Friday, August 30, 2013

Obama on Syrian Crisis - Syria Crisis 5


Lets Get Real:

The worse nightmare that Obama has is being woken up one night and told Tehran has the bomb, this would force him to ACT, before Israel would take up the matter, the action in Syria while important is more about Iran, the Oval has made it clear over the years that a nuclear armed Iran is out of the question, the fact that Tehran is close to getting the bomb must keep the Oval up some nights.   Thus an attack on Assad's Syria will send  a clear message to Tehran, do not push either Israel or the US.  One can almost postulate that the Oval has heard from Israel, that if the Oval doe not act how can Israel trust the word of the Oval.  The problem for the Oval is that if it hits Assad to hard it could bring him down, and let in Al Qaeda, that would lead to US having to place troops in Syria to secure the WMD of Syria, on the other hand a slight hit on the nose might not make much of an impression and make Syria and Iran think they can go further, thus folks there are BAD AND WORSE options in Syria, well POTUS wanted the job. 

Kerry on Syria - Syria Crisis 4

Statement by US Secretary of State, John Kerry.  Here are the highlights folks, " The United States Government now knows that at least 1,429 Syrians were killed in this attack, including at least 426 children. Even the first responders, the doctors, nurses, and medics who tried to save them, they became victims themselves. We saw them gasping for air, terrified that their own lives were in danger.....We also know many disturbing details about the aftermath. We know that a senior regime official who knew about the attack confirmed that chemical weapons were used by the regime, reviewed the impact, and actually was afraid that they would be discovered. We know this....So the primary question is really no longer: What do we know? The question is: What are we – we collectively – what are we in the world going to do about it?  As previous storms in history have gathered, when unspeakable crimes were within our power to stop them, we have been warned against the temptations of looking the other way. History is full of leaders who have warned against inaction, indifference, and especially against silence when it mattered most. Our choices then in history had great consequences and our choice today has great consequences. It matters that nearly a hundred years ago, in direct response to the utter horror and inhumanity of World War I, that the civilized world agreed that chemical weapons should never be used again.....Our oldest ally, the French, said the regime, quote, “committed this vile action, and it is an outrage to use weapons that the community has banned for the last 90 years in all international conventions.” The Australian Prime Minister said he didn’t want history to record that we were, quote, “a party to turning such a blind eye.

Lets Get Real:

This is what happens folks when when the appeasers in the House of Commons stabs the UK's closes ally in the back, think about this folks, the bloody French, after World War One and World War Two and various other Wars, we do not even get a mention.  SHAME on the House of Commons, JUST SHAME. 



Obama and Syrian Crisis - Syria Crisis 3


Lets Get Real:

Thus folks we could see the following line up for an attack on Syria, the US, France and Turkey, at least Cameron was on the right side, his tactics might be open to question, but at least he was doing the right thing, while Ed Milliband was more worried about keeping his Party together, the image of the UK did not matter to him, think of this folks,  when the attack happens the Labour leader will either have to hide, or be asked if he is going to attack President Obama, the 1st African - American President, and the left wing President Hollande, when he stabbed his brother in the back to become Labour leader it did not matter, he only destroyed his family for his ambition, this is a different level folks, this is about the what makes the Great Britain GREAT, over political ambition by Miliband means that the UK is not with its close ally the US, and that the Oval has to have the French with them, Paris will never let us forget this shame folks.  Lets hope Ed Miliband can sleep at night, 426 children in Syria a few days ago went to sleep and never woke up, does Miliband care or does care about keeping the Labour Party happy. 

Syria and the White House - Syria Crisis 2


Lets Get Real:

After the speech by Secretary Kerry IF the Oval did not move it would look like the weakest President in US history, so Syria can expect an attack within a few days is can be postulated.   Lets be clear here folks, this should be a one off deal, few hours or even a day or two, the point is NOT to become an ACTOR in the Syrian Civil War, after Afghanistan and Iraq, no one wants that, the point is to send a message to Assad and Iran, BACK OFF, and even more so to Iran. Within a few months Iran could have the bomb, then the US will face a major choice, it can not allow Iran to have the bomb, as this would force Israel to take action, thus the US will have to do it first to prevent a regional war.   In many respects Syria is a sideshow, the point of Syria is Iran. 

The Death Toll of the Chemical Strike in Syria - Syria Crisis

BBC News: Reports that US Secretary of State John Kerry has stated that 1,429 Syrians were killed when the Assad Regime launched a chemical attack on its own people, of that that total 426 were children. 

Lets Get Real:

One can only hope that those Conservative MPs who didn't vote for the UK Coalition Government and Ed Miliband and his Labour MPs have sleepless nights, lets hope they see in their twisted dreams the cries of the innocent as they died because of the chemical warfare attack of the Assad Regime.   The PM should wait and return such appeasement with cold revenge, no time for call me Dave, time to show what happens when you betray your Country and Party, make sure that those MPs that failed to show loyalty suffer, make sure they get the worse Committee work, NEVER become part of the Government.  When it comes to Ed Miliband the PM should remind  him of the deaths of 426 children, make him regret even thinking about becoming Labour Leader.   The UK voter is VERY fickle, if the US strike is successful, they will turn on those politicians who took the UK off the moral cliff.  The vote last nigh was shameful by the UK Parliament, Churchill and Thatcher are turning in their graves, who would have thought that a small rump of Conservative MPs who become modern appeasers. 

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

The Cameron WOBBLE - Syria Crisis 3


Lets Get Real:

One has to ask does PM Cameron have that much time left at  10 Downing Street, to be faced down by a wimp like Ed Miliband shows how weak Cameron is with his own Party, can you see a Thatcher or a Churchill putting up with any kind resistance when it came to the International Stage,  Cameron should have faced down his troublesome MPs, Assad will now think that there might be no attack, thus the US should state its going, with or without allies, then force Miliband to chose, be on the same page as those against WMD or the same page as Assad and Russia,  that being the only CHOICE,  the Conservative Party should start to look for a new leader, if this the best Cameron can do he is no fit leader, oh for the glory days of the 80s. 

The US and the UN - Syria Crisis 2


Lets Get Real:

The US with the allies of the willing, this would include France and Turkey should not wait for the UK, the Labour Party under Ed Miliband is gun shy, even if the UN inspectors find that WMD was used you can postulated that a lot of Labour MPs will not vote for action, over the past few days the BBC, the in house broadcaster for the left has been spouting its anti Iraq stand for days.    The elite left is stuck in the Iraq War, back bench Conservative MPs are just stuck in a appease mode, it takes a Churchill or a Thatcher kick them up the backside.   The US and its allies should just strike, the more we see a delay the more Assad thinks he has won.    This is time for Obama to carry a big stick, he wanted the job, he is President of the United States, he does not need the approval of windbags like Ed Miliband or no backbone Conservative MPs. 

UK Labour WOBBLE over Syria - Syria Crisis


Lets Get Real:

Thus folks we are seeing the cracks in the political establishment, the left wing, and this includes the BBC have been spouting resistance to a War for days, every time this blog has looked at the BBC they have had those on that oppose doing anything, its like the 1930s all over again, all the BBC wants to do is appease, lets be honest the BBC has never been pro UK, the cancer of left wing thought has reached its soul, it it ever had a soul, do you think the Government in World War 2 would have tolerated this almost pathetic need to give more air to the other side than to what is right.   Labour after Iraq under Tony Blair is gun shy, its leader Ed Miliband is a wet blanket that will lead Labour to general election disaster, thus he is owned by the left wing and the Unions.   If PM Cameron losses tomorrow's vote he will have to go, he would have lost his authority, the US should just attack with France, and Turkey, who would have thought that the UK would so much of a yellow streak.   Shame on the UK. 

Monday, August 26, 2013

A Statement for War - Secretary Kerry



The meaning of this attack goes beyond the conflict in Syria itself, and that conflict has already brought so much terrible suffering. This is about the large-scale, indiscriminate use of weapons that the civilized world long ago decided must never be used at all – a conviction shared even by countries that agree on little else. There is a clear reason that the world has banned entirely the use of chemical weapons. There is a reason the international community has set a clear standard and why many countries have taken major steps to eradicate these weapons. There is a reason why President Obama has made it such a priority to stop the proliferation of these weapons and lock them down where they do exist. There is a reason why President Obama has made clear to the Assad regime that this international norm cannot be violated without consequences. And there is a reason why no matter what you believe about Syria, all peoples and all nations who believe in the cause of our common humanity must stand up to assure that there is accountability for the use of chemical weapons so that it never happens again.








Lets Get Real:

This is a WAR SPEECH folks, lets hope President Obama can bring passion to his remarks when he states the action taken by the US, and folks there will be action, the next step will be up to Assad, DO NOTHING in return or  INVITE the US in to the Syrian Civil War with an attack on a US friend in the region.  Time will tell folks. 

Kerry on Syria - Syria Crisis


Lets Get Real:

One has to wonder how the liberal left is going to take that statement, so action with Russia and China opposed, no UN approval, one can postulate that the elite liberal left will cover for Obama, no change there folks, this time they will be right to do it, the liberal left elite have to get over their hatred for Bush 43 and the Iraq War, you can not live in the past forever, also the Oval does not want to be on the same page as Assad and Neville Chamberlain, being an appeaser might make you fans at the liberal NYT, history writers is another matter, you can not hide the use of WMD under the carpet, thus the expected action by the Oval.  Lets see what the results are folks. 

Syrian USE of Chemical Weapons a "moral obscenity" - Secretary Kerry

BBC News: Reports on a very powerful statement by US Secretary of State John Kerry that called the use of chemical weapons by the Assad Regime a morale obscenity. 

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks this blog was wrong, this blogger thought that the Oval would try to get out of taking any action over Syria, well even the ego of this Oval can not over look the use of chemical weapons by the Assad Regime.   No US Secretary of State would make such a powerful statement  without action being the next step, one has to wonder how much pressure the Oval came under by PM Cameron and Secretary Kerry, if the Oval does not take action the Secretary would have to resign, his word would be no good in the international community if after such a statement there was no reaction.   Thus what is the next step folks, well the general feeling is that Kosovo is the example, but one new example as stated on the BBC was that it could be Libya of 1986, when the Reagan Administration did a one shot deal to get rid of Gaddafi.   The question is what will Assad DO after an attack, if clever nothing, on the other hand, an attack on Turkey or Israel would bring in the US in to the Syrian Civil War.   Thus we shall see folks. 

Friday, August 23, 2013

Obama Administration SPLIT over Syria - 2nd Term Blues


Lets Get Real:

Well folks if this blog is reading this article you can be sure that the Assad Regime will be reading it with joy, Obama as stated in previous posts is following a ritual, he says something must be done, needs more information, talks about UN ACTION, then NOTHING.   The OCD President, the split in the Obama Administration recalls when President Kennedy came back in August 1963 and found his Administration was falling apart over Vietnam; in that case it was to late, at Deputy level the Kennedy Administration had given the okay for the Generals in South Vietnam to get rid of the Government; lets hope the Oval has better control of the diplomatic cables.   Thus folks after a few days since the use of WMD, what has the West done, NOTHING, it will do NOTHING, that is what you get when you elect a Harvard lawyer as President, does recall President Wilson, he was slow in to WW1 and messed up the ending.   Those that will suffer in the days,weeks, months ahead will be the poor people of Syria. 

Russia and Syria - Syria Crisis 2

Telegraph: Reports the following from Moscow, " Russia calls on Assad to allow inspectors ".

Lets Get Real: 

It is not what Russia is saying in public that worries this blog, it is what Moscow is telling Assad in private is the most concern, the Russians will support Assad as long as they can, they need their warm water port, the Russians have confirmed that WMD has been used in Syria, but they blame the Syrian Opposition, they want the West to think that the it was home made WMD that caused the hundreds of deaths, yes folks they are spinning even what they do not think is true.   It can be postulated that Assad will delay for days or even weeks any UN Inspectors looking at the areas that came under attack, the Regime will want to clear way any evidence of an attack by their side.   Thus folks Assad WINS again, sad day for Syria, the West and most of all OUR humanity. 


UK on Assad Chemical Attack - Syrian Crisis

Guardian: Reports the policy of the UK Government to the latest massacre in Syria, " Assad regime responsible for Syrian chemical attack, says UK government ".

Lets Get Real:

This could be Libya 2011 ALL over again folks, the UK and France take the lead, the PR side of any operation while the US leads from behind.   The American Era of leadership is really over if the OLD Imperial Powers have to solve the problems of the Middle East, very much a return to the future folks.  The question is will the UK and France take action without UN approval after Iraq, can the UK Coalition Government go on if the Conservative PM decides to take action, there are internal and external risks should UK and France take action, Syria is not Libya, they are backed by Russia and Iran, if UK is in so is the US, there are only so many bridges Obama can burn when it comes to Foreign Policy, thus folks we shall see who has the morale and political backbone to take action in Syria. 

Obama's OCD over Syria - 2nd Term Blues

BBC News: Reports that President Obama has stated that the allegation that the Assad Regime had used chemical weapons on its own people was a " BIG EVENT OF GRAVE CONCERN ". 

Lets Get Real:

The Oval is showing traits of OCD folks, one aspect of OCD is following a ritual, with the Oval its first concern, then it wants evidence, then it wants to go to the UN, of course then Russia vetoes any action.  The Oval returns to the start of the ritual, it has done this before, the Oval stated that it had a red line when it came to the use of WMD in Syria, when it was forced to admit that Syria had used WMD it did NOTHING, now the Assad Regime has gone for a bigger attack, and the Oval is following its ritual, as this blog has done Roman History one starts to think of Obama as a very infamous Roman Pro Consul who washed his hands and allowed the mob; the mob in Obama's case is Russia and China; to kill an innocent man and allow a bad man to get away.  If the murder of innocent children by the use of WMD does not get the Oval to move we have a morale bankrupt President.  A leader who is so weak that he allows the UN and Russia to dictate US Foreign Policy, who will allow thousands of men, women and children to be killed for over two and half years by a murderous Regime, what next, will Obama allow Assad to wipe out entire towns with WMD.    This is a sad day for the US and the West folks.  SHAME ON THE OVAL.  Let history never forget that Obama washed his hands and other people died. 

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

The REAL US Policy in Syria - Syria Crisis 4

Telegraph: Has the following story about the real US view of the Syrian Civil War, " US 'will not intervene in Syria as rebels don't support interests', says top general ".

Lets Get Real:

Folks the Democrats and the US Defence Department is gun shy after Afghanistan and Iraq, the military feel like they have been left with the baby when it comes to Iraq and Afghanistan, they have taken the terrible losses, while the political top brass take cover and leave the mess for the military to clear up.   If your POTUS you take the advice of the military but you do not allow them to have a VETO, if this had been the case Bush 41 would have waited for sanctions to work to to get Iraq out of Kuwait before the first Gulf War.  After Vietnam the US Military has a typical argument when it comes to taking action, you will need hundreds of troops, it will cost billions and you could lose, President Reagan was a tough War Leader, he lost hundreds of US Marines in a bomb attack in Lebanon in 1983, the the following day he invaded Grenada to protect US Citizens, a  US President must lead, otherwise the enemies of the US will see a weak giant and act, one has to feel sorry for the people of Syria, more will die, SO SAD. 

Deaths in Syria - Syria Crisis 3


Lets Get Real:

This is what you get folks when you have a weak US President, vicious Regimes like the Assad Regime can get away with murder, the Oval likes the title POTUS but does not want to get its hands dirty, it fears losing its liberal base, the liberal base did not support the overthrow of Gaddafi of Libya, after Iraq the and Afghanistan the liberal base is gun shy, it does not want the US to lead, it expects the UN to lead, well with the Russian and China VETO that is not going to happen folks, thus if the West does not take action over the latest use of chemical weapons in Syria one can postulate that Iran will go nuclear, this will force Israel to ACT, this could lead to a regional WAR, then the Oval and the West will have to get its hands very dirty, Western voters will not be happy if the petrol prices shoot up due to a Middle East Regional War. 

Deaths in Syria - Syria Crisis 2

BBC News: Reports that the Syrian Opposition is claiming that a 1,000+ Syrians have been killed in a chemical weapon attack this morning on the outskirts of Damascus.

Lets Get Real: 

Even now folks the Russians are supporting the Assad Regime, this blog will VERY SURPRISED if Moscow agrees to any more tougher UN resolutions, one thing about the Russians they support a strategic ally to the end, the Russians needs their only warm water port in Syria, thus unlike Obama with Egypt it it can be postulated that Putin's Russia will place the blame for any chemical attack at the door of the Syrian Opposition, thus folks after all the hot air out of Western Capitals we will be back to the West doing nothing and Assad killing his own people and Al Qaeda growing in influence in Syria, while the Oval fiddles the Middle East burns. 

Syria Update - Syria Crisis

The United States strongly condemns any and all use of chemical weapons.  Those responsible for the use of chemical weapons must be held accountable.  Today, we are formally requesting that the United Nations urgently investigate this new allegation.  The UN investigative team, which is currently in Syria, is prepared to do so, and that is consistent with its purpose and mandate.  For the UN’s efforts to be credible, they must have immediate access to witnesses and affected individuals, and have the ability to examine and collect physical evidence without any interference or manipulation from the Syrian government.  If the Syrian government has nothing to hide and is truly committed to an impartial and credible investigation of chemical weapons use in Syria, it will facilitate the UN team’s immediate and unfettered access to this site.  We have also called for urgent consultations in the UN Security Council to discuss these allegations and to call for the Syrian government to provide immediate access to the UN investigative team.  The United States urges all Syrian parties including the government and opposition, to provide immediate access to any and all sites of importance to the investigation and to ensure security for the UN investigative team. ".

Lets Get Real:

This shows folks how much contempt the Assad Regime has for President Obama, IF TRUE the Assad Regime has used chemical weapons while the UN is on the ground, one can assume that the fraught Egypt policy of the Oval has given the Assad the view that this President will never ACT, he is weak, he stated that the use of chemical weapons was a red line, and has done nothing when it has been confirmed in the past that Assad has used WMD.   Thus folks the Oval will bluster, make calls for UN action and DO NOTHING.  The Assad Regime has WON folks due to the feckless nature and ego of President Obama.  Over a hundred thousand Syrians have died because of the Obama ego.   The Oval does have blood on its hands. 

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

Israel and Egypt - 2nd Term Blues


Lets Get Real:

This is typical of the left wing NYT, it is using its anti Israeli stand as a way to attack Egypt, well lets see, who is closer, Israel or the elite out of touch NYT to Egypt, who base their security on a stable Egypt, the answer is of course Israel, the Egyptian Army has kept its word when it comes to the Camp David Peace Deal between Israel and Egypt, the NYT are either naive or are fools, or both, if US cuts Egypt adrift, either Russia or other local powers could come in to support the Egypt.  Then when the US is out in the COLD the very same elite will be shoving Egypt up the ego of the Oval.    It has been reported that the Oval has frozen aid to Egypt, thus the Oval has shown weakness, even Jimmy Carter looks good when compared to Obama, who would have thought this blog would write that in a post. 

The Oval and Egypt - 2nd Term Blues

Lets Get Real:
This is a massive mistake by the Oval, as the article notes the US haspreferential use of the Suez Canal...It also has overflight rights, which gives the U.S. military the ability to fly over Egypt on the way to bases in the region. ".  Thus folks what happens when Saudi Arabia fills in the gap or even worse the Russians, the US will have lost a close ally, this move by the Oval is due to pressure by the US Senate, it shows how weak the Oval is, a great President would have taken the Congress on, made the case that Egypt is to important to US National Security to play games with, you can not have a 100 hundred Senators who think they are experts on Foreign Policy, this could backfire on the Oval folks, this is a massive mistake that could sink the 2nd Obama term. 

The Snowden Files - Snowden Case 3


Lets Get Real:

The question that has to be asked why did the Police release the partner at the reporter at the centre of the Snowden case, the partner was carrying stolen US intelligence, but also intelligence that has implications for UK security.  At what point did UK and US national security become less important than freedom.  Are the rights of the individual more important than the safety of the majority of the people in both the US and the UK.   Lets be clear folks, press freedom is important, and this blog will fight to protect the right of papers and other news outfits to keep their Governments in line, but that line does not include the right of liberal newspapers to destroy the security of the the Homeland or the Realm.   Thus the political parties should come together and be critical of the press, what happens if there is another 9/11, 7/7. all because of the leaks by the press, press freedom yes folks, not press freedom at any expense.    Time for a D - NOTICE for the Guardian. 

Keeping Secrets and the Guardian - Snowden Case 2


Lets Get Real: 

The UK Government should have gone in harder, placed a D notice weeks ago, threaten the Guardian with treason, or the Tax Man, make their lives hell, investigate any meeting with a invoice, check the accounts of reporters, press freedom can not come at the expense of the security of the State, think of how the terrorists have learned how to hide their meetings, how to make sure their plans do not come to light.    It can be argued that the NSA and GCHQ should have close down the web sites of the Guardian, NYT, and any other left wing media sites that did not listen to reason.   The terrorists, Russia must be laughing at the liberal self destructive nature of Western Democracy. 

UK Security vs. Press Freedom - Snowden Case

BBC News: Reports that David Miranda the partner of the Guardian reporter Glenn Greenwald is taking the UK to court to prevent the Police reading his electronic information.  

Lets Get Real:

The Snowden leaks have been some of the most damaging security dumps/leaks in decades.   Think if this had happened during World War 1 or 2, if reporters had leaked the date of D- Day, of the fact that the US and UK had broken enemies codes, think of the deaths it would have lead too, thus folks the UK Courts should hold up the right of the Police to stop stolen intelligence being leaked by US traitors and reports who do not understand the damage they are doing to UK and US National Security.     Do you think the modern Russian KGB would tolerate these kind of leaks, like hell, Mossad would be out of control.   The modern press should have freedom folks, but not freedom that helps terrorists kill people.  That is madness that leads to fall of Empires. 


Friday, August 16, 2013

Obama vs. US Senate - Egypt Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The Oval has a problem folks, today as reported there were 60 deaths in Egypt, a few days days ago it was over 600, and the response of the Oval, well weak would be a understatement, so what does the Oval do, it could make it self feel good by cutting off military support to Egypt, and the reaction, the US would lose influence and the Gulf States would pick up the short fall, or even worse the Russians, the US needs the Generals to keep the peace deal with Israel, fight the Al Qaeda terrorists that have started to attack the Egyptian Army and make sure the Suez Canal is secure.    In other words the Egyptian Army has most of the Ace cards, the Oval will have to make sure the US Congress does not cut off support for Egypt, that the new Cairo Government starts talks to bring about democratic Egypt, but also keep the Muslim Brotherhood in its new box.    There are going to be more deaths in Egypt folks, its the lesser evil choice in this deadly game, its not nice, but its the real world. 

A Weak President, A Weak Reaction - Obama's Egypt Crisis




We want Egypt to succeed.  We want a peaceful, democratic, prosperous Egypt.  That's our interest.  But to achieve that, the Egyptians are going to have to do the work.  ".  The above is why everyone from Iran to Russia thinks Obama is weak folks, POTUS wants to be loved, well in the international politics its better to be feared folks, fear goes a long way, weakness gets you nothing but scorn.  Thus the problems that the Oval has at the moment. 

Wednesday, August 14, 2013

Obama on Egypt - Egypt Crisis 3

The White House: The Deputy Press Secretary has released the following statement, " The United States strongly condemns the use of violence against protesters in Egypt. We extend our condolences to the families of those who have been killed, and to the injured. We have repeatedly called on the Egyptian military and security forces to show restraint, and for the government to respect the universal rights of its citizens, just as we have urged protesters to demonstrate peacefully. Violence will only make it more difficult to move Egypt forward on a path to lasting stability and democracy, and runs directly counter to the pledges by the interim government to pursue reconciliation. We also strongly oppose a return to a State of Emergency law, and call on the government to respect basic human rights such as freedom of peaceful assembly, and due process under the law. The world is watching what is happening in Cairo. We urge the government of Egypt - and all parties in Egypt - to refrain from violence and resolve their differences peacefully. ".

Lets Get Real: 

If the Oval was so concerned how about getting off the golf course, might have missed that, or cutting funding to the Army of Egypt, or sending Secretary Kerry over, he has been to Middle East enough this year, the Deputy Press Secretary, WHO? The Oval has to lead some of the time, golf is a great game, but not that important, the African and the Middle East is falling apart while Obama puts his golf ball. 

Egypt Death Toll - Egypt Crisis 2


Lets Get Real:
 
This will play in to the hands of Islamic terrorists, they will use this PR disaster for the Egyptian Government to show that even when Islamic Parties win elections the West will tear them down with a nod.   The West and that means the US can not do do a dam thing about the events in Egypt, it can not afford the blow back, what if the MB get back in to power and tear up the peace deal between Egypt and Israel, you can forget getting a Palestinian State then, in fact you can bet on a Regional War, that would break the Obama Presidency, thus folks the lack of leadership by the Oval has created a frosty Arab Spring, democracy is not that great when Western interests are under threat, what a mess folks. 

The Violence in Egypt - Egypt Crisis


Lets Get Real: 

As stated yesterday folks the Muslim Brotherhood might have made a fatal error of judgement in thinking that they could force the new Government to place former President Morsi back in power, the Army has to much to lose to risk that, one has to assume that the Army told the Oval it was going to do this, or like President Putin they have no time for President Obama.   Lets see if President Obama can get himself off the golf course to say something about Egypt, as with China in 1989 the US has to much to lose in the relationship, the Oval needs a semi stable Egypt, it can not afford for Egypt to go the way of Syria, the Oval cannot afford for Al Qaeda to develop a military base in Egypt, that would be a disaster for US Foreign Policy and the Oval could kiss its 2nd term legacy good bye, if Obama loses Egypt he will make Jimmy Carter look  like the wise man of US Foreign Policy, yes folks it could be that bad, lets hope Obama does not mess this up, yes folks the West and the region is on very thin ice. 

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Another BLOW for ObamaCare - 2nd Term Blues


Lets Get Real: 

Thus folks employers get a break, now the insurers when it comes to ObamaCare, these groups get a break in till 2015, of course till after the 2014 Mid Terms, while the poor voters get truly  expletive deleted, this is typical of Obama, he is interested in keeping Democrats on the Hill that it will do what ever it takes to avoid problems before 2014.   The Republicans should have a two level strategy, it should push through a Bill that suspends ObamaCare for voters in till 2015 AND then close down the Government, the House should pass resolutions that carry on funding defence and welfare but then close it ALL DOWN.    The Democrats need BIG GOVERNMENT, if the US does NOT FALL apart with a Government shut down they lose their main argument.  Thus folks time for the Republicans to play Chicago hard ball, close it ALL DOWN, make Democrats face a choice Obama or get re -elected, Democrats will always take election folks, they are weak when pushed, they have no moral code at the end of the day. 

No Independence for Scotland - WHY BOTHER VOTING!

Guardian: Reports the following from the wonder kid of polls Nate Silver from over the pond, " Scottish independence campaign has almost no chance, says Nate Silver  ".

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks we can save millions and NOT BOTHER to have a VOTE, this blog has doubts that either side in the Scottish DEBATE will thank our American cousin, the point of democracy is people can always change their minds, if Scotland was to go Indy, the Labour Party would lose its Scottish MP's, it could never form a majority Government in the rest of the UK, that for us Conservatives has some value, but we that support the Union do not want to see Scotland leave, over the Centuries the Scots have benefited the whole of the UK from the arts through politics, we forgive them Gordon Brown to science and of course their heroic service in the UK Armed Forces.   The Scots are clever, they will not be taken in by the hot air of their First Minister, but comments from over the pond can be annoy voters.   It not like UK bloggers comment on US politics, that is a joke folks.    The annoying thing about Mr Silver is that he tends to be right, someone more clever than you, makes you drink more tea!!.

( Silly Season Story )

Egypt Latest - Egypt Crisis

BBC News: Reports that Egyptian Police have stopped a violent clash between pro Morsi supporters and those that supported the Army Coup.

Lets Get Real:


The Army blinked of late when it failed to follow through with the clearance of pro Morsi supporters, one gets the impression that there was pressure from the Oval for there not to be any violence while the Oval is on holiday, or if there is any action there are no press to cover the event.   The lack of action by the new Egyptian Government only helps the Muslim Brotherhood, they will feel that if they can build up the pressure on the Oval that the Oval will tell the Army to give power back to the brotherhood, that assumption is based on the view that the Oval has that much influence on the new Egyptian Government, due to the financial support that the US gives, the threat from the Brotherhood has seen other Middle East States give great financial support to the new Government, these States are not democratic , thus the Brotherhood might be making a fatal mistake folks. 

Monday, August 12, 2013

Biden for 2016! - Give ME a Break!!

CNN - Politics: Reports that Vice - President Joe Biden is to visit Iowa State, the 1st caucus State in 2016. 

Lets Get Real: 

The very idea that Joe Biden could be the successor to Obama is a joke, this blog which is not American would win the Presidency over Biden, one can only assume the VP thinks that there might be a chance that Hillary Clinton will not run, well the tea leaves show a different picture, if Hillary wants the nomination she has got it, she has made sure the Oval will back her, Bill supported Obama through 2008/12 races, this is payback, and you do not double cross the Clintons.  Also lets do a counter factual, IF and its A BIG IF, Biden did win the nomination he would face a uphill struggle for the Presidency, one can assume that Obama's poll ratings will be low by 2016, Obama is no Reagan, and the last VP to replace this boss through election was Bush 41.  It is the silly season folks, this story comes under silly stories. 

New Homes in Jerusalem - Middle East Peace Talks

Guardian: Reports the following on the building of new houses in Jerusalem, " The move was reportedly co-ordinated with US officials as part of the pre-talks framework. ".

Lets Get Real: 

As the article notes folks the new houses are in exchange for the release of Palestinian terrorists in stages, very Northern Ireland, but the Middle East conflict between Israel and Palestinians makes the Troubles look easy to solve.   A real Palestinian State would be a threat to Israel, a real Palestinian State would control its borders, and its airspace, as the Middle East has proven for Centuries, things are never in stone, not even the Roman Empire, thus a deal next year, could fail within days or weeks, this attempt at getting a deal is a Kerry idea, the Oval has kept its distance, if a REAL chance the Oval will get closer to the action, but since most people think it will FAIL, then Oval will allow the process to work itself out, the OVAL already has a Nobel Peace Prize, thus no chance of a 2nd one, the Oval needs its political capital, it has three and half  years in Office. 

Obama's Poll problem - 2nd Term Blues


Lets Get Real:

This could push Republicans to close down the US Government after their recess as a way to finish off ObamaCare, there is a split within the Party over this move,  the Washington elite do not approve such an action, but on this the Republicans should go to the mat, Democrats need BIG GOVERNMENT, if the US does not fall apart then it will show that the Democrats argument for ObamaCare and BIG GOVERNMENT is hollow, if the Republicans go down this route they have to follow through, close it ALL DOWN, with the exception of Defence and Social Security, lets see how the Democrats can cope WITH NO GOVERNMENT, this is not the mid 1990s folks, Obama is no Bill Clinton, he is not that good a politician.   President Clinton won his fight with Republicans, he understood the voters, Obama understands himself and ego, that is a BIG DIFFERENCE FOLKS.  Lets WIN one for the Gipper. 

Egypt Latest - Egypt Crisis

BBC News: Reports that supporters of deposed President Morsi are getting ready to resist moves by the new Egyptian Government to remove protesters. 

Lets Get Real:

The Oval must have been informed of such moves, as President Obama has gone on holiday, a President playing Golf must mean that the US is happy that the new Government is taking action, if not would the Oval been caught having a good time at play.    The Muslim Brotherhood is a threat to secular Egypt and to Israel. Thus we shall see if the Army moves, better under cover of night, and keep the media out of the process, the news lives on pictures, no time for in depth discussion of the rights or wrongs of the actions, one gets the impression from the 24/7 news channels are more interested in raw footages of protesters getting their heads cracked, than a discussion as to why Moris was thrown out by a majority of Egyptians.   The Muslim Brotherhood was getting close to Iran, was breaking up Egyptian democracy, it was a threat to Egypt and the region.   Lets hope the new Government knows how to play the PR game. 

Wednesday, August 07, 2013

The Oval and Russia - 2nd Term Blues

The White House: Has the following statement from the White House Press Secretary on President Obama's visit to Russia for the G-20, " Following a careful review begun in July, we have reached the conclusion that there is not enough recent progress in our bilateral agenda with Russia to hold a U.S.-Russia Summit in early September.  We value the achievements made with Russia in the President’s first term, including the New START Treaty, and cooperation on Afghanistan, Iran, and North Korea.  However, given our lack of progress on issues such as missile defense and arms control, trade and commercial relations, global security issues, and human rights and civil society in the last twelve months, we have informed the Russian Government that we believe it would be more constructive to postpone the summit until we have more results from our shared agenda.  Russia’s disappointing decision to grant Edward Snowden temporary asylum was also a factor that we considered in assessing the current state of our bilateral relationship. Our cooperation on these issues remains a priority for the United States, so on Friday, August 9, Secretaries Hagel and Kerry will meet with their Russian counterparts in a 2+2 format in Washington to discuss how we can best make progress moving forward on the full range of issues in our bilateral relationship.

Lets Get Real:
What is the point of going folks, this blog will bet that Putin will try to pull something that makes Obama regret going, he might get Edward Snowden to demonstrate outside the meeting, something that even the loyal Obama press will have to cover, or he will get Snowden to leak even more secrets, yes folks you get the idea, never play on someone's pitch if they can cause you political problems, this is the Obama ego getting in the way of reality, the White House should have called off the trip,. really show how the Oval is NOT HAPPY, also place sanctions on Russia, yes folks, the Russians will make Obama look petty and not a gracious guest, snubbing the Russian President will add popular support for Putin, yes folks its that bad a mistake.  Typical Obama, such a clever fool. 


Obama the HAWK and Russia - 2nd Term Blues

Fox News: Reports that President Obama has cancelled a meeting with President Putin of Russia at the G20 because Russia has granted political asylum to the US traitor Edward Snowden. 

Lets Get Real:

The Oval should not even go to Russia, think about this folks, Russia has granted asylum to one of the worse traitors in US history, lets get very real here, the secrets that Snowden took out of the US has been looked at by the Russians and China, it has been a field day for Russian and Chinese Intelligence, lets recall Putin is KGB, once KGB, always KGB, he enjoys poking his finger in to eye of the Oval, he knows Obama is weak, he knows he can be rolled, when you get in to the trenches Obama does not have that morale backbone, do you see JFK or Reagan going to Russia for such a meeting IF Snowden had happened under their watch, like hell, thus the Oval can not bear the thought that there could be  a G20 meeting without him in the picture, yes folks, ego, always ego with the Oval.   That is why Obama is so easy to read folks. 

The THREAT in Yemen - 2nd Term Blues


Lets Get Real:

Thus that has to be asked, with the US closing down its Embassies in the Middle East and Africa, and with the Government of Yemen thwarting a major terrorist threat, IS THE ALERT OVER ?  Folks the alert is NEVER over, IF this was the terrorist threat that was picked up by US intelligence the next terror threat is being planned, hell this threat could even have been a test run by Al Qaeda in Yemen to see the US reaction and to see its own security leaks.   On the other hand the Yemen threat could have been a diversion for a major terrorist threat in the Middle East, Africa or even Europe.  One can not discount a threat to the US homeland.  Thus folks lets hope the NSA has its ears up, checking ALL information, its doing its job, hat off to the NSA.