Thursday, February 19, 2015

Greek Crisis Latest - Greek Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The Greek crisis is showing seeds of mistrust between Germany and the EU, the EU elite want to keep Greece in the Euro at any cost, the problem is that they want the German taxpayer to pay for the political promises of a left wing Greek Government.   The problem for Berlin is that if they let Greece off the hook they will have Ireland, Italy, Spain asking for the same benefits, that means printing more money, and you get Weimar Germany on a bigger scale.    The Germans have to stand firm, even be seen as hard, the small tail of Greece can not run the EU or it is finished. 

Wednesday, February 18, 2015

What NOW for the Kiev Government - Ukraine Crisis


Lets Get Real:

Thus a victory for the Russian rebels in East Ukraine and for Putin's Russia, the question that has to be asked, could the US have done more, the answer is YES, they could have armed the Kiev Government, the EU could not have taken a policy to appease Russia, and the Army of the Ukraine should not fight in battles that leaves them this exposed and facing defeat.   Thus will the Russians rebels keep to the Minsk peace deal, one would think for a time, they want to regroup and make sure their next push will take more land from the Kiev Government and open a land route to the Crimea.   The US should arm the Kiev Government, but it wont, Obama is weak and Putin's knows how run around him.   The EU will be happy with a peace deal that benefits Russia, they have no backbone, what a say day to be a European. 

US warns Greece - Greek Crisis

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports that the US has warned the Greek Finance  Minister  " ..Yanis Varoufakis that he needs to reach a ‘constructive deal’ soon.."

Lets Get Real:

The Greeks lied to get in to the Euro, the cooked the books, now the chickens have come home and they expect the Germans to pay for the promises of the left wing government in Greece.   As stated a few times either one side blinks and folds or the Greeks are OUT of the Euro.   The pain it would cause Greece would force the EU to bailout them out again, the EU will not see Greek people with no money, that makes BAD TV if good for the ratings and a holiday in Greece.   The Classic Greeks would hold their heads in shame to see present Greece, so is a fudge deal better than no deal, YES for the Greeks, NO from the Germans, the Greeks have not helped themselves by bring up World War 2, that goes down like a tone of bricks in Berlin.   Only the UK can use War guilt on the Germans, we beat them twice, the Greeks had to be saved, there is a difference. 

Greece Latest - Greek Crisis


Lets Get Real:

This is crunch time for Greece and the EU in the shape of Germany, one has to blink or the end result will be Greece out of the Euro, the structure of the Euro under attack and the EU in the end having to support an bankrupt Greece.   If the Greeks leave the Euro it will hurt for a short time, but then Greece can rebuild their economy how they want with their own money.   The time is short, who will blink first, a fudged deal could cause more damage, interesting times for the Greeks, there is talk that they might ask the Russias or China for a better deal, that would be a disaster for the EU, and it would be a victory for either Russia or China, they would have a foot in the EU structure.

Monday, February 16, 2015

Is Greece near the Brink of Leaving the Euro? - Greek Crisis


Lets Get Real:

Either Greece or Germany has to blink, at this moment they are like two drunk drivers heading towards each other with the drunken view that the other will break and divert his car.   If Germany blinks it will see the printing of money by Greece and others, and the German tax payer will be expected to pay it, that could lead to the raise of the extreme right in Germany.  On the other hand, if Greece does not divert it could find itself out of the Euro or even the EU.   There are billions at stake here, the Germans are worried that France, Italy, Ireland will see Germany blink and ask for better terms of their deals.  Crunch time for the EU and Germany. 

The Ukraine the Latest - New Cold War 2


Lets Get Real:

The Russians want a free path from mother Russia to the Crimea, they want to control the land route through road and train access, thus the violations of the the Minsk agreement.  The Kiev Government have to hold Debaltseve, if they can this will force the US to arm the Government East Ukraine forces, the Oval Office is under pressure from the US Congress to do something.   As stated the Minsk agreement had a 50/50 chance of working, at this rate it will be another failure, terrible times in East Ukraine. 

What to do about Libya? - The New War on Terror


Lets Get Real:

The threat IS is all over the Middle East and Africa, the international community through the UN should take on the issue, even create an international force to take out IS in areas not under attack by the West, the US and its allies are taking the War to the IS in Syria and Iraq, the UN should create a new force with the sole aim of the destruction of IS within 5 years. At some point the UN has to earn  its  keep, even Iran hates IS.   The more the West waits the more IS will grow, then Western ground troops will be needed to remove IS, do Western governments want to imagine Western troops as prisoners of War under the control of IS.   Thus TIME FOR ACTION by the West.