Thursday, November 12, 2015

Daesh ATTACK in Lebanon - Daesh Threat


Lets Get Real:

The growth of Daesh is placing pressure on the States near Syria and Iraq, the threat of Daesh undermines the the structure of the Middle East, thus far it has dragged in the Russians and the US, at present they are using their air power to strike Daesh, it can be argued that Russia was more interested in hitting the opposition to Assad than hitting Daesh, the bombing of the Russian plane has changed the game, it can now be expected that Moscow will start to hit Daesh HARD, very hard, the problem that Moscow has is that the Russian people recall the failed War in Afghanistan by the then USSR, its failure helped bring the USSR.   Of late we have seen the failure of the US in Iraq, these fights are out of the usual power interests, thus open to defeat.   Tense days for Moscow and Washington D.C. 

The Battle Against Daesh in Iraq - Iraq Crisis


Lets Get Real:

It would be a wise strategy for the Western Allies and the Iraqi Government to throw out Daesh from Iraq and to push them in the arms of the Assad troops and one can expect Russian forces to be on the ground.   The creation of State by Daesh has to be destroyed, the Daesh forces have started to create their own money, they have taken the young as to train them to be killers.     The Daesh structure and military Command has aspect of Saddam's former Soldiers and Commanders.   Once Daesh is stuck in Syria it can be killed off by Russia and Western forces and Syrian moderates.  

Wednesday, November 11, 2015

On the Ground in Syria - Syrian Crisis


Lets Get Real:

The Russian action is showing success on the ground, but how far will Russia go, the Assad regime now has the ground support from Iran and Iraq, while the Russians do the bombing, but will Moscow dare place Russians on the ground, after the failure in Afghanistan by the USSR and the long war in Iraq by the US the Kremlin should be careful, the Russian people have seen what happens when the Russia places troops outside its orbit, one can argue that the Crimea and East Ukraine is seen as part of Greater Russia, while Syria is more like Afghanistan, groups that have hated each other for centuries and will fight no matter who is on their side, while Syria is important to Russia, its not like the above, so how long will Russians bomb, how long before they need to send in ground troops, these questions should be on the mind of Moscow. 

The New Russian Plan for Syria - DOA


Lets Get Real:

The problem with the Russian bear is that it likes its honey, yes that is Russian base in Syria, its only warm water port, and it will not give up that for love or money.   The Assad issue is a different problem, one can see the Russians allowing for a new leader as long as it comes from the Assad Branch of the family, one with no to much blood on his hands.   The opposition, the West and its moderate supported Syrian wing do not want to get caught in a Russian plan that allows the Assad either the President or his supporters from taking over, while that is a problem you have Daesh that is a threat to everyone in the region.   In many respects the Syrian problem is the major issue of the Middle East, you have millions of refugees flooding the area and now they are moving to Europe.   It will take Western armed forces to solve Syria, it will not happen under the Obama Administration, thus poor Syria will suffer for a  few years. 

Gordon Brown on Jeremy Corbyn - Corbyn Mania


Lets Get Real:

Thus the former PM speaks, the problem is that one of the main problems of Labour in power was the feud between Gordon Brown and Tony Blair, one wanted the others job, while Blair wanted a New Labour Legacy.  As a Conservative blog even this blogger can see how much Brown/Blair could have achieved if they had worked together.   But what they did was to have the usual old Labour feuds updated.   The Labour Party can only be Government in waiting if it recovers some of its Scottish Seats, the question is does Scottish Labour want to be seen as a arm of the main Party, they have come out against Trident, while the majority of Labour MPs support the UK having nuclear missiles.   Thus there are internal breaches that have to be fixed before 2020.    

Monday, November 09, 2015

Bush 41 on Bush 43 - The Biography


Lets Get Real:

One can almost say that Bush 41 is spinning for his son, that he blames Cheney and co for the War in Iraq and the tough tone of the Bush 43 Administration.  It is what liberals having been hoping for  in essence for different reasons, the left and right want to blame those around Bush 43 for the failed War in Iraq.  For Bush 41 the Republican establishment it is about showing that Iraq does not belong on the Bush 43 legacy, while for the left they want to see a green President being lead to war by his more talented team around him.   In essence they are both right, but they failed understand one point, at the end of the day Bush 43 was President, he chose these men and women around him, thus Iraq is a Bush Legacy for both Bush's, father and son.

Government CUTS to Spending - UK Finance


Lets Get Real:

The UK HAS to cut the welfare state, its either the State or a society that bankrolls lower payment to workers and creates a cycle that does not allow people to get back to work.   On the other hand the Conservative Government has to be smart, it should not give ammo to the left wing groups, such as the BBC and the Guardian.  It does not need pictures of those that have a disability from the physical to the mental outside No 10 protesting at government cuts.    The working worker wants those that have never worked or used the system to get something for nothing.   The Labour Party is not a real threat, the real threat comes when the Government thinks it can do what it likes, the defeat in the House of Lords over tax credits shows what happens when the government take its eyes off the ball.   Thus the Conservative government has to be clever, and always see the left as a threat.