It seems Romney is going for all or nothing, Bain is the biggest Dem attack, well lets turn it around, do the Dems want companies like Bain out of business, that would really damage States and struggling companies. Lets see if any of these adverts get played on the uber liberal main stream media, do not hold your breath folks. At least Fox will show some of this, as to show the contrast with Dem Ads. Nice try by Romney, lets see if it works.
This is a weak reaction by the Obama Camp to the Ryan speech, shows how worried they are, most of the advert is uber liberal CNN repeating they are getting a negative reaction from the Obama Camp to the Ryan speech. This is a great surprise. Have been disappointed by the CNN coverage of the RNC, is biased towards the Dems it makes MSNBC look fair. Lets see if they are that negative at the Obama Convention, have my doubts. How might news bodies fall folks, so sad.
Thus folks this is the test as seen by the Republicans and Democrats. The Republicans have to drive down the Romney negatives, its the only thing that is keeping Obama in the race, while the Democrats need this image to fire up the base. This is election is seen as a base election, thus the Independents are getting less attention, its down to who get can their voters to the Polls on the first Tuesday in November. The Democrats and the uber liberal media will try to paint Romney as following a flaky religion and being rich, it seems from the left that if you are rich or black and Republican you are EVIL, thus must be destroyed. Thus expect political trench warfare folks, its going to get even more nasty, the BBC, Guardian, The New York Times will run as many negative stories about Romney/Ryan as they can, Obama is their man, if he goes down, then they go down, that simple and brutal folks.
This is a risky strategy folks, it deals with the two biggest negatives against Romney as seen by the liberal elite media. One can promise that the uber liberal media will try to give the impression that the Mormon faith is flaky, they would never have done that to JFK in the 1960 election, also they will stress Democratic talking points that Romney has not released his tax returns, one does not recall the uber media press going after how JFK funded his campaign through the money of his infamous father. Thus the Governor should it keep it simple, honest, and very direct, do not give the media the chance to undermine the speech with basic faults. Thus the fight is on folks.
BBC News: Reports the speech by the Republican VP Nominee Paul Ryan has been challenged on its accuracy.
Lets Get Real:
In other words folks the speech was great, when the BBC types start to parrot some of the arguments of the Democrats and get in to the weeds about Medicare you know that the Oval has a problem, the Ryan speech has some great lines, how in essence Obama is full of hot air, as in rhetoric but lacks leadership, also how young graduates have been failed by POTUS, stuck in their old rooms at home, wondering when their life's will start. Thus a good kick in the butt for Obama and a good spring board for Governor Romney tonight. Advice to Governor, keep it simple and direct, do not try to be Obama, the ONE will be on show next week at the Democratic National Convention, full of elite media praise, thus Romney has to look the American people in the eye and tell them the truth.
This blog has not problem that OBL was kllled while unarmed, or shot while wounded on the floor, in fact the US Special Forces were to kind to him, if it has been this blog he would taken his time to die, we were all changed by 9/11. The worry for the Oval is that the US left will start to ask questions, were the lied too, the official version was that OBL was going for a gun, not true, thus the operation to get OBL was a kill operation. If Obama had been a Republican the US liberal left would be going bonkers, but one can expect they will remain quiet in till after November. The US Special Forces that killed OBL are heroes, its just the shame that the Oval is acting like it killed OBL, it gave the order but was not there, and from reports it seems that the Oval was pushed in to taking action by Secretary Clinton, thus not that impressive POTUS.
BBC News: Reports on Ann Romney's speech to the Republican National Convention.
Lets Get Real:
The speech was good folks, simple, direct, from the heart, it made Governor Mitt Romney human, dealt with the problems the family had in the past, Ann Romney has had to deal with MS and breast cancer, how Romney made his money. The Speech should bring some bounce in the polls for the Romney/Ryan ticket. The big test is Thursday when Romney takes the stage, he is not as charismatic as Reagan or has the folksy manner of Bush 43, thus Romney should play to his basic points, good at business, a family man, a citizen politician, the man who saved the winter Olympics, the US voter has seen the Obama charisma, thus they might want a professional but boring kind of President. The last thing Romney should do is to try and out charisma Obama, it wont work, for all his faults POTUS is great at making speeches. Lets see what Thursday brings folks.
The West is leaving the poor people of Afghanistan, men, women and children to the mercy of the Taliban, murders, thugs, criminals and complete B ( you can finish that word folks ). This will be Southern Vietnam 1975 all over again, who will be on the last helicopter out, and what UK Soldier will die for nothing, and if the West is not about winning in Afghanistan then any death is for nothing, lets get our brave boys and women out NOW, this war can not be won, this is bloody Afghanistan after all, powers never have a good time, one has to feel sorry for the poor people of Afghanistan, after the West leaves the people will be returned to the Dark Ages, shame on the West.
This brings back the good memories of the Blair/Brown feud between 1997 - 2010, if Ed Miliband becomes PM will he as Blair had to to, send spies around to the Chancellors office to see what is in the Budget. One has to say the BALL's has learned his lessons well from MASTER, Gordon Brown, one would think Brown would be proud of him, but for the fact that BALL's has dished his former MASTER. One has to ask who is leaking this, of course it comes from the office of the leader, as in the good old days you have two different Courts that slag each other off, one has to wonder without the firm grip of the old New Labour machine can these splits be held in till 2015. Is power more important to Labour, or being a big fish in small bowl, interesting times ahead folks.
BBC News: Reports that the Free Syrian Army has claimed that it has shot down a Assad Regime Military helicopter that was firing on a district in Damascus.
Lets Get Real:
One has to wonder how the rebels are getting equipment that can shoot down an advance Syrian helicopter, the Gulf States are providing arms and equipment while the UK and the US are proving no military support, well that is the official line, it is reported from the Turkish/Syrian border that the CIA is stopping anti Western terrorists groups in Syria from getting any weapons, they do not want a repeat of what happened in Afghanistan when the US did not really care who got the military support as long as the USSR was taken down, some of those groups became the Taliban, and then of course we have Al Qaeda, thus the West is being more careful this time. Thus the overthrow of Assad will take longer but it will happen folks, it is just a matter of time, the Russians will support Assad at the UN, while Iran will give military support, neither will risk if they are clever in placing their own troops on the ground, that would be a red flag to the West.
The Romney Camp have to accept that Governor Mitt Romney is no Obama when it comes to making speeches, he should not even try, he is not folksy either like Bush 43, he should make the speech simple and to the point, tell the US voter how a Romney Administration would bring the US back from recession, he has worked in the private sector, thus knows the ups and downs, unlike Obama. That he wants a strong US, with a good defence, the Obama Administration wants to cut defence spending. That a Romney would repeal ObamaCare and be an economic hawk like Reagan and also follow the Reagan in making the US a shinning City on a Hill again. The Republicans need to keep it simple and professional, the fancy rhetoric of Obama is wearing thin on the US voter, be yourself Governor Romney.
Telegraph: Reports that the French Defence Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian has called for a limited no fly in Syria, the fly zone would cover areas under the control of the rebels.
Lets Get Real:
This could be another Libya folks, France, the UK and Turkey provide the air cover while POTUS leads from behind. If this policy develops it could cause problems for President Obama and PM Cameron. The idea for the no fly zone is that it would happen outside the authority of the UN, the US left would go bonkers, the Liberal Democrats in the UK could walk out of the UK Coalition Government. Thus in less we hundreds or even thousands killed every day this blog has it doubts that the US or the UK will move. Of course should the Assad Regime use chemical weapons on its people or transfer them to its terrorists allies the West from reports in the UK Times has Special Forces in the region to take out these WMD's. The Syrian Civil War is close to a tipping point folks, this can not go forever, its causing problems for the neighbour countries, with refugees and the fight in Syria crossing the border, thus in the future the West might have no choice but to act folks, watch this space.
BBC News: Reports that Antonis Samaras the Greek PM has asked for a two year breathing space from the EU when it comes to the austerity package for Greece.
Lets Get Real:
The German Government for its own future would be MAD to agree to any more Greek requests, what ever the Greeks promise when it comes to reform it will not happen, they are playing the clock, they idea being the longer the EU does not throw Greece out then it will be harder when the times comes. The Greek public sector is to powerful, there are political and union interests in slowing down the process, the Germans should say we tried, the Greeks have failed, and do not let the door hit you on the way out. This Greek economic crisis seems like a Time Loop, never ending, the same issue, the same problems and no resolution just endless political fudges. The Greek gift is the destruction of the Euro, time to bite the head of the snake and smash that Greek gift.
Thus a red line folks, what will the Assad Regime do, does it really think that POTUS will take action before his National Convention and before the Presidential Election. If Syria was to threaten to use WMD's or give them to its terrorists allies, this blog has it doubts that President Obama before November would take action, the US left would go bonkers if Obama allowed the US to get dragged in to another Middle East War after Libya. Also a new Middle East War would drown out the social agenda that the Democrats want to fight on, while they might want to define the Republicans as anti women the TV news would be showing the US in action in Syria or worse for the Oval, Israel taking action of Iran's nuclear plans. It would not surprise this blog to see Israel HIT Iran just before November, and letting the Oval know through the news, as they did in 1981 and 2007. Chicago politics is harsh folks, the politics of the Middle East is life and death, and they really bury you in the Middle East.
The Republican ticket is really going after POTUS when it comes to ObamaCare, how the new health law guts Medicare for the elderly, taxes basics like wheelchairs and pacemakers, and raises taxes on those earning less than a hundred and twenty thousand. The Oval has an argument but its complicated and it gets in to the weeds, people turn off when it gets in to the weeds of policy. The Republican ticket should really hammer the Oval over ObamaCare, this was the centre of the Obama Agenda, the Republicans should not allow POTUS to walk away form his own policy.
This is a political hostage tape folks, nothing more or less, the Republicans could counter with Clinton works back, that raising taxes in a recession is a bad idea. The Chicago political mob might be thinking about placing Hillary Clinton on the ticket, in other words dumping VP Biden, thus the need Secretary Clinton and President Clinton on the same page as POTUS. If I was VP Biden I would be worried, is the Obama team going to throw me to the wolves, or just might Bill Clinton wanting to make sure should Obama lose his wife does not get any of the blame. Thus a free run for her in 2016. If you think Bill Clinton likes or even respects Obama I have a bridge on Mars ready to sell you, Clinton will never forgive the Obama team of 08 of using the race card on him, the real first " Black " President. This is the Clinton team looking after the prospects of Hillary, Obama just happens to be there.
One has to ask is Rep. Akin a secret Democrat, the uber liberal main stream media will carry this story for days, as long as Akin stays in the race, if and when he quits the Democrats and their allies will link the views of Akin to the Republican Party. One can see the adverts NOW, a true story of a raped woman and her hell of a pregnancy not of her choice and how the Republicans would restrict her choice, it will be very hard for the Republicans to counter an argument like that, thus in pure politics terms Akin has been a God send to Democrats. The Romney Camp has to make clear that they will ask Republicans to vote for the Democrat or not vote in November if Akin is on the ticket. The Republicans need as much distance from Akin as is the Earth from the Mars.
BBC News: Reports that Governor Mitt Romney has called on Rep. Todd Akin to stand down as the Republican nominee for the Senate Seat in Missouri after stating that women that are raped can prevent a pregnancy occurring by natural means.
Lets Get Real:
Rep. Akin is an idiot, what he said was wrong, stupid and offensive, and thus he should stand down. Now lets deal with the politics, the Democrats will use this as part of their theme that Republicans HATE women, the Oval will try to connect the Pro life Agenda of the Republicans to the views of Akin. The Republican Establishment and those in charge of Republicans in Missouri have to get Akin off the ticket. The Republican National Convention starts next week, thus the Republicans have a short time to clean up this mess. On this issue of Abortion this blog take the real liberal conservative line, that abortion should be legal, there should be no restrictions on women when it comes to abortion, and abortions should be allowed in till the last day. It is not for the Government to tell women that they should carry babies and that there is cut off point.
Daily Mail: Reports that President Obama vetoed three missions to kill the head of Al-Qaeda Osama bin Laden before being pushed by Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to give the kill order.
Lets Get Real:
Lets see if the liberal main stream media in the US picks up this story, as it is negative about POTUS do not hold your breath. The US Media on the whole with the exception of Fox News bought in to the Obama Campaign in 2008. They can not afford to be shown to be wrong about their choice, thus in the mind of the media Obama is still the man who was firm in the killing of OBL, they will not want to show a weak leader who was forced in to action by a woman, and a Clinton at that, it would be to much for them, they would have a break down, a real one folks. Thus the real POTUS is on show, lets hope Syria is not reading the Mail.
After the Iraq War folks, and in many respects the Libyan War the left wing elite media will never support another War, they would rather see people die that see the West take Colonial action in their view of the world. Even if Israel was under threat form WMD's of the Assad Regime the main stream media would rather see Israel burn before the West takes action in Syria or Iran. Thus Israel might have to go it alone, this would force POTUS to back Israel, as Israel would have all the cards before November. After November and should POTUS win re-election there will be no electoral limits on him, he could appease Iran with its nuclear plans at the expense of Israel, not likely but do you trust Obama, that is the question being asked in Israel. Simple question would you trust Obama if your life was at stake, that harsh but true folks.
The election in November folks is seen as a base election, in other words the Democrats and Republicans are more interested in getting their own voters to the polls than those in the middle. Thus the Oval has a problem, if it starts the War Drums over Iran now it might lose in November, or Israel might strike anyway, there is a great chance that the Israeli Government will hit Iran just before November, forcing the Oval to support such a strike and follow an Israeli strike with a US hit to finish the job. In many respects the Oval is in the hands of Israel, very much like 1981 and 2007, when Israel hit Iraq and Syria. Also the Republican ticket is going for the Jewish voters who tend to support the Democrats, the fact that POTUS has not visited Israel since coming in to Office has been noticed folks. Thus this clock is moving folks, it might not be in the press every day, but this crisis will happen, its just a matter of seconds in the great scheme of time.
BBC News: Reports that President Obama has warned Syria that any movement or use of chemical weapons would lead to US action in Syria.
Lets Get Real:
Folks if you think POTUS would take action in Syria then this blog has a bridge on Mars it can sell you, the left in the US would go bonkers if Obama used American forces in Syria, they were not happy with US leading from behind in Libya and the fall of Gaddafi. This is trying to show that POTUS is a foreign policy hawk, the problem might arise should Assad of Syria call the bluff of the Oval. What if the Assad Regime gives WMD's to its terrorists allies in the region, hard to prove a Court, and the liberal left wing Media would want that after Iraq. The Oval just wants the Syrian Civil War to stay at its present level, and not drag in Turkey, Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon, or GOD forbid Israel. Lets get real here folks, the Syrian Defence Forces could fight back, this would not be Libya, the US and its allies would take some losses. Thus lets hope this political position does not come back to haunt the Oval.
Thus folks a dead head, both Candidates in different polls have a 2% lead, nothing you would take to the bank before election day. Thus folks the Ryan pick has not hurt Romney and has helped him in the old rust belt States, he appeals to Reagan Democrats, blue collar white working class voters. The one group that POTUS has hard time making a connection too. Thus next it will be the National Conventions folks. Lets see if either Candidate can get a good lead out of their speeches. Also lets not forget that POTUS could dump VP Biden and place Secretary Clinton on the ticket, he would win re-election then, but does Obama have the guts to be that drastic.
How low can the Obama Team go, NOW the Romney/Ryan ticket want back street abortions and want women to die of cancer. This shows how worried the Oval is about getting a 2nd term. The choice of Rep Paul Ryan has helped Romney, given the Campaign some fizz, the Tea Party movement are great supporters of Ryan, while POTUS has a foot in mouth Vice President who has stated that Republicans want to return African Americans back in to slaves. The Republican ticket has to fight back even harder, get in the gutter, the last Campaign standing wins, its the Chicago way folks.
The Oval is worried folks, the charge from Republicans that ObamaCare is gutting Medicare is starting to work, Romney has said that the Romney/Ryan Plan would see no change in Medicare, while Medicare is gutted to fund ObamaCare, still not popular with the voter. This is a scare advert that is weak, the Democrats have a problem folks, and its called ObamaCare.
The question this blog will ask would Republicans have done this Ronald Reagan, as President Obama is suppose to be the liberal Reagan, the answer is a big NO. One can assume beyond the agenda of the uber liberal press these Democratic politicians have their ears to the ground, and when it comes to it, would rather get elected no matter the impression it gives. Of course the State of New York is a safe Obama State, but these House members, the voters could split their votes, vote for POTUS but vote for a strong Republican House to restrain any liberal ideas Obama might have, that should worry Democrats across the US. As a great Democratic Speaker once stated, all politics is local, is the local telling the elite media something they do not want to hear.
Guardian: Reports on tensions in the Israeli Government on a strike on Iran, Israeli PM Netanyahu, has in essence told Israeli President Shimon Peres to shut up, the Israeli President wants the US to help in any attack on Iran.
Lets Get Real:
The left wing elite media, that includes the Guardian in the UK, also the BBC and the Uber Liberal New York Times will never support an attack on Tehran, the equate Israel with Iran, they seem to forget that Israel is a democracy and a close ally of the West. Thus expect more of these stories, they liberal elite main stream media will look for any discord within Israel, they will try to create and define public opinion against any Israeli strike. Lets see who wins this argument folks, lets hope its the RIGHT side.
This conflict is coming folks, don't think its not, the Israeli Government does not trust President Obama, they are worried that he will appease Tehran should he get a 2nd term. Thus one can postulate that in October or early November Israel will strike Iran with a few hours warning to the Oval. The Israeli Government has form of hitting threats without telling the Oval, this was done to Reagan in 1981 and to Bush 43 in 2007. At least these leaders were seen as close allies to Israel, the came can not be said of President Obama, thus Israel has nothing to lose in such a strike, the US would have to support, even follow up with a strike to keep Tehran from hitting US Naval bases in the region or starting a regional War with Israel. The clock is ticking folks, its a lot closer to War than you think.
The Hill: Reports that the Obama White House has stated that it is keeping VP Biden on the ticket.
Lets Get Real:
If this blog was VP Biden it would be worried, the White House might say it is keeping Biden, that does not mean that Biden will be told off the record that he should tell the POTUS that he wants to spend more time with his family. If POTUS at the Democratic Convention places Clinton on the ticket he will get re-elected, okay he would be powerless but he would get a 2nd term. If Hillary Clinton was VP the Clinton team would not allow Obama to do anything that would damage a Hillary run in 2016. If the Polls go South on Obama he might have no choice but to place Hillary on the ticket, that is art of politics folks.
This is without doubt the worse policy advert the Obama team have done, its message is simple, somehow Government spending is good, while building a business up from the ground is wrong, even if you have to borrow money from your relatives. The Chicago Team need to do a lot better than this if they want POTUS to get a 2nd term. It could be that Team Obama when it has to deal with REAL policy issues do not have a clue, a clueless team lead by a clueless POTUS and VP.
At last the Romney/Ryan Campaign is hitting POTUS were its hurts, with older voters. The advert points that Medicare is being gutted to fund ObamaCare. The fact that ObamaCare is still not popular hurts the Democrats. The Democrats were celebrating the choice of Rep. Paul Ryan as Romney's VP choice, but the problem is in attacking Ryan the Obama team had to move on to REAL issues, not Romney's private business record or his taxes, but issues that effect older Americans, and they vote unlike younger voters. Thus good week for the Republicans, also VP Biden just keeps on giving, his remarks to an audience that was half African - American that the Republican ticket would put the people back in to chains was a new low even for Democrats. There was no need for Biden to put on a Southern accent, it was cheap shot and placed the Democrats on the back foot, POTUS might like Biden but he should consider placing Secretary Clinton on the ticket, that would be a hard ticket to beat.
There is an old saying folks, beware of Greeks bearing gifts, if I was Chancellor Merkel I would keep my purse close, the Greeks are after German Euros again. The Germans have to be firm, they have to say NO, if the French and the IMF want to bailout the Greeks, that is great, one can guess that the French taxpayer wont mind throwing their tax Euros down the Greek toilet, just to keep the EU happy, also the Countries that give to the IMF will be pleased that this another Greek bailout. Lets see folks.
Telegraph Live - Greece: Reports in its 11.49am post that Germany is standing firm on the previous agreed plan with Greece when it comes to the bailouts. Thus no extension of the austerity plan.
Lets Get Real:
Thus folks Chancellor Merkel faces her own elections quite soon, the German taxpayer as compared to the Greeks actually pay taxes, they are not best pleased that they are seeing their money going down the drain of the Greek State. This blog would not be that shocked to see Germany cut Greece off, it seems from reports from Greece that none of the agreed State assets have been sold, or even plans. The welfare and public sector is to powerful in Greece, there is resistance to such drastic moves. The Berlin might decide that enough is enough, that Italy and Spain have to be protected first, Spain looks like asking for Sovereign bailout in the near future, how far will be Italy behind them, thus folks Greece the birthplace of Democracy will have to thrown to the wolves, and it will be by the Germans, that is not new for the Germans.
BBC News: The Obama Administration has stated that Iran is helping train the forces of the Assad Regime.
Lets Get Real:
This is hardly breaking news folks, the Tehran Regime has been supporting the Assad Regime since the start of the Arab Spring, the Tehran Regime might be murderous and beyond the pale but its not stupid, it knows that if Assad falls its power in the Middle East is reduce by a great level, this is also the case with the Russians, thus their veto at the UN. Thus one can postulate that Russia and Iran and their interests will go down with the Regime, the Assad Regime will fall folks, its just matter of time, the Regime can not murder all the rebels, its giving it a good try but it wont work. Thus in either weeks or months President Assad will either have done a runner or will be hanging from the nearest yardarm. Thus we watch and wait folks.
The Hill: Reports that Vice President Biden has stated that the voting for the Romney/Ryan would place people back in chains in an economic context.
Lets Get Real:
The context of this latest foot in mouth by VP Biden was to argue that that the Romney/Ryan ticket would allow Wall Street off the hook, the people that would pay for this move would be main street. This is typical class warfare rubbish by Biden, it shows how much a mistake Obama did by placing him on the ticket, he should have chosen Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, there is no way VP Biden is a horse in the 2016 race, thus should POTUS win a 2nd term he will find that after the 1st year the spotlight with be on the 2016 race, if Obama has a low poll rating the Democrats will run from him, also Biden as the political appeal of a dodo, thus fellow Democrats will dump on Obama if it helps them, at least Reagan had a horse in the race for his succession, in that case Bush 41 won the Republican Nomination and the Presidency. Thus helped the Reagan legacy. In this context President Obama made the same mistake as Bush 43, they chose a VP that was not a threat to them in political terms and would follow orders, but could not carry the flag on when the 2nd term finished.
BBC News: Reports that Governor Romney has accused President Obama of cutting Medicare by 700 billion to fund ObamaCare.
Lets Get Real:
This is an excellent strategy by Governor Romney, go after Obama twice, it reminds voters that POTUS push through ObamaCare against the wishes of the US voter, also those on Medicare will be the losers. It also works as it moves the Campaign from fringe issues to real policy differences between Romney and Obama. The last thing POTUS wants to talk about is ObamaCare and its effects on US voters. The Democrats might regret that they wanted Romney to choose Ryan, as the only attack the Dems have on Ryan is via real heavy weight policy differences, thus a good few days for Romney. At least he leads POTUS in two respected polls.
Thus folks if you take in to account the margin of error ( MofE ) we have a tied race, the Ryan choice has not hurt Romney, in fact it secures the base for November, also in a ironic way it forces the Obama Campaign to deal with real issues. The past few months have dealt with Romney's time in private business, his tax returns, the choice of Ryan forces the Democrats to deal with domestic issues, that might be the one area that the Democrats do not want to discuss, as this brings in Obama's failed economic record, and the introduction of ObamaCare as a TAX. Lets see if Ryan can be an attack dog, the Romney Campaign needs to take the Oval on head on, is Ryan the man, his speech at his introduction shows that he is willing to take on Obama, lets see if that fighting spirits lasts, it is early days folks.
BBC News: Has an excellent profile of Republican VP Nominee Paul Ryan.
Lets Get Real:
This blog is impressed with the choice of Rep. Paul Ryan as Romney's VP choice, he is young, has charisma in spades, but more important he is a true Conservative. Also in election terms he could be the next Reagan, saying the harsh truth but in way that does not frighten the VOTER. The speech given by Ryan was good on attacking President Obama, there was a good line that Obama has bought Debt, Doubt and Despair to the US. A D Grade for Obama in other words. The Democratic spin is that they wanted Romney to pick Ryan as he is an economic hawk, the Democrats wanted the Republicans to choose Reagan in 1980, that shows you should be careful what you wish for, NOW the Obama Camp has to deal with policy, it has gotten away with personal attacks on Romney, it NOW has to deal with policy, that is the one area that POTUS might wish to avoid, he has been a disaster on the domestic side. Lets see how Ryan does on the Campaign trail, Romney needs an attack dog, someone who will go for the throat of the Democrats, lets see how he does over the next few months.
MOD: Reports that a 2nd Soldier was killed today in Afghanistan, the Soldier was from the " 26 Engineer Regiment ". Thus since 2001 the UK has lost 424 of its Armed Forces Personnel in Afghanistan, of that total, it as lost 384 in combat/hostile action, while 40 have been lost due to illness, accidents or other incidents.
This is a great advert by a Republican Super Pac, lets remind the voters that Obama is Chicago Pol, they play dirty, they play to win, they and Richard Nixon have a lot in common. If they can not win by fair means then its foul all the way. That is the thing with Chicago Pols, some look clean but when you wash away the PR, their souls are suspect, you do not get far in Chicago politics if your a Saint, a Saint would be buried six feed under in Chicago.
The Oval must be worried that the Romney advert that POTUS is gutting welfare reform will get traction, thus this advert, if you have to use the liberal NYT and the Washington Post as your defenders your in trouble. The Romney Camp should start to hit Obama hard on welfare, its a weak point, thus advert, good advert by the Romney Camp. The Democrats = Welfare, people poor and in the gutter, so sad but the truth.
Good attack on ObamaCare, the Act forces religious bodies and charities that give health benefits to comply with ObamaCare when it comes to paying for the pill for women. It seems that Obama ego is more important than God and the bible. That is what you get when you elect a out of control BIG EGO to be President.
This is a good hard hitting advert. It shows how the Oval wants to remake the US in to a welfare state like Europe. The Washington Post has been critical of this advert, but as noted on Fox the paper has been critical of welfare reform since the start. The Democrats need people to be poor, they need people to be in the gutter, otherwise would you VOTE for a Party that wants to tax if you make some money, does not think businessmen or women build a business, who think that the public sector is more important that the private sector. This advert shows the true face of the modern Democratic Party.
MOD: Reports that a Soldier from the " 3rd Battalion The Rifles " has been killed in Afghanistan. Thus since 2001 the UK has lost 423 of its Armed Forces Personnel in Afghanistan, of that total it has lost 383 in combat/hostile action, while 40 have been lost due to illness, accidents or other incidents.
Folks this blog is flagging a trend, the pollsters admit that they over sample Democrats for their polls, last night Fox polling stated that they had 5% more Democrats in their polls and they were just following a news trend, BS, if you look at the poll in the RCP average, Fox has POTUS with a 9% lead. Lets recall the 5% over sampling of Democrats, that is down to 4%, if you add a margin of error of 3%, that gives a dead heat. That is why this blog goes with Rasmussen and Gallup, okay there is a diversion, but not that much, a dead heat if you take in to account the MoE. This race will be interesting, someone should really go through hundreds of polls and see what actually works, likely voters, registered voters, adult voters. It is troubling for this blog that you start to doubt all POLLS, you want a fair average, not over sampling of Democrats, Republicans, or any specific gender or ethnic group. It is going to be a long Campaign folks.
Thus folks, lets look at the Polls Mid Week. What a great surprise, a tied race, even political geeks can get bored with stalemate on the political battle front. Here are the numbers folks.
Rasmussen Reports ( LV ): Reports that President Obama and Governor Romney are tied at 45%.
Gallup ( RV ): Reports that President Obama and Governor Romney are tied at 46%.
Lets Get Real:
Thus folks we have a TIED race, it is August folks, people who do not love politics, WHO ARE THEY! might be doing something better than following the day by day fight between the Obama and Romney Camps. Thus the National Conventions should give the candidates a bounce, lets see, its not a logical step. Before then Romney is expected to declare who will be his VP, lets hope he goes for an attack dog, someone will go after Obama and his dirty Campaign. Lets be honest here Obama makes Nixon look clean in election terms. The 68/72 Campaigns did not have this level of laying and dirt be thrown by Nixon, other things yes, but not directly in the Campaign. What is surprising is that the Romney vote has held up, lets see what happens to the polls after the Super Pacs and the Republicans after their Convention let lose their millions on Obama. The race is in a holding patter folks, that is politics!.
The Uber liberal NYT hates the Tea Party and its supporters, the view of the elite media is that the Tea Party are EVIL, they are demagogues, if you think this hype go and watch recent episode of the The Newsroom on Sky Atlantic, the liberal main stream media really hate the Tea Party, they never ask who backs the liberal Super Pacs, the US Supreme Court in a great decision has allowed individual people who are wealth to support Super Pacs, this is Democracy, and the elite media hate it, in the past they decide what was news, thus you never head about President Kennedy's women, or FDR' or LBJ's, it took a US magazine to get the John Edwards story out, while the uber liberal NYT was doing a character hit job on Senator McCain. The elite new media hate Fox News, because its not liberal, you only have to see how objective Fox News is when you look at the Evening News in the US, they tend to follow the line of the NYT. Thank goodness individuals and business can NOW talk in the public square, its called fairness and democracy folks.
BBC News: Reports that Iran has confirmed its alliance with the Assad Regime in Syria.
Lets Get Real:
The Tehran Regime has no choice but to support Assad, without the Assad Regime in place its strategic power in the region would be limited. The Assad Regime allows Iran to support its terrorists allies in Lebanon, also threaten Israel. Also if the Assad Regime goes one has to ask how long can the Tehran Regime last, its under harsh international sanctions due to plans to become a nuclear armed power, the civic structure of Iran is falling apart, people make off the books deal to just to get through the day, thus Iran needs Assad in place, in this it is joined by Russia, it wants to keep its only warm water port, also the diversion of Syria allows Iran to develop its own nuclear power structure, the West is diverted, and Israel is under pressure from the Oval not to strike Iran before the US Presidential Election in November. The UN is blocked by the veto power of Russia and China, the Assad Regime will fall folks but the blood bath will be high and the World can not say it did not know.
The Hill: Reports that the Republican Nominee Governor Mitt Romney and Republican National Committee has out raised in donations President Obama and Democratic Party in July, Romney raised 101.3 million while Obama raised 75 million.
Lets Get Real:
The Obama Camp has been raising money but its been spending its faster, it has gone for the 1996, 2004 play book of Bill Clinton and Bush 43, it has tried to define Romney before the National Conventions and his choice of VP. This means that in the latter months of the Campaign that Romney will have more cash on hand, this could be of great benefit to Romney and the Republicans in getting out the vote for November and buying adverts in swing States. The Obama Strategy has worked so far, in swing States POTUS has a lead, but will that last when the Republicans let lose their adverts, they will have the money to change the picture of the Campaign, the election is not over folks, lets recall we have the debates. If the election was today you would have to give the nod to Obama, but that is based on the polls in the swing States, do you trust these polls, this blog has found that that samples of these polls over represent Democrats and African Americans, and even then the race is close. Thus its not over in till the fat elephant sings folks.
Telegraph: Reports that the UK Coalition Deputy PM Nick Clegg has stated that the Liberal Democrats will oppose boundary changes for Parliamentary Seats in the 2015 election because the Conservative Party has not supported House of Lords reform.
Lets Get Real:
The Liberal Democrats have show their true colour, YELLOW, they have shown they are not a Party of their word, the Coalition deal gave the LibDems a vote of PR in exchange for a vote to reduce the number of MPs in the House of Commons, and to give Parliamentary Seats equal voters. The breaking of the deal by the LibDems should make PM David Cameron throw in the towel when it comes to the Coalition, he should sack the LibDems Cabinet Ministers, and run a minority Conservative Government, it should move to the radical right, this is the time to play hard ball with the LibDems, if they want to act like selfish children, well send them to their room and run the House as it should be run, in a Conservative manner.
BBC News: Reports that the Syrian PM Riad Hijbab and his family have defected to Jordan, the Assad Regime stated he has been sacked.
Lets Get Real:
This does have echoes of Tsarist Russia at the end, the top does not understand that the structure that kept the Regime above water is going rotten day by day, how long can President Assad trust his Ministers or Army, could Assad have the same fate as Gaddafi of Libya, or Tsar Nicholas II of Russia, it might be a only a matter of time, the Russians Foreign Office will be planning how to get rid of Assad and get in to the good books with the rebels, it wants to keep its only warm water Port, they might be to late for such a move, on the other hand the West should be wary, some excellent reporting by the The Times of London has shown that the rebels are formed by different groups, those seeking democracy and those with links to crime and terrorists structures. Thus folks decay will wither the Assad Regime, it just depends on the level of blood spilled.
BBC News: Reports that US unemployment rate rose from 8.2% to 8.3%.
Lets Get Real:
This is not good news for President Obama, the voter sees the rate and thinks OMG, in English, O MY God, as the article notes a 163,000 jobs were created in July in the US, but that is not enough, to get the rate down. Also Obama might be getting hit by the good PR that the elite media is putting on the US economy, if you read the article you get the impression that things are turning around, that is a problem for Obama, as people that gave up might come back in to unemployment rate as they are searching for jobs. In other words elite stop helping POTUS, your causing a plus - negative reaction.
Gallup ( RV ): Report on its daily tracking poll, today President Obama leads Governor Romney by 47% to 45%.
Lets Get Real:
Thus folks its a dead heat, neither Obama or Romney have a solid lead that they can depend on, although State Polls give Obama the edge they are close, thus one really has to wait for Romney VP choice, then the National Conventions and then finally the all important DEBATES. Thus folks we have weeks of negative adverts, Obama is out of touch by Romney and from the Obama Camp that Romney is a rich elitist who favours the rich over the middle class and the poor, the record has not changed that much folks over the last few MONTHS, we wait for some clear space in the polls, something to happen that will push either Candidate ahead that will allow the political geeks to think about the result in November with some clear Empirical evidence.
Telegraph: Report that Senator Majority Leader Harry Reid has invoked the late father of Governor Romney as a form of attack, the Senator stated that George Romney when he ran for President released years of tax returns.
Lets Get Real:
This shows how low the Democrats are going folks, they are willing to use the death father of the Republican Nominee against him, how low can you go and still be thought worthy of respect. The Democrats are attacking the people who invest in jobs, make money from that investment, as noted in my previous post folks, if you buy a Lottery ticket by the Obama example you are a bad person, you made an investment but go more back than any one else, yes its that foolish and rubbish an argument. The Romney Camp has to come out fighting, no more MR Nice guy, if Romney can not or will not do it, get a VP will rip the throat out of the Democrats, make them regret this move, time for political hard ball folks, other wise the Oval wins.
BBC News: Reports from US media that President Obama has given the Central Intelligence Agency ( CIA ) the green light to help the Syrian rebels.
Lets Get Real:
This blog is not that supportive of Obama but to give him some plus points this is a good development, but not surprising, on the domestic front Obama might to be left of the whole of the US but on Foreign Policy he has a trigger finger, his drone strikes, or kill list has been very effective in taking down terrorists leaders in Afghanistan and Pakistan. Even President Obama does not want to see the Syrian rebels wiped out due to lack of US action, its the right thing to do but also its good politics. The Assad Regime is on its last legs, but they are still standing, it will take time to get rid of Assad but with the aid of the CIA the rebels have a chance of doing it faster. Thus A+ to the Oval, yes even the OVAL gets some things right.
Folks if I didn't know this was the US I would think it would be EU. Its all the fault of Bush 43, those Republicans are to blame for Afghanistan, did 9/11 pass Obama by, was Bush 43 meant to say sorry to the Taliban. The Reagan defence spending in the 80s allowed for an economic boom, what has Obama done, he wants to cut spending, on TAXES, Reagan cut them, has Obama ever head the phrase, " Greed is Good ". Also the Oval knows if the Republicans hold the House and take the Senate he will not get a thing, so this pandering to the US left wing. Obama is a clever guy, if he really thinks is true he does not understand the US and his legacy could sink the Democratic Party. Think about it, Obama can NOT RUN AGAIN should he win, Obama is good on the rhetoric, the Dems do not have another Obama, try Obama's argument without Obama, its called being out of office folks.
Lets Get Real:
Folks this is the most vicious personal political advert this blog has ever seen, the Oval knows that Romney made his money through investments, not working in a factory, they are comparing the two, by that if you win on the Lottery you are a BAD PERSON, yes folks its that kind of rubbish argument. Romney has to let lose on Obama, go for the political balls, the Oval will lie and do anything to win, its the Chicago way, time to fight fire with fire.
Guardian: Reports that Israel has told the US that time is running out for there to be a peaceful solution to the developing Iran nuclear crisis.
Lets Get Real:
One can postulate that Israel might hit Iran without telling the US, in 1981 Israel hit Iraq when it was developing a nuclear plant, in 2007 Israel wanted the US to hit Syria when it was developing a nuclear plant based on a North Korean design, the then US Vice President Dick Cheney wanted to take action but there was no support within the Bush Administration. The question that Israel has to ask does it TRUST President Obama, will STOP Iran getting the bomb, or we he try and force Israel to accept a nuclear armed Iran. Also the timing is important, if Israel hits Iran before November the Oval will have to support the move or face a political backlash from the Israeli lobby in the US, should Israel wait in till after November and Obama wins the Oval might be more critical of Israel, it would have nothing to lose, Obama can not run for 3rd term, thus Israel might face a hostile Oval. Interesting weeks and months ahead folks.
Telegraph: Reports that the Assad Regime has used fighter jets in the 2nd Syrian City of Aleppo.
Lets Get Real:
Thus folks thousands of innocent people have been force to flee to neighbouring countries such as Lebanon, Jordan and Iraq, while thousands of others have been killed by the Assad Regime, the Regime kills women and children if they are seen as part of the rebels. And what does the UN do, NOTHING, the veto power of Russia and China protects the Assad Regime, and what has President Obama do, the man that likes to kill terrorists with drones, NOTHING, there are whispers that the CIA and the Gulf States are funding the rebels, well folks its not enough, this is Libya all over again but at a larger scale and the prize could be peace in the Middle East. If the Assad Regime is removed it would blunt the power of Iran, weaken the terrorists groups in Lebanon, could allow for a general peace, but the cost is for Oval to act and lead from the front, does President Obama have the backbone to take the lead, topple Assad and blunt Iran and allow a chance of peace in the Middle East.
