Tuesday, July 12, 2022

Those in the First Round Tomorrow for the Conservative Leadership - After Brexit / Boris


Lets Get Real:

The process is going the way this blog predicted, it will be Sunk and Truss in the final around.  Those on the right of the Party will have to place their support in Truss, the Foreign Secretary was a REAMINER in 2016, but has been converted to a firm BREXIT supporter, while Sunak has been accused for not supporting the opportunities of Brexit in Cabinet.  The NEXT PM has to be a firm Brexit supporter otherwise the membership will not support a iffy PM.  One hopes the Conservative MPs get that FACT, that they need the membership to knock on doors during elections, they need the NEXT PM to be the same page as the members up to a point. 

The Other Crisis, Iran - Biden Era


Lets Get Real:

This is what happens when rogue nations get to together, the Tehran Government is not sincere when it has talks with the US and the West about its nuclear development, the Tehran Regime is backing up Russia that is in a WAR with the West.  One does hope that the MOSSAD, the Israeli Intelligence network is keeping an eye on the nuclear sites of Iran, it can be postulated that by NOW, the Regime has enough nuclear material for a NUCLEAR BOMB.  POTUS is on this way to the Middle East, it is expected that Saudi Arabia and Israel will pressing for the Biden Oval to do SOMETHING, if the Democrats lose the US Congress in November, the only area that a President has most of the power is FOREIGN POLICY.  Let's look at the Donkey in the room, Biden is coming under pressure not to run in 2024, does he cave like LBJ in 1968 or does he do a Carter and run and lose.   Interesting developments in foreign policy. 

Monday, July 11, 2022

The RULES for the Conservative Leadership Contest - After Brexit/Boris


Lets Get Real:

This will cut down the number of candidates, some might find it a struggle to get to 20.  One can presume that the former Chancellor Sunak and the Foreign Secretary Truss will get through, but the rest, well depends who the MPs want to tie to their futures too.   As noted in my previous post the political knifes have come out already, it is reported that some campaign's have give the Labour Party dossiers in attempt to smear fellow campaigns.  Tuesday is going to be interesting, who gets through and what do the candidates who can not hit 20 nominations give their support to on Wednesday.  This blog is going to predict it will be the Foreign Secretary who finally gets the nod, of course this blog could be very WRONG, it happens. Keep your eyes on the news channels, they will get the results faster that print media. 

1922 Committee Rules for the Conservative Leadership - After Brexit/Boris


Lets Get Real:

As of NOW there are 11 candidates, it could go up one if the Home Secretary jumps in to the race.  The political knives are already out, ALLEGATIONS are being thrown about the various candidates, affairs, sexual deviance, personal finance and if people have paid their taxes in the UK.  The 1922 Committee needs a quick and fast contest, the number of nominations that a candidate needs should go up from 8 or even 36 it has been reported.  That will get rid of those candidates you have NEVER heard off, and those that even Conservative MPs do not know that well.  Then the race should be over by next week after various rounds, with the last candidate being out, in till we get to the final two and the vote by the Conservative members.  The favourite in the former Chancellor, but how will his tax increase go down with the members, then final candidate should be a FIRM BREXIT supporter, the Foreign Secretary is the most well known, but voted REMAIN in 2016, that could be a problem.  The fun has started. 

Saturday, July 09, 2022

The Knifes come out in the Conservative Leadership Contest - After Boris


Lets Get Real:

Thus there is no loves lost between the PM Boris and his present Chancellor and his former Chancellor, so expect the PM to try to make sure that the successor he wants gets the job.  Yes PM Boris is till there, to think that he will keep quite over the next few weeks  IS MAD, he will want to get those that bought him down.  Also the Government cannot just STOP everything that is going on, the Northern Ireland Protocol is going through the House of Commons, the economy needs a push in the right direction, thus there is a need for TAX CUTS.   The War in the Ukraine is still going on, one can expect that Putin will try something as he sees the US and the UK at weak at present, with Biden polls down the toilet and PM Boris on the way out.  In many respects democratic politics is a brutal business, you develop a career and by errors on your part or external event you find yourself in BIG TROUBLE and your career goes down the toilet.  Whatever you think of Boris, you will know who people are talking about, with others you might require more information. 

Liz Truss the Foreign Secretary to enter Conservative Contest - After Boris

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 6.26pm post the following, " Truss to offer 'classic Conservative principles' in leadership bid....She will pledge to reverse the government's national insurance rise, cut corporation tax and introduce measures to ease the cost-of-living crisis, the newspaper added.  "

Let's Get Real:

The Foreign Secretary VOTED REMAIN in the 2016 Brexit vote, but she has become a convert, as Foreign Secretary she has taken the Northern Ireland Protocol Bill through the House of Commons, and is reported that she wants to be tough with the EU.  It will be interesting to see who gets the Boris vote, it wont be the present Chancellor or the ex Chancellor as they helped the  process that lead to Boris having to go, let's be honest, the worse enemy of Boris has been is himself.  One can expect that ALL the networks will offer to have the Candidate debates on their channel.  The Conservative Party should be careful, BBC News and Sky News are remoaners and anti Conservative.  That goes for Channel 4 News and the Times.  Thus the Conservative Party should make sure the moderators are FAIR, and not part of the elite liberal press.  It is going to be an interesting two weeks!

Runner AND Riders for the Conservative Leadership Contest - So Far - After PM Boris


Lets Get Real:

There are quick developments while this blog was writing its post another candidate is standing, Chancellor Nadhim Zahawi has thrown his hat in to the ring.  The Chancellor already has a negative, he accepted the job and then wrote a letter that stabbed Boris in the front.  Expect more candidates!    Thus far this blog has no favourite as to who should be the successor to PM Boris, the former Chancellor Rishi Sunak started the ball rolling that ended the time of Boris in office, thus a negative to start with, then while Chancellor he has risen taxes to there highest since 1949.   On the plus point, he voted Brexit in 2016, but it has been reported that he has some reservations on the Northern Ireland Protocol Bill going through the House of Commons at the moment.  It will be interesting to see see do some tough TV interviews, and asked about his tax plan, at the moment he is against tax cuts, and his view of Brexit.  Also his campaign team was ready very fast, slick video etc, so when did he plan to resign. The other declared candidates are new to even to this blog, so let's see their tax policies and their views on Brexit.  There is expected a few more candidates, the Foreign Secretary, two former Health Secretaries, thus we have some time to go before the 1922 Committee meets on Monday to decide the rules of the CONTEST.  The contest should be quick, the entry requirement should be at least 20 MP supporters, and then the rounds should start on the Wednesday, as to get the the number of candidates down to two, and then the membership can vote.