Blair vs. Brown - The 2005 Plot

Telegraph: Has exclusive documents that show how the Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer Ed Balls and the new Labour Leader Ed Miliband in 2005 plotted to overthrow the then PM Tony Blair. The fact that Brown, Balls, and Miliband had a plot to get rid of Tony Blair is not new, what is new is the documents, since Miliband and Balls now lead Labour they should face some tough questions from the press. Lets be honest Ed Balls has form for these dark political acts, Diane Abbot now a Shadow Minister stated when she was running for the Labour Leadership if Balls in the past had not been up to dirty tricks then it was his EVIL TWIN BROTHER. One can guess that Tony Blair will be laughing at the discomfort this will cause to ex Labour PM Gordon Brown and the tough questions that the Labour leadership will face, if they will stab their own leader in the back what else will they do, with Ed Miliband its easy, he stabbed his own brother in the back, one can assume the Conservative press will not allow the Labour Party to forget their internal Wars. If this is the way they ran the Labour its no surprise that Labour came close to bankrupting the UK.

Obama and the Polls

RealClearPolitics: Has its average of the Presidential Job Approval Polls, the OBL bounce has gone, in its latest average of polls RCP has POTUS on 48% Approval and 46% Disapproval. In other words folks a tie, what is really hurting POTUS is the bad economic every month, as noted of late the unemployment rate has gone up to 9.1%. Also ObamaCare is still loathed by voters, also a recent report has suggested that many Americans who get their cover through work could see that benefit being lost due to the fact that its cheaper for business to pay a penalty to the Government and not give health benefits. When it comes to the debt ceiling the only idea coming from the Oval is to raise taxes, that is really going to get individuals and business to spend. Its still early folks, but if I was VP Biden I would start to look for another job after 2012, one can argue that Obama did the same mistake as Bush 43, while Bush had VP Cheney, Obama has Biden, what is the common thread, simple folks, neither was a political threat to POTUS, they had no political ambitions after finishing a second term. President Reagan took a risk and placed Bush 41 on his ticket, Bush 41 had ambitions to be President in his own right, thus saw the context of a 2nd term in pure politics, in other words if you want to be the successor to the boss you will make dam sure on the whole that there are no banana skins on the road, policy or scandal wise. Yes folks Bush 41 had to deal with Iran - Contra, he was not in the loop, while Gore was highly critical of Clinton and his affair. Thus Bush 41 won in 1988 due to in many respect the support of Ronald Reagan, it was seen as Reagan’s third term, while Gore came close but he didn’t use Clinton on the Campaign trail, if he had he just might have won. Thus expect Obama to have a new VP pick in 2012, perhaps Secretary Clinton.

Weiner Scandal

CNN: Reports that Democratic House member Anthony Weiner has stated he will not resign because his pregnant wife wants him to say in Congress. How low can you get in politics, using your pregnant wife as political cover for your creepy actions, Weiner has no shame, but typical of a Liberal, liberals don’t have the concept of shame, the House of Representatives should throw Weiner out on his backside, that’s only thing that has not been shown on the internet. Shame on you Congressman or Cadman more likely.

President Blair of the EU ?

Guardian: Has an interesting article by a Shadow Minister Diane Abbot on former Labour PM Tony Blair’s idea that the EU should have an elected President, this is a great line from the article, “ A cold shiver must have passed down many a spine this morning……for the sake of the sustainability of the European Union, Blair must forgo his dreams. ”. Thus one would expect that Labour under Ed Mililband would support the idea of Tony Blair as President of the EU, that’s way Blair’s comments have been taken, but no Ms Abbot it can be argued is talking for most of the Labour Party, and lets be honest, most of the UK. If Blair become President it would send Gordon Brown round the twist, okay not a bad idea then, the Lib Dems would have a nervous breakdown, okay still not a bad idea, but lets get back to reality, after Iraq Mr Blair does not have that many political friends who support him as President. Also it would take a UK referendum for there to be an elected President, can you see Ed Miliband who has thrown New Labour under the bus really going and campaign for Blair to become President, the Guardian would need Prozac and a lot of it, okay still not a bad idea. Blair for President, you never know with Blair but not in the near future folks.

Syrian and Turkish Border

Telegraph: Reports that over a thousand Syrian Refugees have crossed the border between Syria and Turkey as to escape the expected Syrian military assault on Syrian rebels in the town of Jisr al-Shughur. The UK and France have stated that they want a UN Resolution that is critical of Syria, but form the latest newswires it seems that Syria’s Russian Ally will veto any such resolution. Thus what can the UK, France and the US do about Syria, the answer is not a lot folks, the Syrian Regime has used the border between Syria and Israel as a flash point to divert attention from its suppression of its own people, thus if the West raises the pressure on Damascus the Syrians can send thousand even hundred of thousands to the border with Israel and cause havoc. What if hundred of thousand walk and try to cross the border with Israel and they don’t have any weapons, how much force would Israel use to keep its Sovereignty. Thus as always the Middle East is cauldron of fire that can splash when least expected and the victim might be the wrong people.

NATO escalates Libya Strikes

The New York Times: Reports that NATO dropped around sixty bombs on the Libyan Capital Tripoli on Tuesday. Lets be honest here folks, the objectives of the NATO allies has gone well beyond the UN Security Council Resolution 1973 of protecting the people of Libya. The Allies have to much political capital on the line, Obama is getting pressure for breaking the War Powers Resolution Act, France has a vote in its Parliament shortly to keep France in the War, the Labour Party is getting nervous about the War. Thus Obama, Cameron etc need a quick victory, either Gaddafi out or dead, dead being the better option, a Colonel Gaddafi on the lose would be a threat to the new Government of Libya. Thus expect bigger bombing folks, there can only be one result, NATO can not afford to lose.

Romney vs. Obama = 2012

Guardian: Reports on a Washington Post/ABC News poll that has Governor Romney on 49% while President Obama is on 46%. Not quite the time for Republicans to have a Party, this is a snapshot of the mood of the electorate just after the US unemployment rate went up to 9.1. POTUS might try to keep his base happy and get independent voters back by getting out of Afghanistan faster than the 2014 timetable. This blog has been has always been wary of the War in Afghanistan, but lets hope POTUS does not put party politics ahead of national security. After the death of OBL the political aides within the White House see a Exit route out of Afghanistan, but Afghanistan is not the PRIZE, the prize is a stable Pakistan. If the Pakistan Taliban can use bases within Afghanistan after the West has left it could undermine the security of the Government of Pakistan, and lets recall Pakistan is nuclear armed. Lets hope Obama puts military strategy ahead of his re-election, otherwise a sharp withdrawal of troops will be used by the Afghan Taliban as a PR victory, this would undermine NATO in Afghanistan and could set back the 2014 leaving date.