Sunday, December 27, 2020

The Brexit Deal and the ERG - Post Brexit

Sky News: Reports on remarks by the PM when it comes to the European Research Group, " the deal, he believes that it will stand up to inspection from sceptics such as the European Research Group (ERG) of Brexiteers. "

Lets Get Real:

One hopes the ERG will look at the Brexit Deal in the round, it returns sovereignty and the UK no longer is in the orbit of the EU.  There is the end of freedom of movement, many voted for a Brexit due to this reason, the UK longer pays in to the EU, there is an agreement on fish, not perfect, but a start.  Thus far no one has found a trick clause that allows the EU to override  UK law.  The power of the ECJ comes to an end, and the UK returns to a trade only deal with the EU, as it was started in 1970s.  It will be interesting to hear what the ERG say on Tuesday, touch wood the deal is on the up.


After Brexit and the Conservative Government - Post Brexit


Lets Get Real:

Thus in 2021 we have the COVID - 19 vaccine, that will deal with the original virus and its mutation, then we have a BREXIT DEAL, that allows us to trade with the EU but keeps the Sovereign power in the House of Commons. The Labour Party MPs will face a three line whip to vote for the deal, while it is expected that most of the ERG will support the deal, of course there will be exceptions, the House of Commons has a few eccentrics.   Thus the BREXIT DEAL should pass with a health majority.  In 2021 the Johnson Government will need to keep to its promise of sharing the London wealth with the North, the Conservatives won a 80 seat majority on getting Brexit done and levelling up the Country.  The economy is in a mess after COVID - 19 and it is still not finished, thus the Government will need to open its wallet to secure jobs ALL around the UK.  The pub industry will need to be supported, it can be postulated that thousand of pubs will have closed their doors for the last time.  Thus 2021 is about regeneration of the UK. 

Thursday, December 24, 2020

Mr Brexit approves of Brexit Deal - Brexit Update 3 - Transitional Phase

Daily Mail: Reports " 'It may not be perfect, but it's a big step forward': Nigel Farage says he would vote for Brexit deal 'in principle' if he was an MP as UK signs historic trade agreement with the EU "

Lets Get Real:

It will be interesting to see how the ERG vote when the Brexit Deal comes to the House of Commons, if Nigel Farage is for it, the ERG will need dam good reason to object, sometimes its easier to get on a train than see it pass you in the wind.  The ERG as this blog suggested will go through the deal in detail, a deal that gets you 70% of what you want, is better than NO DEAL, not every ERG will support the Deal that is expected, but the PM should get a majority of them to vote for the Deal.  Thus you have the Labour Party voting for the deal, Government Ministers and their staff and one presumes most Conservative MPs, then the deal should go through, those opposed will be the SNP, Liberal Democrats and a few ERG members, some are people will never be pleased. 

PM Boris on Brexit Deal - Brexit Update 2 - Transitional Phase


Lets Get Real:

The PM had some nice words to say about Europe, that the UK had cultural links to the EU, etc. this was to keep the Remainers happy, or as I call them moaning remainers.  As of the 1st of January 2021 the UK is FREE of Europe, we can do what we like, not that we are going to rush to change things, just we have the option as a sovereign nation, the main issue for a lot of voters in 2016 was immigration, the UK will decide who comes in to the UK in the New Year with the end of freedom of movement. Given the economic shock of COVID - 19 and its mutant strain, there will be a lot of unemployed UK citizens looking for jobs that were once done by Europeans.  It will be a relief not to have to think about EU or Brexit for a while.   This blog might go for a city break in Paris, one hopes they KNOW now how to make a cup of tea and not Ice Tea, that is an American invention.  

Finally a BREXIT DEAL - Brexit Update 1 - Transitional Phase

BBC News: Reports " both the UK and the EU have put pragmatism over firm principle, and agreed an historic accord that will affect so many aspects of how we live.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus we finally have a BREXIT DEAL, let's look at the positive outcomes of the Brexit Deal, the UK as of the December 31st will have control of its borders ( No free movement ), no more monies to the EU ( No more expensive subs ) and we will get our fish back during a 5 year transition.  There will be NO ROLE for the ECJ, and any difficulties will be judged by a new body represented by the EU and the UK.   The minus point, we do not get ALL our fish back, it has been argued that the fishing industry could never have built the new fishing ships in time, so a transitional period is good.  A good DEAL should please both sides, that seems to have worked, the EU regrets we are leaving but accepts the fact, while the UK is FREE of the EU as of 1st of JANUARY.   Not a bad day at all. It should be noted that we have not seen the details of the deal, it does not matter, as Labour will support the Deal, no real choice, they do not want a NO DEAL BREXIT. When a reporter asked Sir Keir what were the benefits of the leaving the EU he did not have an answer, he needs an answer by 2024.

Wednesday, December 23, 2020

A Brexit Deal ? - Part 3 - Transitional Phase


Lets Get Real:

This is a sell out, you either have total sovereignty or not, the very point of Brexit is to allow the UK to control its waters and fish, why give fish concessions to France, they have blocked DOVER over COVID - 19 and in general have not been that helpful.  One can only hope that the ERG can stop this latest development, one of their members needs to have a WORD with 10 Downing Street, they made Boris PM and they can get rid of him if they like. This is a time for strong nerves and tough view of Paris, the French President faces elections and thus is acting tough, well the PM has four years left, he can be tough, no weakness in the face of the French, if we are weak NOW, the French will try to bully us again.