Tuesday, June 12, 2018

De - Select MPs who stab the PM in the back - Brexit Update 2 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The Conservative associations of MPs who stab the PM in the back today should de - select their MP for the next election.   The people have spoken in the 2016 vote, the May Government is trying to follow the will of the British people.  Those that read this blog might be surprised, as this blog supports staying in the Customs Union and the Single Market.  That policy move is based on the fact that Jeremy Corbyn could win the next election.   As this blog has stated, it wishes it could like the the moaning remainers, but it is hard, they in the time of the Roman Empire would have built secular Temple to Augustus, wrong then and now.   

The Build Up to the Brexit Vote - Brexit Update - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

A Junior Minister has resigned to join the rebels in voting to support the Lords Amendments, it will be a close vote, this blog hopes that the customs union and single market are approved by the House of Commons.   As stated this  a safeguard in case Jeremy Corbyn ever gets to No 10.   This blog will not make projections, only a fool makes that kind of political guess with the numbers so close, time will tell.  

Trump Appeases North Korea - The US and North Korean Summit


Lets Get Real:

The Democrats should pounce on this major concession by President Trump, the hawks in the Republican Party should distance themselves from POTUS.   The President has been played by North Korea, they will never give up their nuclear weapons, and it will be hard for the US to get sanctions placed again on North Korea, one can China relaxing its sanctions on North Korea, this is a win for China and North Korea.    This is the problem when you elect a reality TV star as President, he sees coverage as more important than the FACTS ON THE GROUND.   The South Koreans might like that there is less tension with North Korea, but their defence is based on the US being on the ground, if Trump removes the troops then South Korea could face an attack by the North.   Trump is new Neville Chamberlain, the Summit was the new Munich 1938.

Monday, June 11, 2018

The State of Play for tomorrow for the House of Commons - Update 2 - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

Ah to be a fly on the wall of the office of the Chief Whips, for both the Government and the Opposition.   One presumes that there will be rebels on both sides, it will be interesting to see how many Conservatives rebels vote for the House of Lords Amendments, the reverse with the Labour, who will support the Government when it comes to negating the Lords Amendments.  The 24/7 channels will need half the screen for the US and North Korean Summit and the other for the House of Commons.

Your Brexit Story for the Day - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

The crunch day for Brexit is tomorrow, there are 15 Amendments from the House of Lords.  The House of Commons should support the Lords when it comes to the UK staying in the Customs Union and Single Market.   The votes will be close, one only hopes that enough Tory rebels to give the Opposition a victory and secure a better future for the UK. The Summit between the US and North Korea and the House of Commons tomorrow makes for an interesting day. 

North Korea and its past promises to the US - Update 2 - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The Trump Oval has to be careful that it is not played by the North Korean Regime, in the past North Korea has made promises that it went back on straight away.  President Reagan had a great line, Trust by Verify, that means inspectors on the ground in North Korea to check if North Korea is keeping to the agreement.   As for PR, the Summit is good for Trump and Kim Jong Un, both can act the statesman, tomorrow will be very interesting.

The US and North Korean Summit - Update - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

Both US and North Korean leaders want a successful Summit for different reasons, Trump has something to prove, that he can do DEALS that stick and he is better than past Presidents.  The North Korean leader wants to end the sanctions that have been imposed on the North Korea by the World.   Thus a good deal would be that North Korean give up its nuclear missiles, while they get a Treaty that secures the North Korean Regime.   On the US side, Trump must not be appear weak, if Kim Jong-un is playing him the President must not be afraid to walk out.   The two leaders meet at 9am UK time tomorrow.