Belarus Crisis - Update 1

Guardian: Reports " Russia refuses to allow European planes to land in Moscow...Retaliation over Belarus airspace row results in cancellation of flights from French and Austrian carriers  "

Lets Get Real:

The EU and the UK should BAN all flights from Belarus, also if the Russians do not place pressure on the President of Belarus the flights from Russian should be BANNED from Western airspace.  Let's make it painful for Putin, he is already consider a rogue actor of the international system, does he want to tell Russians why they can not FLY to the West anymore.   It will be like the good old Cold War, only Russian officials will be allowed to travel, of course the Russian and US Summit is not far away, so one would think that Putin might try to get some good press by telling the Government of Belarus to release its prisoners.  On the other hand Russia does not have that many friends, so Putin will it seems support Belarus.  The more the World CHANGES, the more it returns to past patterns. 

New Poll favours the Conservatives - Post Dominic Cummings

Guido Fawkes: Reports " It’s a trope well-worn that Twitter is not the real world, and the latest poll from Survation hammers that home. The first post-Cummings poll, carried out from the 25th to the 26th, shows the Tories up 6 points on Survation’s last poll at the end of April. Labour is down 5%, resulting in a 5.5% swing to the Tories. Boris also takes a lead over Starmer in the poll for ‘best PM’ – now with a 17% lead… "

Lets Get Real:

The ELITE MEDIA at the BBC and Sky News will not be happy, they are out to get the Boris Johnson Government, they are firmly in the REMAIN camp and will use negative stories to undermine, the BBC after the scandal of the late Diana, Princess of Wales interview will want to divert attention from itself.  Thus expect a lot more negative stories from the BBC.  One hopes that the new 24/7 news channel does not fall in to the trap of becoming WOKE like their competition.  The UK voter and Brexit voters want a fair TV NEWS channel, let's hope we get one.   The Cummings news seems not have effected the Tories, it will be interesting to see other polls. 

Why was COVID - 19 due to a leak from a Laboratory in China ? - Asia

BBC News: Reports " China has denounced US efforts to further investigate whether Covid-19 came from a Chinese lab.  "

Lets Get Real:

If the COVID - 19 virus came from a Chinese Lab and China was found to have covered it up it could lead to major sanctions against China.   Think of all those that have had the virus and died and the monies thrown at the problem by the West.   One hopes the CIA via human intelligence and technical intelligence can find out, it would be a major matter of dishonour if China is found to have cause the COVID - 19 pandemic around the World.  One can assume, that if this is true, China has done a CLEAN JOB, removing any traces that could imply that China owes the WORLD a major apology and the payments of monies to the the families that have lost a loved one, and the economic effects around the World.  No wonder Chia is lashing out, it has a lot to lose.  

Biden's First Summit with Putin of Russia - Biden Era

Guardian - Live Blog: Report in its 9.30pm post the following, " The White House and the Kremlin are finalizing plans to hold a summit next month in Geneva, Switzerland, according to the AP. If the summit comes together, it will mark Biden’s first in-person meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin since taking office in January.  "

Lets Get Real:

If the Summit happens the leaders will have some heavy issues on their plate, lets start with the Russian threat to invade Ukraine, and how the Russians are helping the East Ukraine rebels with arms an men.   Then we come to the issue of Russian attempts to help President Trump in 2016 and 2020.   As of today there is the problem of Belarus, a close follower of Putin, the Belarus President has highjacked a EU Plane and then kidnapped two of the passengers, one a anti Government blogger of Belarus and his girlfriend, the US should make it CLEAR to Putin if he wants a better relationship or any relationship he must get Belarus to release the blogger at once.   Let's recall that Biden has called Putin a killer, one hopes that Putin does not eat Biden alive, one hopes the staff will be in the room for their talks.  The next few years could be very frosty. 

If the Israeli - Gaza Ceasefire FAILS - Middle East

Sky News: Reports " Israel PM Benjamin Netanyahu threatens 'new level of force' if Hamas launches attack, as ceasefire appears to hold..Airstrikes and rocket attacks have ended after a bout of violence that killed at least 230 people in Gaza and 12 in Israel. "

Lets Get Real:

Both sides are claiming a PR win, both sides might also want to ease up, as state Hamas might need to re- supply it rockets from Iran, while the Israeli intelligence MOSSAD, will seek to see how much Hamas was HURT by the air strikes by Israel.  It will be in the interest of of Egypt and the US who bought the sides together for a ceasefire to seek to place pressure on both sides to let it be for a while.  Of course was can not future, a incident might get out of control and we will be back  here again.  There is NO Solution that works and protects Israel, it is as simple as that, the West elite cannot get heir head around that, one can postulate that there will never be a Palestinian State, that is just FACT OF LIFE. 

Israel and Gaza Update - Middle East

BBC News: Reports " A ceasefire between Israel and the Palestinian militant group Hamas in the Gaza Strip has come into effect.  "

Lets Get Real:

Thus this violent cycle has come to an end, for the time being, it depends how long it lasts, it could last weeks or months, one never knows with the Middle East, POTUS will not want to be seen as forcing Israel to accept a two state solution, well not before the MID TERMS.  Thus the US will hope that the EGYPTION ceasefire lasts, it depends if the the Israeli Government carries one with its plan to evict Arabs from its Capital.   The Hamas terror group, we seek to re-supply its stock of rockets, that is where Iran comes in, the Biden Administration wants to get the Obama Iran peace deal back on track, thus it will face Iran who supporting terrorist groups that are a THREAT to Israel.   One thing is for sure, there will be another incident, another bout of rockets and Israel reacting, that is the name of the game. 

Biden and the MIDDLE EAST - Biden Era

The WHITE House:  A readout of a telephone conversation between President Biden and Israeli PM Netanyahu, " President Biden spoke with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu today. The two leaders had a detailed discussion on the state of events in Gaza, Israel’s progress in degrading the capabilities of Hamas and other terrorist elements, and ongoing diplomatic efforts by regional governments and the United States. The President conveyed to the Prime Minister that he expected a significant de-escalation today on the path to a ceasefire."

Lets Get Real:

The Biden OVAL is getting pressure from the LIBERAL LEFT of the Democratic Party, the left is very much pro Palestinian at the expense of Israel.   The Oval understand if it loses the House or the Senate next year, the Biden Presidency is OVER, really over.  Thus this blog expects that Biden was very firm with the Israeli PM, but the PM has answered him back, you either destroy the enemy or you weaken them, thus they back off for some time.  Also the Republicans in the US Congress on the whole supports Israel, thus the left do not have the numbers to make much of an impression.  Of course they could run a LEFT candidate as a spoiler in 2024, US politics never ends, just goes in to another cycle.

The LIBERAL LEFT and Israel - Israel - Gaza Update

BBC News: Reports in its 8.05pm post the following, " Democratic lawmakers in the US have launched a last-minute push to block the sale of weapons to Israel as they call for a ceasefire in Gaza....But the resolution is expected to fail, because Democratic leaders in the legislative chamber have expressed support for the sale.  "

Lets Get Real:

This is the dangerous LIBERAL LEFT of the Democrats, they tend to come from very LIBERAL States and thus are not under threat to losing their Seat in Congress.   The Democratic Leadership from Biden in the Oval and Speaker Pelosi know that they can not afford to lose any more SEATS in the 2022 Mid Terms, thus they are supporting ISRAEL, Israel has stated, that either your destroy the enemy or make them hurt so much that they request a ceasefire, the White House will not allow the US Congress to block arms sale to Israel, also the Biden Administration does not want it to look like the OVAL is taking the side of Hamas of the democratic Israel.  The Israel - Gaza fight has  a few more days to go.

The OVAL OFFICE and Israel - Latest on the Israel and Gaza

Guardian - Live Blog: Reports the following in its 23.03pm post, " What to make of Joe Biden’s “support for a ceasefire” in a call with Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu?My colleague Julian Borger describes the readout of the call as a “mildly worded statement, supporting but not demanding a ceasefire”. The statement also did not suggest that the ceasefire should begin immediately, Julian notes.  "

Lets Get Real:

Four words = Mid Terms in 2022

The Biden Oval will not want to lose CONTROL of either the House and the Senate, if that happens then the Biden Presidency is OVER and his chances of re-election go down the drain.  The American political cycle NEVER ENDS, when an election cycle ends, the interest in the next starts, thus POTUS will want to be seen as a friend of Israel, the Israeli Lobby is very powerful in US politics.  POTUS does not want to be seen as supporting the Palestinians over Israel.  Thus do not expect Biden to pull the plug on Israel, that is not going to happen, he is not that brave, Reagan once did use that as a THREAT, but he was a GREAT PRESIDENT, that is not Biden.

Israel and Gaza - Update - The NEVER ENDING WAR!

Sky News: Reports " Israel-Gaza conflict: Islamic Jihad leader killed and militant tunnels destroyed in airstrikes, Israeli military says...Gaza residents describe the barrage as the heaviest since the conflict escalated a week ago, with hundreds killed and injured.  "

Lets Get Real:

The Elite Press in the UK is starting to take sides, the tone has been critical of Israel, this comes from the BBC News and Sky News, the main 24 news channels.  The lack of deaths in Israel is due to the FACT that Israel has the IRON DOME, it can take out most of the rockets launched in Gaza by Hamas.  The Biden Administration is QUIET due to Florida, a lot of older Jews have moved to Florida for the climate and they vote, next year in the 2022 Mid Terms, so POTUS wants to give the impression that he is supporting Israel, as Sky News reported the US has blocked a statement from the UN on the issue.   What POTUS is saying in private is another matter, he is coming under pressure from the extreme LEFT in the Democratic Party who are critical of Israel and in many instances support the Palestinians over ISRAEL.   This cycle of violence has  FEW DAYS TO GO, Israel has to defend its people and limit HAMAS in Gaza and get the towns in Israel who are shared both Jews Israelis and Arab Israelis to go back to being quiet.  Also to keep the West Bank quiet.

Abortion in the US - Who decides?

BBC News: Reports " Mississippi abortion: US Supreme Court to hear major abortion case "

Lets Get Real:

One hopes that the SUPREME COURT follows past cases and rejects the Mississippi law, the right of  a woman to have an abortion is between her and her Doctor.  Conservative Judges if they are really CONSERVATIVE, will follow the Classical Liberal view, that the role of the Government should be limited, one can argue that the Conservatives who oppose abortion are really LIBERALS, they want to allow the STATES to decide on the nature of abortion.   This blog has always SUPPORTED abortion on demand, its a privacy issue, and who wants to see a baby born who is not wanted and can have a negative results for ALL.   If the Supreme Court does restrict abortion one can expect the LIBERAL Democrats in the US Congress to allow abortion on demand, that will really irk so called Conservatives.   The Supreme Court should leave the issue alone, it has been decided. 

Israel and Gaza - Update Part 3 - Middle East

Guardian: Reports " Israel vows not to stop Gaza attacks until there is ‘complete quiet’.....Defence minister rules out ceasefire as Israeli military says it has killed four senior Hamas commanders  "

Lets Get Real:

The Israeli Government has to finish this problem once and for all, one can not have a gun held to ones head ALL THE TIME.   The Gaza is in the hands of Hamas a terrorist group, that group is seen as a terrorist group by the rest of the World.  Israel has the DUTY AND RIGH to protects its homeland and its citizens.   The operation should be quick, otherwise the West, will get its knickers in twist over the treatment of the Palestinians, the likes of the CNN, BBC News, Guardian, the FCO in the UK is very pro Arab and anti Israel, no matter who is in No 10, will start to be critical of Israel and its military power.  Some problems can never be solved, and the truth is, they should not be solved, there will never be a two State solution, that kind of end would be a THREAT to the State of Israel, life is unfair, that is the way it is. 

Israel - Gaza - Israel defends its homeland from terrorists

Sky News: Reports " On Wednesday Hamas confirmed Israeli reports that one of its senior operatives - the brigade commander for Gaza City - had been killed. Israeli security service Shin Bet said he among 16 military targets who died. "

Lets Get Real:

Israel has the duty and right to defend its homeland from terrorists, the Hamas group in Gaza in a terrorist body, and is seen as such by most of the World.  Israeli Intelligence is one of the best in the World, so they are able to target terrorists in Gaza with more precision than one would have expected.  This latest low level battle will burn it self out after a few days and the sides will go back to their limited Cold War, Israel does not want Gaza, but it also does not want to face the threat of constant terrorism from the place, Israel should really think of clearing HOUSE in Gaza. 

Latest from Israel - Gaza - Threat of War

BBC News: Reports " The deadly exchange of fire between Palestinian militants in the Gaza Strip and the Israeli military has escalated significantly, with the UN fearing a "full-scale war".  "

Lets Get Real:

The above happens every few years, it has its internal cycle, either side does something that causes the other side to react with arms.  The present crisis deals with attempts by the Israel to evict Arabs from the Capital.   The threat of a full scale WAR is over egged, Israel is the big power in this contest, they could invade Gaza and clear OUT Hamas but it would be very bloody for both sides, give it a few days, and there will be another cease fire, and the West will get its knickers in twist trying to solve a problem that can not be solved and makes the Arabs happy.  This blog is a clear supporter of Israel, it is about time that the Israeli Government cleared Hamas from Gaza, the poor bloody people there deserve some PEACE, that goes for Israel also. 

The FAILURE of Sir Keir Starmer - Labour Reshuffle - Boris Era

BBC News: Reports on the aftermath of Sir Keir Starmer's messy reshuffle, " Sir Keir's critics on the left of the party filled, almost with glee, to push him for a change in direction. "

Lets Get Real:

This is Sir Keir's first reshuffle, and on the face it, one can say that it was messy, and the worse PR and Sir Keir will have to look behind when the Shadow Cabinet shows him no loyalty.  That might also be true of HIS Deputy, who he hung out as a symbol of the failure of Labour to win the important by - election and the losing of hundred of Council Seats.  The Labour Party needs a leader with CHARISMA, very much like Tony Blair in the 1990s.  The problem with Sir Keir is that he has no charisma and acts like PMs Questions as if he is still charge of the prosecution service, he almost expects the Speaker to ACT like a JUDGE, and that is not the role of the Speaker of the House of Commons.   The Labour Party needs a new direction, it needs to renew its relationship with the working class, there will never be enough graduates to vote Labour in to power.  It is not written in stone that the Labour Party has to EXIST.  Sir Keir does not have ALL the time in the World, the Shadow Cabinet or the left wing of the Party could strike and challegen him for the leadership.

Labour Civil War AFTER Sacking of Labour Deputy - The Sir Keir Starmer Era

Sky News - Live Blog: Reports in its 7.49pm the following post, "  He's scapegoating everyone apart from himself'...Former shadow chancellor John McDonnell has posted his reaction to Angela Rayner being sacked as Labour party chair.....He points out that yesterday Sir Keir Starmer had said he would take full responsibility for the party's poor election performance. "

Lets Get Real:

The LACK of response from Ms Rayner shows that she could have been bought off with a senior job in the Shadow Cabinet, the present Shadow Chancellor is not up to much and could be replaced.   The Labour LEFT wants the Labour Party to go extreme LEFT, this would be a mistake by Sir Keir, it would make sure that the Labour Party LOST the 2024 general election.  Someone needs to remind the Scottish First Minister, that only the UK House of Commons can grant a 2nd IndyRef vote, anything else would be illegal and could see the SNP breaking the law and facing harsh charges of sedition.  In looking further at the LABOUR problem, it can be said in a few words, the MODERN Labour Party does not understand working class people, its main support group are city dwellers, University Graduates and nutty WOKE supporters, if Labour is to get back in to the winning lane it needs to ditch the metro elite and reconnect with the working class, otherwise its finished as a political PARTY. 

Labour's Civil War - The reaction to Thursdays Elections - Politics

BBC News: Reports " Labour's deputy Angela Rayner has been sacked from her roles as party chair and campaign coordinator following poor results in the English local elections.  "

Lets Get Real:

It seems that Sir Keir's taking of responsibility for Labour's disaster in losing the  Hartlepool by-election and other local elections lasted less than 24 hours, thus he has shafted his Deputy, this will cause anger among the LEFT WING of the Party, it will be interesting to see how Ms Rayner reacts to the sacking, it does not look good, the article notes that Ms Rayner is expected to be given another job in the Shadow Cabinet, the sacking will undermine her presence in any JOB.   Sir Keir can not sack Ms Rayner as his Deputy, she was elected by the members, also how will Sir Keir reshuffle the Shadow Cabinet, will he go LEFT OR RIGHT.   In Scotland the SNP has own a fourth term in Government, they will push for a second IndyRef 2, Boris Johnson should say a FIRM NO, make the SNP take the first move, a wild IndyRef 2 would be illegal, lets hope that SNP go for that, the leaders can be arrested or they can go to Brussels, share a flat with Spanish politician who tried that in his region and had go in external exile, the Spanish Police on his tail.  In Wales the good management of the COVID  crisis has been of benefit to the Labour Party, another 5 years of Wales in charge in Cardiff, not that shocking an outcome, SOUTH WALES will always bail them out.  As for the Conservatives it was a great election, winning the by - election, also keeping Conservative Mayors and gaining new councils and councillors.  The results show that 2019 was not a fluke, the Conservatives are the Party of the working class, that is a changes the politics of the UK.  

The Royal Navy sent in over argument with the French over Brexit Agreement - Post Brexit

Sky News: Reports " UK to send two Royal Navy boats to Jersey after France threatens blockade of island port "

Lets Get Real:

The UK Government should remind the FRENCH that Sir Winston Churchill sank the French fleet during World War 2 as to prevent it being taken by the Germans.  The UK should send a aircraft Carrier to solve the issue, any FRENCH BOATS that block UK ships should be confiscated and the sailors sent home by airplane.   Paris is seeking to  regain some of the rights that it lost with the agreement between the EU and London.   The UK PM can not be blackmailed by the FRENCH, they need to be taught a LESSON the hard way, after the sailors are taken from their ships and they are empty the Royal Navy should consider sinking them, that would be a FIRM LESSON to the French.  

The TRUTH behind BREXIT from the EU side - Post Brexit

BBC News: Reports " EU negotiator Barnier spills Brexit secrets in new book "

Lets Get Real:

It will be interesting to READ THIS BOOK, it seems at the very end that the EU didn't understand why the UK left, that DEMOCRAY was not on their list of important things, the UK voter voted in 2016 for a BREAK with the EU, this was confirmed in the 2019 General Election.  The French are playing games, they have threatened to cut off the to cut of the electricity to Jersey over the fishing limits that they have been set by the UK.   The UK should consider a BOLD option, just revoke the Withdrawal Agreement, the French are playing silly buggers, it is causing a problem in North Ireland, make the Irish Government set up a border on their side of the BORDER.   The SNP in Scotland will have to face the FACT, that if Scotland leaves the UNION, it will lose the POUND and there will need to be BORDERS between England and Scotland. 

Vote Conservative in Thursday Elections

VOTE Conservative FOR for the FUTURE OF WALES

                     VOTE for a FIRM BREXIT    

                     VOTE to send a MESSAGE to the Media Elite

                      VOTE for a Conservative Candidate

VOTE CONSERVATIVE ON THURSDAY