Friday, August 11, 2017

Russian and Chinese Plan for North Korean Crisis - NK Update 4 - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real: 

The US has rejected this plan, it would be seen as a victory for North Korea and a defeat for President Trump.   Also this is not 1962, when JFK sold out Turkey over the Cuban Missile Crisis.  If the US and South Korean Army training does not take place it will be seen as the Trump Oval blinking when faced by a nuclear North Korea.   The Russians just want to be in the game, while China just wishes it would all go away.   The North Koreans have to blink first and China has to make sure that they do that, or if a nuclear war does happen then radiation will go over the border of China.   The clock is ticking!!

The Reality and the Rhetoric of the North Korean Crisis, NK Update 3 - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

This is not the crunch time, that will come should NK launch missiles at Guam, one can only hope that NK decides that the best path is to delay such an operation and offer talks to the US, of course the NK Regime will spin it as  a victory for them, the rest of the World will know that NK blinked first.   The problem would also come up should NK place conditions on those talks, that the planned US and South Korean Army training does not take place this year, that the US can not do, it would look like weakness, and a win for NK.   The Trump Oval can not afford to look weak when faced by North Korea and China. 

China on North Korea and the US - North Korea Update 2 - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

This is an enigmatic statement from China, what if North Korea launches missiles at Guam, and the Trump Oval sees that as an attack after it warned NK.  This places China is a tight spot, does it support its ally while it gets attacked or does it do nothing, does the Trump Oval do a deal with China, it takes action against NK and as long as NK does not hit South Korea or Japan it will be a limited strike.   Thus the question how much control does China have over NK, it has been said that it could turn off the lights of NK if it wanted too, the question is that true.

Trump the Cowboy vs. Crazy North Korea - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The inner Cowboy is coming out of President Trump, one can only hope that his Chief of Staff and Defense Secretary can control him, the real crunch time will come should NK launch missiles at the waters of Guam.  In that event no President could not react, it would be a direct threat to the US, one can only hope and pray that China can control NK.  THE rhetoric is heated, one can only hope that there are back channel talks going on between, China, North Korea and the US.  The clock to nuclear war is ticking down, Asia could become very hot very fast. 

Thursday, August 10, 2017

New York Times and How to Appease - North Korean Crisis Update 4 - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

This is typical of the US / UK mainstream press and TV, in the past the UBER liberal  NYT covered for Stalin, if the NYT editorial board had run US foreign policy the Berlin Wall would be still be up, the Liberals NEVER want to fight for America, they just want to defend the other nation, very much like the BBC at times.   Sometimes you have to FIGHT, this is not a post arguing for War with North Korea, quite the reverse, but there are limits, one hopes that NK will back down and not launch missiles at Guam, but what if they DO.   Then the Trump Oval would have to do something, otherwise the US will look wean when faced by North Korea, also could US allies trust that the US would come to protect them if the US is seen as weak with North Korea.   Think Russia, Iran, you get the idea, sometimes you have to bite the bullet and be aggressive.   Democracy has to be protected, otherwise it dies. 

North Korea on Guam - North Korea Crisis Update 3 - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

One can assume that US Intelligence will have its ears and eyes open to any North Korean launch, the question is will POTUS hit the missiles before they are launched, that of course could lead to a regional war, or hit the missiles in flight, that could lead to a regional war, take no action and face Impeachment from the very same people who are critical of him now, not great choices for any President.   Of course this could be all rhetoric from NK, that causes a problem for NK, what if they do not launch, they will be seen as all bluster and no sabre.   Thus the sides have to be careful they do not box themselves in to a corner, who will blink first. 

North Korea on Trump - North Korea Update 2 - North Korean Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The present North Korean Crisis could go two ways, in the past when the region has gone hot the US and North Korea talk and find ways to kick the ball in to the future, the next option is not good, North Korean Elite get CNN, BBC News and might think that the US would never act if it hit the waters around Guam, this would be a mistake, a US President would have to react, think JFK and the Cuban Missile Crisis, a US President can not afford to have the US under threat from North Korea.   Thus next step, should NK launch missiles, one can expect that either Japan or the US will shoot down the missiles.  The next question is what will NK do should its missiles be shot down, that is an open question, if they have a brain they should do nothing, the next fews shall be interesting.