Wednesday, April 11, 2018

Russians are COMING!! - Syrian Update 2 - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

Thus Russians will cover up any chemicals in the locality, the Russian Bear can not be trusted.  The Russians really do believe that the West is weak and self centered, thus only reason for their actions.   Putin's Russia has destroyed democracy in Russia, the power is at the centre, President Putin decides what happens in Russia, and he thinks he has the West by the tail, that any action will be weak and will not last long.  Trump's America is consumed by the Russian probe, while UK politics is about Brexit, and in France the new President faces challenges to reform agenda.   The West has to keep some focus on Syria after the missile strikes, otherwise it is pointless. 

Missiles are Coming - TRUMP - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

The missiles when they are fired will not be a surprise to either the Assad Regime or to Russia.    It will be interesting to see who joins the battle, of course there will be the US and France, what will the UK do, one does hope that May shows some leadership and uses the power of the Queen to join her allies.   Sometimes the people want the leaders to lead, then they will come to the water, in other words, forced to accept the reality of action, think Churchill 1940, the elite did not want to go to WAR and the working class had gone through World War one, but Churchill lead and saved West we know today.  One hopes the Russians do not overplay their hand, we do not want to see World War 3. 

Tuesday, April 10, 2018

Limited Strikes on Syria ? - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

If the Western allies do a limited strikes it will be pointless,  the Assad Regime is supported by the Russians and Iran, any losses will be replaced.   IF the West wants to send a clear signal it will have to do more than limited strikes, and use its air power would be good, just using cruise missiles might make the West happy for a few days, then Assad will start to drop more chemical weapons.  If you are going to WAR, go to WAR, win the War, do not play games, the voters have more respect for winning a war or least trying, playing a limited War only helps Syria and Assad. 

UK, US and France on Syria - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

As stated in my previous post, one can only hope that the UK goers along with the US and France in any military action in Syria, the PM does not need the House of Commons to have a say, also there is a risk of defeat in the House.   After IRAQ, the House of Commons is very wary of taking military action.   The Queen is Sovereign, her power goes through the PM, the PM should decide to take action, if its limited action there is no need to call the House in to session.   The Western Allies should take bigger action, but one doubts that will happen, after IRAQ and LIBYA, thus one can expect cruise missile strikes from the Western powers, there will not be a land forces, Syria already has to many factions with guns.  Interesting hours ahead. 

PM May on Syria - May Era


Lets Get Real:

The UK should support the US and France is taking action against the Assad Regime.  The House of Commons should not be recalled, this is an urgent issue, not something to be left to MPs, there is always a chance of defeat in the House, the Labour Party under Corbyn is anti US and anti WAR.   The UK should always be on the moral side, also its up to the Queen through the PM to decide on WAR, members of Parliament can barely be trusted with Brexit, WAR AND PEACE should be left to the adults, that being the Government. Time for the UK to strike. 

President Trump and US Law - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

It can be argued that the Special Prosecutor has found nothing to link Trump and Russia, and thus is going down to looking at the personal life of the President.   That is the problem with a Special Prosecutor, they can go anywhere the like and there is no one to stop them. The Trump Oval should think about firing the special prosecutor, if there is no Russian link the SP has nothing.  The US Congress might be critical, the lawyers will be critical, but it might save Trump from being less than honest if he grants a interview to the special prosecutor.    It is time for the Oval to fire the special prosecutor. 

Trump and Syria - Trump Era


Lets Get Real:

One can only hope that the US, UK and France go for a large military action after the Assad Regime used chemical weapons on its own people.  The West and its leadership has to be clear, that the use of Chemical Weapons is a red line and that Syria, Russian and Iran will pay a price for the use of WMD, a big price.  The Syrian Regime and its allies think they have a free hand after the limited cruise missile strike last year, the Assad Regime has learned nothing, with the exception that the West is weak.  The US one can postulate and its allies will go for a limited cruise strike on the air bases that were used for the chemical attack, a real hard reaction would place troops on the ground, that is not going to happen, the West after Iraq is wary.