Conservative Party Manifesto 2010

Today it was the turn of the Conservatives to hold their Manifesto Launch. It was an excellent speech by Mr Cameron, asking the people to be part of the political process, the main bullet points of the Manifesto are the following:

1. Be your own boss.

2. Sack your MP.

3. Run your own school.

4. Own your own home.

5. Veto council tax rises

6. Vote for your police

7. Save your local pub or post office

8. See how government spends your money

The Manifesto has traditional Conservative Polices, such as allowing people to get on in life, also it courts reform with the ability of people to sack their MP. Also it understands the need to protect civic society from the ground up, thus the need to protect important sectors in the countryside such as the Pub or the local post office. In North Wales there has been a massive decline in local Pubs due to the cost of buying a drink also the big super markets are selling the stuff at cheaper prices thus making local non brand pubs out of date and to expensive to run. The Conservatives also promise to roll back the NI job tax of the Labour Party but also to help married couples. Lets see if the Tories get a bounce from this Manifesto.

The Sun Poll - 6pt Conservative Lead

The Sun: Has a daily tracking poll for the UK 2010 Election, this poll also has the Conservative Party on a 6pt lead over the Labour Party, in this poll the Conservatives have 39%, the Labour Party 33% and the Liberal Democrats on 20%. As we have seen with the Guardian Poll the Parties are within two percent of 37% - 39% for the Conservative Party and 31% - 33% for the Labour Party, the LibDems are stuck on 20%. Thus for the Conservatives to get a 1 set majority in the House of Commons they need a swing of 6.9%, more than Tony Blair got in 1997. The question that has to be asked is the Guardian right that the Conservative Party has not secured that deal with the UK voter, it really depends if you trust the polls, or more correctif you trust the UK voter to be honest with those asking the questions, one only has to recall 1992, everyone thought it was Labour shoe in, well John Major won with a 21 seat majority, thus Major and the Conservatives stayed in power in till 1997 and the arrival of Tony Blair. The 1997, 2001, and 2005 elections one knew who was going to win well before the election was called, and it was not the Conservative Party, this blogger will wait in till closer to May 6th before making a final prediction on share count and the seats in the House of Commons. There will be a lot of polls before the end folks, this blogger wont be going through them all; HAIL, I hear you shout; but if there is trend will point them out, such as both the Conservative Sun and the Labour Guardian both have the Tory Party with a six point lead, not enough for a Commons majority but a Hung Parliament, what fun that will be folks.

Obama 48% Disapproval - Gallup

Gallup: Reports on its latest daily tracking poll for the job performance of President Obama, the President stands at 48% Disapproval, while 45% of voters approve of Obama's job performance. This should really worry the Obama White House, the Gallup Poll is over average voters, even those young voters who voted for Obama in 2008 and who he needs to come out in Mid Term Elections of 2010 and in the re-election year of 2012. If Obama has lost the young, in this case I count between 18 - 30, due to the fact that he is forcing them to buy medical cover then the Democrats are toast in November, the House could be gone and the Senate could be on the brink over going to the Republicans. Those in the White House that think Obama is the second coming will argue that the should follow the Reagan path of the first term, keep steady and it will turn around, they are political fools, Reagan won big in 1984 due to the fact that the economy had turned, this is not on the cards for 2012. It would be ironic if Obama ushered in another generation of Republican Presidents due to the fact of his own arrogance. Thus the fate of the Obama Presidency will be based on the following factors, the economy, Iran, Afghanistan and Iraq. It will only take for two of these go wrong and Obama is on the way home back to Chicago, its still a few years away in objective terms, but Obama is heading in that direction, and the fun thing it will be own arrogance leads him to be another Jimmy Carter.

Iraq = Afghanistan - NYT

The New York Times: Reports on the killing of five innocent civilians by US Forces. It starts folks, the extreme liberal New York Times it seems has gone sour on Afghanistan, as with Iraq expect more negatives stories, as stated many times in this blog, the media elite only supported the Afghan War as a way to hammer Bush 43, now its time to place pressure on Obama to get out of Afghanistan. Thus expect more negatives stories, how the Afghan Government is corrupt and weak, how the Afghan Army is still not ready to take over from US Forces. How the domestic agenda of the Afghan Government would not pass muster in the Editorial room of the extreme liberal New York Times. It just might be fun and ironic to see Obama go through the same critical attack from the New York Times has the Bush White House had to face day in and out. The plan to undermine the Afghan War by the NYT started with the negative stories about the second Obama surge, thus the NYT has shown it cards, it wants out of Afghanistan, it wants Iran to have the bomb and for KSM to have all the rights of an American. That is the NYT of today.

VAT - TAX

Telegraph: Reports on the refusal of PM Gordon Brown not to promise not raise VAT due to the need to cut the black hole of the UK Budget. Thus folks the Labour Party will raise taxes to cut the debt of the UK folks, we can expect that National Insurance to go up more than 1% should the Labour Party be in power for another five years, also VAT can be expected to reach 20% by the time of the next election. What is the one thing you don't do if you want to recover from a major recession folks, YES you don't increase the tax burden on the folks, its hard enough now folks in the UK, the petrol increase in the countryside make it very expensive to run a car, but if you live in the countryside you need the car, the local buses seem to run on their own private timetable. It is clear folks that the UK voter has a choice, more tax under Labour or a Conservative Party that will get the country going in the right direction.

New Guardian Poll, ONLY 6pt Tory Lead

Guardian: Reports on a new poll that has the Conservatives on thirty seven percent support, the Labour Party on thirty one percent support and the LibDems on twenty percent support, the Guardian states the following on the poll, " The Conservatives have failed to press home their apparent advantage in the first week...". That's my problem with polls folks, my political gut is telling me that people will vote Conservative and give the Conservative Party a good majority but they don't want to tell the polls, its not new folks, lets be honest the Labour Party had a bad first week, the allowed the Conservative Party to set the Agenda when it comes to National Insurance, also major business leaders came out and supported the Conservative idea to repeal the new 1% increase in that tax. So why is the Labour Party still on 31% support, its not that the poll is misleading its just that the voter tells fibs, if you look at the questions asked in the Poll the Conservatives have a good lead in many sections. Thus be careful with these polls folks, go and read the other questions asked in the poll, its suggests that the Conservatives will win and with a good majority, its just the voter will not tell the truth.

The Labour Manifesto 2010

The Labour Party released its 2010 Manifesto today, it was dull and boring, a lot like PM Gordon Brown. The only real highlights are the following, if your a train spotter you love the idea of more trains, other wise in the real world the Labour Party will not promise NOT to raise VAT. In other words a document published when you have wrecked the economy and are broke. Lots of wind with no substance, read if you cant sleep. Also after 13 years of Labour why all the talk about political reform, what have the being doing over the past 13 years, sleeping at the wheel as most MP's turned out to be bent with a very few honourable exceptions, if you trust Labour Party NOW then as the Doctor ( Doctor Who ) said on Saturday, elections every five years and the voter has forgotten those years. After 13 years of Labour the economy is in the toilet, WE ARE BROKE, and the idea of the House of Commons is in the toilet, yes after 13 YEARS OF LABOUR.