not with Bill Clinton but with Mr and Mrs Obama. This is in some respects the toughest fight she will have, the Obama's don't trust her with good reason and the Party is suspect that is aiming for the VP spot. This is the real fight for Hillary Clinton.

Bill Clinton TODAY

CNN News: Looks how the mighty have fallen, Bill Clinton the master politician, who in some respects helped make Hillary Clinton a loser.

Not My Planned Party ?

If hadn't seen the Hillary Clinton speech you would think from the reaction of the elite media that Clinton was really there for Obama. That is rubbish, if you get a chance watch the speech or read the transcript, the speech was about Hillary Clinton and the Clintons. Obama only got a mention because the Clintons wants Hillary as VP. If Obama would play this out, keep the VP spot open till the convention and then pick someone in the Clinton Camp but not Clinton. The Elite Media has to get its head out of its backside, this is not the 1960s, this is not about Civil Rights, this is about two good candidates, McCain and Obama, who have two different views for the USA and the West. Obama has moved to the centre with his remarks about Israel and Iran. McCain has moved to gain the support of those that voted for Hillary Clinton. The Battle of 08 will be in the centre.

Forest of the Dead - Doctor Who Review

The Doctor Who News Page: The Doctor was back on form yesterday, top programme for the day, who wants to watch football!! What am I going to do next year without the Doctor, 13 weeks of reality shows or some other rubbish. At least got the Xmas special at the end of the year and then the specials through 2009. But this is the important part, Rose is back, there is a God. P.S What is the Doctor's Name and when would he tell someone, marriage its a interesting question?

High Noon and OUT

Fox News: Reports that Hillary Clinton will quite the race at 12 pm on Saturday. Very Dramatic, if Obama Camp would be going through the roof, my guy has just won an historic event and what are we talking about, the Clintons. If Obama does put her on the ticket, and he just could, what fun us political geeks will have, every move by the Clintons will be seen as either a positive or a negative via Obama. Its been a odd year, a Obama - Clinton ticket after all I have written not being a good idea, could just turn out to be real, why meet with Clinton if not an option.

How Domestic is National Security

This Ad from McCain is good, it places Domestic and National Security in the same context. Grade B

Israel and Iran

Fox News: Reports on the developing tension between Israel and Iran. One has to look at the possibility that Israel will attack Iran before the November Election in the USA. Israel will not tolerate Iran who has a President that has threatened to destroy Israel, plus the best chance to attack would be when Bush 43 is still in the White House, does the government in Israel trust a Obama Administration to attack Iran before it goes nuclear. If Israel does attack Iran, this will put Obama in a tight spot, the Liberals like the NYT will go through the roof but the attack will be supported by many. Obama has to follow a delicate path when it comes to Iran and Israel. An attack would help McCain and could see him win the Presidency over the issue.

John McCain - General Election TV Ad

Great First General Election TV Ad by McCain. But the McCain Camp also has to make sure that its got a good domestic TV Ad to follow, McCain has to be the National Secuirty and Domestic President. Grade A

Obama and Clinton Meet, THE STORY

New York Times: Reports on the hide and seek of the Obama- Clinton meet, to be honest its not James Bond, a very in the beltway story!!

James Bond

Have just started to read Devil May Care by Sebastian Faulks writing as Ian Fleming. Have never read a James Bond before, its great. I put aside the films in my mind and came to book as if never read or seen anything about Bond, and it is still great. Takes you around the world, its the Cold War and the Culture Era, and Bond is human, but also funny in a dark humour way. So far a great book, will report later when finished.

Update: Finished, a great summer read, have gone back to the start of the series of books, have just bought Casino Royale.

Obama and Clinton MEET

BBC News: Reports on a meeting between Senators Obama and Clinton. Fox News Reported that the press are not happy, while Obama meet with Clinton, the press had been sent to to the windy city. The Obama Camp have to be careful, the press might be in the tank for Obama, they are still the press, they don't like to be used, this should also be a warning to the press, keep on eagle eye on Obama Camp, they think they can walk on water with press. As to the meeting, could Obama really put Hillary Clinton on the ticket, it would look like he was weak and what about Bill Clinton, would have loved to be a fly on the wall for that meeting.

McCain v Obama Poll of Polls

Lets have a look at the polls for the General Election.

The RCP average of polls has Obama ahead by not my much, Obama 47.4% - McCain 44.4%. Thus after all the talk of historic event, Obama is ahead by 2.2%, the Pastor, Reverend and his left wing friends have taken the shine off Obama, also Clinton has helped, that 3am ad was to the point, and one can just imagine a McCain ad with his military record. This is going to be a very close race, a lot like the West Wing. in reality McCain has Iraq, in the West Wing the Republican nominee had a nuclear accident, but Iraq is turning around, even the elite media gets that point. Lets recall in 1968 during Vietnam, Vice President Humphrey came close to winning over Nixon and in 1976 after Watergate and a close fight with Reagan, President Ford nearly won, thus the Democrats have to be careful not to count their chickens, events , events as a UK PM once stated is always out there, its going to be a very close race.

Clinton's End Game

Fox News: Reports on the displeasure by some of those that supported Hillary Clinton with her speech on Tuesday, the Non Concession Speech. These past few days should have had Obama in the spotlight, the first African - American Nominee for President with a chance of winning the White House, and what has been the main chat, let see, two words Hillary Clinton. A President needs a Vice - President to know his or her place, this is not Senator Clinton. Even after she gets out of the race, the chat will be will Hillary Clinton be the VP.

Obama and the Clinton Long March to the End!!

Politico: Looks at how the Obama Camp has dealt with Hillary Clinton since he has become the nominee. Obama has been a lot more gracious than Clinton has been to the new leader of the Democratic Party.

Clinton D - Day

ABC News: Reports and has been confirmed by other US News outlets that Hillary Clinton will leave the race on Friday. Fox News has reported that the Clinton Campaign will suspend operations, this allows the Campaign to still raise money and keep her delegates. Of course should the polls show over the months that Obama cant win this could allow Hillary Clinton to come to the rescue of the Party. Also it should be noted it is a form of blackmail, in other words Hillary Clinton wants to be VP. Obama has to be worried that other Pastors, Reverends or left wing friends might come out, thus Obama in pure politics terms might have not choice but to take Hillary and Bill Clinton. The General Election has started folks!!

Update: The breaking news broke on Thursday, the original reports had Friday as the end day for Clinton, this has now been moved to Saturday.

Bill and Hillary Clinton

RCP: A scathing critic of Bill and Hillary Clinton. The former first family should skip the article over breakfast.

Obama and Iran

ABC News: Has picked up on something that I also noticed , Obama is walking back from his policy on Iran. No POTUS is going to walk in to a meeting with the leaders of Iran with no conditions, its about politics. Must admit Obama is becoming more impressive and more like the candidate he was at the start of the campaign.

1984

The New York Observer: Looks at the comparisons between 1984 and 2008 in the Democratic Race. In 84 Mondale was put over the top by Super Delegates. I don't think Obama wants to be Walter Mondale, he lost 49 states to Ronald Reagan. Also Mondale later on could not win back his old Senate Seat due in some respects to his defeat in 1984.

Poor Pundits!!

Washington Post: A must read for all those interested in politics, even more so if you write on the subject, yes last night was different, all the professionals and bloggers have been saying its over for weeks if not months. CNN was on a happy pill, ever other comment was this was the first African - American nominee, we guessed that somewhat!! The point of Obama at the start was that he was post racial, past those 60s debates. CNN broke away from the McCain speech, doubts it would do the same to Obama. Lets get this out of the way, yes Obama is historic, the first African - American candidate but other wise still a bloke!! I hope the elite media don't lose the plot, the voters will move to Fox if Obama is not treated like any other candidate. Lets go beyond race and treat both Obama and McCain with respect,they are politicians not saints. Read of the Day.

Elite Media and Clinton

Breitbart.com: A fun article on what Hillary Clinton wants, lets be honest like Bill she wants to be POTUS.

New York Times:

Ms Dowd has a scathing attack article on Hillary Clinton. The Lady in Pants Suits wont go away!!

Washington Post: The description of the Clinton Camp on the day Obama won the nomination sounds like something out of nut house, but you have to give it to the Clintons, they never give up even when its over, finished. The WP states the following, " For a candidate who had just lost the nomination, she seemed very much in charge. " In all my years of watching and reading about American politics this takes the biscuit its surreal, am feeling sorry for Obama!!

Obama and AIPAC

Just seen the Obama speech at AIPAC, it was a very good speech, had some good lines about tough diplomacy, used the examples of Truman, Kennedy and Reagan. Question will it help with the Jewish vote? It was not a direct walk back from his views that he would talk with Iran without conditions but it should be enough, even sounded good to me, if elected Obama does not want another Munich on his hands, would not help with his re - elect. Also he stated that military force was always an option. My second look at Obama shows that Obama knows that he will lose a debate on National Security with Senator McCain, thus a move to the centre, will it work well that's down to the polls.

Elite Media and Clinton

The Elite Media I think are going to go bonkers with the Clintons, it was meant to be Obama's night and what do we get, the same bloody question, what does the woman want? If she wants the VP spot just say for god's sake, all the bull about let every vote count is bull, its about the Clintons and power and Impeachment.

Obama Speech

Senator Obama is good at speech making, but this is June, you cant get away with that for months. Obama is making the same mistake when it comes to Iraq. If Obama keeps to the same policy he will lose. He is good but he is no Ronald Reagan. There is a difference folks.