Monday, July 22, 2019

Trump and the Squad - Election 2020 - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

The Trump Oval likes to use the bully pulpit when it comes to the Squad, he is most racist President since Woodrow Wilson and Richard Nixon, at least these two Presidents had success when it came to foreign policy, ending of WW1 for Wilson and the opening of China for Nixon.   What has President Trump gain on the world stage, bending over backwards to kiss the backside of Russia and North Korea and taking the US out of the Obama deal with Iran.   Let's call a spade a spade, Trump is the modern Neville Chamberlain when it comes to Russia and North Korea, the next POTUS will have to build up the Western alliance and make sure the Russia and North Korea know the score, that the United States will no be a pushover any more.  Of course the Democrats have to WIN the 2020 race, the fight so far is between Biden, Harris, Sanders and Warren.   There are two debats next week, the first one will have Warren vs. Sanders, one of these two candidates has to knock the other out, then they will get their voters, at present the split the vote and that helps Biden.  The following debate the next day will have Biden at the centre of the debate stage, and will have Booker to his right and Harris to his left.  The Biden Camp will expect in coming from these two candidates, the former VP has to show that he is up the job, otherwise he will find it hard to get to Iowa in 2020.   As a former Democratic Speaker of the House used to say, all politics is local. 

US increases Troops to Saudi Arabia - Iranian Crisis Update - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

The theocracy ruled IRAN, better watch its step, the Trump Oval could do with a good war, as the US will not use combat troops in Iran, it has learned the lesson Iraq, it could simply take Iran out by air power alone.  If should attack Iraq, Saudi Arabia, the US has forces in the region and ships to counter any real threat from Iran.   Let's recall the US has the mother of ALL BOMBS, non nuclear but can destroy mountains as happened in Afghanistan.  The Tehran Regime, both the secular and religious is under pressure due to the economic sanctions on Iran by the US, it is a question of time, can the Tehran Regime out last the Trump Administration, of course that depends on Trump is losing in 2020, what happens if he wins.   Thus expect more fireworks in the Gulf, Iran could be close to the Trump red line, and not know it, time might be on the side of the Trump Oval. 

What is LOVE and WHEN can it HAPPEN? - Culture

It is  a question that has been asked for centuries, what is LOVE, is it mental connection, lust, context, or is it destined.   This blog will discuss the case of Edward and Marie ( names changed to protect identity ).   Edward used to have red hair when he was young, and was fat and had BAD TEETH.  Edward in Junior School was in the slow class, he was not good at any subject, with the exception of History.  YOU ask when does Marie come come in to the article, that requires context, Edward and Marie were born a day apart at the same small hospital, and their mothers stuck a friendship, the Hospital did not have  a lot of cots, thus Edward and Marie shared the same cot.   Over the years, Edward's mother would remind him that he shared a cot with Marie, if fact it quite annoyed him.  Marie lived outside the town, so they did not meet in their early years.

As it was a custom in the 1980s, those going from Junior School would be taken to the Secondary School to see it, well the day arrived, Edward to this day recalls the day, he was only 11, there was Terry Wogan on the radio, this was before Breakfast TV, well before anything really, no wifi, no mobile phones, no blogs, and of course people had black and white TV with three chanel's.   The day started with Edward's mother calling him down for breakfast, it was normally tea and toast or porridge, must it admit it was rather nice porridge, warm, filled you up and nice tea ( that has not changed, tea is still the best ).   This was a day Edward had dreaded, he was going to visit his new Secondary School, Edward in fact had wanted to stay in his junior school, at least he knew everyone, well those in his class.   Before going off to School, his mother reminded him that he should be on the lookout for Marie, Edward thought she would mention that FACT.  The walk, and people walked, from the junior school, down the deep lane, cross the zebra crossing, down the bridge, and through the local Park to the School ( let's call it Chairhouse School ), Edward and his friends, reached the gate, the school was up a semi long hill, so we marched in order and then we were there, our home from  the next six years.   At first we were taken around the classes, only our group, the group that included Edward, he could recall the smell, everything was fresh, or felt like it, everyone was in school uniform ( Edward would learn to love that uniform, it gave order to his life, Edward was only 11 but he knew order when it saw it, and liked it, he understood, the best days of your life was school, formatted, classes, breaks, lunch and then home, no worries about taxes and getting a job.

At the end of the walking session around the classes, we were taken to see the gym, that was not something Edward wanted to see, as stated, he was fat and he found sports a bore, his father was the great sportsman, singer, popular, Edward might look him, strong DNA there, but he was the complete opposite, and did not try to compete, you are still wondering about MARIE, we are getting there, then as stated we came to the gym, we were told to stand by the walls, in groups, I look to see the names on the badges the school had given us, then I saw the name and looked up.  It was fair to say Edward felt like a mountain had fallen on him, he just knew he was in LOVE with her, he had not spoken to her, she did not seem to notice him, that was good, as Edward when embarrassed went red and with red hair that looked bad.  Edward could not take his eyes off her, she was tall, red hair and green eyes, the perfection of love.

As of that point Edward could not wait to get to Secondary School, he just wanted to see her, she was all he would think about for five years.   Edward being shy, fat and with red hair was VERY SHY, in five years he seemed to make it plain that Marie was the one for him, since he had told no one, it just seem to come out.   Thus for next five years Edward always gave a her birthday present and christmas, without saying anything, these days we would call that staking, well this was the 1980s, we did not have behind the bike sheds as they had in the OLD DAYS, well the 1960s and our school was poor.  So question dead reader, was this LOVE, LUST or just GROWING PAINS.   This blogger likes to think it was LOVE, in its purest form, the only time the School bully really hurt Edward, was when he while pushing Edward harshly by  a door stated  that Marie had asked him out, in the nearly six years of violence, was the only time Edward felt hurt.  On the hand, Edward was happy that Marie had asked him out, this showed that his romantic quest had not touched on her ability to have  a good time and get on with her life.  

Thus the lesson is it does not matter when you fall in love, if your 11 to 60, you need to make your feelings known, what can happen, you are told to get lost, saves time,  five a years is a long time to be doing a romantic quest, that might be a delsion.   Also you fall into trap of falling for someone again, when your in Uni and do the same thing, so learn from this lesson.   Here endeth the LESSON. 

Friday, July 19, 2019

Two UK Oil Tankers taken by Iran - Gulf Crisis 4 - End of the May Era


Lets Get Real:

One can hear the FCO Mandarins NOW, saying the UK can do nothing, that the Foreign Secretary should visit Iran and the tanker seized in Gibraltar should be LET GO.   The FCO is like the BBC, it forgets it is there to protect UK interests not some other side.   The UK can not be BLACKMAILED, if we give in to Iran, then they will try something else, this time against the Americans, that might be a VERY BAD IDEA.  The UK for once should stand firm, the COBRA meeting should think what Lady Thatcher would do in such a case.   One thing they can do is send more Royal Navy Ships to the region, with the authority to take military action if any UK ships, Royal Navy or tankers come under threat from Iran.  When will the UK stop appeasing Iran!!

Two UK Flagged Tankers taken by Iran - Gulf Crisis 3 - End of the May Era


Lets Get Real:

This is a fast developing story, thus far Iran has taken two flagged tankers, Sky News reports that all though the tankers are UK Flagged there are no UK citizens on board the vessels.  Tehran must have lost the plot, the problem with Iran is there are two power structures, the secular and the religious, and the religious side has the upper hand when it comes down to it.  The Tehran Regime is pushing its luck, PM May is on the way out, she will not want to play the part of Neville Chamberlain and be seen to appease Tehran, and the new PM, Boris Johnson will not want that role either, this could get very tricky.  The US will be on alert for any of its ships to be targeted by Iran, the Trump Oval might be ready to carry a BIG STICK and warn Iran off with sterner measures. 

Why did IRAN Seize a UK Flagged Tanker - Gulf Crisis 2 - End of the May Era


Lets Get Real:

The above is TOMMY ROT as they used to say in my day, it is LIE, the UK Tanker was in international waters, the Tanker was taken by Iran as a result of the UK taking an Iranian tanker in Gibraltar.   In the 1930s there was Winston Churchill who warned about the threat from Nazi Germany, in the early 1980s Reagan coined the phrase the " Evil Empire " for the USSR, at the end of the 80s the Cold War was finished and so war the USSR within a few short years.  When looking at the modern leadership today,  who will stand up to appeasears, the US shot down a Iranian drone as a counter to Iran shooting down a US drone, but the Trump Oval did not strike Iran, thus Iran thought it could get away with taking a UK tanker.  Sometimes when leading you have to face down the enemy and be willing to finish them off.   As stated what happens IF and WHEN Tehran gets the nuclear bomb, it will be to late then.  Appeasement gets you WAR. 

Iran SEIZES UK Flagged Tanker - End of the May Era


Lets Get Real:

This is DIRECT BLACKMAIL by Iran, the UK has a Iranian tanker in Gibraltar, the Tehran Regime it can be assumed wants a trade, the problem is that any trade NOW, would look like appeasing an aggressor, also if Iran is successful, they might try something else.  What if they go after a US flagged tanker, will Trump carry on holding a small stick, or he will get his head out of the sand and DO SOMETHING about Iran.   What happens when the day arrives and Iran has the bomb, it would be ever more of THREAT, very much like North Korea.   At least the tyrants of Iraq and Libya were taken down before they become a nuclear threat.  At some point Iran will have to be dealt with, the appeasement of the Foreign Office will have to be overlooked for the REAL WORLD.   Appeasement gets you War, one really must learn the lessons of the 1930s.