Sunday, November 05, 2017

POTUS might talk to North Korea!! - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

Either you are going to talk to North Korea or go to WAR, they are the only choices.   As it has been stated by many a War in Korea would be disaster, hundreds if not millions would die, on the other hand do you want to appease a Stalinist State, or give the impression to Iran that all it has to do is get the bomb to warn the US off.   It can be expected that North Korea will try to get in to act of Trump visiting Asia, thus they might launch more missiles or even worse test a nuclear device out in the open, that would be seen as a major threat and the US would have to take action.  Talk, Talk is just about better than War, War when it comes to North Korea, but then let us see what happens. 

US Defence Department and North Korea - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

This is the usual strategy by the US Defence Department, after Vietnam and Iraq the US Department sometimes has to be pushed to take action, thus they develop a terrible end game, ground invasion, many deaths on both sides, it is meant to frighten the politicians over at the White House, they tried that with Bush 41 when it came to the invasion of Kuwait by Iraq, the President replied that the US military would get what it wanted, not the endless debates they normally seek.   The Democrats will push this, they have gone to the left, it's the Party of Senator Sanders and Warren, the old THIRD way of President Clinton is long gone.  Let's see who blinks first, Trump, the US Defence Department or North Korea. 

Tuesday, October 31, 2017

The UK should walk away from the EU - NO Deal Better Deal - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The UK should not pay a farthing to the EU, if the Government wants to spend billions in a divorce deal then the Hard Brexit MPs should bring down the Government.   The UK voter does like or trust the EU, it does not want to spend billions on the pensions for EU civil servants.    The May Government should go to the Country again, state that the hard remainers want to stay in the EU and want to spend billions on keeping the EU happy.  Conservative MPs should be threatened with a General Election, that will show how brave the hard remainers are and those that want a soft Brexit. 

Trump on Russian Connection - Update - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

THUS the real long fight starts between President Trump and the Special Prosecutor, it will be up to the prosecutor to prove his case in a quick manner, one can expect that Trump will fire him if he takes to long, the Trump Oval is not going to wait years to be under investigation.   The Democrats must hope that the Special Prosecutor get to the red meat of the connection between the Trump Team and the Russian Government in a quick manner, they want to run on impeaching Trump in 2018, so can Mueller get to the end point before he is fired. That is the question. 

Monday, October 30, 2017

The Russian Connection Part 3 - Russian Scandal - Trump Era


Let's Get Real:

When do American politicians and staff learn never to lie to the FBI, the clever ones just say they can not recall, the prosecutor can not nail you for perjury if you have a BAD memory, how ever much they do not believe you, this worked for Ronald Reagan during Iran - Contra and HRC with her scandals.   Those that think they are brighter than the FBI land themselves in trouble and cause problems for their political Masters.   One will see how much damaging information Mr Papadopoulos has on the Trump Campaign and Administration.   This will be  LONG fight, it will take years. 

The Allegations against Paul Manafort - Russian Connection - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

One should recall that the Watergate break took place in 1972, the resignation of Richard Nixon was in 1974, and Trump is no Nixon, he will fight and he has the money and base support for this to last years. When it comes to Iran Contra, it broke late in 1986 after the Mid Terms, Reagan and his staff did a great job of dealing with the legal and political aspects of the scandal, at the end Reagan got a slap on the hands for bad management skills, while Bill Clinton and his scandal took up 1998 and only came clean when he had no choice.   The Democrats best hope is that they take the House and Senate in 2018, otherwise it does not matter what they want, the Republicans will stall in till 2020, there is already talk that Trump will not run for a 2nd term, with his poll ratings that could be a good idea, he does not want to be a LOSER.   This story is far from over.

The Russian Connection Part 2 - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

They say history repeats itself, well it seems that the Trump Campaign did a 1968, in that year Candidate Richard Nixon got the South Vietnam Government not to enter talks with the US and North Vietnam for a peaceful end to the Vietnam War, this lead to the election of Nixon in a very close election.   The question you might ask why bring up that NOW, well it can be argued that the Watergate break in of 1972 was Nixon wanting to know what the Democrats had on Nixon and the events of 1968.   Let's look at the background of 68, LBJ knew that Nixon had been playing dirty games, but did not go public with the news as this could lead to a Constitutional crisis, thus he kep the information to himself, in other words he was making sure that Nixon treated him with respect in his Post Presidential years, well Nixon wanted to know who else knew about 1968, thus the DNC break in, and of course we have Watergate and the resignation of Nixon in 1974.    The actors change but events do seem to follow a pattern, one wishes those in politics knew a bit of political history!!