Wednesday, December 12, 2018

The end of the May Era - Brexit Update - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

It can be argued that the PM only won because she promised not to lead the Conservative Party in to the next election.  If you break down the numbers you have 140 on the Government payroll, that means that the PM only got 60 backbench MPs to support her, and of those there were remainers who support her but will not back her Brexit Deal.  The PM is off to the EU tomorrow, she has stated that she is seeking a legally binding assurance that the backstop is time limited, will the EU give that, it has stated that the withdrawal agreement cannot be re-opened, but faced with a No Deal Brexit the EU might have to give concessions, place pressure on Ireland when it comes to the backstop.    The PM needs those 117 MPs voted against her to support her Brexit Deal, and of course the DUP.   The PM has to be tough with the EU, really tough, make it clear that the UK could leave with a no deal Brexit, make them get the fact that Europe would suffer, the Irish economy would take a hit.   It can be postulated that the PM is playing the long game, she wants to push the Brexit Vote well in January and force her Party and Labour to face the prospect of a no deal Brexit, that is her only option, politics will be interesting over the festive period. 

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