Monday, July 29, 2019

Conservatives LEAD Labour in WALES - Brexit Bounce for Boris


Lets Get Real:

This is nice bounce for Boris, but a by - election is expected to go against the Conservatives, just cutting their majority, the Liberal Democrats are expected to win.  The No 10 political operation should get ready for a general election, the House of Commons is expected to BLOCK a No Deal Brexit, thus Boris will have to go to the Country in September or October.  The Hard Remainers do not care about democracy or the unwritten UK Constitution, thus they should be de-selected by their local associations, the HARD Brexit supporters  have to take a nuclear weapon to a gunfight, they have to win, they represent the last chance for UK Democracy. 

The Pound FALLS - Brexit Update 1 - Will the UK get Brexit?


Lets Get Real:

One can expect the REMAIN papers and channels, that includes BBC News and Sky News to focus on the BAD NEWS of Brexit.   The Pound goes up and down, the point of the story is to undermine support for Brexit, make the people peeved at the government for making their pound do less when they are abroad.  Those that support LEAVE has to counter these arguments with the FACT that no one knows what will happen on the 1st of November if the UK leaves without deal.  Airplanes will fly, boats will go in to ports, a banana will get to the shops, we got through WW1, the Spanish Flu, WW2 and the end of Empire.  This is the change for the UK to reclaim her Greatness. 

Trump uses racist language to attack a Democratic Congressman - Election 2020


Lets Get Real:

In low political terms, one understands what POTUS is doing, he is trying to give the impression that if the Voters vote for a Democrats they will get a disaster, he is using the Squad and this attack as an attempt to define the Democrats and their nominee while the nomination process is going on.   POTUS seems to have missed the Great Society of LBJ and his civil rights reform, he is going for broke.  One must assume that he thinks if he can frighten enough white Americans in the rust belt they will vote Trump, who has it can be argued has given them a good economy.   The sublet message, well hardly subtle is that African Americans run Districts and States are BAD.   This was the same message used by Nazi Germany in the 1930s, Trump is not appealing to the better angels inside us,he is looking for the worse, and thus his attacks on the squad and Rep Cummings, he is forcing Democrats to defend them.   Thus Trump hopes to win 2020 by getting white votes to vote as if they are a minority, think when African - Americans as a whole voted for President Barack Obama.   This blog gave POTUS the benefit of the doubt at the start, this blog will have to get ready to support either Biden for Harris for President in 2020. 

Wednesday, July 24, 2019

Rudd a Remainer stays in the Cabinet - Update 4 - Boris Era


Lets Get Real:

Amber Rudd was seen as  a firm Remainers, the type that would go down with the ship, also she said that Boris could not be trusted in car if you were female, strong words you might think.   Well politics is about politics, keeping your job and getting up that greasy poll of politics.  Those in the Boris Cabinet; ( it will be hard to think of Boris as PM, he just makes this blog smile ); have had to make a blood oath to support a NO DEAL BREXIT on the 31st of October.  As stated the HARD REMAINERS could bring the Boris show to end FASTER than expected, thus hold on your hats, its is going to be rough ride for the UK and the Conservative Party.  Will Boris go down in history as another Churchill or Gordon Brown ?  Time awaits the answer. 

Conservative Remainers could bring down their own Government - Update 3 - Boris Era


Lets Get Real:

The new Chief Whip has a big job on his hands, he has to remained these Remainers MPs, that if they bring the Government down, then they will not be Conservative MPs at the forthcoming election, there will be no honours after it is all over, no OBE, CBE or  a Knighthood, or a peerage, NOTHER EVER.   In fact it has to be assumed that as Chief Whip he will have access to the private files on MPs, from their expenses to their personal lives, all that would be fair game.  If the Remainers want to play dirty, the new Johnson Administration has to go LOWER.   This is about winning and following the Democratic choice of the UK voter in 2016.  This war could get nasty and fast. 

UK Reshuffle - Update 2 - Boris Era


Lets Get Real:

It can be argued that Boris is going for broke, he has set himself a 99 day window to get out of the EU, with a deal or with NO DEAL.  If you are going ALL IN as they say in Texas poker you might as well throw in ALL YOUR CHIPS.   The question is can it be done, the EU will want to see if the Johnson Administration is stable before giving any concessions, also the HARD REMAINERS and those that Boris has just sacked will want to flex their elbows on the backbenches.  The different this time, is that the WHOLE Cabinet will be united on one simple message, there will be a return to Cabinet Collective responsibility at ALL LEVELS.  The PM has to be ready for a snap election, his Majority will go down to about 1 after a by election that is coming up, all seem to agree the PM will lose a seat to the Liberal Democrats.   Time might not be on the side of BORIS. 

Boris's Afternoon of the Long Knives - The Boris Era

BBC News: Reports the high level leavers and those that have been sacked from the new Boris Johnson Administration. 

Lets Get Real:

In his few hours as PM, Boris has shown that he is a good butcher, that is one of good aspects required by a good PM in the opinion of Sir Humphrey ( Yes Minister, Yes Prime Minister ), all the important Cabinet jobs have changed, Philip Hammond resigned before getting the sacked, the new Chancellor is Sajid Javid, while at the FCO, Jeremy Hunt refused the offer of being Defence Secretary, thus moves back to the backbenches, in his place we have Dominic Raab as  foreign secretary.   At the Home Office, Priti Patel will become home secretary.   These at just the top jobs, half the Cabinet that was in the May Cabinet has gone, it seems like Trump, our new PM is very thin skinned when it comes to critical comments.   Even hard Brexit Ministers who were Brexit before Boris have gotten the chop,  because they were either to critical during the leadership contest or supported the wrong candidate.   The timescale for the Administration could be  very short, Boris has given himself 99 days to get BREXIT, he has to get a deal with EU or try for  a No Deal Brexit in the face of opposition from the House of Commons.   Boris could be the shortest serving PM ever, just 99 days if he fails.   One can see a General Election in September.  The Hard Remainers will use any underhand method to prevent Brexit, this is why this blog is wary of the process.