President Obama and the US Courts

BBC News: Reports that a Federal Court in Washington D.C has decided that President Obama made illegal appointments when the US Congress was in recess. 

Lets Get Real:

Is this a political omen folks, all 2nd term Presidencies have one scandal or a disaster, and they tend to have started in the 1st term, Watergate for Nixon after 72, Iran - Contra for Reagan after 84, Clinton was impeached after his 96 win, and Bush 43 had Iraq and the collapse of the Western economic system, thus will Obama overreach, of course he will, they ALL do folks, a second term President is like a ancient King, he thinks he is Gods gift, that his judgement far above any other mortal, and that the system can not go on without him, Obama arrogance is well known, it would be ironic if the Nobel Prize winner fell due to a charge by the UN that he had broken international law due to the use of drones, he is the Godfather of these strikes, he green lights the kill list with the national security council.   One doubts that the UN would be that bold, but it does raise some interesting talk on the political left. 

North Korea Blackmail - 2nd Obama Term

Guardian: Reports the following from the rouge nation of North Korea, " Long-range rockets and proposed 'high-level nuclear test' are targeted at 'arch-enemy of the Korean people', Pyongyang says ".

Lets Get Real:

In essence folks North Korea can not be touched, it has a million man army on the border with South Korea, it has missiles aimed at South Korea, it has the bomb and now its is developing ICBM's that can hit the US,  its major ally China can not act or wont, the UN is a toothless tiger.   When it comes to facing down North Korea or Iran the Oval folds, these rogue countries understand Obama, they know he is weak at his core, he might be the Godfather of drone attacks but he will not use ground troops in a major with with either Iran or North Korea, he folds like a cheap tent, this is known in Pyongyand and Tehran, thus they will push and blackmail, the US will have to wait for another Kennedy or Reagan to get the fear back in to the international system.    The US will fold and give food or other supplies to North Korea to keep it quiet.  On the other hand it can be expected that Japan will go nuclear soon, it can not afford to be upstaged by North Korea, Imperial Japan might need to show its teeth, that just might scare China to force North Korea back in to its box.. 

Kerry and Iran - 2nd Obama Term

BBC News: Reports that the next US Secretary of State Senator John Kerry has stated that the US will stop  Iran going nuclear. 

Lets Get Real: 

The issue of Iran could define the Obama second term, get it right and Obama will become a historical figure, while Bill Clinton also served two terms, he was not in the league of a Kennedy or Reagan,  this is the issue that will either make Obama great or send him in the same category of Neville Chamberlain, who followed  a policy of Appeasement in the 1930s, a policy that was opposed by Winston Churchill, during his Wildness Years of that period.    The recent Israeli Election might have given the Oval some space, the right by the looks of things will have a narrow majority in the new Israeli Parliament.   Thus Obama has some time to do what he wants to do, have one to one talks with Iran, and the man for that is Senator Kerry, he is not a hawk, thus if it does not work and the US has to hit Iran it will be seen that the US tried.  The one policy that will be opposed by the Hill will be any step to force Israel to accept a nuclear armed Iran, that would be a disaster for the US, Israel and for Democrats an election disaster.  Thus lets see what Senator Kerry bring to State, will he be close to the Oval, or will he be used as a sideshow while real policy is taken in the Oval, that would not be new folks. 

UK Citizens GET OUT of Benghazi, Libya - FCO

UK FCO: Reports in its travel advice web page that NO UK Citizens should go to Benghazi and those there should leave due to a terrorist threat. 

Lets Get Real: 

The UK Government is not falling in to the trap that the Oval did folks, it is getting its people OUT, it does not want further UK Citizens to be taken hostage as in Algeria, the French operation in Mali has caused regional problems for the UK, Germany and the Netherlands, these two Countries have told their Citizens to get out.   The Libyan Government is not happy, well they should make sure that post Gaddafi Libya is more secure, it should get the guns and other defence equipment off the street.   It has come out in the US at the Hillary Clinton Senate hearing that the US is moving arms from Libya through Turkey to Syria, one can assume this is a CIA operation,  the idea being that there are no finger prints on the guns, if taken by the Assad regime they can not be traced back to the US, clever if it had not come out.   The Middle East always leaks folks, that is the nature of the game. 

Labour Split - EU

Daily Mail: Reports the reaction to the opposition of Ed Miliband to a EU vote, the article states the following, " risked a party split after refusing to promise an in-out referendum on Britain’s membership of the European Union.  Senior Labour figures have defied their leader and backed David Cameron’s announcement today.. ". 

Lets Get Real:

Folks the Conservative Party could have just won the 2015 election, in less Labour moves to agree to a vote they will not win the 2015 election, the Liberal Democrats will have to find a backbone and move from being a pro EU party, and fast.   The game has changed folks, PM Cameron has Labour by the neck, he could even ask the House of Commons to have a pre vote in 2014, force Labour to take a stand, devious but it would work folks, you have to love politics.   A week is a long time in politics folks.   The Labour Party old hands will need to have a world with Ed Miliband, he will have to annoy the the BBC and Guardian and move to support a vote, he can not hold his own Party on this issue, the Liberal Democrats will have to sit down and think hard about their future, do they want a role in UK politics, if so they will have to ditch their pro EU stand and move to be more critical and harsh, the voters decide folks, that is called Democracy. 

UK and EU

Telegraph: Reports the following on the decision of PM Cameron to promise a in or out referendum on the UK membership of the EU, " Labour's policy on Europe was today thrown into confusion, after Ed Miliband declared he opposes an EU referendum only to be contradicted by his party hours later. ". 

Lets Get Real:

This will benefit the Conservative Party folks, although the Party still has a few EU supporters its not like in the day of Lady Thatcher and Sir John Major, when the Party was split by the issue, on the whole the Party would be quite happy to be OUT of the EU, while the issue is a hot issue for Labour, the London elites might want to stay but they can not make sure that Labour supporters follow the party line, the Labour Party could be split down the middle and Ed Miliband could be on the losing side.  While the issue could bury the Liberal Democrats, the Party is so pro EU it wants to run by the EU, if the UK  is out they are finished as a political party, they would lose ALL their Euro MP's, in fact the party could split, between Labour and Conservative supporters.    This is a good news day for PM Cameron and a tricky day for the Labour Party and the Liberal Democrats. 

Hillary Clinton and Libya - PT2

Guardian: Reports the following on Secretary Clinton at the Libyan hearing, " On Wednesday she took an extra trip – to the woodshed. ". 

Lets Get Real:

As the article notes US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton could have found out the truth about the Libyan terrorists attack by one phone call, but form prevented her, one could say if LBJ had bothered to  phone to Captain of the US Ship that was supposed to have been attacked by the North Vietnam and was not he might not have started the full throttle war in Vietnam.   In the UK when a Minister becomes the hostage of the system, he or she are considered house trained, it seems that the State Department trained Clinton, to be a Diplomat, that not the same thing as fighting the US corner.    This admission of failure by Clinton could haunt her in 2016, the Republicans will ask if she will ask the right questions should she have to deal with another crisis, thus this blog will go as far to predict that Clinton will not be the Democratic nominee in 2016,  US politics is ruthless folks, some Democrat will come along and make it an issue by not making it an issue, sink the Clinton ship under the water, that is politics 101 folks.