HM The Queen in Ireland

BBC News: Reports on the arrival of Queen Elizabeth 11 in Ireland, this is the first visit by a reigning Monarch since King George V arrived in Ireland in 1911. This really shows haw far the peace process has come, the Royal visit by the Queen should become a norm, the troubles with the exception of a few incidents is in the past, both the UK and Ireland have present problems to deal with, we are both broke in many respects, Ireland needed a EU/IMF bailout, the UK due to the close relationship between the UK and Ireland has given loans to Ireland. This is a great day in the relationship between the UK and Ireland.

Lady Thatcher 85th Birthday = 10 Downing Street

Telegraph: Reports that the Iran Lady of UK Politics Lady Thatcher will spend her 85th birthday in 10 Downing Street next week. I recall the day Mrs Thatcher as she was then departed 10 Downing Street, she had been stabbed in the back by her own Cabinet, it was one of the most shameful events in Conservative history, yes Sir John Major did win the 1992 election but the Conservative Party took years to recover from that act of political assassination. Lets be honest folks, as for great PM’s there is Churchill and Thatcher, the rest are so 2nd rate, one can argue that Tony Blair should be up there, but Iraq causes a shadow over the time of Tony Blair. The UK was lucky to have Lady Thatcher as PM, she was great, lets hope she has many more happy birthdays in 10 Downing Street.

The Sun Poll - 6pt Conservative Lead

The Sun: Has a daily tracking poll for the UK 2010 Election, this poll also has the Conservative Party on a 6pt lead over the Labour Party, in this poll the Conservatives have 39%, the Labour Party 33% and the Liberal Democrats on 20%. As we have seen with the Guardian Poll the Parties are within two percent of 37% - 39% for the Conservative Party and 31% - 33% for the Labour Party, the LibDems are stuck on 20%. Thus for the Conservatives to get a 1 set majority in the House of Commons they need a swing of 6.9%, more than Tony Blair got in 1997. The question that has to be asked is the Guardian right that the Conservative Party has not secured that deal with the UK voter, it really depends if you trust the polls, or more correctif you trust the UK voter to be honest with those asking the questions, one only has to recall 1992, everyone thought it was Labour shoe in, well John Major won with a 21 seat majority, thus Major and the Conservatives stayed in power in till 1997 and the arrival of Tony Blair. The 1997, 2001, and 2005 elections one knew who was going to win well before the election was called, and it was not the Conservative Party, this blogger will wait in till closer to May 6th before making a final prediction on share count and the seats in the House of Commons. There will be a lot of polls before the end folks, this blogger wont be going through them all; HAIL, I hear you shout; but if there is trend will point them out, such as both the Conservative Sun and the Labour Guardian both have the Tory Party with a six point lead, not enough for a Commons majority but a Hung Parliament, what fun that will be folks.

Brown the new John Major? Will 2010 be 1997?

The Sunday Times: Reports on developing splits in the UK Cabinet, with Hazel Blears the Communities Secretary attacking the communication strategy of UK PM Gordon Brown. This is all about the 201o election, it looks like Labour is heading for an election meltdown as the Conservatives faced in 1997. This last full year from May 1st 2009 to May 201o has the feeling of the last years of the Major years, the Labour backbenchers are in open revolt as was Conservative Backbenchers, the economy is in the toilet, very much like the UK was after she was forced to leave the Exchange Rate Mechanism ERM the PM is not like his predecessor, Gordon Brown is no Tony Blair and Sir John Major is no Margaret Thatcher. Thus this attack from within the Cabinet should be warning to PM Brown. Lets recall Sir John Major resigned as Party leader and stood again as he wanted to clear doubts about his leadership once and for all, it didn't work. Thus after the June Euro Elections Gordon Brown could face an election challenge. Does Brown have the backbone to repel borders, his YouTube news that he had a new plan for MP's expenses did go down well with the House of Commons, that kind of news is stated in the House. The communication strategy didn't go down well with Ms Blears either, she writes in the UK Observer the following, " YouTube if you want to. But it's no substitute for knocking on doors or setting up a stall in the town centre. " This is a direct attack on the PM, does not matter if the Minister says she is loyal, this is a sacking matter, can you see Lady Thatcher putting up with that for a second. Thus if Mr Brown does not not sack Ms Blears its over for PM Brown. A lack of sacking would show that he is weak, thus another John Major.