Review of PM May's Day in the House of Commons - Update 4 - Post Brexit

Guardian - Live Reporting: Reports 5.44pm post the following, " All things considered, May seemed surprisingly confident. She did not say anything especially new or revealing about the Chequers plan, and Labour MPs were very critical, suggesting that its shelf life may turn out to be very limited. (The EU will not accept it without changes anyway but, even if they were to, Brexiter opposition means May would need opposition support to get it through the Commons - which on the basis of what is being said today, she does not have.) "

Lets Get Real:

In Guardian speak this means that PM May had a good day in the House of Commons.  One would think that a BAD day could have been a disaster, but it seems that there are not enough votes for a no confidence vote in the PM, thus PM has struck some luck.   Also she has bought the Cabinet back in to line, no more leaks or Ministers thinking that they can say what the like and with no reaction.   There is old saying, is better to be lucky than right, PM May might have the prize, just lucky!!

Critics of the Johnson Resignation - Update 3 - Post Brexit

Daily Mail: Reports " Boris Johnson under fire for walking out of Cabinet as even David Davis says he did NOT need to join him in resigning over Brexit "

Lets Get Real:

While the minute by minute Conservative fight is interesting, the real story is that PM May has made her mind up, she is going for a SOFT Brexit, the UK will be a Customs Union and Single Market, even if it is called something else.   It can be expected that PM May will have to make more concessions to the EU.   The main prize is getting out of the EU, once the UK is out and a new Government is formed after the next general election, it can change the structure, one can almost argue that the next election will be ONLY about Brexit.   This is going to go on for the next three months, I need my Prozac. 

Why did Boris Johnson Resign - Update 2 - Post Brexit

Sky News - Live Reporting: Reports in its 4.13pm post the following, " Sky's Beth Rigby says she has been told by an ally of Boris Johnson that he has resigned to try and force May into changing course on Brexit - and NOT to launch a bid for the Conservative leadership. "

Lets Get Real:

The above is the PR action of the Boris Johnson campaign for him to become PM.   The Conservative Party does not approve of political knifes in the back, those that do it never become leader.  It is reported on BBC News that 48 MPs have sent letters asking for a No Confidence vote in the PM. While Sky News reports that it might be true, the Chairman of the 1922 is keeping quiet.  The next few hours will be absorbing, will there be other resignations from the Cabinet or from the Government, how much water can the PM take on before it is over, even Lady Thatcher faced that moment. 

Boris Johnson OUT as Foreign Secretary - Update - Post Brexit

BBC News: Reports on the resignation of the Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson, " He is the second senior cabinet minister to quit within hours following Brexit Secretary David Davis's exit. "

Lets Get Real:

It looks like PM May will face a leadership contest, if Boris Johnson wants to be PM, this might be his only chance.   The May plan for the EU is falling apart, one wonders if other Cabinet Ministers will resign, do they carry on with a ship taking water or do they bring the PM down.   The BBC News reports that the PM is under threat of other resignations if she does not juck her plan.  Interesting few hours and days ahead for the May Government. 

Latest BBC News update of the political crisis faced by PM May - Update - 

The Fury of the Brexit Supporters - Update 3 - Post Brexit

Mail on Sunday: Reports " Furious Brexiteer Tory MPs demand a vote of no confidence in Theresa May over her soft Brexit blueprint - after Boris stunned Chequers summit by branding the deal a 't**d' "

Lets Get Real:

The PM has been lucky, no Cabinet Minister has resigned over the weekend due to Brexit.  On Monday there is an interesting meeting between the PM and her backbench MPs, will they be supportive or will there be political blood on the floor ? The hard Brexit Ministers in the Cabinet have come out in support, the Foreign Secretary has been very quiet, is he toeing the Cabinet line.   If Brexit MPs demand a confidence vote they will lose, it would be much better to wait in till March 2019 and the UK is out of the EU, then they can change the PM. 

Brexit Latest - Update 2 - Post Brexit

Sky News: Reports " Theresa May battles Brexiteer backlash amid disquiet over Chequers deal...A number of MPs have voiced concerns, sparking speculation some Tories could submit letters calling for a leadership contest.  "

Lets Get Real:

If the leading Brexit supporters in the Cabinet keep to the Cabinet line, and a majority of MPs Support the May plan the PM should be safe from a leadership vote.   There will always be those the extremes who will never be happy, the HARD BREXIT supporters want a HARD BREXIT, no links with the EU, while the moaning remainers want to stay in the EU at all costs.   The interesting votes will be when the customs and trade bill comes to the House of Commons, can the Chief Whips make sure that that the Government is not defeated.  Interesting few days ahead!!

Brexit Latest - Update - Post Brexit

BBC News: Reports " Michael Gove has urged Tory MPs to back a compromise Brexit plan as the best chance of a "proper" exit from the EU.  "

Lets Get Real:

This blog supports the new plan by PM May, it keeps the UK in a kind of Customs Union and Single Market, but also respects the vote of 2016.   The main selling job will not be the EU but the Conservative MPs in the House of Commons.   The Hard Brexit supporters have made their feeling known, the same with the hard remainers.  The PM has to get unity or close to it, the prize is leaving the EU, the next Government can change it after the next election.  The PRIZE is leaving the EU, that is the most important part.