Tuesday, February 12, 2013

Al Qaeda and the Syrian Revolt - Syrian Update PT2

Guardian: Reports that an Al Qaeda linked Syrian rebel group has taken over the largest dam in Syria.

Lets Get Real:

Folks the idea must cause horror even in the Oval, that Al Qaeda gets the credit for getting rid of President Assad, that is nightmare for Syria, Israel and the US, it would be a disaster for US Foreign Policy, if Secretary Kerry wants to show a backbone he should march in to the OVAL and demand that POTUS arms Western supporting rebels in Syria, the present support of non arms is not working, if Syria goes for  friendly Al Qaeda Government and the secular Government of Pakistan falls to the Taliban of Pakistan after the US leaves Afghanistan in 2014 the West is in a World of hurt and so is the Oval.  Lets recalls that the Truman Administration was blamed for years by the Republicans for losing China to the Communists, Obama can not afford to let that happen to Syria and Pakistan.    What ever a US President wants, is not what he gets to deal with most of the time, the Oval wants to take the US to the left, but the World does not care for the wants of ego mad US President, yes that is President Obama,  a crisis defines the Oval, not the many views of the OVAL, thus Syria matters folks, so does Iran, and its about time the Oval grew up and fast.  Its not the great liberal reforms of the Great Society that LBJ is recalled for folks, its for Vietnam, time that Oval did a course on foreign policy and not be marked on a curve, time for reality to get through to the Oval. 

Syrian Crisis - Update

BBC News: Reports that Syrian rebels have taken over the largest dam in Syria.

Lets Get Real:

If true this would be a major loss for the Assad Regime, one can see the rebel strategy, close down the Assad  Regime to Damascus, cut off all escape routes and force internal tensions in the Assad Regime.  Those still loyal to Assad must know that its a matter of time, if Assad tries to use chemical weapons the US and Israel will take action and its over, if Assad tries to send his weapons of mass destruction to Lebanon the Israeli Government will strike as it did of late.   The Assad Regime is kept going by Iran, the Tehran Regime knows that if Assad falls it loses influence in the Region and can not strike Israel through Lebanon or help its terrorist allies in Gaza.   It has come out that POTUS was under pressure from his National Security Council to arm the  Syrian rebels, this was rebuffed by the Oval, this might have been shown to have been a major mistake, if the rebels take over with the support of Al Qaeda then the Oval and Israel has a major problem on its hands.   The idea that the Syrian problem will go away is foolish, only a ego maniac who has won the Noble Prize for dong nothing would think of that, lets see who could that be, could start with the word Oval.   Syria could be a major disaster for the Oval Office folks, and it started in the 1st term. 

Monday, February 11, 2013

POTUS and the Pope


Lets Get Real: 

POTUS and the Pope do not share many of the same ideals, from gay marriage to abortion, even ObamaCare has come under critical review by the Church as it would have  forced the Church to pay for the pill for women, at best the Oval is hoping for a reformer in the Vatican, do not hold your breath, this move by Pope Benedict XVI is a great political move, it means that he will hand chose his successor, something that Clinton, Bush 43 could not do, and a future problem for the Oval.   The next successor will follow the conservative line of the present Pope, this clever, cynical move by the Pope, this blog discards the statement that the resignation is due to age and health, its a way for the present Pope to make sure that a reformer does not come next and for the present Pope to control the next one, his previous role was that of enforcer for the then Pope.   If you control the future you control how the past in may respects folks. 

Saturday, February 09, 2013

Those 2nd Term Blues - February


Lets Get Real: 

Of late folks of 2nd Term Presidents its only been Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton that have great ends to their terms, the Gallup Poll had Reagan on 63% approval, while Clinton was  on 66%.  The upside for Reagan was that his VP, Bush 41 was his successor, it was seen a third Reagan term, while Bill Clinton was replaced by the son of the man he defeated for the Oval, Bush 43.   At the end of the Bush 43 second term,  President Bush was on 34% approval in the Gallup Poll.   Thus folks you might ask why note this with a blog post, the power to control Congress comes from the polls folks, if POTUS is down and is not running again then the House and Senate might want some distance from his policies, also Obama does not have a horse in the 2016 race, its not going to be VP Biden, that was the mistake that both Bush 43 and Obama have done, your agenda can only be seen as successful if it is confirmed by the voters after your term is over, one can postulate that if the Obama ratings dive then the Clinton Camp will make sure there is great distance between Hillary Clinton and President Obama, that is the nature of the game folks.   If your voters love you, as with the case with Reagan or trust you on the economy as with Clinton you can get away with a major scandal, if your not the above your in trouble, go ask Bush 43 about that, also Bush 41 when the economy is bad, and it was not as bad in the at the start of the 1990s.   Thus Obama should enjoy these days folks, it could get tricky later, the liberal uber media elite will move on, that is the American election cycle, also there always a chance of scandal or a foreign policy disaster, Syria or Iran folks.   Watch this space folks. 


IRAN NO to OBAMA - Iran Crisis


Lets Get Real: 

One has a feeling that POTUS and VP Biden have fallen in to same mind set as LBJ in the 1960s, he thought if he could just get in to a room with the North Vietnam then a deal could be cut, that was a big mistake, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has stated he is a revolutionary, thus the two sides are odds, Obama thinks as Neville Chamberlain thought that if he could talk and get a deal then this would solve the problems between the UK and Germany in the 1938, it fell apart within a year, this is why Munich in 1938 is still used as lesson when you appease, the Iran Regime knows if it deals with the West the next step will be to share the same fate as Gaddafi of Libya or Richard III a bayonet not in place that you want, thus Tehran wants the bomb, it has seen how North Korea can blackmail the West, how the West and its allies, in this case Japan can not react as North Korea has the bomb, and is fast developing ICBM technology for its own use and to sell to Syria, Iran, you get the idea folks.   It a game of time folks, the Tehran Regime wants to play for time so it can get the bomb, keep Israel from striking and give the impression that it really wants talks.    The Tehran Regime knows that POTUS does not want to attack, he is happy to be the Godfather of drones but does not want another major war on his watch, the Liberals in the Democratic Party were not happy about Libya.  Thus its down to Israel folks, they will have to strike, as Obama is in Chamberlain mode at the present. 

EU Budget PT2


Lets Get Real:

Thus folks PM David Cameron has shown that he can be tough with the EU, his right wing backbench MP's will be happy, as the left wing Guardian notes this is the first budget cut in the EU's history.  One would think it would happened sooner.  The PIIGS will not be happy, this will mean that they will have to cut further in welfare spending, one wonders how more they can raise taxes without these Countries finding that they have to beg the rich to come back, the French richer are doing a runner, President Hollande thinks if you just tax the rich that this will solve all your problems, its rubbish but the French left wing elite follows this line, those that are rich leave and going to live in abroad, one of the biggest French colonies is London, they even have their own French MP.  Typical French.   The French voters have to smell the TEA, this blog has to explain once to a Parisian what TEA was, yes folks, they are that resistance to the UK culture and the real world.   If the EU wants the UK to stay in the EU it has to give powers back to the UK Parliament, the EU Parliament with its threat to block this deal is secret has shown itself to be undemocratic and not living in the real world.   This has been a good day for PM David Cameron. 

The EU and the Real World - A Time of Austerity

BBC News: Reports that UK Coalition PM David Cameron has hailed a EU Budget agreement that cuts the EU Budget for the first time, the deal reduces the EU Budge by 3%. 

Lets Get Real:

There is talk the that the EU Parliament will try to have a secret vote to veto the deal, this would be a disaster for the UK staying in the EU, the EU is bloated and out of control, the poor new EU countries joined to get on the EU gravy train, the real fact is that since 2008 the EU has been living of its dreams while the rest of the EU is going down the toilet.   Come on EU Parliament veto this deal is secret, and see the UK  leave the EU in 2017.   These idiots in the EU Parliament have to wake up, do their job, what a bunch of clowns for using such a threat, do they think they are Cuba.