Thursday, January 17, 2008

Nevada Polls

After New Hampshire I am weary of Democratic Polls, RealClearPolitics has all the major polls for Nevada, in all Clinton has lead par one. I think and this is not a prediction that Senator Hillary Clinton should win Nevada, it might be in the high single digits. The problem the turn out for the Caucus could go from nine thousand in 2004 to a hundred thousand. On the other hand Obama has a major Union backing, thus they will want to show that if they support a candidate they can get the votes, so Obama should should get a good vote, but it has to be noted that African - Americans are not the majority ethnic vote in Nevada Caucus. Thus I think and stress think not prediction that Clinton will win in Nevada by a narrow margin. Thus on to South Carolina.

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