Warren's ROAD to the OVAL OFFICE - US Election 2020

CNN - Politics: Reports " Warren tops the field in the CNN-DMR poll with 22% support, followed by former Vice President Joe Biden at 20% (the poll has a four-point margin of error, putting the two essentially in a tie). Warren and Biden are followed distantly by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 11%.  "

Lets Get Real:

This is a two man/woman race, the presumed front runner VP Biden faces a great challenge by Senator Warren, she is now leading in Iowa, and if you read the above article, she has a great local operation, also she is from Mass, thus close to NH.  They get their TV coverage from there, so she is well known.   The question is what does Biden do, it's  a very simple answer, he moves to IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE, he can not afford to lose these two States in 2020, if he does it could be OVER for Biden.   The former VP should be in people's homes over the Christmas and New Year period in the two States, in fact the voters of the two States should be sick of his face by the actual contests in February 2020.  DOES BIDEN HAVE it in himself to WIN.   There can be no more political gaffes, he has to take the fight over the Ukraine to Trump, show that one on one he will fight Trump and beat him.  Expect more polls from Iowa and New Hampshire over the next few months. 

Iran Crisis - Update 1 - Middle East - US Election 2020

Daily Mail: Reports " Lindsey Graham says Trump should 'punish' Iran 'militarily' for attacking drones and ships as he channels Ronald Reagan: 'Sanctions are not enough' "

Lets Get Real:

Let's be CLEAR, Ronald Reagan was one  of the greatest Presidents in US history, and as Lady Thatcher said won the cold war without firing a shot.  As the article notes Reagan used US Armed Forces when Iran attacked US interests, the President understood that bullies have to be countered, and let's be honest he tried to talk to Iran, thus Iran - Contra, when that did not work and Iran was shown to be a bad actor in, Reagan responded attacks from Iran  with force, let's recall Reagan's VP won 1988 US Presidential Election, no VP had successful won the Oval after a two term President in 152 years and nonce since.  Donald Trump will never be a REAGAN, he will be lucky to win  a 2nd term, he is the modern Neville Chamberlain and the Middle East is the modern Munich.  If you appease you LOSE in all kind of ways. 

Trump and the Ukraine - Update 1 - US Election 2020

Sky News: Reports " Donald Trump 'could be impeached' if he pressured Ukrainian president..The US president has dismissed the claims and insists he did nothing wrong while pointing the finger at Democrat Joe Biden.  "

Lets Get Real:

When it comes to foreign policy of the US President has vast power, even if he asked for dirt on the Biden family from the Ukraine Government it is not illegal, the Congress is equal to the Presidency, it is NOT above it.   An issue as to whom can see Presidencial calls would have to get to the US Supreme Court, and even then the US House might LOSE, the Republicans have backed the US Supreme Court will their Judges, the Democratic House would look weak and foolish if it lost an argument before the Supremes.  The Biden camp is fighting the charges from Trump, but also in a recent poll it was 2% behind Senator Warren in Iowa.  If Warren can make the case that she can take on Trump, then Biden might find he no longer be called the front runner.  VP Biden should spend all hit time in Iowa and New Hampshire, if he loses those States to Warren in 2020 he could be finished. 

Labour's MIXED MESSAGE on Brexit - Brexit Update 1 - General Election 2019?

BBC News: Reports " Jeremy Corbyn's policy on Brexit has triumphed at Labour conference, as members endorsed his stance to stay neutral while negotiating a new deal.  "

Lets Get Real:

The HARD REMAINERS within the Labour Party will be furious, they will be stuck following the Party line, well those in the leadership otherwise during a general election the Party will be accused of mixed messages.  At least Corbyn has held on to his real view, it can be argued that Corbyn is a firm HARD BREXIT supporter if he was not leader of the LABOUR PARTY.   It is expected tomorrow that the High Court will state that the suspension of Parliament was illegal, and thus the House of Commons will be recalled.   This would be unfair on two levels, it's a political decision to suspend Parliament and also the Conservative will not have had their conference, it will be easy to see if the HIGH COURT is full remainers, it would be very unfair to allow the Lib Dems to have their conference but deny that to the Conservative Party. 

The Guardian Negative view of Brexit Talks - Brexit Update 2 - General Election 2019

Guardian: Reports " Fresh Brexit talks row as UK asks EU to keep its proposals secret...Downing Street tells Brussels negotiators documents must not be shared with 27 states  "

Lets Get Real:

As stated in previous post, the Guardian, BBC News and Sky News are getting very negative about a possible BREXIT DEAL, the tone for months if not years has been that the BACKSTOP can not be changed, and thus in essence its better to REMAIN.  If PM Boris can get a deal and it can pass the House of Commons ( a big ask ) then we are out of the EU.  As stated every comment from both the EU and the UK is being analysed and its importance is being viewed through either Remain or Leave viewpoint.  If the Supreme Court states that the House of Commons should be recalled, expect more trouble from the HARD REMAINERS, PM Boris has to get the UK out of the EU by the 31st of October or he is toast and so is the Conservative Party. 

Could the Ukraine FINISH off Trump? - US Election 2020

Daily Mail: Reports " Donald Trump attacks whistleblower who complained about his call to Ukraine's president as 'highly partisan' and claims 'there was nothing said wrong' amid clash over probe into whether he pressured leader to prosecute Joe Biden's son "

Lets Get Real:

The above story is very odd, all we know for a FACT is that someone in the intelligence has read the transcript or heard the conversation between Trump and foreign leader, it is assumed to be the NEW President of the Ukraine.  The issue is over a promise made by Trump, after that it's all speculation.  In foreign affairs POTUS has a lot more power and it can be argued that he calls he makes to other foreign leaders comes under executive privilege, that means that the US Congress will have a HARD TIME in Court in getting to see the information.  This could go to the US Supreme Court, CNN is getting its knickers in to a twist and is speculating the WORST, it should recall its a NEWS network not the commentary news network.  This is a developing story. 

Does Trump UNDERSTAND US voters better than the D.C Bubble ? - US Election 2020

Sky News: Reports " Trump cares most about re-election, and voters don't care about Iran..The US president is conflict-cautious because a mistake could damage his chances in next year's election.  "

Lets Get Real:

The US it can be argued has returned to its isolation roots that can be found in its history, after World War 1 the US voter did not want the US linked to problems of other Countries, the Republicans played on this to defeat the US being part of the League of Nations, it took World War Two and Nazi Germany declaring War on the US to get the US to take the lead of the West.   The US has been in Afghanistan for nearly two decades, there has US troops in Iraq and Syria and the 5th fleet is stationed in Bahrain.  In 2016 candidate Trump promised that he would not be like Bush 43 and get the US in to endless Wars, that is why he is gun shy when it comes to Iran.  POTUS does not get the fact that Reagan lost over 240+ Marines in Lebanon in one day in the early 1980s and the following day invaded Grenada, Leaders LEAD, Reagan was a great President, he took risks that were in the interest of the US, on the whole they worked, if POTUS wants to be another Reagan he better find a backbone, or he is going to make the Dems look like hawks in 2020. The US voter really HATES a weak leader, look what happened to Jimmy Carter in 1980.