Woodward vs. Obama's Oval

CNN - Politics: Reports the following on the war of words between the Obama Oval and famed Watergate reporter Bob Woodward, the article notes the following, " An email exchange between two old Washington hands ....is at the center of a political controversy Thursday as two sides read the messages differently. ". 

Lets Get Real: 

Lets see what the elite press do folks, do they support one of the men that bought down Richard Nixon, or the Chicago Oval,  the press should recall Nixon's enemies list, and if it Bob Woodward today, it could be them next, lets recall your dealing with a Chicago political operation, they think D.C is an extension of Chicago, and thus the same ruthless rules apply.    This blog tends to take the corner of Woodward on this, who would you trust, the man that bought down Nixon on a Chicago run Oval.    If its the Oval you should not be reading this blog, your simple or a New York Times/Guardian reader. 

The Chicago Way and Famed Watergate Reporter Woodward

Telegraph: Reports on a conflict between the Obama Oval and famed Watergate Reporter Bob Woodward, the article notes the following, " ..was accused of falsely claiming he had been threatened by a senior White House official ". 

Lets Get Real:

This is what happens when you combine Chicago politics and winning a 2nd term folks, the Oval thinks it can walk on water, it is even more dangerous when it is a Chicago Pol, on the whole the press have covered for the Obama Oval, thus when a reports gets out of line they think they can go on the attack and not reaction.   This is massive mistake, this Bob Woodward, part of the team that bought down Richard Nixon, you really do not want to make him an enemy, thus time for the older hands in the White House to calm the Staff, tell them you do not got after the press, they are there forever, and they have very long memories, bad mistake Oval.  Grow Up!. 

Limited US Support for Syrian Rebels - Syrian Crisis 2

Guardian: Reports the latest on the Syrian Crisis, " US pledges expanded support for Syrian rebels but no military aid ".

Lets Get Real:

This recalls the weak response of Bush 41 and Bill Clinton to the early years of the Bosnian War, the lack of action as Tony Blair stated of late is a policy decision, the Assad Regime knows it has the support of Russia and Iran, at the UN the Russians block any real action against Syria, while Iran through Iraq air space give military support to Syria.    Thus as long as Russia and Iran have the back of the Syrian Regime and the West has such a tepid response more Syrians are going to die, real leadership is about taking decisions that are not popular at home, the Liberal left would go bonkers should the Oval place US troops on the ground in Syria, but because Syria has weapons of mass destruction this might be the only choice folks,  lets hope the Obama ego does not lead to the Assad using chemical weapons on his own people, based on the idea that Obama will never really take military action, US Presidents sometimes have their hand forced, Obama might have no choice at the end of the day, either US troops or Israel has to do a major strike, real politic is a harsh business folks. 

US support of Syrian Rebels - Non lethal HELP

BBC News: Reports that the US has stated that it will give direct support to the Syrian Rebels, it will give the  Rebels food and medical support. 

Lets Get Real: 

One can assume that the Syrian Rebels will be less than pleased, as the article notes since the revolt started two years ago over seventy thousand Syrians have died and the UN and the Oval has done nothing,  the Syrian Rebels will have seen that Islamic extremists or terrorists are supporting them more, thus when the Assad Regime falls, and it will fall folks the West and the US will not have that much influence in a new Syria, the worry for the Oval and the West must be that Al Qaeda will have great influence in a new Syrian Government,  and thus a threat to Israel and the Middle East.  The question that has to be asked is how many Syrians have to die before the Oval acts, a hundred thousand, a million, at what point does it become a  morale issue that that Oval can not avoid.   This is the time for the Oval to act, time for the Obama Administration to lead the West, and not lead from behind. 

Obama and Syria - Syrian Crisis

The Hill: Reports the following development within the Obama Administration when it comes to Syria, the article notes the following, " ..White House weighs providing direct aid to Syrian rebels  ". 

Lets Get Real: 

Thus folks thousands of Syrians have died even after Obama's Secretaries of State and Defence and the head of the CIA supported arming the Syrian Rebels, the Oval said NO.   The reason was not down to Middle Easter politics, it was down to the political calender in the US, the 2012 US Presidential Election was on, and the Oval did not want to anger his liberal base, its now 2013 and the Oval is looking at its legacy, the Oval lead from behind in Libya, the face of that victory was the UK and France, in Egypt the Muslim Brotherhood has come in to power, it wants to make Egypt the next Iran.   This is a threat to Israel, how many Syrians have to die before the Oval acts, a hundred thousand, half million, does it want another  Bosnia, Rwanda, the World watching while people are killed.   Lets see if the Oval to use a diplomatic phase gets off its backside and acts, well the Oval did get a Nobel Prize for doing nothing, lets start seeing the Oval earn it by saving lives. 

Iran's Plan B to a Nuclear Bomb - Iran Crisis 3

Telegraph: Reports on the latest on the Iran Crisis, " Iran is developing a second path to a nuclear weapons capability by operating a plant that could produce plutonium, satellite images show for the first time. ".

Lets Get Real:

Thus what ever the UN, EU, or the Oval wants the real World is this folks, the Tehran Regime WANTS THE BOMB, it will try any method that gets it the bomb in the fastest time possible.    The endless talks with the UN/EU is just hot air, the objective of Tehran is to get the bomb, they need time, they have to make sure that the Oval keeps pressure on Israel not to act, thus these talks are in a positive path from the viewpoint of Iran, the Regime will spin till the cows come home, then it will have the bomb and Israel and the US have a major crisis.   It is time for Israel to act, it can not trust the Oval/EU/UN, they do not care about reality, they want the appearance of successful talks, the left wing media do not support actual action, thus folks we are walking in to a Crisis, our eyes are wide open and are clear, it is just we do not want to see the REAL WORLD. 

Appeasement of Iran - Iran Crisis 2

Guardian: Reports on the meeting between the P5+1 and Iran, the article notes the following, " Six-nation group offers concessions including sanctions relief in return for acceptance of limits on uranium enrichment ". 

Lets Get Real:

The yellow streak by the UN is down to Iraq folks, the Wars in Afghanistan and Iraq have drained public support for troops on the ground, thus the thousands that have been allowed to die in Syria and the move by Iran to become a nuclear armed power.    The Oval does not want to start another War, the Libyan Operation had the face of the UK and France, while the main support came from the US military through NATO, the Oval stated it was leading from behind, a WAR with Iran would force the Oval to lead form the front, that takes political courage, something that the Oval does not  have, never really has had, the Oval is scared stiff that once the US and its Allies are out of Afghanistan that the Taliban and Al Qaeda will come back, Southern Vietnam in 1975 all over again, who will be on the last helicopter out, this will be a threat to the nuclear armed Pakistan.     The Iran and Syria Crisis seems in a endless time loop,  with Iran, Israeli threats, endless talks, concessions, then back to crisis again, while in Syria, just endless death.    That what happens when you have a weak Oval folks. 

Talking with Iran - Obama's Appeasement

BBC News: Reports that Iran has stated that new talks with the permanent members of the UN Security Council and Germany have taken a positive step.

Lets Get Real: 

Of course they are going well, the Obama Administration is in appeasement mode, the P5+1 are offering to lessen sanctions up front, not after the fact,  the Tehran Regime is a bad actor on the international stage, it will play along with these talks as it knows that the EU and the Oval does not want to take action,  Iran wants to prevent Israel taking action, as it did in 1981 and again 2007 while it seeks the bomb.    The Islamic Republic has seen how North Korea treated, hot air out of the UN but no action, simple reason, the North Koreans have the bomb,  folks do you really think that the NATO would have taken out Gaddafi of Libya if Libya still had its weapons of mass destruction.   Thus Tehran will have endless talks, but they mean nothing, the Regime wants the bomb, at the end of the day Israel will have to act, its in the security interest of Israel, a nuclear armed Iran would be a threat to the entire Middle East. 

Secretary Kerry and Syria - Syrian Crisis Update

Telegraph: Reports on comments made by the new US Secretary of State, John Kerry,  while on on his first trip to London as US Secretary of State, Mr Kerry stated the following on Syria, " ..sought to heal a rift with Syria's opposition on Monday, promising not to leave them "dangling in the wind" as they struggle against President Bashar al-Assad. ".

Lets Get Real:

In other words folks the Oval after rejecting the advice of State, Defence and the CIA will arm the Syrian rebels,  the sole reason that the Oval did not arm the rebels in the firs term was the worry that it would cause problems for the Oval with his liberal base, they do not matter now, what worries the Oval is how History will deal with Obama's record when it comes to foreign policy.    On the plus side the Oval has finished the US presence in Iraq, also lead from behind to bring down Gaddafi of Libya.   Its the negatives that are the problem, the lack of a US presence in Iraq has allowed an increase in violence, while Iran is closer to the bomb, the US threw its ally Hosni Mubarak under the bus, thus allowing for a Muslim Brotherhood Government in Egypt,  the relationship between the Oval and Israel is at frozen as you can get for an ally.   In Syria Al Qaeda is supporting the Syria rebels, while the West is seen as being slow and not helping with rebels.  In  Afghanistan the Oval is worried that once the US leaves the terrorists will come back and the nuclear armed secular Government of Pakistan could come under threat.     Then there is North Korea, it is developing its ICBM and nuclear technology, a threat to the region and a supplier to Iran.   Thus folks, Syria, Iran or North Korea could sink a 2nd Obama term, just ask Carter how foreign policy can destroy your Presidency. 

The Joke that is Italian Politics - Italian General Election

Guardian: Reports the following on projections from the Italian Election, " Earliest projections show Silvio Berlusconi's centre-right coalition just ahead in Senate, contradicting exit polls ". 

Lets Get Real: 

Thus Mr Berlusconi has bounced back, the man has more political lives than a Time Lord, so Italian political system will be like the US, while in Italy it looks like the Berlusconi Party will have a narrow lead in the Senate, in the US the Republicans hold the House, thus the present budget crisis.  It was reported that if the results come out as expected, that the left take the lower House of Parliament and form they Government they will find it difficult to get their agenda passed the Senate.   Thus Italy will be back in the spotlight, expect the Italian markets to take a hit, and expect the new Italian Government to ask for a further bailout and less of austerity.  Thus the joke that is Italian politics carries on, what would Augustus say, look down in sadness would be the guess folks. 

Obama and Tax Hikes - 2nd Obama Term

BBC News: Reports how President Obama is stressing that the expected Budget cuts that come in to force on Friday will lead to job losses in education and defence. 

Lets Get Real: 

Thus the usual liberal blackmail folks, what really worries the Oval is the fact that defence cuts can be restored, while welfare cuts are harder to restore in the present political climate, the Oval knows that if the Budget cuts come in to force and the Republican House does not accept new tax hikes they will have the Oval over a barrel, the House will have shown that it will stand up to the Oval and at the end of the day the Oval is the Chief Executive of the US, the Congress is just the board, who recalls the name of the Board.   The Republican House should stand its ground, if they do the Oval will know that it will have to deal, and this means welfare cuts and this will really drive liberals up the wall.    If you listen to the Oval it sounds like the end of the world, the entire social structure of the US will fall apart, what will happen should the House agree to tax hikes is that the Oval and the Democrats will add trillions to the US debt, they are never going to agree to tax cuts because they want too, they will only agree under political pressure, so House Republicans stick to the Reagan Agenda, no tax hikes, and smaller Government and make the Oval eat it, that is the Chicago  way. 

House Republicans vs. The Oval - 2nd Obama Term

The New York Times: Report on the fight between House Republicans and the Oval when it comes to expected enforcement of agreed cuts, the House Republicans as the article notes  " ...say the increase in taxes for the affluent that was agreed to at the beginning of the year was the last concession they will make on new revenue. ". 

Lets Get Real: 

It is about time that House Republicans show some backbone, the Oval will never cut, it needs people on welfare, how else will Democrats get people to vote for them, the US has a debt of 16 trillion, you can not just tax the rich ALL the time, at the end of the day a Liberal US President has to lead and cut welfare, that will not be Obama, he is looking at 2014 and 2016, the Obama Camp is good on the Campaign trail but actually Government is something else,  the elite media has covered for Obama for his first term, but even they know that Obama is out in 2017, and at the end of the day they want people to read and watch their news content, if its just a White House press release what is the point.    The cracks have started with the Obama drone attacks, if the US economy does not improve even the left wing NYT will have to start questions, not yet, but sooner or later they will have to decide is it Obama or they that matter, it will not take that long.   Liberals and those on the left like tax hikes but they never want to cut welfare, Obama is using emotional blackmail to try and get more tax cuts, when that does not work who will be the next target, yes the Middle Class folks.   Liberals never learn, that is why Republicans and Conservatives always come back, we are worse than Zombies, and we are right. 

New North Korea Nuclear Test - North Korea Crisis

Telegraph: Reports the following from North Korea, " ..has resumed activity at a nuclear site following its internationally condemned atomic test, amid fears that the regime is planning to trial further bombs. ".

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks North Korea is going for a new nuclear test, this is really time for China to show its a Super Power and a leader in the Region, at what point do they pull the plug on North Korea, if they really wanted to they could cause the North Korea Regime to fall, the Chinese Governments is showing the weakness of its own Communist system, it does not want millions of starving North Koreans going over the border in to China, on the other hand it does not want its arch opponent for leadership of Asia, that being Japan going for the bomb.   Thus China has to ask itself, what is the lesser evil, a ally that has told its senior supporter to get lost and thus must be removed or a nuclear armed Japan or worse South Korea.   Thus China has to be firm and take action, it might mean that North Korea unites with the South, that is better for China than Japan with the bomb.   If China wants to be a Super Power it has to act like a Super Power, a small step sometimes means breaking a rough stone. 

The Oval and Afghanistan

Guardian: Reports on US support for the Afghanistan Government after 2014, the article notes the following, " The Obama administration is considering a plan to maintain 352,000 Afghan troops for the next five years as part of an effort to maintain security .. ". 

Lets Get Real: 

The most important date for the Oval is 2016 folks, the Oval does not want Afghanistan to fall to the Taliban, Al Qaeda back, and the War on Terror back on the front page of the New York Times.    It would be  a disaster for the Oval should there be a major terrorist attack in 2015/16, in 2012 Obama stated that Al Qaeda was dead while the US Car industry was still alive, after a US Government bailout.   If Al Qaeda is back in 2016 the US car industry is being made in China the Democrats will have a problem with their message.   As Afghanistan has shown for the British Empire and the USSR powers never end well in Afghanistan, thus one can expect that Afghanistan will fall in to another Civil War, then Al Qaeda and Taliban will return their home.   This will place pressure on Pakistan and in 2015/16 there will be another Crisis in Afghanistan.   The nickname for Afghanistan is the Graveyard of Empires, that story never ends folks,no matter the man in the Oval. 

The US in Afghanistan Post 2014 - Afghanistan

BBC News: Reports that the US has denied a German Government story that the US will keep around eight to twelve thousand US troops in Afghanistan.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks this blog tends to believe the Germans, its a big enough force, without making Liberal Democrats feel that President Obama is going back on his word.   The reason the Oval wants to keep such a presence in Afghanistan is two fold, to make sure Al Qaeda does not come back and to make sure that the Taliban of Pakistan do not use Afghanistan as a training ground as to attack the secular Government of Pakistan.  Lets recall folks Pakistan is a nuclear armed power, the 2nd Obama term would be in the toilet should Al Qaeda take over Pakistan or Iran get the bomb.     The Wars in Afghanistan and Iraq would like happy hour should Al Qaeda have a presence in a Government in Pakistan and even Syria folks.   Thus the Oval wants to protects its back, the weakness could be if the Al Qaeda come back and start to attack the US troops, that would force a choice, either back them up or leave, as stated leaving is not option, thus Afghanistan could come back to haunt Obama, as Iraq damaged Bush 43.   Watch this space folks. 

2nd Term Blues and Obama - 2nd Obama Term

CNN - Politics: Reports the following on the Obama Presidential legacy, " A second-term president has a small window of opportunity. And a presidential legacy is not something that can be kicked down the road. ". 

Lets Get Real: 

In recent Presidential history folks, ALL Presidents want to be Reagan, his VP won after him, it was seen as his 3rd term,  he was loved and had scandals like Iran - Contra but but he could walk away from it, also foreign policy disasters, while Clinton was impeached and his VP, Al Gore lost Bush 43 in Florida, while Bush 43 had to deal with the mess that was Iraq and a Western banking collapse.  Thus events will define the Obama legacy, he has given the US ObamaCare and got the US out of Iraq, on the other hand the US economy is in a slow recovery, and the US has a debt of 16 trillion dollars and going up.   The Obama legacy could be end of the US as a Super Power, it happened to Rome, British Empires, the next could be the US. 

Bulgarian Government FALLS - EU

Telegraph: Reports that the Bulgarian Government has fallen due to " ..rising prices, a stagnant economy and widespread corruption. ". 

Lets Get Real: 

Thus folks Western and Eastern Europe has a common disease, a stagnant economy, a growing youth unemployment, as those on welfare see the cost of living go up, and of course the pillars of a State are seen as corrupt, only helping the rich while the Middle Class and the poor as shafted every which you can think off, thus the solution folks.  It easy folks, the EU has to get rid of the Euro, the currency is killing Europe, it only helps the Germans, and the Germans are getting sick and tired of bailing out sick Countries of Europe.   President Hollande of France has gone to attack the rich, a 75% tax rate, even the French Courts threw that out, the Obama Administration just wants to raise taxes, never cut welfare.   The West has to bite the bullet and slash welfare, not just cut but really slash, enforce that you can not retire in till your 75 to 80 for men and women.   Even after you retire you only get full benefits if your at the bottom, if you well off you have to pay for health etc, the young, those between 18-25 should not get any welfare AT ALL, of course there are exceptions, but they should be narrow and limited.   The Welfare State is killing the Democratic West folks, it could be the 1930s all over again, this time there might be no  FDR, Churchill. 

Greek Violent Protests - Greece

Guardian Live - Euro: Reports in its 1.13pm post that Greek Police have used teargas to break up Greek protests. 

Lets Get Real: 

This blog supports peaceful protests against any Government policy, but once a protest turn violent the Police should read the Riot Act and go in hard, a Democracy can only work if those that use their rights behave, a Democratic State can not be threatened by the mob, it seems from reports that Greece has been bought to a HALT.   The Greek people had a choice in their recent election, between accepting the austerity package as demanded by the EU or getting out of the Euro, they chose the political parties that support Greece being in the Euro, thus those that try to overthrow the democratic will of the people through violent have to be taken in by the Police and give a tough stint in jail.    The Germans will not keep bailing out Greece if Greece decides it does not like the strong medicine, why should the German tax payer pay for the out of control welfare of Greece.    It is time for the Greeks to look at Classic Greece, the givers of Democracy and understand that with a vote comes results, those results can not be over turned by violence and the break down of law and order.    Police be tough but fair, Greece is under threat. 

When a General Strike FAILS - Greece

BBC News: Reports on how the 20th General Strikes in Greece have failed to stop the austerity agenda of the Greek Government, this had lead to Budget Cuts and tax hikes.

Lets Get Real: 

As long as the Greek Government keeps to the idea that it has to stay in the Euro then the Greek people will suffer, the glue that is keeping the Greek Government to the Euro is the Greek Elite, the real people of Greece would suffer short term pain if they left the Euro but could see light at the end of the tunnel, at this rate the Greek people will be walked in to the earth of Greece.  One has to ask how the Classic Greeks would view this, a Greece on its back, a economic slave of the EU, at least classic Greece had Rome, a real Empire, and Augustus was seen as a God, not the EU folks.   Poor Greece. 

Insulting Israel - Secretary Kerry

The Hill: Reports that the new US Secretary of State, Senator Kerry will not visit Israel on his first visit official visit abroad, the article notes the following, " Kerry had been expected to visit Israel and push for restarting peace talks with the Palestinians ahead of President Obama's own trip to the country next month. ". 

Lets Get Real:

What a slap in the face folks, the visit does include Egypt and the new Muslim Brotherhood Government but not Israel one of the America's closes allies.  This should be a warning to Israel, it can not trust the US State Department or the Obama Oval.   At the end of the day the Oval will not attack Iran,  it does not have the backbone to follow through, it refused the advice of its Secretaries of State and Defence to arm the Syrian rebels, the Oval hope it will all go away, yes folks the Oval is not fit to lead the Western World.   Thus Israel will have to act, for the security of Israel and for the Middle East, Israel will have to strike Iran soon before the Oval starts to place pressure on Israel to accept a nuclear armed Iran, look how weak the response has been to North Korea.     Lets hope Israel sees the signals and acts folks. 

Emotional Blackmail and Taxes - 2nd Obama Term

CNN - Politics: Reports the following on the effects of the agreed governments cuts if they came in to effect as stated by President Obama, " ..warned Tuesday of diminished emergency services, longer airport security lines and other problems.. ". 

Lets Get Real: 

One is surprised that the Oval did not have starving children and weeping mothers at the front, yes folks its that low, might work, the liberal ellite media, CNN etc will run the Oval line, the elite media will not ask the Oval if its is ready to suspend ObamaCare during this crisis, or suspend its money throwing policies when it comes to green issues.   The Republicans should just tell the elite media to get stuffed, refused to do interviews, only do Fox News, those interviews are balanced and fair, time for Republicans to grown a steel backbone, and tell the Oval it has to make major cuts in welfare before any agreement.    The Oval respects a steel resistance as mentioned, time for Republicans to be more like Reagan, call a spade a spade, Obama is a tax and spend liberal, just say NO. 

Emotional Blackmail and Obama Tax Hike Agenda

The New York Times: Reports that President Obama used the threat that those that work in the emergency services would lose their jobs if the pre set cuts come in to force, the article notes the following, " ..reflected the political frame that he has devised to try to force Republicans into compromising with him by supporting some higher revenues — something they so far refuse to do. ". 

Lets Get Real: 

This is typical of the Obama, he using blackmail, very simple and quite effective if the Republicans play that game, just say NO to the Oval, force the Oval to make real cuts in welfare, just do not play on the Oval field.    If the Republicans refuse to play the blame at the end of the day will land on the Oval, the President should be able to work with the Congress, Obama does not do well when people are not falling at his feet, in fact he folds, just ask North Korea and Iran, he can't use drones on them, that simple and brutal folks.   The Democrats will try anything to avoid doing cuts, they know they are cutting their own throats, they only have tax hikes, in never ends, and when you can not tax the rich any more, its the Middle Class that get it in the neck, factual.    That is why the Conservatives and Republicans always come back and win, that is why Lady Thatcher won in 1979 and Ronald Reagan in 1980, people just get tired for paying for other people, harsh but the real world folks. 

North Korea THREAT to South Korea - Korean Crisis

Telegraph: Reports the following threat form North Korea, " South Korea faces "final destruction" if Seoul and its allies continue to push for tougher UN resolutions against North Korea's nuclear programme, Pyongyang warned on Tuesday. ".

Lets Get Real:

This is the typical BS that North Korea comes out with folks, its rubbish, even the Stalinist Regime of North Korea gets the fact that if it starts a WAR with South Korea the US and its allies will destroy North Korea, so empty threat folks.  It the same on the US and its allies side,  they can not do a d-m thing about North Korea, it is armed nuclear power, with a million man army on the border with South Korea.  If  a WAR does break out it will destroy North Korea and its evil regime, cause mass death and destruction in the South, lead to the Japan going nuclear.   Thus folks we are seeing a game, a dangerous game, and its results could lead to a nuclear armed Iran, then start to worry folks.   The Tehran Regime have seen  what happened to Gaddafi of Libya after his gave up his weapons of mass destruction,  also the Civil War in Syria after Israel removed the chance of a nuclear armed Syria in 2007.   Thus the Middle East faces tense months folks. 

Hillary Clinton for President - 2016

Guardian: Reports the next phase in the career of former US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, the article notes the following, " The former secretary's next moves are being closely watched for signs that she is running – or not – for the presidency in 2016. So far she has not stated an intention to do so. ".

Lets Get Real: 

Thus as the article notes Hillary Clinton has joined the speech circuit,  and will write her memoirs, the question is what next, in many respects the decision could be down to what happens in the 2nd Obama term, does Syria civil war lead to a regional war, does North Korea help Iran become a nuclear armed power, does this lead to backlash against the Obama team, and of course Hillary Clinton was his 1st Secretary of State.   Do the Clintons put some distance between them and the Obama Oval, does VP Biden really think he has a chance of getting elected in 2016, will President Obama understand that if his agenda has a future after 2016 then he has to pick a candidate and that candidate has to win, lot of questions folks, not a lot of answers, this year should give some answers, and the first might come from Israel, do they hit Iran, with or without US approval and what are the results in the Middle East.  Watch this space folks. 

Obama and Tax - 2nd Obama Term

BBC News: Reports that President Obama is pushing for more tax hikes as to prevent set cuts coming in due to a previous agreement with Congress. 

Lets Get Real: 

This is typical Obama strategy, refuse to deal and hope the other side folds, the Oval and the Democrats on the Hill were never going to agree to real welfare cuts, they Democrats need people to be on welfare, they scare those on benefits at election time that those nasty Republicans are going to take away their benefits.  If the present welfare state, created by FDR and LBJ was not around the Democrats would never get back in to power.   As over 40% of US voters are on some form of welfare, that is an in built Democratic vote, thus they will never cut big government departments, the Republicans have to take the risk and allow the agreed to cuts to come, they can always put more money in to defence, the same can not be said of welfare, the Republicans should call the bluff the White House, allow the agreed cuts to come in to force,  then the Oval will know it has to deal in good faith in the future, that the Republicans will not fold like a cheap tent.   Time for Republicans to grow a backbone folks. 

Iran and North Korea and the UN

Telegraph: Reports on the following statement by the UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon, " Iran is using the same methods as North Korea to develop its nuclear capabilities, requiring "firm, decisive and effective" action by the Security Council, the United Nations secretary general has warned. ".

Lets Get Real:

It can be postulated that the UN Chief sees the UN going the way of the League of Nations in the 1930s, if the UN can not deal with two of the most important threats to World security in the 21st Century what is the point of its existence.    The North Koreans can not be touched, they are a nuclear armed nation, if they attacked they could cause mass deaths in the region,  also Japan could become a target.    This could force Japan to go nuclear in the near future.  As for Iran the Oval has a very short time scale to act, Israel will not allow a nuclear armed Iran, thus either the Oval can get real talks or Israel will have to act, with or without US approval,  they have in 1981 over Iraq and 2007 over Syria and of late of course.   The Oval might wish that these problems go away, they will not, it will not be peace in our time, any time soon folks. 

Iran and the BOMB - Iran Crisis

Guardian: Report that the Supreme Leader of Iran, Ayatollah Khamenei has stated that " that no state has right to stop Tehran building nuclear arms if it chose to do so .. ". 

Lets Get Real:

This is Iran for once telling the truth folks, they are going for the bomb, no matter what the public PR, they want endless talks as to buy time, the more time the West thinks that Iran is talking in good faith the more time Iran gets to getting the bomb.  A Tehran with the bomb would be a disaster for the Middle East and for the West, the Oval would have to act, the liberal coalition that Obama has created would fall apart, the extreme liberals will never support any military action against Iran, thus Obama would need Republican support, and that folks would cost, his domestic agenda would hit the deck, faster and with not much compromise from the Republicans.   The Oval should learn the lessons of Munich and of Vietnam, the arrogance of the Leader, as with Chamberlain and LBJ, it destroyed them in the end, nothing is that new in World history folks, and arrogant leaders is not new, Obama joins a very long list, the sad part is that Obama is not aware of his own arrogance. 

Obama, Israel and Iran - Iran Crisis

Telegraph: Reports on the message that President Obama will bring on his visit to Israel, " ...an unequivocal message to the Israeli leadership during his March visit that it must abandon all talk of a military strike on Iranian nuclear targets and support Washington's diplomatic efforts with Tehran, .. ".

Lets Get Real:

If this is really the Obama message then the Oval has lost the plot, this is the one way to make sure that Israel hits Iran, the Tehran Regime has made it clear that it does not want talks, it has seen how North Korea is treated, in other words a nuclear armed North Korea is only pushed so far, it has ICBM and nuclear technology, Libya gave up its weapons of mass destruction, and looked what happened to Gaddafi.   The Tehran Regime has Obama's number and its called Neville Chamberlain, a weak leader who reads his own speeches as fact, scary folks.    One has to ask can Israel wait, it knows that Obama will not act, in the security of Israel the Government might have force Obama to act, in other words strike Iran, the Tehran Regime might hit the US 5th Fleet, thus force the Oval to finish what Israel stated folks, in other words folks Israel might have to blackmail the Oval, force it to act, the US Congress will back Israel if it comes to a showdown between the Oval and Israel and the issue is Iran.   Tense weeks and months ahead folks. 

The US and North Korea - Korean Crisis PT2

Guardian: Reports the following on the North Korean Crisis, " But while Obama's frustration was evident from the strength of his denunciation, it is less clear what the US can do about North Korea's actions. ".

Lets Get Real: 

This blog hates to agree with the uber left wing Guardian but it does have a point, the North Koreans have a million man Army on the border with South Korea, the Capital of South of Korea is close enough for rocket attacks, the North is now a nuclear armed power, it could hit South Korea, Japan, it is a regional player, even China has to tread careful around its suppose ally, so what can the Oval do on this issue?.    The answer is as usual, give North Koreans the food they need to feed its people, get China to act like a Super Power and get North Korea to behave or at lest not show up the US and the UN.   As stated on this issue you can not blame President Obama, the chief failure goes down to Jimmy Carter who though he could deal with North Korea, yes the same Carter that gave us Soviet Invasion of Afghanistan in 1979 and the Hostages in Iran.  Next time a Carter walks in to the Oval with a bright idea, suggest he take it somewhere else, Falklands is nice place, very far away, and  no one to take his advice on foreign policy. 

Hagel over 1st Hurdle - 2nd Obama Term

BBC News: Reports that a US Senate Defence Committee has passed the nomination of Senator Hagel to be the next US Defence Secretary, the nomination now goes before the full US Senate. 

Lets Get Real:

It seems even after the disaster that was the conformation hearing the Democrats are willing to walk the blank for the Oval, lets hope they do not regret it down the line.  One can see the Republicans do a half hearted attempt to block the nomination, but at the end of the day the Democrats control the US Senate.  Thus Secretary Hagel will have to deal with North Korea, Syria and Iran.  One can see that Israel will fear that Hagel will block any attempt for the US to attack Iran, thus Israel will have to take out its greatest threat to its existence, that being a nuclear armed Iran.  The Assad Regime and North Korea and Tehran will be happy, they see a weak Secretary who is the left of President Obama, no friend of Israel, does not see Iran as a threat, in fact wants talks.  The very fact of nominating Senator Hagel could lead to a regional war in Middle East folks.   That is why President Obama is a disaster for US and World security. 

The US and North Korea - Korean Crisis Update

White House: President Obama's statement on North Korea's nuclear test this morning, " North Korea announced today that it conducted a third nuclear test.  This is a highly provocative act that, following its December 12 ballistic missile launch, undermines regional stability, violates North Korea’s obligations under numerous United Nations Security Council resolutions, contravenes its commitments under the September 19, 2005 Joint Statement of the Six-Party Talks, and increases the risk of proliferation.  North Korea’s nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs constitute a threat to U.S. national security and to international peace and security. The United States remains vigilant in the face of North Korean provocations and steadfast in our defense commitments to allies in the region.

These provocations do not make North Korea more secure.  Far from achieving its stated goal of becoming a strong and prosperous nation, North Korea has instead increasingly isolated and impoverished its people through its ill-advised pursuit of weapons of mass destruction and their means of delivery.

The danger posed by North Korea’s threatening activities warrants further swift and credible action by the international community.  The United States will also continue to take steps necessary to defend ourselves and our allies. We will strengthen close coordination with allies and partners and work with our Six-Party partners, the United Nations Security Council, and other UN member states to pursue firm action. ".  The a readout of a telephone call with the President of South Korea, " The President spoke to Republic of Korea President Lee Myung-bak this morning to consult and coordinate on the response to North Korea’s announced nuclear test.  The two leaders condemned this highly provocative violation of North Korea’s international obligations.  They agreed to work closely together, including at the United Nations Security Council, to seek a range of measures aimed at impeding North Korea’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs and reducing the risk of proliferation.  President Obama unequivocally reaffirmed that the United States remains steadfast in its defense commitments to the Republic of Korea, including the extended deterrence offered by the U.S. nuclear umbrella.  The President also thanked President Lee for his leadership and friendship over the past four years and pledged to work closely with President-elect Park to further strengthen U.S.-ROK cooperation. ".

Lets Get Real:

And the end result folks, 0, and North Korea get away with it again, China can not afford to really cut off North Korea as the Regime might fall, sending millions of starving North Koreans over the border, South Korea and Japan have to hope if it comes down to it that the US will protect its allies.    This disaster is US Foreign Policy is not the fault of President Obama, it goes back to the Clinton Administration, when Carter blind sided President Clinton with a agreement framework that should have stopped North Korea going nuclear, of course North Korea did not keep its word and every Administration after that has been blackmailed by the Stalinist Regime.    The big fear in the US is that North Korea will sell its technical developments to Iran, thus causing a regional war in the Middle East.   Thus as stated in my tweets of this morning, China needs to act over its suppose ally and the following developing crisis's could sink a 2nd Obama term, North Korea, Syria and finally Iran, and Iran is the ace in the pack folks, if Tehran goes nuclear it does not matter what else Obama does, history will blame him for that massive disaster in US national security. 

Iran and Syria - Syrian Update PT3

Telegraph: Reports the following from the Syrian crisis, " Iran and its Lebanese-based ally, Hizbollah, are reportedly trying to build a network of militias inside Syria to protect their interests there in case President Bashar al-Assad falls. ".

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks the reason that that Oval can not afford to wait on events, if the Assad Regime falls in the near future the Tehran Regime can not be allowed to create another Lebanese type Civil War in Syria, it should be recalled that the Civil War in Lebanon had the seeds of the Iran - Contra affair, so the Oval can get hurt folks.  What if Al Qaeda combined with Tehran start a low level War with Israel, but using chemical weapons, this would suite Tehran, the World would have its eyes on Syria while Tehran goes for the bomb.    Does the Oval want Iran to get the bomb on the Obama watch, that would be a disaster of the Oval and for Democrats.    The Oval thinks that Syria will go away, it wont folks, this Bosnia all over again, but could get worse, we are talking about chemical weapons folks and the types of  people that would use them against Israel, a very close US ally.   Thus watch this space folks, one can say that in 2013 Syria and Iran will dominate the Oval. 

Al Qaeda and the Syrian Revolt - Syrian Update PT2

Guardian: Reports that an Al Qaeda linked Syrian rebel group has taken over the largest dam in Syria.

Lets Get Real:

Folks the idea must cause horror even in the Oval, that Al Qaeda gets the credit for getting rid of President Assad, that is nightmare for Syria, Israel and the US, it would be a disaster for US Foreign Policy, if Secretary Kerry wants to show a backbone he should march in to the OVAL and demand that POTUS arms Western supporting rebels in Syria, the present support of non arms is not working, if Syria goes for  friendly Al Qaeda Government and the secular Government of Pakistan falls to the Taliban of Pakistan after the US leaves Afghanistan in 2014 the West is in a World of hurt and so is the Oval.  Lets recalls that the Truman Administration was blamed for years by the Republicans for losing China to the Communists, Obama can not afford to let that happen to Syria and Pakistan.    What ever a US President wants, is not what he gets to deal with most of the time, the Oval wants to take the US to the left, but the World does not care for the wants of ego mad US President, yes that is President Obama,  a crisis defines the Oval, not the many views of the OVAL, thus Syria matters folks, so does Iran, and its about time the Oval grew up and fast.  Its not the great liberal reforms of the Great Society that LBJ is recalled for folks, its for Vietnam, time that Oval did a course on foreign policy and not be marked on a curve, time for reality to get through to the Oval. 

Syrian Crisis - Update

BBC News: Reports that Syrian rebels have taken over the largest dam in Syria.

Lets Get Real:

If true this would be a major loss for the Assad Regime, one can see the rebel strategy, close down the Assad  Regime to Damascus, cut off all escape routes and force internal tensions in the Assad Regime.  Those still loyal to Assad must know that its a matter of time, if Assad tries to use chemical weapons the US and Israel will take action and its over, if Assad tries to send his weapons of mass destruction to Lebanon the Israeli Government will strike as it did of late.   The Assad Regime is kept going by Iran, the Tehran Regime knows that if Assad falls it loses influence in the Region and can not strike Israel through Lebanon or help its terrorist allies in Gaza.   It has come out that POTUS was under pressure from his National Security Council to arm the  Syrian rebels, this was rebuffed by the Oval, this might have been shown to have been a major mistake, if the rebels take over with the support of Al Qaeda then the Oval and Israel has a major problem on its hands.   The idea that the Syrian problem will go away is foolish, only a ego maniac who has won the Noble Prize for dong nothing would think of that, lets see who could that be, could start with the word Oval.   Syria could be a major disaster for the Oval Office folks, and it started in the 1st term. 

POTUS and the Pope

White House: Statement by POTUS on the resignation of Pope, the statement reads as follows, " On behalf of Americans everywhere, Michelle and I wish to extend our appreciation and prayers to His Holiness Pope Benedict XVI. Michelle and I warmly remember our meeting with the Holy Father in 2009, and I have appreciated our work together over these last four years.   The Church plays a critical role in the United States and the world, and I wish the best to those who will soon gather to choose His Holiness Pope Benedict XVI’s successor. ". 

Lets Get Real: 

POTUS and the Pope do not share many of the same ideals, from gay marriage to abortion, even ObamaCare has come under critical review by the Church as it would have  forced the Church to pay for the pill for women, at best the Oval is hoping for a reformer in the Vatican, do not hold your breath, this move by Pope Benedict XVI is a great political move, it means that he will hand chose his successor, something that Clinton, Bush 43 could not do, and a future problem for the Oval.   The next successor will follow the conservative line of the present Pope, this clever, cynical move by the Pope, this blog discards the statement that the resignation is due to age and health, its a way for the present Pope to make sure that a reformer does not come next and for the present Pope to control the next one, his previous role was that of enforcer for the then Pope.   If you control the future you control how the past in may respects folks. 

Those 2nd Term Blues - February

CNN - Politics: Reports on its Poll of Polls, the article finds the following, "  ..49% of Americans say they approve of the job the president's doing in office, with 44% saying they disapprove of his performance in the White House. ".

Lets Get Real: 

Of late folks of 2nd Term Presidents its only been Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton that have great ends to their terms, the Gallup Poll had Reagan on 63% approval, while Clinton was  on 66%.  The upside for Reagan was that his VP, Bush 41 was his successor, it was seen a third Reagan term, while Bill Clinton was replaced by the son of the man he defeated for the Oval, Bush 43.   At the end of the Bush 43 second term,  President Bush was on 34% approval in the Gallup Poll.   Thus folks you might ask why note this with a blog post, the power to control Congress comes from the polls folks, if POTUS is down and is not running again then the House and Senate might want some distance from his policies, also Obama does not have a horse in the 2016 race, its not going to be VP Biden, that was the mistake that both Bush 43 and Obama have done, your agenda can only be seen as successful if it is confirmed by the voters after your term is over, one can postulate that if the Obama ratings dive then the Clinton Camp will make sure there is great distance between Hillary Clinton and President Obama, that is the nature of the game folks.   If your voters love you, as with the case with Reagan or trust you on the economy as with Clinton you can get away with a major scandal, if your not the above your in trouble, go ask Bush 43 about that, also Bush 41 when the economy is bad, and it was not as bad in the at the start of the 1990s.   Thus Obama should enjoy these days folks, it could get tricky later, the liberal uber media elite will move on, that is the American election cycle, also there always a chance of scandal or a foreign policy disaster, Syria or Iran folks.   Watch this space folks. 

IRAN NO to OBAMA - Iran Crisis

Telegraph: Reports on the reaction from Iran to direct talks offer by US Vice President Biden, the article notes the following, " Iran’s Supreme Leader delivered a damning rejection of moves to launch direct talks with the US administration by declaring his regime would never negotiate with a “gun to its head”. "

Lets Get Real: 

One has a feeling that POTUS and VP Biden have fallen in to same mind set as LBJ in the 1960s, he thought if he could just get in to a room with the North Vietnam then a deal could be cut, that was a big mistake, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has stated he is a revolutionary, thus the two sides are odds, Obama thinks as Neville Chamberlain thought that if he could talk and get a deal then this would solve the problems between the UK and Germany in the 1938, it fell apart within a year, this is why Munich in 1938 is still used as lesson when you appease, the Iran Regime knows if it deals with the West the next step will be to share the same fate as Gaddafi of Libya or Richard III a bayonet not in place that you want, thus Tehran wants the bomb, it has seen how North Korea can blackmail the West, how the West and its allies, in this case Japan can not react as North Korea has the bomb, and is fast developing ICBM technology for its own use and to sell to Syria, Iran, you get the idea folks.   It a game of time folks, the Tehran Regime wants to play for time so it can get the bomb, keep Israel from striking and give the impression that it really wants talks.    The Tehran Regime knows that POTUS does not want to attack, he is happy to be the Godfather of drones but does not want another major war on his watch, the Liberals in the Democratic Party were not happy about Libya.  Thus its down to Israel folks, they will have to strike, as Obama is in Chamberlain mode at the present. 

EU Budget PT2

Guardian: Reports the following on the EU Budget Deal, " after a marathon 25-and-a-half hour negotiation session in Brussels, that will lead to the first cut in EU spending in its 56-year history. ".

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks PM David Cameron has shown that he can be tough with the EU, his right wing backbench MP's will be happy, as the left wing Guardian notes this is the first budget cut in the EU's history.  One would think it would happened sooner.  The PIIGS will not be happy, this will mean that they will have to cut further in welfare spending, one wonders how more they can raise taxes without these Countries finding that they have to beg the rich to come back, the French richer are doing a runner, President Hollande thinks if you just tax the rich that this will solve all your problems, its rubbish but the French left wing elite follows this line, those that are rich leave and going to live in abroad, one of the biggest French colonies is London, they even have their own French MP.  Typical French.   The French voters have to smell the TEA, this blog has to explain once to a Parisian what TEA was, yes folks, they are that resistance to the UK culture and the real world.   If the EU wants the UK to stay in the EU it has to give powers back to the UK Parliament, the EU Parliament with its threat to block this deal is secret has shown itself to be undemocratic and not living in the real world.   This has been a good day for PM David Cameron. 

The EU and the Real World - A Time of Austerity

BBC News: Reports that UK Coalition PM David Cameron has hailed a EU Budget agreement that cuts the EU Budget for the first time, the deal reduces the EU Budge by 3%. 

Lets Get Real:

There is talk the that the EU Parliament will try to have a secret vote to veto the deal, this would be a disaster for the UK staying in the EU, the EU is bloated and out of control, the poor new EU countries joined to get on the EU gravy train, the real fact is that since 2008 the EU has been living of its dreams while the rest of the EU is going down the toilet.   Come on EU Parliament veto this deal is secret, and see the UK  leave the EU in 2017.   These idiots in the EU Parliament have to wake up, do their job, what a bunch of clowns for using such a threat, do they think they are Cuba. 

Drones, Iran and Al Qaeda - 2nd Obama Term

Guardian: Reports the following on the revelation that there is a secret US drone base in Saudi Arabia, the article notes the following, " The revelation of the CIA drone base in Saudi Arabia was seized on by Iran, where state media highlighted the story. It is also likely to be grasped as an opportunity by jihadi groups.. ". 

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks the the enemies of US and Western interests will use this story to show that Oval is breaking international law, the previous leak of the legal opinion for the drone strikes shows that the Oval has a leak problem.   Someone with high security pass is leaking this stuff folks, lets hope the FBI is called in to investigate as this is a threat to US National Security.   As the Clinton scandal showed if a elite magazine wont run a story there are other areas for a story to come out.   In many respects this might help Obama, not with the New York Times, Guardian types but with those in the centre and those on the  right.   This blog has always supported the use of drone strikes, it has some major reservations about the ground operation but as a tool it has been great, the old Al Qaeda has been destroyed, of course the problem is that now it has become a franchise, thus bases are opening up in Yemen, and in Western Africa, as with the case of Mali.    The use of drones will carry on after the Obama Administration folks, the US and the World can not afford another 9/11 in the US or 7/7 in the UK. 

Drones and Saudi Arabia - 2nd Obama Term

BBC News: Reports that the 1st Obama Administration built a secret drone base in Saudi Arabia, and used that base to kill a US Citizen and leading Al Qaeda  terrorist, Anwar al-Awlaki. 

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks the uber elite left wing media have covered for Obama over his two election cycles, now its nailing him to the wall, its simple folks, they wanted to elect the first Africa - American President, that has happened, what is most important to the print and tv media is that people either buy hard copies or hit the web sites of the newspapers or for tv actually watch news that get adverts.   Thus the Oval should be aware that it is no longer protected by the elite news media, they will go after a scandal, the liberal NYT is stuck in a hard place, as my recent post shows, one the one hand Obama is compared to Bush 43 due to the legal opinion of the Obama Administration when it comes to drones, but it does not call for any real action.   Any reader with a brain knows that if Obama was a Republican the NYT would be going after the Oval like fury.    Thus the mildest of rebukes by the uber liberal NYT, while Obama acts like a Chicago Godfather, even the TV West Wing's President had some pause,  in the real word Obama is like guy with a new computer game, the use of drones has increased under Obama, the death toll has risen.   Thus no more complaints from Democrats about Bush 43, they can jump off a cliff as far as this blog is concerned, they are two faced etc, lets hope Obama knows when to pull that switch and when to wait, a few innocent people have been killed along the way, lets try to reduce those losses Oval. 

Is Obama another Bush 43? - NYT

The New York Times: Has the following editorial on the Obama legal justification for drones, " brought back unwelcome memories of memos written for President George W. Bush to justify illegal wiretapping, indefinite detention, kidnapping, abuse and torture.  ".

Lets Get Real: 

It is interesting folks, when it was Bush 43 the liberal left wanted impeachment hearings, it wanted the lawyers struck off, but because it is President Obama, there some critical reaction, but not the great noise from the left wing media.   This is why the liberal left wing media is not trusted, if your a Democrat the media will cover for you, just look at he Edwards case,  or the late Senator Edward Kennedy, if your a Republican your guilty and have to prove your innocent.  Think folks if it has been Bush 43 killing US Citizens the print and tv liberal news would have been all over it, not so with this, and it can be argued that the actions of the Oval in this case is worse, people died, yes terrorists, but from the left wing view they should have been arrested and tried, not just killed by Presidential approval.   The blog supports a strong Presidency, but lets have balanced in the reporting, if your going to raise hell if the President is a Republican, then do the same when its a President with D by his name.   The press should at least try balance, otherwise it will go down the toilet.