Friday, January 18, 2008

South Carolina Prediction

I am predict that Senator John McCain will win South Carolina, the latest polls ( recall my warning about political polls ) is up by 7% , on the whole Polls for Republicans are pretty accurate for the result. Thus if McCain wins by what margin, an estimation would be between 7 % and 10%. The RCP average is 4.9% for McCain, on the whole looking one can postulate from this that the winning candidate should get near the 10 % mark in the final result, if one looks at the previous election results.

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