Wednesday, October 02, 2019

How Corbyn could save PM Boris - Brexit Update 4 - General Election 2019


Lets Get Real:

It would be ironic if PM Boris was saved by Corbyn, the Opposition Leader has made it clear that he will not support a caretaker PM who is not him.  Thus if a NO CONFIDENCE VOTE is passed and 14 days elapse without a new Government being formed, then we have a  General Election.  This would help the Conservatives win a overall majority, and then have a clean and clear EXIT from the EU.  It can be postulated than the Liberal Democrats will never vote for Corbyn, as they would face massive election losses, while the remaining Conservative rebels would never be forgiven for placing Corbyn in 10 Downing Street, while some even LABOUR MPs might not vote for Corbyn.  Thus Boris is saved. 

Ten Days to get a Brexit Deal or the UK Walks - Brexit Update 3 - General Election 2019


Lets Get Real:

The cynics in the political community have suggested that the Boris plan is an attempt to place the blame on a NO DEAL BREXIT on the shoulders of the EU,  while EU from sources have suggested that they are not open to a new deal as designed by PM Boris.  Thus we have a mexican standoff, neither side are going to give way or make a deal, the Surrender Act states that if there is no deal then the UK must ask for an extension to Article 50, PM Boris has stated he will not ask for an extension, then who will, will the House of Commons force the Cabinet Speaker to send a letter, does he even have the authority and then what, a general election that could give the Conservatives a majority and the Remainers will be left in the dust, that is why they have not accepted an offer of a general election, they are turkeys afraid of Christmas. 

The Surrender Act and Brexit - Brexit Update 2 - General Election 2019


Lets Get Real:

Thus IF the EU turns down the new UK plan for Brexit, then we reach an impasse, by UK law the Government must request an extension to Article 50, or will the UK Government try to find a way around the new law.   This blog has proposed that the UK Government Declare a State of Emergency, thus close down Parliament and have a General Election.  One is sure the Remainers will complain and try use the Courts against the Government, but the UK Government can argue that they will have a General Election no matter what, do the Courts want to block a vote of the people.  This is trench warfare, you have to be ruthless to win, it is a battle of attrition, the REMAINERS have to LOSE for the sake of UK DEMOCRACY. 

Deal or No Deal on Brexit - General Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

Thus we have come to IT, the final offer of a DEAL from PM Boris, the mood music well by the tone of the BBC and Sky has not been good, it is expected that the EU will reject the ideas for new Brexit Deal.   By law then PM Boris has to ask for an extension of Article 50, but the PM has stated that is not going to happen, so what happens next.   It can be expected that the Opposition Parties will bring a NO CONFIDENCE vote in the Government at the end of this week or the start of next week, then we have doubt, there is then 14 days for a new government to be formed, or there will be a General Election. IF the Liberal Democrats and the rebel 21 Conservative MPs do not support a limited Corbyn Government or Corbyn does not support a different PM, then we have a general election. Thus in November or December we will have a  general election.  What will the UK voter decided, that is open to question. 

Friday, September 27, 2019

The Whistleblower Complaint - US Election 2020

Fox News: Read the transcript of the Whistleblower complaint against President Trump.

Lets Get Real:

Always read the documents when it comes to a case of impeachment.  The 24/7 news networks always hype what they want the viewers to know, that goes from CNN to Fox News. Always make up your own mind, an impeachment process should take a year and have endless Committee meetings, the Democrats want it over in 8 weeks, whenever someone tries to push for this something this fast, you always have to ask why?  Are they afraid that the charge will not hold up, also the Democrats do not want the process to overtake the Democratic race for the nomination.  Even with Iran Contra, the Gipper was lucky, it came at the end of November, after the 1986 Mid Terms, and the hearings did not last that long, the special prosecutor at the end did not achieve much and Bush 41 pardoned the main actors in the fair, the Gipper could transfer the problem to his successor, and not have deal with any pardon issues, kept his hands clean, a great politician. 

*After reading the whistleblower complaint I am not impressed, a lot of 2nd hand knowledge, and lot open press reports, if this is ALL the Democrats have got, they are in trouble.  The Congressional hearings better have something more, or the Democrats are going to look like fools and this blog does not even like POTUS. 

The Impeachment of Trump and the US voter - US Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

In 1974 Richard Nixon only agreed to resign when the Republicans in the US Senate told him it was over, if this had not happened the history could have been different.   Also the polls for Nixon were bad, it was the reverse for Bill Clinton, the US voter did not think that Clinton deserved to be impeached because of an affair and he was found not guilty by a Republican US Senate.   As long as Trump can keep the defections to a few Senators up for re-election in 2020 he will be all right.  Of course if House hearings next week can push the story along, then there might be a difference, does the White House hold other compromising transcripts of Trump with other State leaders.   This blog would be interested to read the transcript of the talks between Trump and Putin, one would assume that the Trump White House will fight tooth and nail to keep them quiet.  It is going to be dramatic week next week. 

The Impeachment Fight - A Dirty War starts - US Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

The Democrats expect to get through the impeachment process by the start of December, that is just 8 weeks, a real honest investigation and hearings would take a YEAR, the Democrats are showing their true colours, most are political hacks that would be on the other side if it was  Democratic President.   The Democratic base has wanted to impeach TRUMP since his election win in 2016, the failure of the Mueller report was a shock to them and to CNN and other liberal press.  Thus they had started on impeachment when rumours of the UKraine scandal had just broken.   This process could hand TRUMP a 2nd term, the base will be furious with the Liberal House, that could get them to vote for Trump for a 2nd time, the Democrats are really bad at basic politics.