The Future of the Iran Nuclear Deal - Iran Deal

Telegraph: Reports " Israel and Saudi Arabia present united front over Iran deal "

Lets Get Real:

As stated by this blog and others, the Iran nuclear deal could be thrown out by the next US President if he or she is a Republican, one stroke of the pen and its over, or of course Israel with the combination of the Gulf States could take military action.   When your a US President you want a legacy that will last not one that will be finished on 20th January 2017 at 12.01pm.   The Oval Office has a year and half to go, a lot of things can go wrong, if nothing else the Syrian mess shows that Obama can not read the future, and the growth of Daesh in Syria and and Iraq has shown that Obama has not the stomach for total war.   Richard Nixon once said when the US does not show its power the enemies will play, this is just such a case.    Obama has learned nothing and can never, he can never get over his own hubris. 

The reality of a NO vote by Congress - Iran Deal

Guardian: Reports on the real impact of a symbolic no vote by Congress, " While a vote of disapproval – based on anything less than a two-thirds majority in the House and Senate – would not kill the deal, it would undermine it politically, raising difficult questions about the longevity of Washington’s commitment to an accord intended to last at least 15 years...Such a result would also embolden Republican contenders for the White House, such as Florida senator Marco Rubio and Wisconsin governor Scott Walker, who are making bold pledges about their reimposing sanctions to unwind the deal if they are elected. "

Lets Get Real:

That is the flaw in the Obama governing strategy, this blog support a strong Presidency, but when Obama leaves office in 2017 the could hand over to a Republican who with a stroke of a pen could throw the Obama legacy out of the window on the first day.   Also Obama does not control Israel and the Gulf States, they could form an un-official partnership to take out the Tehran nuclear plants and other buildings and Obama will not be able to do a dam thing about it,  in less Obama is 100% sure of a Democratic President, he playing with history, and history can bite back, Churchill guided the UK to victory in World War 2, but was thrown out of office in 1945, and Winston Churchill was great, Obama is up his own hubris. 

The FAILURE to UNDERSTAND the Cold War - Obama and Iran

BBC News: Reports " Critics of the nuclear agreement with Iran are at odds with "99% of the world and the majority of nuclear experts", US President Barack Obama has said. "

Lets Get Real:

It is nice to know that President Obama understands what I think and the other 98% of the World.  The Oval Office is full of it, that being hubris, he makes Neville Chamberlain look sane and on the money.   The President fails to understand that Reagan placed the USSR in the bin, he bankrupted the Soviet Communists, he talked yes but kept the shoe on the neck of the USSR through defence spending and keeping them on their toes in Afghanistan.    Hubris or a Messiah complex streams from the Oval, the President should recall that the next President might be a Republican, and thus can take powers of the Presidency to remove the disaster of ObamaCare and the Iran deal, Democrats should remember that when they vote on the deal. 

Obama on Iran Deal - Historical Record

Lets Get Real:

On this issue lets see if the President is right, does hope overcome history, does Obama failures at the domestic front mean that by extension he is a failure on the international front.   There are so many things outside the control of the Oval Office, will Israel and Saudi Arabia take action if they think that the Iran nuclear deal is a farce, do Democrats on the whole want their names attached to this deal.  Lets recall that Neville Chamberlain was seen as a guilty man of the 1930s with his policy of appeasement,  Is that the fate of Obama and Kerry, only time will tell and the future is out there. 

The US and Iran Talks - Iran Crisis

Telegraph: Reports " John Kerry 'prepared to walk away' from negotiations...John Kerry says major world powers will not "rush" into a nuclear deal with Iran, adding he was “absolutely prepared” to walk away  "

Lets Get Real:

The Tehran Regime can smell that the Obama Oval is weak, the Obama Administration wants a deal at any cost, otherwise the Obama Administration will look weak and out of touch with reality.   The State Department does not want another Munich, it does not want to be shown up as fools in a rush to get a deal.   The Russians due to Ukraine sanctions are playing games, they are pushing to arm Iran, while also wanting it seems a non nuclear Iran. One has to assume that Putin is pushing Tehran to be tough, the Russians are looking to undermine Obama and the US in Europe and the Middle East.    Thus further talks leading nowhere. 

The Greeks Fold - Greek Crisis

Guardian: Reports " The Greek government capitulated on Thursday to demands from its creditors for severe austerity measures in return for a modest debt write-off, raising hopes that a rescue deal could be signed at an emergency meeting of EU leaders on Sunday. "

Lets Get Real:

The Greek crisis is OVER, or seems to be over, how many will bet that Greece never does the real reforms, that the issue will be thrown in the long grass and Germany will take a modest hair cut and the Athens Government will give the PR of doing real reform.  Typical EU fudge and down the road there will be more printing of money and others with their hands out.  At least the PR of Greece is OVER, thank God. 

Greece Lates - Greek Crisis

BBC News - Greece Live: Reports in its 8.50pm post via the WSJ that Greece will give its plan to the EU within the hour. 

Lets Get Real:

The Stock Market is up, they must know something that the rest of us do not, one can assume that a deal is in the works between the EU and Greece.   Lets see how much pain Germany is willing to take with hair cuts to the debts that Germans banks hold of Greek debts.   In return for the cut in debts one can expect that on the PR side the Greeks will say they will do reforms, of course once the news cycle moves the Greeks will do bugger all and it will be to late for the EU to demand reforms.   The next countries with their hands out will be Spain and Italy.