New Poll - Campaign Trail 14 - GE2017

UK Polling Report: Reports " Kantar put out a new poll today..Topling figures are CON 46%, LAB 24%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 8%, GRN 4% "

Lets Get Real:

This is another good poll for the Conservatives, there have been a couple of them, BUT, a single poll does not make victory, it is snapshot of voters on a given day, thus Conservative HQ and Conservative supporters have to carry the message, the Labour Party could win with a small turnout, thus as stated many times in this blog the Party has to get its base out, and also those that want a hard Brexit, let's get it done, the Labour Party is all over the place, it is hard to place Corbyn's previous comments within the present policy, he does not think there should be immigration controls, thus in essence the Labour Party has a policy while the leader has been very quiet today.   The UK voters want stable and strong leadership, the Labour Party would be the coalition of the left and the extreme left, with SNP controlling the strings. Thus only one vote counts, that is a Conservative VOTE. 

The Labour Policy on EU FALLS APART - Campaign Trail 13

Telegraph: Reports " Jeremy Corbyn faces new split over immigration as Keir Starmer says free movement must end "

Lets Get Real:

The Labour Party is ALL OVER the place when it comes to the EU, it is split by a MP majority who want to reverse the 2016 vote, and a minority who want to leave the EU, while a majority of its voters also want to leave.   The London centric view of the Labour Campaign could lead to its downfall in the 2017 General Election.   It can be postulated that its leader is really a outer but stuck with a MPs who want in and would be rather run by the EU.   If the Labour Party wants to avoid destruction in the polls it must get away from London and talk to real voters. 

POTUS and the the US Senate - North Korean Crisis

Guardian: Reports " Donald Trump summons entire Senate to White House briefing on North Korea..Extraordinary step taken as administration pressures UN security council for full force of existing sanctions and further measures in event of nuclear test "

Lets Get Real:

IF the Trump Oval want to be tough on North Korea, it is a good idea to get the Senate over, they will leak as soon as the meeting ends.   The Oval should stress that the US can not allow another nuclear test, or a ICBM test that works.  A nuclear powered North Korea with a ICBM that holds a nuclear device would be a threat to Asia and the US.   China of late has been very helpful, they do not want a nuclear war going on in their backyard, radiation does not care about land borders, thus China must be the BAD COP, threaten the Regime, turn of its lights if it will not listen.   China can not allow the impression to grow that it is weak in the face of North Korea's game playing, that would be an internal threat.  Of course once the US and South Korean War games finish the tensions in the region could return to normal, of course that depends if North Korea understands the hard messages from China and the US. 

Labour Surrenders to the EU - Campaign Trail 12 - GE2017

Daily Mail: Reports " Labour's Brexit plans collapse in hours as Keir Starmer admits free movement COULD continue and Tory MPs accuse him of 'surrender' to Brussels "

Lets Get Real:

THIS confirms that the Labour Party wants to overturn the 2016 vote and place the UK at the mercy of the EU and its Judges.   The Conservative Party should stress that the Conservative Party will follow the will of the UK voter, the UK will be out of the single market and the Customs Union, that UK law will be decided by UK Judges, that Immigration will be controlled by the UK.  The good fishermen of the UK can fish in UK waters without having to worry about the EU.   The UK can make trade deals with other Countries that benefits the UK and the other Countries.   It is time for the Conservative Party to hit Labour HARD over its EU stand. 

US Sub arrives in South Korea - North Korean Crisis

BBC News: Reports " A US submarine has arrived in South Korea, amid worries of another North Korean missile or nuclear test. "

Lets Get Real:

One hopes that North Korea has gotten the point, that the US and its Allies will not allow them to test a nuclear device or develop a working ICBM.   The US now has a aircraft Carrier and a nuclear sub in the region, IF NK does test and it is a threat to the US or South Korea the US could either hit before or after a test.  The Pyongyang Regime and its reckless leader need to pull back, the Donald has found it is easier in to move in the military field than on the domestic front.  China an ally of NK has to be firm, if need be it should shut down the lights in North Korea or replace the Regime that understands its role, a buffer zone between China and the Western ally South Korea.   This Crisis is not over yet, developing.

ICBM of North Korea - North Korean Crisis

Fox News: Reports " Meanwhile, U.S. commercial satellite images indicated increased activity around North Korea’s nuclear test site, while Kim has said that the country’s preparation for an ICBM launch is in its “final stage.” "

Lets Get Real:

THIS North Korean Crisis is still on going, one can hope that China has placed enough pressure on NK for them not to test the Trump Administration to far.   The Trump Oval might think he has more of a free hand when it comes to the military, thus striking NK should it test a nuclear device or worse have a working ICMB that can reach the US.   The question is will NK really press that button, a ICBM test that works and is not thwarted by the US would be a major threat the the US seaboard.   The US has an aircraft Carrier in the region also subs, is the Senate meeting in the White House an attempt to get support for tough action by the Oval Office if China can not get NK to stand down.  Thus tense days ahead. 

Welsh Poll - Campaign Trail 11 - GE2017

UK Polling Report: Reports " YouGov have put out their first Welsh poll of the campaign, conducted for ITV Wales and Cardiff University. Topline figures, with changes from the previous YouGov Wales poll in January, are CON 40%(+12), LAB 30%(-3), LDEM 8%(-1), Plaid 13%(nc), UKIP 6%(-7). "

Lets Get Real:

This is a VERY GOOD poll for the Conservatives, they have a 10 point lead, BUT and there is a BUT, we have a six week election to go, the BBC/GUARDIAN types will try to soft peddle the Labour errors and press any problems with the Conservatives.   Thus the Conservative Party must be the Party of the Union, looking after the working man, those that manage week by week.   They must keep the lock on pensions, as old people vote, the young are stuck behind their smart phones and laptops.  Thus the Conservative Party in Wales must work HARDER, they must think they are 10 points behind, they have to hit those doors and ask for the people's vote.   They must accept that there is a real threat from a Corbyn Government.