The EU Vote - Update

Daily Mail: Reports " Pound slumps after shock poll reveals a SEVEN point surge for Brexit as Leave campaign turns its fire on immigration "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the political elite have gotten their knickers in a twist over two polls, this is the prediction from this blog, the UK will remain in the EU, the margin of victory will be between 4% to 5%.  Let's be honest if the British had a vote as to IF the Romans should leave after the invasion of AD 43 they would have after a few hundred years voted to remain.   The British do not like to change, sometimes they have to be kicked in to change, thus the great role of Winston Churchill in getting the GB to fight Nazi Germany.   This blog does not like to be wrong.  This blog will be voting OUT, as it thinks its late father would have voted No again as he did in the 1970s. 

Update Falluja - Update

BBC News: Reports " Militants from the so-called Islamic State have launched a dawn counter-attack as Iraqi government troops push into the city of Falluja. "

Lets Get Real:

As noted by this blog and others the Allied attack on Falluja would be costly, the Daesh terrorist group is not going to give up without a fight.   Thus can hope that US and UK Special Forces are on hand to give advice to their Iraqi friends.  The hard part might not be getting in to the City, the hard part might be the IEDs left by Daesh and the humans taken as hostages.   It going to be a bloody slog, hard and violent, the Daesh terrorist group has to be buried.

Trump vs. Sanders, the Debate of the Century

Guardian - US Politics Live: Reports in its 8.45pm post the following, " Bernie Sanders campaign manager Jeff Weaver has declared that the presidential candidate is prepared to accept Donald Trump’s offer for an unprecedented bipartisan presidential primary debate. "

Lets Get Real:

IF this debate happens it could be the debate of the early part of the 21 Century, it would be interesting to see a extreme left winger, well a communist you could almost say up against a New York billionaire.     The HRC Camp must be fuming, Sanders and Trump would take press away from HRC, and she needs to pivot to the general election.   In political terms the debate does not matter, Trump is the Republican nominee and Sanders is going to lose to Clinton to become the Democratic nominee.   The fun would be the debate itself, it would be the DEBATE to see and bee seen there.    Only is the US could this happen and in 2016.

US Forces in Syria - Update

Daily Mail: Reports " Boots on the ground: U.S. Special Forces pictured fighting side-by-side with Kurds just 18 miles from ISIS capital Raqqa  "

Lets Get Real:

The background noise from experts is that it will take more US and allied troops to get rid of Daesh, but the limited use of forces with drones has been successful for President Obama. The Daesh terrorist group has been pushed back in Iraq and Syria, the main battle in Syria will be for the city of Raqqa the Capital for Daesh.   In the house to house fighting there will many deaths, lets hope the US special forces have enough troops on the ground to win.  In Iraq the main fight will be for Mosul, that will also be bloody, one hopes are with the Western and allied forces doing the fighting. 

Battle for Falluja - Update

BBC News:  Reports " Top Islamic State commander in besieged Iraqi city of Falluja killed, US military says  "

The Iraqi, Kurds and US Forces have to clear up the mistake of President Obama when he left Iraq in 2011 without leaving forces behind to deal with forces such as Daesh.    The fight for Falluja will be bloody, one can only hope that IF Western forces are in actin that they do not suffer any deaths, the rise of Daesh can be lead to the Oval Office, POTUS thought he knew best in 2011 and the people of the Middle East and Eastern Europe have being paying the price since. 

Clinton Email Scandal Part 2 - Election 2016

Guardian - US Politics Live: Reports in its 6.09pm post the following, " The state department inspector general has issued a scathing report on Hillary Clinton’s use of a private email account and personal server for official business when she was secretary of state, calling the personal email “not an appropriate method” and highlighting the “security risks in doing so.” "

Lets Get Real:

The Clinton Camp should just say SORRY, do not try to spin it, it makes it look worse, just say that HRC is sorry and that it has not be shown that her email server was hacked by any one.   The Trump Camp and the Republicans will go after her on this issue, there will be a few news cycles then the issue will become a bore, the US voter wants real change, that means the Clintons should stress the economy of the 1990s and how it could be the same in a HRC first term.

Clinton Email Scandal - Election 2016

BBC News: Reports " A state department inquiry has accused Hillary Clinton and other former US secretaries of state of poorly managing email security. "

Lets Get Real:

Thus the Clinton Campaign has taken a arrow today from the Obama Administration, it will hurt but should NOT STOP the campaign, the outstanding worry is the FBI Investigation of the Clinton email server, it depends if they find any breach by foreign governments, such as China, North Korea or Iran.  IF no breach then its a swift win of the nomination and the Oval Office. Spinning for the Clintons is different, very odd feeling.