Israel vs. Iran

Guardian: Reports that Israel has told the US that time is running out for there to be a peaceful solution to the developing Iran nuclear crisis.

Lets Get Real:

One can postulate that Israel might hit Iran without telling the US, in 1981 Israel hit Iraq when it was developing a nuclear plant, in 2007 Israel wanted the US to hit Syria when it was developing a nuclear plant based on a North Korean design, the then US Vice President Dick Cheney wanted to take action but there was no support within the Bush Administration. The question that Israel has to ask does it TRUST President Obama, will STOP Iran getting the bomb, or we he try and force Israel to accept a nuclear armed Iran. Also the timing is important, if Israel hits Iran before November the Oval will have to support the move or face a political backlash from the Israeli lobby in the US, should Israel wait in till after November and Obama wins the Oval might be more critical of Israel, it would have nothing to lose, Obama can not run for 3rd term, thus Israel might face a hostile Oval. Interesting weeks and months ahead folks.

Air Strikes on Aleppo - Syrian Crisis

Telegraph: Reports that the Assad Regime has used fighter jets in the 2nd Syrian City of Aleppo.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks thousands of innocent people have been force to flee to neighbouring countries such as Lebanon, Jordan and Iraq, while thousands of others have been killed by the Assad Regime, the Regime kills women and children if they are seen as part of the rebels. And what does the UN do, NOTHING, the veto power of Russia and China protects the Assad Regime, and what has President Obama do, the man that likes to kill terrorists with drones, NOTHING, there are whispers that the CIA and the Gulf States are funding the rebels, well folks its not enough, this is Libya all over again but at a larger scale and the prize could be peace in the Middle East. If the Assad Regime is removed it would blunt the power of Iran, weaken the terrorists groups in Lebanon, could allow for a general peace, but the cost is for Oval to act and lead from the front, does President Obama have the backbone to take the lead, topple Assad and blunt Iran and allow a chance of peace in the Middle East.

Turkey vs. Syria - Syrian Crisis

BBC News: Reports that the Free Syria Army has denied a NBC News report that Turkey has given the FSA surface to air missiles.

Lets Get Real:

It would not surprise this blog if the story is true, that Turkey and others are supporting the rebels is an accusation thrown out by the Assad Regime. There have been reports that the US CIA has been supporting the rebels on the border between Syria and Turkey, it can be argued that Oval would not mind if Assad was taken down one way or another, it does not want nightly news broadcasts of the deaths in Syria, it allows the Republicans to undermine a Obama defence, that he is a hawk on Foreign Policy. The recent assassination of those close to Assad was not a tipping point so far, the Assad Regime has hit back hard, this Civil War could take months folks, and the end point could be that the Arab Spring dies in Syria, as long as Russia and Iran keep supporting Assad he has a 7/10 chance of keeping power.

Obama and the Swing States

The Hill: Reports on a new poll of the Swing States in the 2012 race, the articles notes the following, " the president is ahead in 10 of the 12 vital states. If those polls were borne out on Election Day, Obama would coast to victory with 332 electoral college votes. "

Lets Get Real:

It not even August yet folks, Governor Romney has not picked a VP, the there is the National Conventions and finally the all import Debates. Also lets not forget the fact that the Obama Camp has out spent Romney in this early stage, nearly all the Obama adverts are negative. Thus the fact that Romney and Obama are tied in most polls is great for Romney. It would be great if Romney was ahead, but the plus for the Romney Camp is the fact that they will have more money on hand when the race really starts after Labour Day in the US. The polls in September and October are important folks, if Obama is ahead and this blog thinks he will win it will say so, its a Conservative blog but its not blind. It wants to be right. It is just to early to say folks. The Presidential Debates could be the decider as they were in 1960, 1976, 1980 and 2000. Thus if your a Republican you should not be that depressed but if your a Democrat do not be to cocky, events, events folks.

Bill Clinton and Obama - 2012 Race

Guardian: Reports that former US President Bill Clinton will nominate President Obama at the Democratic Convention, the article notes the following, " ties between Obama and Bill Clinton have strengthened significantly ".

Lets Get Real:

If the Guardian even thinks that Bill Clinton likes Obama they should register for a Guide Dog, it can argued that Bill Clinton loathes Obama, not just because he beat Hillary Clinton in 2008, but due to the fact that the Obama Campaign in 2008 used the race card on the first " Black " President, and that is Clinton folks not Obama, Hawaii does not cut it, its not the Deep South. Thus the question what is Bill Clinton up to, if Hillary Clinton follows through with her statement that she wants out of a 2nd term is Clinton looking to replace her, or is this a bigger game, does the Slick Willy ( BC) expect Obama to lose to Romney and thus making sure that Hillary Clinton does not get any critical reviews by action by Bill, that is how they play the game in the Clinton household folks. Or it could be more basic folks, BC just loves the TV, wants to be the centre of attention, he does have that flaw.

Syrian Update - Syrian Crisis

BBC News: Reports that two hundred thousand Syrians have left the Syrian City of Aleppo due to the fighting between the forces of the Assad Regime and the Free Syrian Army.

Lets Get Real:

Thus the question that has to be asked, what is the West going to do folks, the answer is NOTHING. The Assad Regime would have to start using its WMD's on its own people before the West would take action, and lets be very honest here folks, the action would be taken not to save the Syrian people but to make sure that terrorists did not get their hands on such weapons or that the Syrian Regime gave these WMD's to terrorists in the region, this would be seen as a threat to Israel and thus either Israel or the US would have to act, the Assad Regime is a criminal regime, that does not make it stupid, one can presume that Russia and China have made it clear to Assad that if he uses chemical weapons he is on his own, thus the Syrian people will die while the West looks to the Olympics, that is the real world folks, sad but true.

Aleppo Massacre ? - Syrian Update

BBC News: Reports that the UK Government has warned of a potential massacre in Aleppo, the 2nd City of Syria.

Lets Get Real:

Thus folks we shall see if the West, and in this case the Obama Administration has the backbone to go around the UN Security Council and prevent a bloody massacre in Aleppo, in Libya after a UN resolution the West in the shape of NATO bought down the Gaddafi Regime, much to the horror of Russia and China, the Russians with their Port in Syria are not going to move, and China on this issue goes along with Russia, lets face China had its own massacre of those seeking democracy, thus they have reasons to prevent the UN looking at the internal affair of other States. The question is will the Oval take action, or are we looking at another Bosnia, thousands killed before the US takes action, of course Obama has a problem, its an election year, how many innocent people getting killed on our TV screens can Obama put up with before he has to take action, with or without UN approval. The US left will never support another War in the Middle East, thus many poor Syrians might have to die before President Obama finds his backbone. Harsh but TRUE folks.